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Stock Thread (17 Viewers)

McBokonon said:
Aurora is NYSE - only one I checked but doesn't seem to be any restriction.
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Kinda surprising given those companies can't even have a bank account in the US lol. 

I'm only invested in MJ and YOLO though, way too much craziness in that industry for me to try and keep up with. 

 
Sideshow Bob said:
Pretty sure Todem would tell you to sell half. To me, it depends on the stock. There are names I've hit 100% and immediately sold half, some I've trimmed a bit over the course of time, and a few I've never sold a share despite being up 500-600%. What's your comfort level with the company and its prospects going forward? How comfortable are you having that much in 1 stock?
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It’s all about the stock. Is there room to run or is this a “hot stock”? If the latter and not a long term play I’d definitely sell half or more.

 
-OZ- said:
Y'all need to stop investing in ARK funds.

https://www.barrons.com/amp/articles/ark-etfs-might-be-too-popular-for-their-own-good-51611234009
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What’ll be funny is a year from now after a dip or something like that the performance of the funds will still look good but most people invested will have performed poorly.

Take this as a sign that there’s still more froth to go but that the party will be getting crashed soon.

Im a bit more than 10% cash now. May trim some more as there are some different stocks I want to buy that unfortunately I waited on (all have done well of course) because my cash level was really low.

 
Any time I've been lucky enough to double up, I sell half and reduce my cost basis to zero. Just feels like the right thing to do. Wish it happened more often.

 
guru_007 said:
I think finding value is extremely difficult right now, but I'll give my thoughts for anyone that wants to take a nap.

I look at my individual stocks and compare them now to the reasons I bought them and I see no pressing reason to sell any of them right now.  I did close one position, MKC, as I made about 60%+ and the multiple on that stock got out of what I felt comfortable being for a spice stock.  When I close a position, I move on completely, so I'm not sure if it went up from where I sold it or not, but I'm happy.  I'm actually near an all time low in cash, with nearly 95% invested right now.  I know, know, know this is stupid and I need to sell something, but the only things I am considering selling would leave me with substantial capital gains and I hate paying tax.  TGT, SBUX and DIS would all be candidates, however, TGT should be a winner with more stimulus checks, SBUX should be a winner with Biden allying with China, and DIS could be a nice winner with a reopening and the stupid multiples given to streaming services, so I am holding.

Where I see value:

-AMZN.  Yeah, I know, but this one is at least 10% undervalued imho even with the recent few days run up.

-WMT.  I own too much already or else I would buy more.  This one to me looks at least 15% undervalued and could be a big winner with more stimulus as well.

-Dividend stocks.  I'm too stupid to pick individual winners here so I go with a few vanguard index dividend funds and I piled in both pretty heavily over the last few months.  IMHO, the TINA trade is going to rotate out of growth eventually as valuations come back to earth.  Retiree's are still going to need income, and there is a boat load of cash uninvested on the sidelines.  I think a lot of people got burnt selling the likes of MLP's last year and rather than piling back in, will forego a few percentages in yield for a safer stock option (be it Verizon, AT&T, XOM, CVX, and so on.....).  To be fair, I've been a yield whore for years now and as I'm winding closer to retirement, I am a-ok owning lots and lots of dividend funds to throw off income.

-GM & F.  I know both have been up big the past month or two, but ffs GM is valued at what, 1/10th of Tesla?  Both are trading at very low multiples, and even a modest bump up can put both up another 15-20% easy this year.  I prefer GM, hi gb, but they burned me a few years ago on a preferred stock when they bankrupted so they never get another dime of my money.  Again, I'm stupid I know this.

Those are my off the cuff thoughts in looking for value, but it's very very difficult to ignore the high flyers as well. I've even dipped into SPAC's and am doing a bunch of calls hoping for a huge payday, come on IPOF I'm looking at you.
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I like AMZN a lot.  It's been boring holding a bunch of it lately while so much of my other stuff goes running but people seem to rotate through these megacaps every quarter or two.  They'll just sit there consolidating forever, then have a huge push, then sit and consolidate while a different one has a huge push, and so on.

Last time earnings were the catalyst to start AMZN on the move from consolidating around $2k to busting through $3k.  I could see that happen again here as earnings estimates seem low due to last quarter's guidance.

