What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Stock Thread (74 Viewers)

4 seems low to me. I'd think almost all the billionaires would be extremely worried that America’s next big financial crisis would come soon.

 
Not that I dismiss this article out of hand, but I am always leary of articles that end with clickbait.

I strongly encourage you to check out Mr. Stansberry’s recent write-up on this situation, which explains exactly what is going on, what will happen next, and the simple steps you can take to prepare.
Agreed, just thought it was interesting and a potential interesting topic to discuss here.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Gold prices suck out loud, yet BitGold hanging in there like a champ. CEO initially thought he'd have around 58,000 users by the end of the year. They have reached 168,000 users by July 31st, so that's good. Average deposits, however, are very low. That needs to come up.

I added some more today. I don't really have any other good ideas at the moment. Most of my stocks are getting pulverized. Screw you, Canada.

 
Fun fact I saw and didn't fact check.

Chevron (CVX) will pay out more in dividends this year than they will take in in profits.

 
Added 200 more UCO at $26.12 for 1200 at $33.87
DUDE!

At this point is it a forget the cheese let me out of the trap position or is the goal to make a profit in line with the risk you've already assumed?

I think $30-$34 is possible on some kind of bounce, but the path to $50 seems pretty distant.

Your Martingale strategy might mean you need to committ another $40k or so to the position too. Have you considered using $SCO to hedge the position - using some form of Technical Analysis on a short term 60m chart to determine when to take the hedge off for example?

I really hope this gets a bounce for your sake.

 
Oil has plenty of room to go lower. People can't just shut the wells down. They have debt obligations to meet. Large ones. You don't want to default, let the banks take the properties, and then not be there when President Trump nukes Iran.

 
I was planning on adding to my FSLR position with the rollover money I deposited yesterday but looks like I am a day late on that. :( Nice pop today. I had sold a previous position in it a long time ago and recently took dividend money and bought a few shares.

So, now I am trying to figure out a game plan here for this money.

 
Added 200 more UCO at $26.12 for 1200 at $33.87
DUDE!

At this point is it a forget the cheese let me out of the trap position or is the goal to make a profit in line with the risk you've already assumed?

I think $30-$34 is possible on some kind of bounce, but the path to $50 seems pretty distant.

Your Martingale strategy might mean you need to committ another $40k or so to the position too. Have you considered using $SCO to hedge the position - using some form of Technical Analysis on a short term 60m chart to determine when to take the hedge off for example?

I really hope this gets a bounce for your sake.
Affirmative to both of these GB.

 
Considering the following plays

1) shorting oil

2) blue chip financials

3) homebuilders

4) twitter

5) Apple

FB and TQQQ with a nice bounce today...considering taking the money and running on TQQQ. FB probably a longer term play.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Considering the following plays

1) shorting oil

2) blue chip financials

3) homebuilders

4) twitter

5) Apple

FB and TQQQ with a nice bounce today...considering taking the money and running on TQQQ. FB probably a longer term play.
Who are you thinking?

 
Added 200 more UCO at $26.12 for 1200 at $33.87
DUDE!

At this point is it a forget the cheese let me out of the trap position or is the goal to make a profit in line with the risk you've already assumed?

I think $30-$34 is possible on some kind of bounce, but the path to $50 seems pretty distant.

Your Martingale strategy might mean you need to committ another $40k or so to the position too. Have you considered using $SCO to hedge the position - using some form of Technical Analysis on a short term 60m chart to determine when to take the hedge off for example?

I really hope this gets a bounce for your sake.
Siff

I looked at oil futures for giggles. Front month is trading down while back month is trading up. I'm curious your thoughts on this. Even 10 words would suffice, no need to get super detailed. Even a "no big deal don't worry"

 
Added 200 more UCO at $26.12 for 1200 at $33.87
DUDE!

At this point is it a forget the cheese let me out of the trap position or is the goal to make a profit in line with the risk you've already assumed?

I think $30-$34 is possible on some kind of bounce, but the path to $50 seems pretty distant.

Your Martingale strategy might mean you need to committ another $40k or so to the position too. Have you considered using $SCO to hedge the position - using some form of Technical Analysis on a short term 60m chart to determine when to take the hedge off for example?

I really hope this gets a bounce for your sake.
Siff

I looked at oil futures for giggles. Front month is trading down while back month is trading up. I'm curious your thoughts on this. Even 10 words would suffice, no need to get super detailed. Even a "no big deal don't worry"
I don't trade oil futs- but if you're asking if there is a possible arbitrage in play - I would say no chance at all.

I've had the $UCO chart up because of this thread. I't hasn't really changed since a few weeks ago when I said "down on every time frame".

The logical side thinks "it has to be close to a bounce." A bounce to $27 or $28 could happen but not impact the downside pressure even on a 60 minute chart. The longer time frame charts look even worse. It's possible today is the LOW - one day it will be. Techncials would always lag that exact moment in time - and fundamentals would lag even more.

