Stock Thread (12 Viewers)

[McBokonon]

I wish I had the guts to short the bejeebus out of CAVA. But I don't.

Also Joe Terranova bought TWLO today - WE'RE SO BACK!

 

[steelerfan1]

RTX

Buy buy buy…..at the very minimum take a half position and see how it reacts to any downgrades tomorrow.

Great long term play here. Take advantage.

Why's it down so much today?

Some passenger jet engines have some materials issues requiring inspection and maybe revision. RTX took a 500M charge against the issue.

Getting beat up again today due to an engine kerfuffle, reducing pretax profit by $3-3.5 billion. If you think these are both just one (two) time blips, then this looks like a good opportunity. If you start worrying about governance concerns, then fair enough. I had governance concerns on EBS and BA but basically got told not to be a worrying Walter.

I don’t have the same concerns here as I did them, though. It’s on my watchlist for sure, now.

So is BA a good buy to bounce back?

Apologies if this was covered already

I think certain posters will automatically say yes and refer to it as a blue chip. They may be right. But the same leadership team is still in place through misstep after misstep so I personally want to see a change before considering them. I might miss a move up but there’s too many other options out there without the governance concerns.

Thoughts on BA, trading around $192?

Long term buy down here.

Whistleblower getting suicided is definitely a buy signal. Clear skies ahead!

I wouldn’t go near these guys until everyone is fired.

$SBUX is on my watchlist for Stock People Keep Calling Blue Chips That Are Actually Structurally Terrible, Possibly Forever

Previous inductees:
$INTC
$BA
$T
$VZ
$PFE

Boeing needs a complete regime change. Until they get some activists or something in there to clean house and bring in fresh blood at every level, the same people making the same mistakes will be the same people making the same mistakes. These are lessons that should have been learned if you stayed in $T or some other so-called blue chip who kept recycling the same people who made stupid decision after stupid decision.

Thanks McB,

I did see that they hired a CEO from an outside source this year, which was part of my inquiry if this is a start of a possible turnaround and trying to gauge if this is close to a bottom for them. I'm a small fish and not putting tons in, but just looking for some possible deals if you will. Appreciate the input.

 

[steelerfan1]

@Todem @McBokonon thanks for the back and forth guys. much appreciated.

 

[McBokonon]

Thanks McB,

I did see that they hired a CEO from an outside source this year, which was part of my inquiry if this is a start of a possible turnaround and trying to gauge if this is close to a bottom for them. I'm a small fish and not putting tons in, but just looking for some possible deals if you will. Appreciate the input.

I missed this - that's a great start!

Sometimes when troubled companies bring in an outsider, they "kitchen sink" their first earnings report. Looks like they've had one bad report since he took the job, but it was pretty soon after he was hired. Next report is in January. I'd like to see them just dump everything they can out there, truly "kitchen sink" it. Just get all the bad news out there, admit their problems transparently, and articulate how things will change. I'd be encouraged. It's still part of a global duopoly.

 

[pecorino]

So speaking of distressed.

DEO

I am down about 16% now on this staple. I am going to buy more down here.

Forward multiple is 16ish, currently yielding 3.5% and I see a long term price upside surprise of 30%.

I expect people to start drinking heavily again lol.

Thanks for this. I lost track of DEO after I sold a month ago on a modest gain. I'll look at it again post-

 

[pecorino]

There's a difference between buying a company still on the growth trajectory in a non-dying industry on bad news, and buying a distressed company that was formerly great, but is now in the late to final stages of its growth trajectory. One of those quotes I added up there was talking about RTX. They got bad news that punished the stock, but RTX also didn't have clear, longstanding problems underneath the bad news. Sometimes one-offs happen and that seemed to be the case with them.

Sometimes you get an IBM that turns it around, or a MSFT. But those turnarounds didn't happen overnight, and it took major shakeups for those to find their footing. I'm just saying I need to see some sort of major change at old stalwarts like T, BA, CSCO, etc. to see them as investable again.

...Tactical buying on distressed stocks is something I have been doing for over 35 years. Most of the time it has worked out really nice.

