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Stock Thread (13 Viewers)

identikit said:


:lol:

Ford helped Rivian get to that point, as was recently revealed in the startup’s stock exchange filings. Ford built the body-in-whites for Rivian’s prototypes — the skeletal frame that rides on the chassis — and agreed to supply “certain vehicle components... including related engineering work and tooling” for the entire lineup of R1 vehicles.


Ford basically built the truck for Rivian and now Rivian is worth 1.5x what Ford is is worth.

 
:popcorn:   interested
I don't trust the China stocks and they are very swingy. When one like JD or BABA take a beating, I sometimes play a flier. I've bought deep in the money, long term BABA calls to mimic owning 100 shares. That worked out well but they are costly so I usually only buy one or two. It's a safer play due to the long time horizon and the fact that the calls are deep in the money. This time, I am trying a higher risk/reward choice of short term, 10% out of the money calls. I bought 10 BABA December $160 calls for $2 each. Only risking 2K, but it is a low-pro probability play. I'll flip them quickly (like next week) if there is a rebound but these are likely to decay to zero. I don't recommend it unless you're a gambler or know something about BABA that the rest of the world does not.

 
I had no balls to buy puts on Rivian earlier in the week but it declined fast and likely declines a little more.

Knew it was overvalued just had no faith that it would act like it should

 
I had no balls to buy puts on Rivian earlier in the week but it declined fast and likely declines a little more.

Knew it was overvalued just had no faith that it would act like it should
dont blame you when telsa acted like it did.

I think rivn is good long term but who knows the ups and down from right now...   if we did, we all have islands.

 
I don't trust the China stocks and they are very swingy. When one like JD or BABA take a beating, I sometimes play a flier. I've bought deep in the money, long term BABA calls to mimic owning 100 shares. That worked out well but they are costly so I usually only buy one or two. It's a safer play due to the long time horizon and the fact that the calls are deep in the money. This time, I am trying a higher risk/reward choice of short term, 10% out of the money calls. I bought 10 BABA December $160 calls for $2 each. Only risking 2K, but it is a low-pro probability play. I'll flip them quickly (like next week) if there is a rebound but these are likely to decay to zero. I don't recommend it unless you're a gambler or know something about BABA that the rest of the world does not.


I agree 100% on Chinese stocks.  There are plenty of good US stocks. 

BABA means dad in Chinese but billions of people probably know that already.

 
TDOC has been a dumpster fire of a pick. I wanted to get some telehealth exposure, and all it's done is go straight down. It has to bounce off the bottom soon, right? 

 
TDOC has been a dumpster fire of a pick. I wanted to get some telehealth exposure, and all it's done is go straight down. It has to bounce off the bottom soon, right? 
The stock market's "great paradox," as IBD Chairman and founder William O'Neil calls it, is that stocks that seem too high in price and risky for most investors usually go higher. And those that seem low and cheap usually go lower.

 
The stock market's "great paradox," as IBD Chairman and founder William O'Neil calls it, is that stocks that seem too high in price and risky for most investors usually go higher. And those that seem low and cheap usually go lower.
Damn man. I don’t know about you but the every month or two drop is smacking my ### today. It’s really weird because some stuff is up but some is kind of random.

 
Damn man. I don’t know about you but the every month or two drop is smacking my ### today. It’s really weird because some stuff is up but some is kind of random.
Nope, I’m getting whacked, too. Glad I raised cash the other week or so when we were talking about it but I’m not really doing anything yet. Small and midcaps just getting indiscriminately pummeled and will eventually be followed by rallies like clockwork.

 
Nope, I’m getting whacked, too. Glad I raised cash the other week or so when we were talking about it but I’m not really doing anything yet. Small and midcaps just getting indiscriminately pummeled and will eventually be followed by rallies like clockwork.
It really is like clockwork. I’m waiting as well but some stuff like MELI is close the May lows. 1262 is year low and it’s at 1320 and the high is over 2000. Other stocks not as close to lows but definitely been a rough few days for some.

 
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Feel dirty saying it, but the only companies I trust right now are big banks and big oil.  Not you PYPL, I'm talking old school big banks.    

 
Anyone have insight into AFRM?

