Really disheartening from the dynasty perspective. He seems to be regressing.
He and Bridgewater have missed connections on a couple of long gimme TDs this year. Both are going through growing pains, but I don't see any real reason to be down on either one long-term.
OK.
Patterson has basically caught 50-55% of his targets with 4 different quarterbacks, while all of his fellow receivers have been able to catch 60-65% of
their targets. It's easy to say that he's just going through growing pains, but HE'S NOT GROWING. He's getting worse.
If you want to argue that Patterson is a downfield specialist, that's fine. But that's
all he is. He's a north-south speedster with bad hands who is completely dependent upon the abilities of whoever is throwing him the ball.
Coming into this game, PFF charted Patterson with 45 catches on 50 catchable balls last year (5 drops), and 25 catches on 25 catchable balls this year (0 drops). That tells a slightly different story than your numbers.
He has plenty of things to work on, and I would argue the coaching staff does as well, but I think the narrative has overshot the reality in his case. I think the fact that expectations for him were so over-hyped coming into this year has a lot to do with that, and the pendulum has now fully swung to the other extreme.
I'd wager quite a bit that his current value will rise again significantly over the next year or so as things come together for the offense in MIN.
As a CP owner, I was really surprised at how crazy the hype got this offseason/preseason. Many people whipped themselves into a frenzy over him, and now that he's not performing to their astronomical standards, many of those same people are whipping themselves to the other extreme.
I don't have access to GameRewind yet, so I haven't been able to watch every play he's run. I will later this season, though. Until then, I think PFF is the best grading system out there, and I trust them. When I get time later this year, you can bet I'll sit down for a few hours with a bowl of chips and dip, click on Rewind and then proceed to watch every play he's run. I'm really curious.
From what little I've seen of him this year, he's caught the balls he was supposed to. His catching ability isn't the issue. In fairness, some of the plays I've seen categorized as "bad passes"
might have been that CP ran the route incorrectly or made a bad read on an option. These are correctable. You can be dumb and play WR - it will just take you longer to bang the correct routes and decisions into your head. Remember not too long ago WRs were famously "getting it" in year 3. Now, colleges are preparing them better so it's not always taking that long - except CP didn't have that full college experience. He could very well be that throwback "year three" WR.
To me, it's simple - he is/has been a drop in redraft (in standard formats). In dynasty he's a hold unless you are getting some great value. If you have watched every single play CP has run, and you think you can grade them better than PFF, then more power to you. You could be right - PFF is not perfect. But if neither one of the aforementioned apply to you, you should probably have a strong hold on Patterson. Remember - this is a player we've seen do things with the ball in his hands that we've only seen a
handful of players able to do in a long time.
We can only guess on his work ethic (I've heard he worked hard last offseason) or how well he'll learn the offense, but we've
seen what he can do with the ball in his hands. You really shouldn't bail on that in dynasty, unless you're just absolutely sure he's lazy and won't improve and/or PFF is totally off on their assessment.