I love this, swung HUMANA last month for a quick gain and LW before that. I've been wanting to get 3X or 4x leverage on these lately by buying slightly in the money long term calls instead of shares. Obviously it carries more risk but it also carries roughly 4x reward which inspires me to do that. I assume that's off the table in todem's world but just wondering if that's a strategy you'd endorse for the more risk-tolerant.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

There's a difference between buying a company still on the growth trajectory in a non-dying industry on bad news, and buying a distressed company that was formerly great, but is now in the late to final stages of its growth trajectory. One of those quotes I added up there was talking about RTX. They got bad news that punished the stock, but RTX also didn't have clear, longstanding problems underneath the bad news. Sometimes one-offs happen and that seemed to be the case with them.

Sometimes you get an IBM that turns it around, or a MSFT. But those turnarounds didn't happen overnight, and it took major shakeups for those to find their footing. I'm just saying I need to see some sort of major change at old stalwarts like T, BA, CSCO, etc. to see them as investable again.

I generally don’t disagree with you.

But I just edited my post where I responded to you. Check out what I mean about T

yeah, trading is a different thing altogether. Like when we all were trading BLMN back in the day - no way I'd buy it and forget it for 5-10 years, but trades, sure.

Exactly!!!!

Now when it comes to T and CSCO for example….when I see an emotional sell off on a fairly stable business that pays great dividends…..I get horny.

The yields and gains can be juicy over a longer holding period.

@Studs & Duds

 

[SFBayDuck]

ZETA has been on a ride all year, one I've been following as they're in the same space as my company (but I don't own any). But whoa what a fall the past two days! First apparently some disappointing earnings yesterday, and now today a short seller report on potential fraud. It was up over 300% on the year going into earnings yesterday, and now has given back over half of that in just 2 days.

 

[McBokonon]

ZETA has been on a ride all year, one I've been following as they're in the same space as my company (but I don't own any). But whoa what a fall the past two days! First apparently some disappointing earnings yesterday, and now today a short seller report on potential fraud. It was up over 300% on the year going into earnings yesterday, and now has given back over half of that in just 2 days.

There's someone in my financial Twitter feed (Lauren Balik) who's been calling them a scam for months. She's been right more than wrong for the time I've been reading her. It was enough to make me avoid for the time being but I don't really have any real knowledge.

 

[steelerfan1]

Thanks McB,

I did see that they hired a CEO from an outside source this year, which was part of my inquiry if this is a start of a possible turnaround and trying to gauge if this is close to a bottom for them. I'm a small fish and not putting tons in, but just looking for some possible deals if you will. Appreciate the input.

I missed this - that's a great start!

Sometimes when troubled companies bring in an outsider, they "kitchen sink" their first earnings report. Looks like they've had one bad report since he took the job, but it was pretty soon after he was hired. Next report is in January. I'd like to see them just dump everything they can out there, truly "kitchen sink" it. Just get all the bad news out there, admit their problems transparently, and articulate how things will change. I'd be encouraged. It's still part of a global duopoly.

It’s a great start unless this guy is a knucklehead too

 

[steelerfan1]

There's a difference between buying a company still on the growth trajectory in a non-dying industry on bad news, and buying a distressed company that was formerly great, but is now in the late to final stages of its growth trajectory. One of those quotes I added up there was talking about RTX. They got bad news that punished the stock, but RTX also didn't have clear, longstanding problems underneath the bad news. Sometimes one-offs happen and that seemed to be the case with them.

Sometimes you get an IBM that turns it around, or a MSFT. But those turnarounds didn't happen overnight, and it took major shakeups for those to find their footing. I'm just saying I need to see some sort of major change at old stalwarts like T, BA, CSCO, etc. to see them as investable again.

...Tactical buying on distressed stocks is something I have been doing for over 35 years. Most of the time it has worked out really nice.

I love this, swung HUMANA last month for a quick gain and LW before that. I've been wanting to get 3X or 4x leverage on these lately by buying slightly in the money long term calls instead of shares. Obviously it carries more risk but it also carries roughly 4x reward which inspires me to do that. I assume that's off the table in todem's world but just wondering if that's a strategy you'd endorse for the more risk-tolerant.

