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Stock Thread (29 Viewers)

I know, it’s Yahoo, but I still have my old My Yahoo account where I get my glance at stocks and news. That said, I can’t imagine and news site more negative on Amazon. It was all about Walmart this and that now an article whose sole purpose is to say that Azure’s growth rate is higher than AWS. Here’s the article:

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN?p=AMZN

It mentions the quarterly sales numbers and growth for a much bigger AWS and only mentions growth %s for Microsoft. That’s because (from some site with their quarterly results):

Microsoft does not break out exact Azure revenue numbers, likely to avoid comparisons with industry leader AWS.

I’m not even trying to bash Azure, but so many of these “news” articles read like paid bloggers schilling slightly deceiving info.
"Azure" numbers also include O365 sales.

 
I dunno - I think this might be pretty close to a good time to buy some ATVI. Gonna do half today, half after earnings in August. Have some catalysts coming up, like new COD, their Blizzard conference. I feel like it's been hammered but has been flat enough for long enough that the ransacking might be over.

 
This economy is too strong. Markets continue to show it.

Those that pulled back a while ago, hard to blame you ... one would think this is way overdue to crash ... yet it doesn't.

I'll continue to ride it out, fat dumb and happy. 

 
Just in time. Didn't sell on top, but not at the bottom. Lost a bit by waiting. But now I'm out, only Discover and Omega health left of the single stocks. 

Might buy back into Google but I'm thinking I just stay in ETFs for a while, probably go a bit heavier into cash in our non retirement accounts for a couple months. 

We've been saying it too long, but it does feel like a fall is looming.
Dammit. I didn't. 

Still love my Discover.

 
I put in an order to sell beyond at 225, fwiw. Want to lock in a tidy profit and there’s no way this thing isn’t overpriced. 

 
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Capella said:
I put in an order to sell beyond at 225, fwiw. Want to lock in a tidy profit and there’s no way this thing isn’t overpriced. 
This worked out. People seem to be expecting an earnings beat so I may buy back in before 4. 

 
Beyond Meat revealed that it plans to sell more shares in a secondary offering. The company plans to sell an additional 3.25 million shares, with 3 million coming from selling stockholders and 250,000 shares from the company. After that announcement hit, the stock plunged to a loss of more than 10%.

:bye:  

 
Beyond Meat revealed that it plans to sell more shares in a secondary offering. The company plans to sell an additional 3.25 million shares, with 3 million coming from selling stockholders and 250,000 shares from the company. After that announcement hit, the stock plunged to a loss of more than 10%.

:bye:  
Kudos to locking in profits.

Wish I could play with ya'll, but I'm still ####### around with Kroger. Currently have 1100 shares with a 9/20 22 call sold against them.

 
Damn, was thinking last week about locking in the handful of vested AMZN shares above 2k before the earnings. DCA'ing so to speak.

Seems like many of the stocks I've watched do very well this year are getting pasted now. TTD is my biggest holding outside of AMZN. Got in at 176 back in May and even with Monday, still up around 50%. Not sure what to do as there are some stocks I really like long term, but it seems like the high growth stocks are getting hit pretty hard and probably have more bleeding to do. Not surprising considering how well everything has done lately.

It's funny, because I'm only 15 or so years from retirement, but I wouldn't mind the market coming dipping a bit for a few years. My wife and I are socking away more money than we ever have and the 401k limits bump up when you hit 50, so it would be nice to DCA all that (the limit can be as high as $50k a year) at lower levels.

 
I think I heard at the end of last week, the Beyond valuation was more than the entire cannabis industry combined. I have to think it has more to go down. That's insane. 
I’d agree. Growth stocks have gone crazy lately. Not to say that I’m a few years some of them won’t be great buys at today’s prices but the price to sales are so high on some that it’s kind of like Uber. When your stock is valued so high, you kind of have to be perfect to justify the current valuations. Heck, even Uber could be out of business in 10 years. What if Tesla or Google or Apple or many others perfect self driving and someone creates a simple app where any self driving car owner just puts their car on that app and they only take a small percent. Either has to buy a massive fleet or cut their margins, etc. Beyond has competition already and is the barrier to entry for food companies with big distribution networks really that high? I’ve been around a long time and the first movers aren’t always the winners. Google wasn’t even close the first search engine.

 
I mentioned NAK a gold mine stock in Alaska that I bought some weeks ago.  Damn thing went up 65% today.   I have no idea why & can probably expect a similar downturn in the near future.  Anyway good news for now & I'll take it.

