Stock Thread (17 Viewers)

[Buckna]

So what did the Fed say? I was up over 1% overall this morning but it's all gone now!

 

[Sand]

So what did the Fed say? I was up over 1% overall this morning but it's all gone now!

The anticipated third cut may or may not happen. Market is basically even on the day, which is odd for a Fed rate meeting day.

 

[JB Breakfast Club]

So what did the Fed say? I was up over 1% overall this morning but it's all gone now!

A rate cut in December is not a forgone conclusion.

 

[Sand]

Anyone have more of a long-term take on CLS?

I bought it on a dip in September, up $35% currently...

They seem to be doing well of all their metrics. I'm up 550% on these guys. Holding for a 10 bagger. I think they'll get there. But then again, I'm very slow to sell things, so this just dovetails with my inability to cut stocks loose.

 

[BassNBrew]

Added some MSFT, Google, MELI, and Meta at the close and offset this with hedges (SOXS, and Palantir 2x bear).

My thinking is if earnings are bad I recover the losses, if they are good they will more than cover the hedges.

 

[BassNBrew]

Also added Adobe on the weakness....

Adobe falls despite Wall Street analysts' positive commentary after MAX event

Oct. 29, 2025 12:07 PM ETAdobe Inc. (ADBE) StockGOOG, GOOGL, OPENAIBy: Ravikash Bakolia, SA News Editor

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• https://seekingalpha.com/news/45103...ve-commentary-after-max-event#scroll_comments

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Wall Street analysts largely had positive views after attending Adobe's (ADBE) MAX event, but some did note that an "AI existential threat may continue to weigh on the stock" in the near term.

Shares of Adobe fell about 6% on Wednesday.

Piper Sandler maintained its Overweight rating and $470 price target on Adobe's stock.

"We were encouraged by the rapid pace of innovation on display at Adobe MAX in Los Angeles, but acknowledge the AI existential threat may continue to weigh on the stock near term, especially given AI adoption and monetization remain in the early innings," said analysts led by Hannah Rudoff.

The analysts noted that the robust product innovation pipeline and open ecosystem, coupled with enforcement of generative credit limits (which recently started), could position Adobe as a better business a year from now. The addition of total annual recurring revenue, or ARR, as a new key performance indicator, or KPI, to anchor investors could help bring clarity to the story over the coming quarters, according to the analysts.

Stifel kept its Buy rating and $480 price target on Adobe.

Analysts led by J. Parker Lane said that based on their experience at MAX and recent customer conversations, GenAI adoption in the creative space is much further along than other industries.

With that, GenAI advancements dominated the longer-than normal, three-hour MAX keynote and following investor session. More specifically than "genAI", a key focus area of the event was third party models and partnerships. By hosting the majority of state-of-the-art genAI models natively, and simultaneously developing its own Firefly models, Adobe continues to solidify itself as the Creative OS for the coming years, the analysts added.

"The waters ahead remain muddy as forward-looking fears around seat counts in creative departments and competition are difficult to disprove, but we see Adobe actively improving its competitive positioning through web and mobile developments and expect the company's positioning as the creative system of record for businesses to remain durable," said Lane and his team.

RBC Capital Markets maintained its Outperform rating on Adobe with a $430 price target.

"We had the opportunity to attend Adobe Max and came away impressed with the strategic focus on establishing a broader ecosystem for content creation and distribution. Expanded partnerships, embedding additional models, workflow automation and AI assistants all seem well suited for enterprises to both create and capture value through generative design," said analyst Matthew Swanson and his team.

The analysts noted that Adobe highlighted new products and partnerships around its Creative Cloud suite. From an investor standpoint, the analysts believe partnerships were the most material positives including embedded models and expanded partnerships with Alphabet's (GOOG) (GOOGL) Google and OpenAI (OPENAI) showing demos of integrations for both YouTube and ChatGPT.

In terms of financials, the company reiterated both fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 guidance. While no numbers were given, management did lay out the metrics they will report and guide to in fiscal 2026, including total Adobe ARR which will be guided to annually.

Swanson and his team added that while not quantifying momentum, Adobe's management noted that they are seeing seat expansion as well as an "explosion" of content creation.

"Overall, we viewed the event as a step forward in articulating the long-term strategy around generative AI which is increasingly focused around providing an ecosystem and a consistent digital record for creative content regardless where it is created," said the analysts.

 

[BassNBrew]

Time for the

 

[BassNBrew]

Salvo 1....