Thanks for this one pecorino. Up 19% with it right now. Did you dump all of yours?

 

[pecorino]

There's a difference between buying a company still on the growth trajectory in a non-dying industry on bad news, and buying a distressed company that was formerly great, but is now in the late to final stages of its growth trajectory. One of those quotes I added up there was talking about RTX. They got bad news that punished the stock, but RTX also didn't have clear, longstanding problems underneath the bad news. Sometimes one-offs happen and that seemed to be the case with them.

Sometimes you get an IBM that turns it around, or a MSFT. But those turnarounds didn't happen overnight, and it took major shakeups for those to find their footing. I'm just saying I need to see some sort of major change at old stalwarts like T, BA, CSCO, etc. to see them as investable again.

...Tactical buying on distressed stocks is something I have been doing for over 35 years. Most of the time it has worked out really nice.

I love this, swung HUMANA last month for a quick gain and LW before that. I've been wanting to get 3X or 4x leverage on these lately by buying slightly in the money long term calls instead of shares. Obviously it carries more risk but it also carries roughly 4x reward which inspires me to do that. I assume that's off the table in todem's world but just wondering if that's a strategy you'd endorse for the more risk-tolerant.

Thanks for this one pecorino. Up 19% with it right now. Did you dump all of yours?

Sold LW. Humana will get called away on Friday. 20% and 10% respectively. Glad it worked out for you, too.

Actually, the LW trade is interesting. When it was $55, I bought four long terms calls. My wife got wind of the trade and wanted to devote some of her Roth to it so she bought 100 shares. By that point, the calls were barely up like 5% but I sold them since my wife had bought the shares. She sold at $75. She made $2000. I would have made more than $6000...

 

[steelerfan1]

There's a difference between buying a company still on the growth trajectory in a non-dying industry on bad news, and buying a distressed company that was formerly great, but is now in the late to final stages of its growth trajectory. One of those quotes I added up there was talking about RTX. They got bad news that punished the stock, but RTX also didn't have clear, longstanding problems underneath the bad news. Sometimes one-offs happen and that seemed to be the case with them.

Sometimes you get an IBM that turns it around, or a MSFT. But those turnarounds didn't happen overnight, and it took major shakeups for those to find their footing. I'm just saying I need to see some sort of major change at old stalwarts like T, BA, CSCO, etc. to see them as investable again.

...Tactical buying on distressed stocks is something I have been doing for over 35 years. Most of the time it has worked out really nice.

I love this, swung HUMANA last month for a quick gain and LW before that. I've been wanting to get 3X or 4x leverage on these lately by buying slightly in the money long term calls instead of shares. Obviously it carries more risk but it also carries roughly 4x reward which inspires me to do that. I assume that's off the table in todem's world but just wondering if that's a strategy you'd endorse for the more risk-tolerant.

Thanks for this one pecorino. Up 19% with it right now. Did you dump all of yours?

Sold LW. Humana will get called away on Friday. 20% and 10% respectively. Glad it worked out for you, too.

Actually, the LW trade is interesting. When it was $55, I bought four long terms calls. My wife got wind of the trade and wanted to devote some of her Roth to it so she bought 100 shares. By that point, the calls were barely up like 5% but I sold them since my wife had bought the shares. She sold at $75. She made $2000. I would have made more than $6000...

Congrats on that one for her. I was kind of looking long for Humana. It doesn’t sound like you are? Not a believer?

 

[pecorino]

There's a difference between buying a company still on the growth trajectory in a non-dying industry on bad news, and buying a distressed company that was formerly great, but is now in the late to final stages of its growth trajectory. One of those quotes I added up there was talking about RTX. They got bad news that punished the stock, but RTX also didn't have clear, longstanding problems underneath the bad news. Sometimes one-offs happen and that seemed to be the case with them.

