I think we are still months away from a real recovery on oil. The last 3 sessions made me think twice about that, but the surplus and over-production are still very real.
OPEC is just ####### around with everyone. They want to completely shut our production down - In order to make that a reality, prices have to stay well below $60 for a decent length of time.
I agree with Drifter - the volatility will be pretty crazy with oil for the next few months. I felt very confident oil would test $40 a barrel in the future when researching last week. I still think this is likely, but my confidence after the rally over the last few sessions is wavering slightly.
If OPEC succeeds in crippling our production, I think a sneaky investment might be some land in places like Williston, North Dakota. If oil stays cheap, it will put most of the work in this area out of business, causing the land prices to plummet. Once prices rise and stabilize over the next 5 years, production in this area will be brought back and the land prices should sky rocket. Is this a crazy thought?