Alphabet reported third-quarter earnings on Wednesday after the bell. Here’s how the company did, compared with estimates from analysts polled by LSEG:

• Revenue: $102.35 billion vs. $99.89 billion adj. estimated
• Earnings per share: $2.87 not immediately comparable

Wall Street is also watching several other numbers in the report:

• YouTube advertising revenue: $10.26 billion vs. $10.01 billion, according to StreetAccount
• Google Cloud revenue: $15.15 billion vs. $14.74 billion, according to StreetAccount
• Traffic acquisition costs (TAC): $14.87 billion billion vs. $14.82 billion, according to StreetAccount

 

[BassNBrew]

Salvo 2

Microsoft reported better-than-expected results for its fiscal first quarter as revenue in the company’s Azure cloud business jumped 40%. The stock slipped in extended trading.

Earnings per share: $4.13 adjusted per share vs. $3.67 per share expected




Revenue: $77.67 billion vs. $75.33 billion expected

Revenue increased 18% in the fiscal first quarter from $65.6 billion a year ago, according to a release. Net income increased to $27.7 billion, or $3.72 per share, from $24.67 billion, or $3.30 per share, during the same period last year.

 

[BassNBrew]

Number 3

Meta reported third-quarter earnings on Wednesday after the bell. Here’s how the company did, compared with estimates from analysts polled by LSEG:

• Earnings per share: $7.25 adj. vs. $6.69 estimated
• Revenue: $51.24 billion vs. $49.41 billion estimated

 

[Bob Sacamano]

I feel like the longer it takes OpenAI to figure out how to more effectively monetize, the more beneficial it is to companies like Google, who might be playing catch up on the quality of the AI but already have theirs in front of 2-3x daily users and up to 100x monetized daily users.

 

[McBokonon]

Just bought more GOOGL

I did too.

Some of the easiest money ever

 

[BassNBrew]

And MELI

SAO PAULO, Oct 29 (Reuters) - E-commerce firm MercadoLibre (MELI.O), opens new tab posted on Wednesday a net profit below analysts' expectations, impacted by currency effects and weaker demand in Argentina, while a free-shipping boost in Brazil hit margins but helped to drive a revenue beat.
Uruguay-headquartered MercadoLibre, Latin America's most valuable company by market cap, posted a $421 million net income for the July-September quarter, up 6% year-on-year but missing the $481 million expected by analysts in a LSEG poll.
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Net revenue for the firm, which runs an e-commerce platform in Latin America and fintech Mercado Pago, grew 39% to $7.4 billion, above the $7.2 billion expected by analysts, as sales measured by Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) jumped 35% on a currency-neutral basis.
"We made investments in Brazil and we are already seeing the paying-off of those investments," Chief Financial Officer Martin de los Santos told Reuters.
MercadoLibre in June lowered its free-shipping threshold in Brazil, its main market, which helped it to deliver in the country a 34% GMV jump and its fastest unique buyers growth since early 2021.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

MELI earnings misses rarely concern me. So long as they continue to be investments in growth or one-time hits, I'll live with the occasional earnings miss for growth in the 30s. I don't love weaker demand in Argentina, but again, the top line growth is more than there still. The most muted reaction to their earnings I can recall.

 

[fruity pebbles]

Meta getting the Netflix treatment of missing earnings on a one time charge. I’ll bite in the mid 680s

 

[BassNBrew]

Meta getting the Netflix treatment of missing earnings on a one time charge. I’ll bite in the mid 680s

Yup...added some MSFT to on the dip too. It's like people skipped math class and didn't use that time watching a hulk smash.

 

[fruity pebbles]

Meta getting the Netflix treatment of missing earnings on a one time charge. I’ll bite in the mid 680s

Yup...added some MSFT to on the dip too. It's like people skipped math class and didn't use that time watching a hulk smash.

Meta with a forward PE of 22ish is pretty compelling in this market imo

 

[BassNBrew]

Meta getting the Netflix treatment of missing earnings on a one time charge. I’ll bite in the mid 680s

Yup...added some MSFT to on the dip too. It's like people skipped math class and didn't use that time watching a hulk smash.

Meta with a forward PE of 22ish is pretty compelling in this market imo

Dang, picked up share at 680.01.

 

[The Z Machine]

All the rare earth stocks are gonna crash today, right? And the big name importers of Chinese goods are gonna soar?

 

[BassNBrew]

All the rare earth stocks are gonna crash today, right? And the big name importers of Chinese goods are gonna soar?

Opposite for some reason I don't understand.