I am the opposite on WMT.  I'm not sure about the core business part of the company so maybe that makes the difference, but much like I loved Disney a few months ago because I didn't feel that D+ was priced in enough yet, I feel the opposite with WMT.  It got a big boost with the announcement of WMT+ and as someone who went ahead and tried out WMT+ let me tell you, it is nothing like the prime competitor people were dreaming of.  Honestly, it is hot garbage.

 
FreeBaGeL said:
I like AMZN a lot.  It's been boring holding a bunch of it lately while so much of my other stuff goes running but people seem to rotate through these megacaps every quarter or two.  They'll just sit there consolidating forever, then have a huge push, then sit and consolidate while a different one has a huge push, and so on.

Last time earnings were the catalyst to start AMZN on the move from consolidating around $2k to busting through $3k.  I could see that happen again here as earnings estimates seem low due to last quarter's guidance.

I am the opposite on WMT.  I'm not sure about the core business part of the company so maybe that makes the difference, but much like I loved Disney a few months ago because I didn't feel that D+ was priced in enough yet, I feel the opposite with WMT.  It got a big boost with the announcement of WMT+ and as someone who went ahead and tried out WMT+ let me tell you, it is nothing like the prime competitor people were dreaming of.  Honestly, it is hot garbage.
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I hate Walmart. I did an in store pickup in July so not exactly eons ago. Needed a phone case. Well, since it was all based on the people who worked there they gave me a case for a different phone and I didn’t notice till I got back to our vacation house. I still have the stupid thing but there was obviously no actual quality control it scan to validate the selection otherwise the bar codes would clearly not match. It just showed me where they were on that stuff. I’ve been in Walmart and I’ve been in Target and I’d trust a Target employee picking the correct stuff. Add on basically using Uber/Instacart to deliver all my groceries.

Also, I use Prime Video a bunch and love my free shipping because I know it works and I still get stuff early when get my digital credits (rent movies for free) to ship slower when I don’t care.

 
So has anyone figured out the story behind these ridiculous small caps? BBIG is another one today. They announce a merger and the stock tripled. Best part is that around $1.2B has changed hands on almost 1000x the regular volume. That’s a lot of interest in a company whose valuation before today was under $24M.

It used to be random Chinese companies with horrible fundamentals and decreasing revenue. Now it seems like random micro-cap companies just announcing their mergers and getting multiples. Seems about as shady as possible and most times the stock drifts lower after the initial pop when the folks building up positions sell to the RHs.

 
Sideshow Bob said:
Pretty sure Todem would tell you to sell half. To me, it depends on the stock. There are names I've hit 100% and immediately sold half, some I've trimmed a bit over the course of time, and a few I've never sold a share despite being up 500-600%. What's your comfort level with the company and its prospects going forward? How comfortable are you having that much in 1 stock?
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Yep

I'll probably hold SE for a long time, perhaps too long. But I have it in 5 accounts now, well over 100% gain in all of them. QCLN too, but ETFs are different in many regards. 

The safe play would be to sell a portion, maybe half. And invest in something else. But I did that with Tesla, that wasn't the best move. 🤷🏽‍♂️

 
If you're looking for value to hold, walmart and Amazon seem like safer bets.

I triggered another ¼ ($1500) of my Roth IRA this afternoon. Just into the pie, which ends up being VIOO, VB, and CAT. totally unsexy but those were underweight. 

Also just bought $2k in Kroger.  PE under 9, 2% dividend, probably among the safer plays. Plus I like shopping there.

Call me unsexy. 

 
-OZ- said:
If you're looking for value to hold, walmart and Amazon seem like safer bets.

I triggered another ¼ ($1500) of my Roth IRA this afternoon. Just into the pie, which ends up being VIOO, VB, and CAT. totally unsexy but those were underweight. 

Also just bought $2k in Kroger.  PE under 9, 2% dividend, probably among the safer plays. Plus I like shopping there.

Call me unsexy. 
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I have about 1.5% invested in Kroger right now at an average of $31.29.  We could have a huge meltdown and the downside is probably $27.  I'll look to trim around $40.

 
BassNBrew said:
I have about 1.5% invested in Kroger right now at an average of $31.29.  We could have a huge meltdown and the downside is probably $27.  I'll look to trim around $40.
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Yep

Of course it hasn't hit $40 in over 5 years. But I can't see it dropping much below $30 without some major issues.

