RG3 as a QB1 (1 Viewer)

[Routilla]

Could not do it this year. If he develops and can stay on the field maybe next year.

 

[12punch]

most years there isn't a cam.

right tackle is lookin' kind of dicey.

 

[Bo Skiboski]

Anyone saying this kid won't run the ball a ton is out of their minds. Watch this guy's value explode after the Saints game week 1.

 

[Go DC Yourself]

I think you're right long-term, but don't you think there will be an adjustment period in the NFL?

I think there will. And I think much of the adjustment he'll have to do will be during games where the Redskins face teams with strong defensive lines. The Redskins' offensive line hasn't been real good the last several years, and it wasn't significantly upgraded during the offseason. They did draft some rookie O-linemen but they're not about to step right in and be men-among-men; they have their own learning (and building strength) to do. If Griffin gets adequate time he'll learn pretty quickly. When he doesn't he'll have to make decisions very quickly that are not yet second nature to him. So there'll be some down weeks.To illustrate the difference, watch replays of the last 2 Redskin preseason games against the Bears (who are better than the Skins), and the Colts (who are worse). Griffin struggled against the Bears and looked good against the Colts. I expect that pattern to continue somewhat into the season.

I defer to fatness on all things 'skins, but would add that if their pass defense puts up performances in the regular season like they did against the Bears, Griffin may get the opportunity to go against alot of opponents in prevent mode, and be able to wrack up garbage time yardage and some TDs.

 

[fatness]

I defer to fatness on all things 'skins, but would add that if their pass defense puts up performances in the regular season like they did against the Bears, Griffin may get the opportunity to go against alot of opponents in prevent mode, and be able to wrack up garbage time yardage and some TDs.

You're right about their pass defense. Against any team that can keep the Redskin D-line at bay, opposing QB's are going to have a field day against the Redskin secondary.

 

[oso diablo]

If RG3 is the runner he appears (comparable to Vick more than Newton). Over a full season, he should put together about 700 yards. Vick's rushing TDs have always been all over the map, so a fair conservative estimate for RG3 is 3 rushing TDs. That is an extra 5.5 fantasy points per game. Looking at one of my leagues (4 for pa TD, 1 pt per 20 yards passing), we can see how this rushing will help his fantasy value. Last year, Curtis Painter was an awful QB that had almost no fantasy value. He He averaged just 12.4 points per game, 40th among all QBs last year. So if RG3 is the passing trainwreck that was Curtis Painter, we still get a QB averaging about 17.2 points per game which is the same exact number as Flacco and about 20th among QBs. That takes him from useless to viable bye week guy.Ponder was a pretty average rookie QB. He was ok. He didn't stink it up, but nobody is rushing out to get this guy in redraft leagues. If RG3 is the so-so QB Ponder was last year, that is about 15 ppg and 33rd amongst QBs. If we add on RG3 projected rushing stats, it turns into 19.4 which puts him ahead of Fitzpatrick and a little below Big Ben at 15th overall. Now we are talking about a very good back-up QB, a QB1 in a big league. Andy Dalton was a really strong rookie QB. He played better than people expected and was relevant in fantasy football. He was solid, but not spectacular. If RG3 can match what Dalton did in the air, it would 21 ppg which would have been 10th last year, behind Romo and ahead of Sanchez. So if you believe that RG3 can be ok for a rookie and is the real deal threat on the ground, he definitely presents a nice opportunity to get a late QB value.

nice work

 

[Bo Skiboski]

 

[Workhorse]

I think the key to using this method is pairing up RG3 with a Ben/Cutler/Luck/Schaub/Rivers/Eli/Peyton type that can possibly take over if RG3 is shaky. I do like RG3 a lot in fantasy, and I don't view it as a nightmare scenario if I'm stuck with him at QB.

I paired Eli with RG3 since the SOS seems to mesh well together. I project them as a high end fantasy RBBC based on weekly matchups.

 

[Jagerbomber]

I paired Eli with RG3 since the SOS seems to mesh well together. I project them as a high end fantasy RBBC based on weekly matchups.

Ditto. I love RG3's upside but way too risky as your QB1. I'd say QB1B makes sense.

People don't understand how incredible Newton's season was last year. We're not going to see a rookie QB do that again soon; probably never.

Exactly. I even have my doubts that even Cam Newton 2012 can match Cam Newton 2011.