thayman said:
sinatravolta said:
I think the NFC East will have a wildcard team. The Rams are 4-1, but their schedule is about to get a lot tougher. I don't think they'll make the playoffs.
New Orleans' schedule also gets a lot tougher. They might be for real, but I'm not totally convinced at this point. I don't see them making it.
Since the South plays each other, and the NFC East, they are in as tough a spot as the NFC East in terms of schedule. Throw in that the AFC division they play is the AFC North - and their schedule is even worse.
This leaves Minnesota who does have a pretty friendly schedule, and therefore has a good shot to make it.
But really - that's far from a lock, and still that leaves one spot to come from the East or South - some team will get on a roll and make it.
The Redskins have the odds against them at this point. But really they're not in that bad shape. Sure, they're 0-3 in the conference, but they lost their 2 divisional games on the road and they lost one close game (Minn) and won the other (Jax). They're half a game behind the Giants and Cowboys.
I think there's a lot of overreaction regarding the NFL these days. The Giants weren't as bad as people said after the Seattle game, and the Redskins aren't as bad as they looked on Sunday.
I think 10-6 will make the playoffs in the NFC. And while the Redskins are not probably to make the playoffs at this point, they are pretty far from 'done'. Well maybe not that far - if they lose to Tennessee this week, I'll acknowledge that they are done.
I just don't see how a Wild Card berth can come out of the East. The way I see it you have Chicago/MinnesotaNew Orleans/Atlanta/Carolina
St. Louis/Seattle
Now three of those teams will win their respective divisions, I would guess the wild card contenders to be Minny, NO, CAR, and Seattle/St. Louis is pretty tight to call. The NFC East teams are all pretty much on par with each other, and are going to pound it out with each other. I can't see any one NFC East team dominating the others (except for Philly) so that would leave NYG, WASH, and DAL beating up on each other and at best splitting records
But why are you NOT assuming that NO/Atlanta/Carolina are going to be slugging it out with each other? I am giving Seattle and Chicago their divisions. Then obviously someone has to win the South, just as someone has to win the East.
Let's look at St. Louis. They squeaked out victories against Arizona, Detroit and Green Bay. They had an impressive win over Denver. They lost to
San Francisco. They now have to play Seattle twice, @SD, @Carolina, Chicago, Washington, @Minnesota and they have KC. 4 of those tough games plus KC are in the next 5 weeks. They are somewhat likely to go 1-4 and be right back at .500.
Now - look at NO. Also 4-1. They won a very impressive, emotional home opener over Atlanta. Otherwise they won close games over Cleveland, Green Bay and Tampa Bay, and lost to Carolina. They still have to play the entire NFC East, plus Baltimore, @ Pittsburgh, Cinci, Carolina and @ Atlanta. That's 9 tough games out of 11.
The schedule is similarly bleak for Carolina (e.g. next 3 games: @ Balt, @ Cinci, Dallas) and Atlanta (e.g. next 3 games: Giants, Pittsburgh, @ Cinci). There's no more reason to think that the NFC East is going to beat each other up than that the NFC South will get beaten up by each other and by the rest of their difficult schedule - they play probably the 2 best divisions in the NFL - the AFC North and the NFC East, and they themselves are probably the 3rd toughest division.
And there's no reason to believe that 11-5 is going to be necessary in the NFC to make the postseason.