TheIronSheik
SUPER ELITE UPPER TIER
6ABC lowered their amounts slightly. They are already kind of low. Not sure what they're seeing that no one else is.
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Snowmageddon 2022 (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter =Smackdown=
- Start date
PIK95
Footballguy
Wait, what! I thought we were in the clear.Billy Bats said:Annnnnd you're back in the ####, Oats:The latest NAMOtis said:This is so annoying. Every 12 hours a different map comes out with a dramatically different NYC forecast. This looks like 3-6 inches. Another one a few hours earlier looked like a foot or more.The_Man said:
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=277725
Cold Dead Hands
Footballguy
The center of the 3 in that 43 essentially points to my house. We appear to be in a 40 band.Uruk-Hai said:Yeah, the "43.6" is offset and placed over WV - worded badly on my part.matttyl said:I think it's talking about the high mark on that map, roughly Berryville VA.Uruk-Hai said:Sweet Jesus. Does that say 43.6 in JEFFERSON CO, WV (near Harper's Ferry for you outlanders)?Billy Bats said:Annnnnd you're back in the ####, Oats:Otis said:This is so annoying. Every 12 hours a different map comes out with a dramatically different NYC forecast. This looks like 3-6 inches. Another one a few hours earlier looked like a foot or more.The_Man said:
The latest NAMhttp://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=277725
Billy Bats
Footballguy
I trust Koya's prediction the most.Wait, what! I thought we were in the clear.Billy Bats said:Annnnnd you're back in the ####, Oats:The latest NAMOtis said:This is so annoying. Every 12 hours a different map comes out with a dramatically different NYC forecast. This looks like 3-6 inches. Another one a few hours earlier looked like a foot or more.The_Man said:
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=277725
Koya said:
James Daulton
Footballguy
I'd like to shovel at least once before I turn in Friday, and first thing Saturday morning, then again around noon, then one more time. If I can keep the shoveling to under 10 inches each time I should be ok.Uruk-Hai said:
Otis
Footballguy
Wtf?!?!?!?!Billy Bats said:Annnnnd you're back in the ####, Oats:The latest NAMOtis said:This is so annoying. Every 12 hours a different map comes out with a dramatically different NYC forecast. This looks like 3-6 inches. Another one a few hours earlier looked like a foot or more.The_Man said:
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=277725
One minute it's 3 inches. The next it's 3 feet.
What a job. I need this job. I wish this kind of wild approximation and missing was widely accepted in my profession.
Uruk-Hai
Footballguy
Stay safe up there.The center of the 3 in that 43 essentially points to my house. We appear to be in a 40 band.Uruk-Hai said:Yeah, the "43.6" is offset and placed over WV - worded badly on my part.matttyl said:I think it's talking about the high mark on that map, roughly Berryville VA.Uruk-Hai said:Sweet Jesus. Does that say 43.6 in JEFFERSON CO, WV (near Harper's Ferry for you outlanders)?Billy Bats said:Annnnnd you're back in the ####, Oats:Otis said:This is so annoying. Every 12 hours a different map comes out with a dramatically different NYC forecast. This looks like 3-6 inches. Another one a few hours earlier looked like a foot or more.The_Man said:
The latest NAMhttp://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=277725
grateful zed
Footballguy
Koya
Footballguy
NutterButter
Footballguy
20
Otis
Footballguy
mr roboto
Footballguy
Otis is the clit.
The General
Footballguy
RealReactions
Footballguy
What is Philly looking at?
The_Man
Footballguy
This is the RGEM, a pretty good short-term model:
http://i.imgur.com/F6RyZXa.png
I think this is a decent accumulation map, a lot more realistic than the NAM. Still, using just 10:1 ratio, there is a chance totals go higher.
I really can't believe the entire DC/Baltimore is now only about 20 hours from a widespread 20" with a realistic chance for some areas to hit 30". People around here are talking about work on Monday and don't really understand what's about to happen. I say work on Wednesday, maybe. School? Maybe Friday? We'll see. Can't believe all the area districts closed today, since it won't snow (at least here) until after dark tomorrow. They're going to regret taking that day when they're still in school on June 23.
http://i.imgur.com/F6RyZXa.png
I think this is a decent accumulation map, a lot more realistic than the NAM. Still, using just 10:1 ratio, there is a chance totals go higher.
I really can't believe the entire DC/Baltimore is now only about 20 hours from a widespread 20" with a realistic chance for some areas to hit 30". People around here are talking about work on Monday and don't really understand what's about to happen. I say work on Wednesday, maybe. School? Maybe Friday? We'll see. Can't believe all the area districts closed today, since it won't snow (at least here) until after dark tomorrow. They're going to regret taking that day when they're still in school on June 23.
The_Man
Footballguy
GFS is actually scaring me a little right now. It's like 3' for everyone in the region, some places around DC nearing 40".
It's one thing when the NAM does this, but I feel like this is now something that has never been seen before 24 hours out on one of the high resolution models. Will post some maps if I can get them.
This is like end of the world, new Ice Age stuff
It's one thing when the NAM does this, but I feel like this is now something that has never been seen before 24 hours out on one of the high resolution models. Will post some maps if I can get them.
