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Stock Thread (10 Viewers)

BassNBrew said:
Do you know roughly when your last post was that had some new recs?  Been busy getting a new company off the ground and didn't get time to dig into those.
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It has been a long time to be honest.....I have been extremely busy managing all of it. 

The last time I posted I was actually in selling covered call mode which a lot of them expired today.....and I am going to reset them again. I feel like we are in a sideways pattern and I don’t see that changing for some time.

I am value hunting.....but not finding a lot of value in this market right now.....as far as stuff that looks on sale to me? And there is not a lot:

LMT

CSCO

INTC

RTX

GIS

Off the top of my head.....and we talked about those a while back when they had selloffs and they moved higher 10 plus % since then. Maybe INTC has not moved much but CSCO as well as GIS and RTX certainly have. 

I gotta tell you.....if someone has never been long AMZN.....this is a good spot here. Nothing wrong with picking some up....stock has done nothing this year.

I am being very picky in this market......very picky.

When you get into these kinds of markets where you have so much sideway movement...selling covered calls and collecting great dividends is where you separate real portfolios from indexing. Total return is key in sideways markets.Dividends reinvesting....and compounding. that is the secret sauce to great long term success. 

The S&P 500 maybe up a lot this year......but it is certainly not being represented in a lot of widely held stocks. I have lagged the S&P this year......and that’s ok.....I have a 1/3 less the implied volatility and over a 3% yield.....I can sleep at night knowing that.

 
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BassNBrew said:
Any thoughts on T.  It's pushing a 20 year low.  Thought they were selling off a bunch of stuff soon.
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They are spinning off their Time Warner holdings into a separate streaming stock. So if you own T you will get a new growth component spin off.

The dividend will go down to around 5.25% from where it is now. I would in a hold and evaluate with this stock. 

 
FYI we will be building some cash year end no doubt. 

I actually expect a Santa Claus rally and I will sell a little into it.....tax harvesting as well. But I have a cash goal....figuring out how much cash over the next month or so. 

I want to have some powder for first quarter 2022. 

 
BassNBrew said:
@stbugs

Any thoughts on Tatooed Chef?  In the past I've been buying in this $18 or below range and then selling at $22.  I'm not seeing the growth in the sales numbers.
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I should have sold at $24. Still up a nice amount but I’m holding still and may just hang on for a few years as I think it should be a multi-bagger given 5 years.

Also, I’m not sure what you aren’t seeing in growth though as even though Q2 wasn’t great (more earnings wise), it was still 46% YoY and their guidance for all of 2021 is around 60% up from 2020. Also, they just started working with Kroger so that should be a nice sales boost.

Unless it pops back to $23-25 and/or I decide I want to use the money elsewhere, I’ll keep holding. It’s kind of a diversification for me as well.

 
Todem said:
FYI we will be building some cash year end no doubt. 

I actually expect a Santa Claus rally and I will sell a little into it.....tax harvesting as well. But I have a cash goal....figuring out how much cash over the next month or so. 

I want to have some powder for first quarter 2022. 
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I will be very interested in this number.  I had grown my cash to 15% but used about 35% of that powder on the last dip at the beginning of the month.  In hindsight I should have deployed more.  I know many people say stay fully invested.  I'm at less than a 1% return on the year based on my gains on what I've held, but that return goes to about 12% (still sucks relative to the SandP) when I included my closed traded positions.  

Thanks for INTC tip.  I sold all mine I purchased last year in the mid 40s when it hit $60 sol it hasn't been on my radar.  

 
Harry Frogfish said:
Are there people who didn't have a bunch of winners the last year and a half?  I mean, would that even be possible, outside of penny stocks or other crap?
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Way up for the last two years but had a loser so far in Hgen. Amazon just sitting around. Pleased overall. 

