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Stock Thread (50 Viewers)

Aaron Rudnicki said:
just curious, but what are some of your top individual long-term stock holdings?

this is my top-10 list:

AMZN,
AAPL,
XYL,
NFLX,
GOOG and GOOGL,
DIS,
BRK.B,
COST,
MRK,
JPM
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I don’t know zilch, but so far since we took over our own finances we are in
VTSAX

AAPL

MSFT

JNJ

SE

XOM

PPL

JPM

TSN

currently looking at maybe T or one other that is still down a bit since the March madness...

 
TWLO down a few percent.  Beat revenue and earnings estimates but been on a great run. Upped next quarter’s guidance as well. I think the one thing that they got dinged on was their retention revenue number going down from 140% to 130%. Those are both great numbers. It means existing clients spent 30% more than they did the quarter before. Anything above 100% is great. 40% more every quarter is not sustainable when you get into multi-billions in revenue. Still holding for hopefully years.

 
FreeBaGeL said:
Was really hoping for an opportunity to load up on more Disney for cheaper today :kicksrock:

Also LOL pay extra $30 on top of Disney+ subscription to watch Mulan. 
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FreeBaGeL said:
This is on top of a subscription fee you are already paying though, which seems pretty excessive considering their streaming competition (Prime, Netflix) now includes big budget new release movies for free within their subscription.
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We won't be paying for Mulan, but if they released black widow on streaming we'd jump on her. Err, it.

 
BassNBrew said:
Do yourself a favor and scrap Brk.b
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Did that a while ago. Although I do think it can be a good play when the market tanks. Considering it's a top holding in VTI, we already have plenty of A shares. 

Not even 1 share actually, but still...

 
-OZ- said:
Did that a while ago. Although I do think it can be a good play when the market tanks. Considering it's a top holding in VTI, we already have plenty of A shares. 

Not even 1 share actually, but still...
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You can also put cash aside in a money market fund and accomplish the same thing without being tied to that boat anchor.  Better yet, instead of 20% in cash, put 10 or 6.67% in an inverse ETF and you'll end up in the same cash position if the market drops but can maximize you positions in your core holdings.

 
Just read that Brk.b now has an 11.8% stake in Bank of America and has been investing in JPM and WFC.

 
Golf Guy 69 said:
BTW $OKE strong after the dividend payout.  They aren't budging off keeping a 13+% dividend.
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I think I may take my 5% in two weeks and bail.  120% annualized return.  

Before I do that, can someone explain why this stock is so beaten down and it didn't recover even as well as the food stocks?

 
BassNBrew said:
I think I may take my 5% in two weeks and bail.  120% annualized return.  

Before I do that, can someone explain why this stock is so beaten down and it didn't recover even as well as the food stocks?
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It was a hedge fund darling and they bailed.  I know they paid off a 1.5 billion loan early,  last quarter and profits were down but revenue up. If I recall correctly.

But if I can get 13% plus upward stock movement, I am happy.  

 
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Was looking for a microcap play, since I like to have one, the other day and my screen (which looks for large YOY revenue gains among other things) pulled up $OESX - Orion Energy Systems. Got added to the Russell in June, chart looks solid, got a government contract right before that. They look like they could be hitting their groove. They install energy-saving lighting systems and integrate IoT with it blah blah.

Earnings in the morning. I’m taking a small swing here with a small buy in the after hours in case COVID wrecked them more than they anticipated. But, their entire supply chain is domestic which they make clear on their website. 

 
BassNBrew said:
I think I may take my 5% in two weeks and bail.  120% annualized return.  

Before I do that, can someone explain why this stock is so beaten down and it didn't recover even as well as the food stocks?
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Full disclosure, this is my biggest holding at this time.  I put a lot of my cydy sell off here.

 
McBokonon said:
Was looking for a microcap play, since I like to have one, the other day and my screen (which looks for large YOY revenue gains among other things) pulled up $OESX - Orion Energy Systems. Got added to the Russell in June, chart looks solid, got a government contract right before that. They look like they could be hitting their groove. They install energy-saving lighting systems and integrate IoT with it blah blah.

Earnings in the morning. I’m taking a small swing here with a small buy in the after hours in case COVID wrecked them more than they anticipated. But, their entire supply chain is domestic which they make clear on their website. 
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Dot.

 
BassNBrew said:
I think I may take my 5% in two weeks and bail.  120% annualized return.  