This is like end of the world, new Ice Age stuff
The_Man
Footballguy
Ramblin Wreck
Footballguy
Wes Junker and a few others are on a radio blog now basically throwing it out saying it's unrealistic.
Cold Dead Hands
Footballguy
#### that. Has my area getting 5'
The_Man
Footballguy
Buddy Ball 2K3
Footballguy
Philly news calling for 12-18" this means we will get 3" or 36".
Tom Servo
Nittany Beavers
Courtjester
The Town Drunk
So the Cardinals are reportedly not changing their plans fo fly in Saturday for the game. What are the chances the game gets postponed?
Tom Servo
Nittany Beavers
Our crews had a safety briefing this morning before heading out on trouble. They've been told to pack for 7 days and will leave in the next couple of hours.
The crews have been briefed to be aware of local drivers who - we have to assume - are not able to handle driving in winter weather. Unfortunately, FE trucks are white, but they do have reflective red and white striping to make them more visible, along with amber strobe lights and orange cones. Our trucks should have chains on them while driving in the area and the crews will be wearing reflective vests while working.
If you do see a crew, please don't rush up to the truck. While the truck itself is grounded, they may be working on downed wire that we treat as if it were hot. You also have to worry about step potential (i.e., the voltage difference between your feet while walking). Our linemen wear dielectric overshoes to mitigate against this. If you want to speak to a lineman, stay at least 20-30 feet away and get their attention. They may not be able to tell you much of anything - remember, they may not be familiar with the area and they are only given one call at a time. Your neighborhood may be next, or it may not. They won't know and please don't get mad at them if they don't know. They also don't need your help.
Restoration is done in the following order:
1) transmission (substation to substation)
2) hospitals, first responder locations and health-risk customers (e.g. oxygen);
3) neighborhoods with crews going to the location with the highest number of customers out and working their way down to single customers. It's not based on who is off the longest.
These guys will be far from home, tired, cold and working around downed/damaged equipment in unfamiliar territory. So, give them a little grace and you'll be back on soon.
The crews have been briefed to be aware of local drivers who - we have to assume - are not able to handle driving in winter weather. Unfortunately, FE trucks are white, but they do have reflective red and white striping to make them more visible, along with amber strobe lights and orange cones. Our trucks should have chains on them while driving in the area and the crews will be wearing reflective vests while working.
If you do see a crew, please don't rush up to the truck. While the truck itself is grounded, they may be working on downed wire that we treat as if it were hot. You also have to worry about step potential (i.e., the voltage difference between your feet while walking). Our linemen wear dielectric overshoes to mitigate against this. If you want to speak to a lineman, stay at least 20-30 feet away and get their attention. They may not be able to tell you much of anything - remember, they may not be familiar with the area and they are only given one call at a time. Your neighborhood may be next, or it may not. They won't know and please don't get mad at them if they don't know. They also don't need your help.
Restoration is done in the following order:
1) transmission (substation to substation)
2) hospitals, first responder locations and health-risk customers (e.g. oxygen);
3) neighborhoods with crews going to the location with the highest number of customers out and working their way down to single customers. It's not based on who is off the longest.
These guys will be far from home, tired, cold and working around downed/damaged equipment in unfamiliar territory. So, give them a little grace and you'll be back on soon.
matttyl
Footballguy
So I worked on my generator for about 3 hours last night. IN attempting to start it 2 nights ago, the rope on the pull start broke. So I had to disassemble the pull start and install new rope - only the rope I got at my local Home Depot was just a little too large to thread through the hole (an issue I'm very familiar with, giggidy). I ended up having to go with multiple strands of string and got that issue fixed. New spark plug, and disassembled the air box to spray "starter fluid" directly into the carburetor. That allowed it to fire up for a second or two before cutting out - likely meaning a gunked up carburetor. I then (with the help of my MIL) got the thing into the back of my SUV in the hopes of finding a local small engine mechanic who can give it a quick look this morning and possibly fix what ails it - likely with me having to pull out the sob story of having a 6 month old baby at home.
All this trouble I'm going through simply means we will not lose power.
All this trouble I'm going through simply means we will not lose power.
AAABatteries
Footballguy
geewill
Footballguy
Woke up to about an inch here in Charlotte. It's since changed over to freezing rain as predicted.
John Bender
Footballguy
West end of Richmond starting in 3....2....
The Commish
Footballguy
Little to none....there's hardly anything going on here right now. A little bit of freezing rain, but that's it
pollardsvision
Footballguy
About an inch here in Lynchburg, VA and coming down pretty hard.
I hope I bunkered enough booze. About 60 PBR's, 48 various IPA's, and about a gallon and a half of bourbon. It might be enough to last until we see daylight again, but it certainly won't be enough to ease the pain from the money it's costing me to close the restaurant for 2-5? days.
I hope I bunkered enough booze. About 60 PBR's, 48 various IPA's, and about a gallon and a half of bourbon. It might be enough to last until we see daylight again, but it certainly won't be enough to ease the pain from the money it's costing me to close the restaurant for 2-5? days.
matttyl
Footballguy
Definitely going to hit you up the next time I'm down that way. Stay safe this weekend.
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