 
This is my seemingly annual post to come in here and talk about what a studly beast CDW is. Reported this morning, beat and raised. In the two years since I first asked about them here, they've become my second biggest holding (and that's only because Disney went nuts in the last couple weeks.) And I don't really see them slowing down and it feels like nobody is really paying attention yet.
Beat on top and bottom. Up another ~4% today.  :coffee:

 
I mentioned NAK a gold mine stock in Alaska that I bought some weeks ago.  Damn thing went up 65% today.   I have no idea why & can probably expect a similar downturn in the near future.  Anyway good news for now & I'll take it.
Looking like the EPA withdrew a complaint.  Nice score for you.

 
I think I am debating between Fidelity and Charles Schwab.  I need to open an IRA, but also want to be able to trade stocks etc.  
I have my IRAs through TD Ameritrade. They provide research from Credit Suisse, CFRA, The Street, and New Constructs, plus some technical/quant ones like Ford Research and Market Edge. I run my girlfriend's at Merrill Edge - they have their own, Morningstar, and CFRA. Trades are 6.95 at both, research at TD is better. I know Schwab saves you a couple of bucks on trades. Heard good things about Fidelity, too but looking at all of the options, just for research, I like TD. Credit Suisse, in particular, does a good job giving their targets plus grey sky and blue sky scenarios.

 
All three are great and the best low-cost places to be. There's really not much to edge one over the other. They compete against each other enough that as soon as one introduces a new low-cost product, the other two follow. They're stable, secure, reliable, and cheap. Can't go wrong with any of the three.
I'm at Fidelity, mostly because I liked the web interface.  They're all pretty darn good - I'd feel comfortable being at any of the three.

 
So, it seems like the TVIX party in here is over.  Haven't seen any bets lately.

To revive the nuttiness, I've put some money (very small percentage of my total) into this strategy - 40% UPRO and 60% TMF.  It backtests well.  More importantly, I've put a bit of my money into the kids' accounts and plowed it into this.  If it flames out, no biggie (and it's my money to blow), but if the moonshot works it may dramatically accelerate the net worth of my children.  They have 40+ years of compounding to go.   I plan on cycling out of UPRO if recession signals hit.  Again, a moonshot, so why not.

well this is fun
Surprised?  Their move and the market response was pretty much what I expected.   They had to follow the bond market; they really didn't have much choice. I'm very glad they stopped at a quarter.  We're still at levels well above the rest of the world and the economy is green.  Until that changes I'm not too worried.

 
This is the kind of thing that happens when monetary policy is broken.  I figured at some point someone would come up with a way to juice this.   I mean there are black swan events with this thing though.  

So, it seems like the TVIX party in here is over.  Haven't seen any bets lately.

To revive the nuttiness, I've put some money (very small percentage of my total) into this strategy - 40% UPRO and 60% TMF.  It backtests well.  More importantly, I've put a bit of my money into the kids' accounts and plowed it into this.  If it flames out, no biggie (and it's my money to blow), but if the moonshot works it may dramatically accelerate the net worth of my children.  They have 40+ years of compounding to go.   I plan on cycling out of UPRO if recession signals hit.  Again, a moonshot, so why not.

Surprised?  Their move and the market response was pretty much what I expected.   They had to follow the bond market; they really didn't have much choice. I'm very glad they stopped at a quarter.  We're still at levels well above the rest of the world and the economy is green.  Until that changes I'm not too worried.

 
This is the kind of thing that happens when monetary policy is broken.  I figured at some point someone would come up with a way to juice this.   I mean there are black swan events with this thing though.  
No doubt.  It does poorly in a rising rate environment (the 70s backtest bad).  Otherwise it's pretty good in a falling or neutral environment.  I don't see rates rising appreciably, so feel ok.  

And, like I said, it's a play portion of my port (small part of my ex-poker fund).  A moonshot that may well have a chance.

 
No doubt.  It does poorly in a rising rate environment (the 70s backtest bad).  Otherwise it's pretty good in a falling or neutral environment.  I don't see rates rising appreciably, so feel ok.  

And, like I said, it's a play portion of my port (small part of my ex-poker fund).  A moonshot that may well have a chance.
Is it really a moonshot?  It seems more like a play to juice the fixed income portfolio. 

 
The average gain in the SP500 from date of rate cut until the date of a rate increase (since 1982) is something like 13%.  

 
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The average gain in the SP500 from date of rate cut until the date of a rate increase (since 1982) is something like 13%.  
Cnbc had some graphic about back to back cuts result in a bear market like 90% of the time or something stupid high like that which shocked me. 

 

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