Sometimes you get an IBM that turns it around, or a MSFT. But those turnarounds didn't happen overnight, and it took major shakeups for those to find their footing. I'm just saying I need to see some sort of major change at old stalwarts like T, BA, CSCO, etc. to see them as investable again.

...Tactical buying on distressed stocks is something I have been doing for over 35 years. Most of the time it has worked out really nice.

I love this, swung HUMANA last month for a quick gain and LW before that. I've been wanting to get 3X or 4x leverage on these lately by buying slightly in the money long term calls instead of shares. Obviously it carries more risk but it also carries roughly 4x reward which inspires me to do that. I assume that's off the table in todem's world but just wondering if that's a strategy you'd endorse for the more risk-tolerant.

Thanks for this one pecorino. Up 19% with it right now. Did you dump all of yours?

Sold LW. Humana will get called away on Friday. 20% and 10% respectively. Glad it worked out for you, too.

Actually, the LW trade is interesting. When it was $55, I bought four long terms calls. My wife got wind of the trade and wanted to devote some of her Roth to it so she bought 100 shares. By that point, the calls were barely up like 5% but I sold them since my wife had bought the shares. She sold at $75. She made $2000. I would have made more than $6000...

Congrats on that one for her. I was kind of looking long for Humana. It doesn’t sound like you are? Not a believer?

I’m a bit worried about it being tied to government plans so I’m not a long term holder. I bought at $230 in early August and immediately sold a November $260 call so it’s gone tomorrow. +$3800 in 6 weeks, I’ll take it.

 

[hooter311]

GBTC is the gold standard for btc exposure.

I'll do a full write up by morning with everything crypto related that makes up my portfolio and watch list for reference.

May we all be prosperous!

OT Russell Okung got paid half his contract in bitcoin.

Interesting. Man, that's a long 4 years, where he, or his advisors (hell, his wife or family even, you never know) could have got him out of that investment just to make sure he didn't get decimated. A rocky road like that, especially with what is a newer financial "vehicle", will often have people waving the white flag.

Would love to know what price he got it at, any idea? Could've been anywhere from 20K to 40K, looking at prices from mid-December to mid Jan. That's a huge difference. If he got it towards the latter, one could argue he would've have done better (for now) with a solid basket of tech-heavy stocks, along with much less risk. Although if he got it closer to 20K, then not so much.

Ballsy move, either way.

Note that he didn’t actually get paid in crypto. The Panthers have him a check like everyone else. I’m assuming they also took out taxes and such. The articles

never mention that.

He had to buy bitcoin himself using the net $$$s he was paid. Would be interesting to know if and when he got in and if he got out.

GBTC is the gold standard for btc exposure.

I'll do a full write up by morning with everything crypto related that makes up my portfolio and watch list for reference.

May we all be prosperous!

OT Russell Okung got paid half his contract in bitcoin.

Interesting. Man, that's a long 4 years, where he, or his advisors (hell, his wife or family even, you never know) could have got him out of that investment just to make sure he didn't get decimated. A rocky road like that, especially with what is a newer financial "vehicle", will often have people waving the white flag.

Would love to know what price he got it at, any idea? Could've been anywhere from 20K to 40K, looking at prices from mid-December to mid Jan. That's a huge difference. If he got it towards the latter, one could argue he would've have done better (for now) with a solid basket of tech-heavy stocks, along with much less risk. Although if he got it closer to 20K, then not so much.

Ballsy move, either way.

Note that he didn’t actually get paid in crypto. The Panthers have him a check like everyone else. I’m assuming they also took out taxes and such. The articles never mention that.

He had to buy bitcoin himself using the net $$$s he was paid. Would be interesting to know if and when he got in and if he got out.

I'm not so sure of this. Odell said his contract with the rams was paid to him in bitcoin directly through cash app.

 

[stbugs]

GBTC is the gold standard for btc exposure.

I'll do a full write up by morning with everything crypto related that makes up my portfolio and watch list for reference.

May we all be prosperous!

OT Russell Okung got paid half his contract in bitcoin.

