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Snowmageddon 2022 (2 Viewers)
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TheIronSheik
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TheIronSheik
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Copeman
Footballguy
TheIronSheik
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The reason it shows temps that high is because some of the models aren't taking dynamic cooling into effect. The low looks to be massive and will essentially bring its own cold weather to the party.BTW, the forecast for DC on Saturday is 43 and rain.
Mr. Ected
Footballguy
What's the call for the DC area tomorrow? I'm west of DC, Loudoun County, a bit past Dulles Airport.
TheIronSheik
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I don't think much. Clipper will be too far north. You may get a dusting, or a wintry mix.
Swing 51
Footballguy
I've seen reports of 1-3 inches for DC area but I think the ground will be too warm? High is near 50 today.
3C's
Footballguy
TheIronSheik
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The ground takes longer than a day or two to warm up. The ground is pretty much frozen solid right now. It would take a week or so of very warm weather to make a dent in the ground temps.
Swing 51
Footballguy
As we closely monitor the potential for snow tomorrow (Wednesday), two new windows of opportunity for winter storminess are presenting themselves: this coming Saturday and early next week.BTW, the forecast for DC on Saturday is 43 and rain.
While I think the pattern is a pretty good one for getting storms, I also want to caution readers about getting too excited about storm threats when there is still so much uncertainty concerning them. All the storms have the potential to end up as snow lover busted opportunities.
Some may have already heard about the potential for a snowstorm this weekend on social media. Most models are now predicting that a storm will track across the South and be somewhere along Southeast coast by Saturday morning but the exact track is uncertain. Odds have grown that the D.C. metro region will receive substantial precipitation from this storm system.
Before snow lovers get too fired up about Saturday’s snow potential, the lack of a frigid air source signals a warning flag that areas along and east of I-95 may deal with a wintry mix or even plain rain rather the snow.
In most of our significant snowstorms, a high pressure system is poised to our north or northeast which feeds in cold air. But in the case of Saturday’s storm, low pressure system (rather than high pressure) is forecast to be located just to the northeast of the Great Lakes (see above map). Such a configuration limits the amount of cold air that can be drawn into the storm. That alone is enough to be cautious about going gung ho for big snow amounts in this storm this early.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/01/20/a-stormy-winter-pattern-sets-in-snow-chances-every-2-3-days-including-saturday-and-early-next-week/
I went for a walk in the woods yesterday and while the top 1/2 inch of the ground, under the fallen leaves and stuff, was mud and soft, below that the ground was frozen very solidly.
TheIronSheik
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TheIronSheik
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TheIronSheik
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Euro ensembles just came back with a monster hit.
TheIronSheik
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Winter Weather Advisories just came out for the clipper system coming through tomorrow.
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Translate, Sheik!
fred_1_15301
Footballguy
ClownCausedChaos2
Footballguy
Tom Servo
Nittany Beavers
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Would be a-ok with me.
Local news said possible light wintry mix on Saturday while weather dudes are gearing up for the storm of the century.
3C's
Footballguy
A low bombing out (pressure dropping a large amount in 24 hours) would be more than a dusting. Hell as it stands now, we might get more than a dusting way down here towards central Virginia. That said, the bombing might have more of an effect further north. Haven't seen any forecasts yet of much more than a foot anywhere so not looking like a blizzard like we had a few years ago when it was near 3 feet.Would be a-ok with me.
TheIronSheik
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They are referring to the models being run for Saturday's storm. The low off the coast is going to (most likely) give us a pretty decent storm. The setup is almost ideal. If this storm would have had some blocking, it would have turned a 12 hour storm into a 24 hour storm. But even with only minimal blocking, this thing is a monster. And with each model run, the results have been coming back, honing the track onto the ideal track to give the northeast a huge storm.
No snow amounts would be accurate right now, but this thing looks like it'll produce, at least, 6 to 12 inches in a very widespread area. As of now (and the track can certainly change, and most likely will a little), Philly is a big hit.
TheIronSheik
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And to think I was completely sold on this one for the 24th. What a maroon. It's just odd that the Euro had this from the get go, and never lost it. Rarely seen in weather models. Just wanted to add that the other two time frames still look like they have good potential still. And not to go too far out, but there could be another one right after the beginning of February one. Love this weather pattern.
TheIronSheik
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NWS just bumped the totals for the clipper today for SE PA, DE and S NJ. Just by an inch or two, but this means they think it could overperform.
TheIronSheik
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Daughter's school just announced early dismissal for today. That means early dismissal for me too. Woohoo!
3C's
Footballguy
That would about shut us down around here.Supposed to get 2-4" here in NW PA...otherwise known as "Wednesday".
Tom Servo
Nittany Beavers
I know; I lived in Leesburg for three years.That would about shut us down around here.Supposed to get 2-4" here in NW PA...otherwise known as "Wednesday".
3C's
Footballguy
I know; I lived in Leesburg for three years.That would about shut us down around here.Supposed to get 2-4" here in NW PA...otherwise known as "Wednesday".
it's worse, I'm further south. Used to be in Hampton Roads where 2-4" literally would shut it down.
Mr. Ected
Footballguy
Leesburg (Loudoun Co) shut down this morning at 6a and it didn't start snowing until 10:30 - 11. We have maybe 3/4 inch now.I know; I lived in Leesburg for three years.That would about shut us down around here.Supposed to get 2-4" here in NW PA...otherwise known as "Wednesday".
The school system has something against early dismissals. They will delay, but will not dismiss early.
Fat Nick
Footballguy
I grew up in Clarke County, one county to the west from Leesburg...we were the same way when I was a kid. Hated letting out early, but would delay just for the #### of it. Not sure why. I think honestly the only time we ever let out early was for flooding because some of the kids that lived down by the river would get stuck at school.Leesburg (Loudoun Co) shut down this morning at 6a and it didn't start snowing until 10:30 - 11. We have maybe 3/4 inch now.I know; I lived in Leesburg for three years.That would about shut us down around here.Supposed to get 2-4" here in NW PA...otherwise known as "Wednesday".
The school system has something against early dismissals. They will delay, but will not dismiss early.
Mr. Ected
Footballguy
I grew up near Boston, and my wife is from Green Bay. Neither of us can understand cancelling school at the 'threat' of snow!I grew up in Clarke County, one county to the west from Leesburg...we were the same way when I was a kid. Hated letting out early, but would delay just for the #### of it. Not sure why. I think honestly the only time we ever let out early was for flooding because some of the kids that lived down by the river would get stuck at school.Leesburg (Loudoun Co) shut down this morning at 6a and it didn't start snowing until 10:30 - 11. We have maybe 3/4 inch now.I know; I lived in Leesburg for three years.That would about shut us down around here.Supposed to get 2-4" here in NW PA...otherwise known as "Wednesday".
The school system has something against early dismissals. They will delay, but will not dismiss early.
TheIronSheik
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New models are in. God, it looks beautiful. Bombogenisis, baby!
John Bender
Footballguy
TheIronSheik
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These will all be northeast storms.Any outlooks for the Cincy area? It's been awhile since we've had a good snowfall.
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