If we want to be honest - using any form of analysis whether that be fundamental or technical - the ending thesis would be oil, energy etc stocks at the moment are a sell and they will remain that way until they aren't. Buy at extreme risk.

Speaking of honest-

The truth to every investing or trading decision a person ever makes is one of MARKET TIMING. No one buys $XYZ today with the expectation that it is going to drop x% tomorrow. On the flip side - no one sells $ABC today with the expectation that is is going to rise x% tomorrow. We TIME our buys and sells for what we expect/hope are maximum profits.

A thought through invesment/trading plan uses both fundamental AND technical analysis. Fundamentals tell us what to buy and Technicals tell us when to buy it. A plan and discipline to adhere to that plan are also critical.

Even with a great plan and discipline to adhere to that plan, there is a lot of "crapshoot" in playing the market, at least that has been my experience. You just can't win all the time.

 
Considering the following plays

1) shorting oil

2) blue chip financials

3) homebuilders

4) twitter

5) Apple

FB and TQQQ with a nice bounce today...considering taking the money and running on TQQQ. FB probably a longer term play.
Who are you thinking?
Primarily Wells Fargo
I would be very interested to see how WFC ends up navigating the higher interest rate environment. They have made so much money over the years due to their position in mortgage lending. When rates finally go up- it will be a blessing and curse. Blessing in that they will have higher spreads but a curse in that their mortgage volumes will drop dramatically. There is still some volume in refinancing right now (believe it or not) but if rates go slightly higher that will almost completely evaporate and they will be running almost solely off of purchase transactions. That being said, they are a smart company and likely have been positioning themselves to grow other business lines to take up the slack and difference.

I bought BAC a while back at $6 a share. Not so much because I believe in the company or the management or anything but simply the price point was too juicy to pass up. I have made a killing off of that and I will continue to hold.

My position in BAC and other bank stock due to employee purchase programs etc, I am not looking to buy now. Nothing that I see is overly attractive or stands out to me.

 
I stopped out of it. Going to be an interesting tax year.
All long term gains, yes?

Wish I had stopped myself. :bag:
Yes. It didn't happen that long ago, so I'm more than a few zeros down from peak. Kinda sad, but more because I wanted to hold it long term than that I lost some profits. But I set a floor where I said the volatility isn't worth the potential downside, and I stuck to it. I'm sure it'll pop $5 next week and I'll wish I'd continued to hold. I can't complain, though. Sold some too early on the first pop. Bought more before the second pop. Averaged out to about 350%. Not a bad couple years work, tyvm.

Looking at CAT options again instead. Which is way more exciting than an up and coming gaming company anyway.

 
I'm out of oil completely. The short side looks like the winner right now. I've said before, but I don't see a catalyst for higher prices unless war, major change in OPEC strategy, or Iran deal falls through.

Def going to test lows from earlier in the year, I doubt it holds. The crazy reversal this morning after the EIA reports shows how bearish this really is. $45 has been trying to hold for the last few days, I think it fails tomorrow or Friday. Thinking about SCO.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Talked my dad into some WFC this week. I also told him to keep his CVX and KMI, so I'm a bad son. :kicksrock:
Thoughts on KMI. I was under the impression it's mostly pipelines.....oil will be delivered whether it's $100 or $40 but I guess it still gets hit as part of the group? I've been holding with the strong dividend.

 
Got in on Keurig Green Mountain at $53.71.
They talked about them on CNBC yesterday when they reported earnings. According the analysts the company, management in particular, is in disarray. Of course they also mentioned that there has been speculation for some time that they are a take over target too by a company like Coke. GLGB

 
Oil broke $45 and took a quick run to low $44's.

From what I'm looking at, $42.50 will come, and if it doesn't hold, sub $40 is in play.

Just my .02

 
Got in on Keurig Green Mountain at $53.71.
They talked about them on CNBC yesterday when they reported earnings. According the analysts the company, management in particular, is in disarray. Of course they also mentioned that there has been speculation for some time that they are a take over target too by a company like Coke. GLGB
I own a bunch at ~$90 through an employee purchase program :(

 
I just bought 250 shares of DIS - not a sexy stock but if the regression works they will have a 3-4% rise over the next quarter. Solid company with solid fundamentals. I am confident the star wars investment will pay off along with decent organic growth. The rest of you should probably buy the put's if my stock picking prowess is confirmed.

 
fantasycurse42 said:
Oil broke $45 and took a quick run to low $44's.

From what I'm looking at, $42.50 will come, and if it doesn't hold, sub $40 is in play.

Just my .02
.02 .... target price for UCO?

 
OPened my account 7/23

I've made 85 trades and earned 2.7%

gb amzn and etf bears. I made 5.5% on those and gave back half on other stupid stuff (fb, uco and aya)

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top