Interesting. Man, that's a long 4 years, where he, or his advisors (hell, his wife or family even, you never know) could have got him out of that investment just to make sure he didn't get decimated. A rocky road like that, especially with what is a newer financial "vehicle", will often have people waving the white flag.

Would love to know what price he got it at, any idea? Could've been anywhere from 20K to 40K, looking at prices from mid-December to mid Jan. That's a huge difference. If he got it towards the latter, one could argue he would've have done better (for now) with a solid basket of tech-heavy stocks, along with much less risk. Although if he got it closer to 20K, then not so much.

Ballsy move, either way.

Note that he didn’t actually get paid in crypto. The Panthers have him a check like everyone else. I’m assuming they also took out taxes and such. The articles

never mention that.

He had to buy bitcoin himself using the net $$$s he was paid. Would be interesting to know if and when he got in and if he got out.

GBTC is the gold standard for btc exposure.

I'll do a full write up by morning with everything crypto related that makes up my portfolio and watch list for reference.

May we all be prosperous!

OT Russell Okung got paid half his contract in bitcoin.

Interesting. Man, that's a long 4 years, where he, or his advisors (hell, his wife or family even, you never know) could have got him out of that investment just to make sure he didn't get decimated. A rocky road like that, especially with what is a newer financial "vehicle", will often have people waving the white flag.

Would love to know what price he got it at, any idea? Could've been anywhere from 20K to 40K, looking at prices from mid-December to mid Jan. That's a huge difference. If he got it towards the latter, one could argue he would've have done better (for now) with a solid basket of tech-heavy stocks, along with much less risk. Although if he got it closer to 20K, then not so much.

Ballsy move, either way.

Note that he didn’t actually get paid in crypto. The Panthers have him a check like everyone else. I’m assuming they also took out taxes and such. The articles never mention that.

He had to buy bitcoin himself using the net $$$s he was paid. Would be interesting to know if and when he got in and if he got out.

I'm not so sure of this. Odell said his contract with the rams was paid to him in bitcoin directly through cash app.

As a Panthers fan, I know that it was discussed and the Panthers said they are not paying Okung in bitcoin. Getting bitcoin for his salary was on Okung. No idea on Odell and the Rams, but it wouldn’t surprise me if they wired/sent him cash and then he buys or automatically buys bitcoin. Every article way back when on Okung said he got paid in bitcoin and that wasn’t correct and the Panthers corrected it, but you know how the news works. The initial stories get out, become truth and it’s rare that a correction gets any traction.

 

[General Malaise]

Yeah, fellas.....the NFL has very strict procedures in place. You think the NFL would allow the Raiders to pay their players in Casino chips? Or the Texans to pay players in Pesos? C'mon, now.

 

[General Malaise]

Started an $APP position over the last couple of days.

This one is going well. Too bad @General Malaise didn't tail this one. (don't worry, NICE will be fine eventually.)

Not even remotely worried on NICE.

Hey @General Malaise - not sure if you’re still holding $NICE but it’s back to where it was when we were talking about it, maybe even a little higher. They report on Thursday. I’m selling out with my modest gains beforehand and moving the proceeds elsewhere. I’m sure it’ll be fine but market sentiment just isn’t there for it like I want and there’s higher conviction plays I want to add to.

Well, you did try to warn me. Jesus christ.....

 

[General Malaise]

Started an $APP position over the last couple of days.

This one is going well. Too bad @General Malaise didn't tail this one. (don't worry, NICE will be fine eventually.)

Not even remotely worried on NICE.

Hey @General Malaise - not sure if you’re still holding $NICE but it’s back to where it was when we were talking about it, maybe even a little higher. They report on Thursday. I’m selling out with my modest gains beforehand and moving the proceeds elsewhere. I’m sure it’ll be fine but market sentiment just isn’t there for it like I want and there’s higher conviction plays I want to add to.

Well, you did try to warn me. Jesus christ.....

And it was a GOOD report! Beat consensus earnings, guided higher, all rosy and positive.

I'm going to give it some time to breathe before I do anything but I want less circus and uncertainty in my life moving forward. Maybe I should get into these bitcoins or something.