 
Sold all of my SI today at $67. I've been in and out several times the past few months, a harrowing ride at times but did well overall. Also sold most of my GBTC when it popped a little to $33. Did not do so well on that one but just don't have the stomach for it anymore. Need a break from crypto. 

 
needanap said:
GBTC seems to be about a 5% premium right now which is much lower than normal.  Do you think this is due to the coming competition?   Another reason?  I am trying to figure what to make out of this big drop in premium. Thanks for all your insight.
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Has to be.

Meanwhile the litecoin trust trades at a 3000% premium

 
Sideshow Bob said:
What are the pot stocks people are in here, specifically for the US legalization play? I don't know that the Canadian companies interest me much. iirc, somebody was into one because they were big players in CA, which I think is a tough place to get a license? Maybe IL?  @General Malaise
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I've liked Cresco Labs (CRLBF) for a while. Chicago based company. I was prepared to go in big at $5, but it was restricted on all the platforms my investments are in; Edward Jones, JPM Chase and LPL Financial and missed the boat. Still, they are growing like crazy in IL and are branching out in other states. I like their product. 😄

 
Sideshow Bob said:
What are the pot stocks people are in here, specifically for the US legalization play? I don't know that the Canadian companies interest me much. iirc, somebody was into one because they were big players in CA, which I think is a tough place to get a license? Maybe IL?  @General Malaise
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BassNBrew said:
I have about 1.5% invested in Kroger right now at an average of $31.29.  We could have a huge meltdown and the downside is probably $27.  I'll look to trim around $40.
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ACI IPO'd earlier this year.  I think around 15 and its up to 17.  Same space.

 
Anyone look into the SPCX ETF yet? Seems like their entire deal it to buy lots (64 right now) of different SPAC as close to NAV as possible and sell on the merger pops/sell warrants on the split. No way to lose money here right?

 
Sideshow Bob said:
What are the pot stocks people are in here, specifically for the US legalization play? I don't know that the Canadian companies interest me much. iirc, somebody was into one because they were big players in CA, which I think is a tough place to get a license? Maybe IL?  @General Malaise
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$AYRWF & $CXXIF are my two. 

 
Desert_Power said:
Anyone look into the SPCX ETF yet? Seems like their entire deal it to buy lots (64 right now) of different SPAC as close to NAV as possible and sell on the merger pops/sell warrants on the split. No way to lose money here right?
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CCIV   market value $4,542,397.02

Shares 251,517.00

Are they in at $18?

because im in at $14 :banned:

 
eaganwildcats said:
$AYRWF & $CXXIF are my two. 
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I'll throw in another one from my time in cannabis.

STEM Holdings

  • They have consolidated some of the top brands in Oregon (TJs, Yerba Buena)
  • They are in both rec, medical and hemp markets in more than 10 states and building operations in Africa
  • The CEO was the guy who started GrubHub
  • Currently trading at $0.64
  • Looks like they just bought a delivery platform (Driven) as well and will change their company name to "Driven by Stem" https://www.drivenbystem.com/drivenbystem

 
Last edited by a moderator:
urbanhack said:
I'll throw in another one from my time in cannabis.

STEM Holdings

  • They have consolidated some of the top brands in Oregon (TJs, Yerba Buena)
  • They are in both rec, medical and hemp markets in more than 10 states and building operations in Africa
  • The CEO was the guy who started GrubHub
  • Currently trading at $0.64
  • Looks like they just bought a delivery platform (Driven) as well and will change their company name to "Driven by Stem" https://www.drivenbystem.com/drivenbystem
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STMH For those looking for it

 
Not sure if this has been mentioned yet, but the first psychedelics ETF should begin trading next week: https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/horizons-etfs-to-launch-world-s-first-psychedelics-focused-etf-1029994672

TORONTO, Jan. 22, 2021 /CNW/ - Horizons ETFs Management (Canada) Inc. ("Horizons ETFs") is pleased to announce that it has filed its final prospectus to launch the Horizons Psychedelic Stock Index ETF ("PSYK"). Units of PSYK have been conditionally approved for listing by the NEO Exchange ("NEO") and are slated to begin trading on January 27, 2020, under the ticker symbol PSYK:NEO.

PSYK will be the world's first exchange traded fund ("ETF") focused on the emerging psychedelics opportunity led by life science and pharmaceutical companies. A growing body of clinical research has demonstrated the potential use of psychedelic compounds, such as psilocybin and ketamine, as treatment for mental illness, depression, addiction, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), and other medical conditions.  This has resulted in a growing number of public companies listed in North America that are focussed on the development of therapeutic solutions using psychedelics, which now provides the breadth of portfolio necessary for an ETF.  