 
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BassNBrew said:
Bezos Bros slowly step back and try to walk away unnoticed.
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I know this is your schtick but S&P is up 37% since the start of 2020 and AMZN is up 79%. That’s not bad at all in fact, I’d take doubling+ the S&P and not make another investment ever.

 
stbugs said:
I know this is your schtick but S&P is up 37% since the start of 2020 and AMZN is up 79%. That’s not bad at all in fact, I’d take doubling+ the S&P and not make another investment ever.
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World class company that I have a 12 month target on at $4200-$4500 a share and I think we will eventually get a split. Or not LOL.

 
stbugs said:
I should have sold at $24. Still up a nice amount but I’m holding still and may just hang on for a few years as I think it should be a multi-bagger given 5 years.

Also, I’m not sure what you aren’t seeing in growth though as even though Q2 wasn’t great (more earnings wise), it was still 46% YoY and their guidance for all of 2021 is around 60% up from 2020. Also, they just started working with Kroger so that should be a nice sales boost.

Unless it pops back to $23-25 and/or I decide I want to use the money elsewhere, I’ll keep holding. It’s kind of a diversification for me as well.
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I was comparing 2Q to 1Q.  Flat at this stage is real scary and I didn't realize that had happened.

Diversification is the main reason I'm holding.  Too heavily waited towards UpSeaQuatumGenomeInozzzFinTechToTheMoon stuff.

 
BassNBrew said:
I will be very interested in this number.  I had grown my cash to 15% but used about 35% of that powder on the last dip at the beginning of the month.  In hindsight I should have deployed more.  I know many people say stay fully invested.  I'm at less than a 1% return on the year based on my gains on what I've held, but that return goes to about 12% (still sucks relative to the SandP) when I included my closed traded positions.  

Thanks for INTC tip.  I sold all mine I purchased last year in the mid 40s when it hit $60 sol it hasn't been on my radar.  
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That sounds about right....15-20% max. 

IRA’s I typically leave fully invested......however any fixed income exposure may become true cash heading into 2022. Bonds are fully valued....they can only go one way over the next 12-18 months. Down. Interest rates will start to climb a little and I expect by 2023 the Fed to actively raise the overnight rates in a very ,measured way.....but it is finally coming by 2023. Tapering will begin next year....can't see it not happening now. 

 
stbugs said:
I know this is your schtick but S&P is up 37% since the start of 2020 and AMZN is up 79%. That’s not bad at all in fact, I’d take doubling+ the S&P and not make another investment ever.
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The Panthers were 3-0 before losing 2 row too.

 
BassNBrew said:
I was comparing 2Q to 1Q.  Flat at this stage is real scary and I didn't realize that had happened.

Diversification is the main reason I'm holding.  Too heavily waited towards UpSeaQuatumGenomeInozzzFinTechToTheMoon stuff.
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We’ll see with Q3 soon. Also, tough to tell with seasonality. Don’t forget Q1 started with really big CV numbers and people were still eating in and Q2 started with vaccines and numbers going way down and people eating out. They are definitely more of a home meal situation. Only a few weeks till the report on Q3.

 
Two great Chemical companies here we have posted about in the past.

LYB

DOW

Super low valuations.....awesome dividends.......love em. 

 
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Fwiw, I’m 99% out of the non diversified sector or individual stocks game but I do have some FOMO. 

my new job is pretty strict with the reporting reqs, not every move but anything I buy or sell over $1,000 goes on an annual report. So it’s just easier not to. Plus it’s busy but I like it. 

but yeah, I’m holding my SE. 

 
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Gilroy34 said:
CYDY and HGEN ring a bell
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Exactly my point.  That crap wouldn't sniff any sort of list of 25-30 decent companies to buy.

I don't know HGEN but I've read that CYDY thread for pure entertainment alone.  The guy nonstop pitching it is something else.  It reads like a Larry David episode.

Brett I think his name is, he reminds me of the guy from those Flex Seal commercials.  "It's an AMAZING drug!!!"  (direct quote) On and on it goes, the merry-go-round.  Actually, Flex Seal probly works.

Anyway, the next country they'll be hoping to gain traction from is Kazikhstan, because Borat's Mom like very much to drink the Cytodiner.