 

[McBokonon]

Started an $APP position over the last couple of days.

This one is going well. Too bad @General Malaise didn't tail this one. (don't worry, NICE will be fine eventually.)

Not even remotely worried on NICE.

Hey @General Malaise - not sure if you’re still holding $NICE but it’s back to where it was when we were talking about it, maybe even a little higher. They report on Thursday. I’m selling out with my modest gains beforehand and moving the proceeds elsewhere. I’m sure it’ll be fine but market sentiment just isn’t there for it like I want and there’s higher conviction plays I want to add to.

Well, you did try to warn me. Jesus christ.....

And it was a GOOD report! Beat consensus earnings, guided higher, all rosy and positive.

I'm going to give it some time to breathe before I do anything but I want less circus and uncertainty in my life moving forward. Maybe I should get into these bitcoins or something.

I know, that's what I mean! The business isn't doing anything wrong but Wall St. for whatever reason just hates it. I'm not sure if it's because it's an Israeli company or what.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

I think I mentioned some time ago that I've been trying to de-risk (and then I buy another 15 shares of MELI when it dips). Poorly, yes, but derisking a bit. But it has me looking at things I never would have considered before. And evaluating normal companies is different than evaluating growth names imo.

HMC, for example. Down 15% since 11/5 (draw your own conclusions). Yields about 5.5% right now.

P/S is historically low. Approaching March 2020 Covid Crash lows. P/E not quite in the same ballpark, but it certainly has headroom. But when we slap tariffs on every Honda coming into the country, how much does that impact their results? Supposedly 70% of all Hondas and Acuras sold in the US in '23 were made in the US. Those shouldn't see additional taxes, right?

But there's some element of this that feels like a don't fight the Fed type of sentiment. Reality and perception may not couple wrt their price. IDK. Honda's probably not going anywhere anytime soon, so 5.5% to hold it until it recovers any s-t losses seems appealing. Would welcome the thoughts of others who might know the business better. @Todem ?

 

[stbugs]

Started an $APP position over the last couple of days.

This one is going well. Too bad @General Malaise didn't tail this one. (don't worry, NICE will be fine eventually.)

Not even remotely worried on NICE.

Hey @General Malaise - not sure if you’re still holding $NICE but it’s back to where it was when we were talking about it, maybe even a little higher. They report on Thursday. I’m selling out with my modest gains beforehand and moving the proceeds elsewhere. I’m sure it’ll be fine but market sentiment just isn’t there for it like I want and there’s higher conviction plays I want to add to.

Well, you did try to warn me. Jesus christ.....

And it was a GOOD report! Beat consensus earnings, guided higher, all rosy and positive.

I'm going to give it some time to breathe before I do anything but I want less circus and uncertainty in my life moving forward. Maybe I should get into these bitcoins or something.

I know, that's what I mean! The business isn't doing anything wrong but Wall St. for whatever reason just hates it. I'm not sure if it's because it's an Israeli company or what.

Based on their full year earnings, their PE looks to be around 16/17, which seems low. I’ve been watching it but never bought any.

 

[tommyGunZ]

Thoughts on DXCM? Down 40% YTD but seemingly rebounding and I know it's a well thought of local company. Their recent new glucose monitoring product off prescription could be a game changer for non-diabetics who simply want to closely monitor their sugar levels.

 

[McBokonon]

Defense stocks getting hit because presumably D.O.G.E is going to eliminate the military industrial complex with their magic scissors.

 

[Todem]

Defense stocks getting hit because presumably D.O.G.E is going to eliminate the military industrial complex with their magic scissors.

Lord......buying opportunities are going to happen.

The Military Industrial Complex is bigger than D.O.G.E.

They eliminated JFK.....you think they give a **** what these two guys say?

 

[Dr. Octopus]

Defense stocks getting hit because presumably D.O.G.E is going to eliminate the military industrial complex with their magic scissors.

Lord......buying opportunities are going to happen.

The Military Industrial Complex is bigger than D.O.G.E.

They eliminated JFK.....you think they give a **** what these two guys say?

what are some of the stocks to look at?