Off course Meta tanks on 26% YoY income increase because they take a tax charge related to the Big Beautiful Bill andx specifically says their taxes will be lower moving forward.

 

[kevzilla]

All the rare earth stocks are gonna crash today, right? And the big name importers of Chinese goods are gonna soar?

They're all up, and AMZN is down

 

[pecorino]

Looking like KVUE is going to feel the wrath of RFK Jr today

Down 5% pre-market

Buying more. I’m a believer in science.

C’mon Science!

Health Secretary RFK Jr. says there's 'not sufficient' proof to show Tylenol causes autism

President Trump's health secretary said Tylenol should be used with caution during pregnancy, but solid data linking it to autism is lacking.

www.yahoo.com

 

[fruity pebbles]

All the rare earth stocks are gonna crash today, right? And the big name importers of Chinese goods are gonna soar?

Opposite for some reason I don't understand.

Off course Meta tanks on 26% YoY income increase because they take a tax charge related to the Big Beautiful Bill andx specifically says their taxes will be lower moving forward.

Wall Street………spend, spend, spend on AI. Meta……..ok. Wall Street………..damn, not that much. Picked up some more at 656.

 

[identikit]

I have been seeing a lot of online chatter (Twitter and Stocktwits) about ASST. It is a bitcoin treasury company. They recently underwent a merger where Strive (cofounded by Vivek R) merged with Semler in an all stock deal. They hold over 10,000 BTC. The stock has surged of late but is in the midst of a pullback. I’m not smart enough or chart savvy enough to tell if the pullback is temporary or just beginning, but since crypto everything is so hot today, and YOLO and FOMO, I took advantage of today’s 9% pullback and bought 100 calls of ASST 10/16/2026 4.00 C @ average price 0.285 – hoping to retire sometime in 2026

One of my only greens today

 

[The Z Machine]

All the rare earth stocks are gonna crash today, right? And the big name importers of Chinese goods are gonna soar?

Opposite for some reason I don't understand.

Off course Meta tanks on 26% YoY income increase because they take a tax charge related to the Big Beautiful Bill andx specifically says their taxes will be lower moving forward.

Wall Street………spend, spend, spend on AI. Meta……..ok. Wall Street………..damn, not that much. Picked up some more at 656.

I just can't do Amazon and Facebook... or Tesla.

 

[The Z Machine]

GOOGL keeping me in the green today.

 

[Capella]

Big day for Amazon if it’s going to end the year decently.

 

[identikit]

All the rare earth stocks are gonna crash today, right? And the big name importers of Chinese goods are gonna soar?

Opposite for some reason I don't understand.

Off course Meta tanks on 26% YoY income increase because they take a tax charge related to the Big Beautiful Bill andx specifically says their taxes will be lower moving forward.

Wall Street………spend, spend, spend on AI. Meta……..ok. Wall Street………..damn, not that much. Picked up some more at 656.

I just can't do Amazon and Facebook... or Tesla.

I can do 2 out of 3, currently

 

[Bob Sacamano]

MELI earnings misses rarely concern me. So long as they continue to be investments in growth or one-time hits, I'll live with the occasional earnings miss for growth in the 30s. I don't love weaker demand in Argentina, but again, the top line growth is more than there still. The most muted reaction to their earnings I can recall.

Alright then

 

[Sand]

I don't have any, but CMG getting absolutely smoked today. Turns out when you keep raising the prices of your rice and beans to the moon that customers would eventually revolt. Today is evidently that day.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

I don't have any, but CMG getting absolutely smoked today. Turns out when you keep raising the prices of your rice and beans to the moon that customers would eventually revolt. Today is evidently that day.

CAVA sympathizing. Might have to finally initiate a position here.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

Still not "cheap", though

 

[Bob Sacamano]

Not really a segment I ever venture into. This just feels like CMG back when I could always find reasons not to buy it.

If what I'm reading is accurate, only 300-something restaurants at this point. Plans to triple that by 2032, without planning to take on debt to do it (BROS> ).
26.3% restaurant-level profit margin. Which is pretty spectacular.

Is CMG's significant pullback in spending because people are really spending less or because they're opting for places like CAVA instead?

On the flip side, PE, PS, and PEG are all still elevated relative to most peers, though not compared to itself historically. Peers don't have their numbers. And Cramer apparently said to buy. So... call it a draw?

 

[guru_007]

I saw MELI was down earlier and was going to buy some in my brokerage account as I already am up pretty big in one of my retirement accounts.
Then I signed back on and saw it was green. Not sure I'll buy more just yet, but this one seems poised to have a great next few years.