Down 15% for me in a little over a month

Think I tailed someone here on this one....
From Lupton's zoom:

The numbers that still blow me away (from RBC Capital) are that BNPL could increase conversions for merchants by 20-30% and AOV (average order value) by 40-60%. These are monster numbers in the world of ecommerce and helps explain how $AFRM has been able to increase # of merchants by 15x over the past 12 months.

I also tried doing some math during the recording but wanted to double check my numbers…. $AMZN does $500B+ of GMV, if $AFRM gets 2% that's $10B per year of GMV, their revenues are approx 10% of GMV so the conservative estimate is that $AMZN could bring in approx $1B of annual revenues for $AFFM however if that 2% number ends up being low and the real number is closer to 3-4% then this relationship becomes even more valuable for both companies.

I still have concerns about $AFRM (like their operating margins and loan loss reserves) but there are also lots of reasons to be bullish as I talked about during the webinar starting with their monster partnerships: Amazon, Walmart, Target and Shopify to begin with.

 
Added 35 more shares of DOCN. Seemed like I had to do something on a day like today. I will say that I had just raised some cash but after today, damn wish I raised more.

 
Today was one of those really annoying days where the type of stuff that most of us here are weighted in got crushed, but the broader market really didn't get hit that badly.  So we log in and see all these giant 5-10% red candles only to log on to stonk websites and see headlines like "markets flat today, ripe for a big selloff any day now". 

 
I got slaughtered at work, like usual on Mondays. Just went to my accounts and I was up $10 on STMH and down on everything else  :lmao:

 
I got slaughtered at work, like usual on Mondays. Just went to my accounts and I was up $10 on STMH and down on everything else  :lmao:


Yeah I picked a heckuva day to chaperone my kid's field trip.

Spotty reception in the aquarium.  Not enough reception to actually pull up my brokerage app, but just enough for the app in the background to send the alerts I'd set up where it buzzes on my watch whenever a stock I own drops 5% or 10% in a day.  Watch was going off like crazy and I was like wth is going on.  Almost lost a kid trying to figure it out.

 
FreeBaGeL said:
Yeah I picked a heckuva day to chaperone my kid's field trip.

Spotty reception in the aquarium.  Not enough reception to actually pull up my brokerage app, but just enough for the app in the background to send the alerts I'd set up where it buzzes on my watch whenever a stock I own drops 5% or 10% in a day.  Watch was going off like crazy and I was like wth is going on.  Almost lost a kid trying to figure it out.
What a gambler! 

 
So, 

A few weeks back I decided I was leaving this whole stocks thing and moving into crypto.

As I think about it, I cannot be more convinced this is the right thing.  People think crypto is scammy, sure, there are scam coins (just like stocks, pump and dumps), but if you stick to the blue chip, NOT GONNA HAPPEN.   citadel cant even come close to dropping bitcoin.

Will there be ups and downs?  and the swings are huge...  Sure.  But I think if you totally just close off crypto, you are wrong, dead wrong.

Personally, I think crypto is the next stock market. 

Top 5 blue chip cryptos as of today....

BTC - $56,351.73

ETH - $4,140.27

BNB - $566.21

SOL - $217.51

ADA - $1.7993

are the top 5.

some im in...

ETH - $4140, HEX - $.18, BAT - $1.02. SHIB - $.00004355, CRO - .76

Look how #### our stock market picks were this year.  

BTC (the regular old boring bitcoin that you can buy through even paypal) is up +210.02% in the last 12 months.  and thats the boring one.

Will they crash when the stock market crashes, Yes, I assume so.  But I thought everything would crash during a world wide pandemic, so, what do I know.

Anyways, if you are not in at all, consider it.

 
Look how #### our stock market picks were this year.  
This isn’t to invalidate your overall point, but you absolutely can’t use the FFA stock contest as any kind of gauge for anything. Most people were picking extremely high risk home run swings, like biopharms with binary outcomes. My real life portfolio is outperforming the S&P by more than double. My FFA stock pick got clobbered but it’s a super risky gamble that I would never make a significant part of my portfolio.