 

[Todem]

Defense stocks getting hit because presumably D.O.G.E is going to eliminate the military industrial complex with their magic scissors.

Lord......buying opportunities are going to happen.

The Military Industrial Complex is bigger than D.O.G.E.

They eliminated JFK.....you think they give a **** what these two guys say?

what are some of the stocks to look at?

LMT, RTX

Not just yet though.

When we talked about RTX a while back it has gone up 47% since.

LMT is up 23% YTD.

There is no panic at all yet on these defense giants.

 

[McBokonon]

Defense stocks getting hit because presumably D.O.G.E is going to eliminate the military industrial complex with their magic scissors.

Lord......buying opportunities are going to happen.

The Military Industrial Complex is bigger than D.O.G.E.

They eliminated JFK.....you think they give a **** what these two guys say?

what are some of the stocks to look at?

LMT, RTX

Not just yet though.

When we talked about RTX a while back it has gone up 47% since.

LMT is up 23% YTD.

There is no panic at all yet on these defense giants.

Throwing out $LDOS to go with these for those more growth-minded. Got whacked pretty good today but it's still up 60% in the past year (which might explain why it's more beaten up today than others).

 

[pecorino]

Been watching MRNA absolutely crater for the past six months, losing 75% of its value (and 90% of its value from the all-time high in 2021). Trading at $43 and I'm still not interested in catching this falling knife. However, there must be a support level but I cannot find it. Hasn't traded below $50 since before Covid when it was a fairly new name. I'm keeping an eye out for a bottom. Anyone with insight?

MRNA under $40 with recent news. Still watching it but as a long term buy, I’m getting an itchy trigger.

 

[Sand]

Defense stocks getting hit because presumably D.O.G.E is going to eliminate the military industrial complex with their magic scissors.

Yeah - my company got torched today. This tidbit is interesting as I saw an interview with Hegseth where he was talking about the exact opposite and particularly about China, their buildup, and the threat that poses.

 

[General Malaise]

No joy in Mudville this week.

 

[⚡DEADHEAD⚡]

I need a stock suggestion. Looking for something that could 3x within a year or straight fall on its face and be worth next to nothing.
Any suggestions?

Palantir

$22.11 on December 12 last year. Near 3x.

I'm thinking about a stop limit. PLTR trades at a high multiple.

 

[Capella]

Nvda earnings next week. We’ll be seeing some fireworks one way or the other.

 

[kevzilla]

No joy in Mudville this week.

On days like today, I remind myself that I don't have to enjoy the volatility, I just have to survive it. And note that my two financials haven't been dragged into the red, yet.

 

[steelerfan1]

No joy in Mudville this week.

On days like today, I remind myself that I don't have to enjoy the volatility, I just have to survive it. And note that my two financials haven't been dragged into the red, yet.

Still a great year though! If you promised me this for 2025 i'd be ecstatic.

 

[steelerfan1]

Nvda earnings next week. We’ll be seeing some fireworks one way or the other.

was contemplating getting more, but only at 3% cash right now and going to see if we have any sales coming up in the near future.

 

[ChiefD]

@Todem -

Thoughts on GCV? I've done good on it due to a recommendation of yours a long while ago. Is this one a buy at this price or is it best to stay out of this one at this point?

 

[General Malaise]

I've made some cash contributions to a 401K earlier this month, so hopefully I'll be buying things on sale next week.

 

[SFBayDuck]

I've made some cash contributions to a 401K earlier this month, so hopefully I'll be buying things on sale next week.

If your time frame is long enough, just keep buying. 401K funds from today won't hit my BrokerageLink accounts until next week. But I was holding a little extra cash for my daughter's college tuition but just got good news on a financial aid appeal, so I just rebalanced through purchases into the five different factor funds I hold in a taxable account.

Have some RSUs vesting today as well, looks like that tax bill just dropped a bit.

 

[Todem]

@Todem -

Thoughts on GCV? I've done good on it due to a recommendation of yours a long while ago. Is this one a buy at this price or is it best to stay out of this one at this point?