 
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Todem said:
FYI we will be building some cash year end no doubt. 

I actually expect a Santa Claus rally and I will sell a little into it.....tax harvesting as well. But I have a cash goal....figuring out how much cash over the next month or so. 

I want to have some powder for first quarter 2022. 
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What % are you aiming for?

 
ME up almost 20%. 

Good news: I doubled my shares earlier week after seeing the CEO interviewed last week.

Not so great news: Unfortunately only 50 shares to 100 total so not exactly ready to buy a helicopter. 

Anyhow, pretty sure a lot of us were in at SPAC level. 

 
BassNBrew said:
Bezos Bros slowly step back and try to walk away unnoticed.
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I've held for many years and couldn't be happier.  When AMZN breaks out it's in a big way. Then it settles and trades sideways again for a time.  I understand it is frustrating but to me it's the epitome of trying to time the market.  It's a buy and hold where long term your patience has always been handsomely rewarded. 

 
2Squirrels1Nut said:
I've held for many years and couldn't be happier.  When AMZN breaks out it's in a big way. Then it settles and trades sideways again for a time.  I understand it is frustrating but to me it's the epitome of trying to time the market.  It's a buy and hold where long term your patience has always been handsomely rewarded. 
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Things change.  The problem I see is that's there only so much money in the world and only so much room in our house to put crap.

I hope you guys are right and the big break out is coming.  My plan still remains the same.  Sell a share every $50 it moves over $3500.  Buy a share on every $200 pullback and then another share each $50 down.  That type of trading has netted me about 10% this year.

It will be very interesting to see what happens as we head into earnings.  I may sell 25% beforehand regardless of the price to hedge my position.  I think the likelihood of disappointment exceeds the likelihood of a surprise blow out.

 
BassNBrew said:
Things change.  The problem I see is that's there only so much money in the world and only so much room in our house to put crap.

I hope you guys are right and the big break out is coming.  My plan still remains the same.  Sell a share every $50 it moves over $3500.  Buy a share on every $200 pullback and then another share each $50 down.  That type of trading has netted me about 10% this year.

It will be very interesting to see what happens as we head into earnings.  I may sell 25% beforehand regardless of the price to hedge my position.  I think the likelihood of disappointment exceeds the likelihood of a surprise blow out.
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Ugh is earnings soon? Always a nightmare few days. 

 
dkp993 said:
CYDY killed it for me, on the other hand I flat got crushed on HGEN.  Gambled and lost on that one.  
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Same.  I played CYDY pretty poorly given the range it had to the upside at times, but still came out of it with a nice chunk of change.  Then I gave all of it back on HGEN.

Oh well being flat in the end is not a bad outcome after gambling on FDA EUA for two stocks that both failed to get it.

 
Todem said:
When you get into these kinds of markets where you have so much sideway movement...selling covered calls and collecting great dividends is where you separate real portfolios from indexing. Total return is key in sideways markets.Dividends reinvesting....and compounding. that is the secret sauce to great long term success. 

The S&P 500 maybe up a lot this year......but it is certainly not being represented in a lot of widely held stocks. I have lagged the S&P this year......and that’s ok.....I have a 1/3 less the implied volatility and over a 3% yield.....I can sleep at night knowing that.
Click to expand...


I know this is probably well outside the kind of thing you usually buy, but what do you think of something like QYLD in the kind of market you're describing?  I've never owned it but huge dividend and it is totally reliant on covered calls, which you seem to like a lot right now.

 
Todem said:
All good!!! Glad you made a lot of money!!!!!

BLDP is a rare homer type of stock....and yes high high risk as we always said it was....but man...looking forward to the future of that company as the transition to green energy around the world becomes more and more a reality.
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BLDP is locked away in my long term vault.  What's your current outlook for EBS?  TIA

 
Bought 1 FB 10/29/30 call with a $350 strike for $2.49.  Think they probably blow out earnings and of course has been beaten down.  Not a fan of social media.  Plague on society IMO. If I profit will donate the money to the poor. 