Before I do that, can someone explain why this stock is so beaten down and it didn't recover even as well as the food stocks?
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It’s oil and gas.  Whole segment is beaten down.  Even though they are not pure commodity price based, they get hammered when oil tanks.  Even plays like WMB, which is very gas heavy and has mostly locked-up fee based revenue, gets hit hard when oil tanks because they just get lumped in with the rest.  
 

I doubt you see Pre Covid prices on OKE (or XOM or any others for that matter), but a nice dividend and modest price recovery is good enough for me.

Edit:  With OKE (or WMB, kinder, energy transfer, etc) there is a risk that the producers that deliver into their pipeline networks go belly up.  That risk is very real and has been happening, but for the most part that doesn’t account for 60+% of their portfolio, and the stock has been beaten down that much or more.  For reference, WMB reported Q2 and were basically flat compared to last year...even in the face of this.   So I generally think there has been an overreaction.

 
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Lacey said:
It’s oil and gas.  Whole segment is beaten down.  Even though they are not pure commodity price based, they get hammered when oil tanks.  Even plays like WMB, which is very gas heavy and has mostly locked-up fee based revenue, gets hit hard when oil tanks because they just get lumped in with the rest.  
 

I doubt you see Pre Covid prices on OKE (or XOM or any others for that matter), but a nice dividend and modest price recovery is good enough for me.

Edit:  With OKE (or WMB, kinder, energy transfer, etc) there is a risk that the producers that deliver into their pipeline networks go belly up.  That risk is very real and has been happening, but for the most part that doesn’t account for 60+% of their portfolio, and the stock has been beaten down that much or more.  For reference, WMB reported Q2 and were basically flat compared to last year...even in the face of this.   So I generally think there has been an overreaction.
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Excellent analysis. Thanks for the education 

 
Welp, for those who bought FLGT after I mentioned them, good job. After hours has it at 34.50, up 16% after the earnings reports. It was at 19.50 7 days ago. I bought it in late February just 2 week early. Dropped under $7 mid March. I didn’t buy more since I was down so much. 🤦‍♂️ 

 
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Bitcoin should be sitting in a consolidation stage as long as the price sits between 10.4k and 11.5k, if it were to drop lower I'll dump some gbtc and try to buy back lower.  If it goes higher, it should have freight train momentum restored.

In the meantime, I'll continue buying.

 
I have scaled down my IRA from equal holdings of around 20 stocks to 15 stocks with 4 being around 40% (10% each): AAPL, AMZN, AMD, NFLX. Not screwing around anymore. These are beasts for the next 5-10 years. 
 

ETA: this is to answer the core holdings question 

 
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[icon] said:
HGEN... we still hodling this turd? :lol:  
 
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Yes. Did you listen to the conference call yesterday? 
 

Seems to be a seller(s) at $5, but I’m very interested in how the stock will perform over the next few weeks.

 
Aaron Rudnicki said:
just curious, but what are some of your top individual long-term stock holdings?

this is my top-10 list:

AMZN,
AAPL,
XYL,
NFLX,
GOOG and GOOGL,
DIS,
BRK.B,
COST,
MRK,
JPM
Click to expand...
I have six big ones:

1. AAPL
2. AMZN
3. MSFT
4. SE
5. BABA
6. NFLX

Then I have some medium positions in JPM, BEP, and WMT. 

 
For Nikola, is there any way to know how many more of those PIPE investors there are?

Seems every time it ticks up for a couple days there is a sharp decline.  I am guessing that has something to do with it.

 
stbugs said:
Wait, what?
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eladoc Health (NYSE:TDOC) -1.3% to merge with Livongo (NASDAQ:LVGO) +2.7%, whereby each share of Livongo will be exchanged for 0.592 shares of Teladoc Health plus cash consideration of $11.33 per share representing a total transaction value of $18.5B.

Post-merger, existing Teladoc Health shareholders will own ~58% and existing Livongo shareholders will own ~42% of the combined company.

 
Apple shares got a rare downgrade on Wall Street with Bank of America taking the market leader to neutral from buy on Wednesday.

It was the first downgrade of the high-flying stock since April on Wall Street. Investors have crowded into shares of the iPhone-maker this year, with the stock up 49% and approaching a $2 trillion market value. The stock has more than doubled off its coronavirus-crisis low set in March as consumers kept buying iPhones, iPads and Apple’s services during the pandemic.

The analyst, Wamsi Mohan, cited a number of risks in the downgrade including:
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Just an FYI for those of you with APPL and Brk.b on your top ten list.