This is a nice spot to add more. As they keep bringing down interest rates that will do even better.

That is really an income machine. An equity alternative high yield dividend part of your overall portfolio. Never exceed 4% total weighting with that in your overall portfolio mix.

 

[beef]

China's weak economy and record US production will lead to a surplus of one million barrels of oil a day next year, IEA says

So potentially lower US Oil profits? What would the play be here if any?

And in before the little man takes credit for gas prices dropping.

 

[Todem]

China's weak economy and record US production will lead to a surplus of one million barrels of oil a day next year, IEA says

So potentially lower US Oil profits? What would the play be here if any?

And in before the little man takes credit for gas prices dropping.

Oil drillers and oil platforms

And a stock I had traded successfully a long time ago in a galaxy far far away.

HP

Helmrich and Payne. Pure drill baby drill play.

Looks cheap down here.

 

[Sand]

China's weak economy and record US production will lead to a surplus of one million barrels of oil a day next year, IEA says

So potentially lower US Oil profits? What would the play be here if any?

And in before the little man takes credit for gas prices dropping.

Oil drillers and oil platforms

And a stock I had traded successfully a long time ago in a galaxy far far away.

HP

Helmrich and Payne. Pure drill baby drill play.

Looks cheap down here.

I wondered about this. Looked at RIG, VAL, etc. and they're all dead fish even with the election result. The market doesn't see it.

 

[Todem]

China's weak economy and record US production will lead to a surplus of one million barrels of oil a day next year, IEA says

So potentially lower US Oil profits? What would the play be here if any?

And in before the little man takes credit for gas prices dropping.

Oil drillers and oil platforms

And a stock I had traded successfully a long time ago in a galaxy far far away.

HP

Helmrich and Payne. Pure drill baby drill play.

Looks cheap down here.

I wondered about this. Looked at RIG, VAL, etc. and they're all dead fish even with the election result. The market doesn't see it.

If they do at some point you are in before the street.

The real question is do you believe.

 

[Sand]

China's weak economy and record US production will lead to a surplus of one million barrels of oil a day next year, IEA says

So potentially lower US Oil profits? What would the play be here if any?

And in before the little man takes credit for gas prices dropping.

Oil drillers and oil platforms

And a stock I had traded successfully a long time ago in a galaxy far far away.

HP

Helmrich and Payne. Pure drill baby drill play.

Looks cheap down here.

I wondered about this. Looked at RIG, VAL, etc. and they're all dead fish even with the election result. The market doesn't see it.

If they do at some point you are in before the street.

The real question is do you believe.

Don't know enough, to be honest.

 

[Orange&Blue]

Liquidating my almost 16 year old son's assets (almost 8k in ibonds) and moving to something under my name so it won't kill him on the fafsa/student aid.

looking for something with low/moderate risk...so s&p index fund???

 

[fruity pebbles]

Liquidating my almost 16 year old son's assets (almost 10k in ibonds) and moving to something under my name so it won't kill him on the fafsa/student aid.

looking for something with low/moderate risk...so s&p index fund???

Depends when he plans on using it I guess. Is this money for college or is this his future retirement fund?

 

[Orange&Blue]

Liquidating my almost 16 year old son's assets (almost 10k in ibonds) and moving to something under my name so it won't kill him on the fafsa/student aid.

looking for something with low/moderate risk...so s&p index fund???

Depends when he plans on using it I guess. Is this money for college or is this his future retirement fund?

no immediate plans.

 

[fruity pebbles]

Liquidating my almost 16 year old son's assets (almost 10k in ibonds) and moving to something under my name so it won't kill him on the fafsa/student aid.

looking for something with low/moderate risk...so s&p index fund???

Depends when he plans on using it I guess. Is this money for college or is this his future retirement fund?

no immediate plans.

I think the SP500 is a good choice for most people

 

[General Malaise]

News out on AFMJF (Alphamin). There's one major shareholder who owns 57% of this thing and Bloomberg just came out saying there's an entity that wants to buy some or all of it. I have scant details, will update as I know more but the stock is running now. +6%