 
BassNBrew said:
Things change.  The problem I see is that's there only so much money in the world and only so much room in our house to put crap.

I hope you guys are right and the big break out is coming.  My plan still remains the same.  Sell a share every $50 it moves over $3500.  Buy a share on every $200 pullback and then another share each $50 down.  That type of trading has netted me about 10% this year.

It will be very interesting to see what happens as we head into earnings.  I may sell 25% beforehand regardless of the price to hedge my position.  I think the likelihood of disappointment exceeds the likelihood of a surprise blow out.
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I know one thing, no way on this here God's green Earth do they announce a stock split. 

:jinx:

 
2Squirrels1Nut said:
Same. Was accumulating when it was lower. 
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Stay patient.....the will turn it around...but it will take some time. I will be tax harvesting this one year end and buy it back in 31 days. 

But if your holding this in an IRA....stay long. If we do not see the light I will say it here and it will be a loss at some point for some.....but I am optimistic they turn it around. In the health care and pharma sectors.....it can take longer to get it turned around with investor sentiment to catch up to a successful business. 

 
FreeBaGeL said:
I know this is probably well outside the kind of thing you usually buy, but what do you think of something like QYLD in the kind of market you're describing?  I've never owned it but huge dividend and it is totally reliant on covered calls, which you seem to like a lot right now.
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Just looking at it on the surface.....that is a heavy yield....and it has been a flat performer which is what I would expect from a market neutral investment like that. 

What I would do if I were you is research how much leverage (if any) they employ, do they have a return of capital baked into that yield.....because that is a big yield. Those would have to be some monster premiums and very very close to the money calls they are writing to generate that kind of yield. 

 
Picked a great day to peek into this thread. Thanks, todem. Your posts are greatly appreciated. Personally, I'm sitting at right around 20% cash (top end for me) which is where you've got that level pegged.

For the rest of us pikers in here, I am deep into FLGT November $85 calls. They're selling at under $4 today. Don't know why, but this ticker has been a yo-yo for a while now and it is at a relative low. I pushed in a lot of chips this morning for those that want to chase a quick double-up. Those calls were at $8 as recently as earlier this week.

 
Todem said:
Stay patient.....the will turn it around...but it will take some time. I will be tax harvesting this one year end and buy it back in 31 days. 

But if your holding this in an IRA....stay long. If we do not see the light I will say it here and it will be a loss at some point for some.....but I am optimistic they turn it around. In the health care and pharma sectors.....it can take longer to get it turned around with investor sentiment to catch up to a successful business. 
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Thanks for this recommendation.  I've averaged down a few times on it as I believe like you, that its a good longterm buy.  I've got plenty of patience so all good.

 
Started a position in $PUBM. Bought some and also sold a put. $1.4 Billion adtech so will be volatile. Long term hold here. IPO’d last year and I think it’s gone through most of the post-IPO craziness and should just be small-cap craziness now. Swapped $PD for it.

 
Todem said:
Stay patient.....the will turn it around...but it will take some time. I will be tax harvesting this one year end and buy it back in 31 days. 

But if your holding this in an IRA....stay long. If we do not see the light I will say it here and it will be a loss at some point for some.....but I am optimistic they turn it around. In the health care and pharma sectors.....it can take longer to get it turned around with investor sentiment to catch up to a successful business. 
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I appreciate you letting me, us, know this.  It's in my cash account though and pretty close to even.   I don't make trades in my IRA, I have a FA for that. A FA that has done a great job and earned every penny I've paid him. :)

 
McBokonon said:
Started a position in $PUBM. Bought some and also sold a put. $1.4 Billion adtech so will be volatile. Long term hold here. IPO’d last year and I think it’s gone through most of the post-IPO craziness and should just be small-cap craziness now. Swapped $PD for it.
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Saw that but seeing as how I have to work it was already pumped so I’m planning to wait a bit for the post-rec dip which may or may not happen. 

 
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