 
This isn’t to invalidate your overall point, but you absolutely can’t use the FFA stock contest as any kind of gauge for anything. Most people were picking extremely high risk home run swings, like biopharms with binary outcomes. My real life portfolio is outperforming the S&P by more than double. My FFA stock pick got clobbered but it’s a super risky gamble that I would never make a significant part of my portfolio.
I went total boom/bust with SPAC Indie Semi.  Haven't owned it a months and not even sure where it's at now.

This has been the best year I've ever had, $ gain and %.  A lot of it started in 2020 by loading up on the cheap, but 2021 beat 2020 for me.  Still have 15 years until retirement so a lot can happen.  This is the first year though where I feel retirement (15 years at most???) is a reality and not just a thought and plan.  

 
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So, 

A few weeks back I decided I was leaving this whole stocks thing and moving into crypto.

As I think about it, I cannot be more convinced this is the right thing.  People think crypto is scammy, sure, there are scam coins (just like stocks, pump and dumps), but if you stick to the blue chip, NOT GONNA HAPPEN.   citadel cant even come close to dropping bitcoin.

Will there be ups and downs?  and the swings are huge...  Sure.  But I think if you totally just close off crypto, you are wrong, dead wrong.

Personally, I think crypto is the next stock market. 

Top 5 blue chip cryptos as of today....

BTC - $56,351.73

ETH - $4,140.27

BNB - $566.21

SOL - $217.51

ADA - $1.7993

are the top 5.

some im in...

ETH - $4140, HEX - $.18, BAT - $1.02. SHIB - $.00004355, CRO - .76

Look how #### our stock market picks were this year.  

BTC (the regular old boring bitcoin that you can buy through even paypal) is up +210.02% in the last 12 months.  and thats the boring one.

Will they crash when the stock market crashes, Yes, I assume so.  But I thought everything would crash during a world wide pandemic, so, what do I know.

Anyways, if you are not in at all, consider it.
I have a few grand in Crypto and will like put a little bit more in as I want a piece of the action but I'm way too conservative to make it a significant piece of my investment portfolio.  I feel like it has a place in everyone's portfolio.  Good luck to you hope it pays off.

 
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I went total boom/bust with SPAC Indie Semi.  Haven't owned it a months and not even sure where it's at now.

This has been the best year I've ever had, $ gain and %.  A lot of it started in 2020 by loading up on the cheap, but 2021 beat 2020 for me.  Still have 15 years until retirement so a lot can happen.  This is the first year though where I feel retirement (15 years at most???) is a reality and not just a thought and plan.  
I’m the opposite. 2020 was much better for me. Still up in 2021 but so much peaked and I made the mistake of buying into some things early in 2021 before the peak. I felt like we were at the top in February but like 2020, stood pat. Before the last couple days I was doing fine in 2021, but damn yesterday smacked my ### again. The nice thing is that I feel like my floor for the dip is higher than the spring floor. It’s too bad you can’t FF a few years to see if you are good or not. I’m still 15+ years from retirement age but damn if I’m trying my best to retire in 5-7. We’ll see.

 
This isn’t to invalidate your overall point, but you absolutely can’t use the FFA stock contest as any kind of gauge for anything. Most people were picking extremely high risk home run swings, like biopharms with binary outcomes. My real life portfolio is outperforming the S&P by more than double. My FFA stock pick got clobbered but it’s a super risky gamble that I would never make a significant part of my portfolio.
I put in two picks that definitely weren’t my best long term stocks. They were stocks I was hoping might do well.

Also, wasn’t your pick FLGT? If so, it’s still up like 70%+ this year. It was up 200%+ at one point but still a good stock. That’s actually one of my favorite stocks for the next 5 years. That said, it’s still under 2% of my portfolio. 

 
How does one buy Algorand (ALGO)? Is anyone in here on board with it?
I have some. I bought in Coinbase Pro and eventually moved it to regular Coinbase to earn interest. I’m going to eventually move it to the Algorand wallet in time for the next governance period.

 
I put in two picks that definitely weren’t my best long term stocks. They were stocks I was hoping might do well.

Also, wasn’t your pick FLGT? If so, it’s still up like 70%+ this year. It was up 200%+ at one point but still a good stock. That’s actually one of my favorite stocks for the next 5 years. That said, it’s still under 2% of my portfolio. 
I think I picked NNOX for the contest. FLGT is currently 5.5% of my real portfolio.

 

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