PSYK will seek to replicate, to the extent possible and net of expenses, the performance of a market index that is designed to provide exposure to the performance of a basket of North American publicly-listed life sciences companies having significant business activities in, or significant exposure to, the psychedelics industry. PSYK will be using the North American Psychedelics Index (the "Index") as its market index. The Index is a proprietary index owned and operated by Horizons ETFs, and Solactive AG is the independent calculation agent for the Index.

The Index is designed to provide a measure of the performance of North American publicly-listed life sciences companies focused on psychedelic medicines, and other companies with business activities in the psychedelics industry. The Index has been designed to provide diversified exposure to the psychedelics industry and also to be adaptive to the evolution of the industry in a timely fashion.

Subject to certain size and liquidity minimums, generally, a company is deemed to be eligible to be included in the Index if the company is listed on a regulated stock exchange in Canada or in the United States, and is a producer and/or a supplier of psychedelic medicines; a biotechnology company that is engaged in research and development of psychedelic medicines; or a company that is part of the supply chain for, or a distributor of, psychedelics.
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the following companies are included in the current North American Psychedelics Index:

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
AbbVie Inc (ABBV)
COMPASS Pathways (CMPS)
Field Trip Health (FTRP)
MindMed (MMED)
Greenbrook TMS Inc (GTMS)
Entheon Biomedical (ENBI)
Seelos Therapeutics (SEEL)
Cybin (CYBN)
Mind Cure Health (MCUR)
Havn Life Sciences (HAVN)
Numinus (NUMI)
Mydecine Innovations (MYCO)
Nova Mentis (NOVA)
Psyched Wellness (PSYC)
Revive Therapeutics (RVV)
Red Light Holland (TRUFF)

Not all American companies so they may trade under different symbols here.

 
urbanhack said:
I'll throw in another one from my time in cannabis.

STEM Holdings

  • They have consolidated some of the top brands in Oregon (TJs, Yerba Buena)
  • They are in both rec, medical and hemp markets in more than 10 states and building operations in Africa
  • The CEO was the guy who started GrubHub
  • Currently trading at $0.64
  • Looks like they just bought a delivery platform (Driven) as well and will change their company name to "Driven by Stem" https://www.drivenbystem.com/drivenbystem
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This should pair nicely with my TRUFF.

 
steelerfan1 said:
now up 40%. i can see how people like me a total newb lose tons of money getting into this stuff. the thrill of the chase to make big money. i just cant do it lol
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Unless you are part of the shorts or behind the push to crush the shorts you would likely lose. GME is not worth the price so if you try to chase you are much more likely to be one of the bag holders. I definitely jumped into the fray last year on a lot of the riskier stuff but we are way higher at this point so they scare me way more now. Also, had a fantastic year last year where my retirement goals are in sight so I’m more risk averse. I still own some higher fliers but not companies that were falling apart and the prices are crazy. So many of these penny stocks or crazy returns are based on not really good/growing companies. At some point there will be people who lose big. Who knows when but it will happen. There can’t be that many winners.

 
Dwayne Hoover said:
GME is halted at $72, this is an incredible story unfolding

I am glad that guy at Citron Research is getting owned though, seems like a tool
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This is a stock price so out of whack with reality it is amazing. It’s not one of those $30M market cap companies that has $1B traded in one day that is so small it’s easy to manipulate. That said there’s no reason stocks can’t be manipulated if people coordinate their bids and asks and there are more than enough day traders on that thread.

 
stbugs said:
This is a stock price so out of whack with reality it is amazing. It’s not one of those $30M market cap companies that has $1B traded in one day that is so small it’s easy to manipulate. That said there’s no reason stocks can’t be manipulated if people coordinate their bids and asks and there are more than enough day traders on that thread.
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Yeah I mean fundamentals went out the window on GME a long time ago.  This is strictly a trading vehicle, with a whole bunch of regular people trying to get together and manipulate the market like an institution would and burn out shorts.

I have no position because I'm not crazy, but honestly I'm kind of glad to see it working.  This kind of garbage happens 10 times a week from institutions and no one bats an eye, so I'm not going to cry for them if they get run over.

It's easy to spot too, the same people are doing the same thing to BBBY.  Every time GME hits a halt, all of the buyers go to BBBY and it starts squeezing.

 
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