Interesting the Buffet is a big Apple holder and now the company he is buying up (BOA) is downgrading one of his largest holdings.

 
BassNBrew said:
Did I calculate right.  LVGO should be at $158.99?
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You’re welcome again. 😉

I knew it was coming, lol. I guess I got my TDOC shares the old fashioned way. Buy a company that it will acquire after a 167% run up and get way more shares.

Just ran some math and buying LVGO at $60 got me TDOC shares at $93. Not a bad days work.

 
JerseyToughGuys said:
Not a lot of talk of SQ in here which is surprising. Indirect way to play BTC too.

‪Square stock surges after ballooning bitcoin interest drives huge revenue beat

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/square-stock-surges-after-ballooning-bitcoin-interest-drives-huge-revenue-beat-2020-08-04?reflink=mw_share_twitter‬

Bullish for SQ, bullish for BTC.
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Another miss for me. I got a recommendation for SQ at the start of June. I bought some more specific stocks and that was a beneficiary stock along with some others I’ve owned. It was at $82. SMH for not buying some since I didn’t own it.

 
stbugs said:
Another miss for me. I got a recommendation for SQ at the start of June. I bought some more specific stocks and that was a beneficiary stock along with some others I’ve owned. It was at $82. SMH for not buying some since I didn’t own it.
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It isn't a miss if you had those funds in LVGO.

 
BassNBrew said:
Did I calculate right.  LVGO should be at $158.99?
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Exactly $150 right now after TDOC dropped 5%.  There's two dollars laying on the floor right now for anyone who wants to pick it up.

LVGO essentially becomes a 7-8% cash position for the next quarter.  If you believe this company has room to run on the news, you should probably transition your LVGO shares to TDOC.

 
BassNBrew said:
It isn't a miss if you had those funds in LVGO.
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Lol. Still got a decent amount of cash. I was thinking about SQ and PYPL as two of the “other” recs I should throw some $$$ at. Definitely should have and it would have diversified me a bit more which I need. AAPL at $323 was also in there but I think I own a lot of that in 401ks where I can’t own individual stocks.

As you mentioned to me before, you can’t own everything. Just stings a bit when it wasn’t a 1 stock vs another but a do I throw some cash at it. LVGO was a buy right about that same time so maybe you’re right. It’s good to have enough cash available at all times.

I’m still blown away by the merger. I’ve been wanting TDOC for a while since I bought ZM instead back when both were in the 60s. Damn, October 2019 seems like forever ago but that’s when I bought a bulk of my holdings. All at crazy low prices compared to now but at the time the stocks seemed expensive. October 2019 was basically like the March dip just before the run up to February. I think a few things I bought ended up a little cheaper in March but some like ZM and TDOC were way more expensive.

I think TDOC and LVGO together could be a juggernaut and something nice to own for a long time.

 
stbugs said:
Lol. Still got a decent amount of cash. I was thinking about SQ and PYPL as two of the “other” recs I should throw some $$$ at. Definitely should have and it would have diversified me a bit more which I need. AAPL at $323 was also in there but I think I own a lot of that in 401ks where I can’t own individual stocks.

As you mentioned to me before, you can’t own everything. Just stings a bit when it wasn’t a 1 stock vs another but a do I throw some cash at it. LVGO was a buy right about that same time so maybe you’re right. It’s good to have enough cash available at all times.

I’m still blown away by the merger. I’ve been wanting TDOC for a while since I bought ZM instead back when both were in the 60s. Damn, October 2019 seems like forever ago but that’s when I bought a bulk of my holdings. All at crazy low prices compared to now but at the time the stocks seemed expensive. October 2019 was basically like the March dip just before the run up to February. I think a few things I bought ended up a little cheaper in March but some like ZM and TDOC were way more expensive.

I think TDOC and LVGO together could be a juggernaut and something nice to own for a long time.
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Congrats.  You've done really well.  I know I'm in the minority, but I like to keep a cash position when we're in the middle of pandemic.  Never know when an opportunity will present itself.

 
hooter311 said:
Bitcoin should be sitting in a consolidation stage as long as the price sits between 10.4k and 11.5k, if it were to drop lower I'll dump some gbtc and try to buy back lower.  If it goes higher, it should have freight train momentum restored.

In the meantime, I'll continue buying.
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Well, I expected that consolidation stage to last a bit longer than another 9 hours.

Will be a monster day for crypto.

 
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