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Stock Thread (27 Viewers)

culdeus said:
Is it really a moonshot?  It seems more like a play to juice the fixed income portfolio. 
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I'd consider anything that back tests at 20-25% CAGR to be a moonshot.  It's worth a small gamble, particularly for my kids, who have 40 years to compound.

 
Leeroy Jenkins said:
The average gain in the SP500 from date of rate cut until the date of a rate increase (since 1982) is something like 13%.  
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That's interesting.

The SP500 went nowhere from mid 1950's through 1982 ... 294 July 1954; up to 784 in 1968;  bottomed at 281 in July 1982 when they began to lower rates from 15%....first cut was 3% I believe. Inflation was 12%+ in 1980 and  4% in 1982. I'd say we were due for some equity gains after 25+ years of sideways action.

 
Rattle and Hum said:
That's interesting.

The SP500 went nowhere from mid 1950's through 1982 ... 294 July 1954; up to 784 in 1968;  bottomed at 281 in July 1982 when they began to lower rates from 15%....first cut was 3% I believe. Inflation was 12%+ in 1980 and  4% in 1982. I'd say we were due for some equity gains after 25+ years of sideways action.
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If I could get 30 year T Bonds at 15% I don't think I'd invest in anything else. Maybe boats and hoes.

15.08% on 9/21/81.

 
I've been making a small profit during my 3 month FBG suspension.

Long TVIX, then short TVIX ... then long ....  just unloaded some heavy TVIX bags today for a nice profit.

This stuff has burned me before but I've either figured it out or I'm getting lucky.

Locked in long term gains on 40 shares of AMZN @ $1900.

Looks like I may be able to pick those 40 back up for $1800 or less here.

Holding on to see where she settles.

 
Guy announces more tariffs and hell follows for awhile.  Good chance to buy on dips, I suppose, but for those of us that trade options... it can get pretty hairy rather quickly.  

 
Bossman said:
Something of interest;

HZN - Horizon Global, down 45% after ER missed.

Company sells trailer hitches and other automotive accessories and has for 40+ years? (recently went public ... maybe 5 years ago?)

They've been going thru a transition period with a new CEO (as of last year), consolidating and streamlining processes ...

but it's causing inventory and sales numbers to be down while doing so.

At $3 a share today, seems like a bargain as people over react to the ER. Was trading in the mid 5's before ER and high 6's a month ago.

Full disclosure: I'm a rookie at trading stocks and I have no business giving advice. Do your own research.
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... and this. 

Picked up a bunch of HZN at $1.95 a share back then.

Trading this week for around $5.00. So I'm up about $11k with this one.

Hoping to ride it out a couple more months to make gains long term before I dump.

 
So I’m still sort of a noob to this. When you see things like “analysts have a buy signal for amazon at 2300” does that mean that’s what they think it’s worth now? 6 months from now? A year? 

 
GoBirds said:
I probably need to consider this, wouldn’t account still go to wife though if you passed I guess this just makes it easier?
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I think making each other the beneficiary on all accounts should do it. Also a living trust to help avoid probate if you end up in that big forum in the sky? I'm not an expert here but have planned doing something for 10 years. I believe Dave Ramsey has an affordable solution.

 
GoBirds said:
I probably need to consider this, wouldn’t account still go to wife though if you passed I guess this just makes it easier?
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This is copied from Vanguard’s site regarding JTWROS:

A form of account registration in which two or more individuals share an undivided interest in an account. In the event of one tenant's death, the surviving tenant (or tenants) automatically inherits the property without the necessity of court proceedings.

it must make it easier for the surviving spouse. 

 
GoBirds said:
I probably need to consider this, wouldn’t account still go to wife though if you passed I guess this just makes it easier?
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It avoids probate and allows immediate access.  The same kind of thing should be done with all IRAs, 401ks, etc.  On those you can't have joint survivorship, but you set the beneficiary; I have my wife as primary beneficiary and the kids as contingent.  These days with everything online setting this stuff is pretty easy.  Probably the hardest one to do is the house - also have that one as joint ownership.  We have precious little that would go through probate if either passed.  Well, lets face it, when I pass - pretty sure the wife will around at 95.

 
Capella said:
So I’m still sort of a noob to this. When you see things like “analysts have a buy signal for amazon at 2300” does that mean that’s what they think it’s worth now? 6 months from now? A year? 
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Lots of times they'll have a buy range, like what you said.  They'll also come out with buy targets - what they see as the fair price at the moment.  

I don't pay too much attention to individual predictions like this - they're about as accurate as a blindfolded dartboard thrower.  This is a great article.  Shows how most stocks are duds.  If you can manage to just buy the non-crappy ones you're well ahead of most.  This is why I tend to look at dividend payers and growers.  Just my preference, as I'm pretty conservative - they do tend to be stable companies with good cash flows, etc.

 
Sand said:
It avoids probate and allows immediate access.  The same kind of thing should be done with all IRAs, 401ks, etc.  On those you can't have joint survivorship, but you set the beneficiary; I have my wife as primary beneficiary and the kids as contingent.  These days with everything online setting this stuff is pretty easy.  Probably the hardest one to do is the house - also have that one as joint ownership.  We have precious little that would go through probate if either passed.  Well, lets face it, when I pass - pretty sure the wife will around at 95.
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This is all good info, thanks to all you guys for the responses. I’m in same boat w a younger wife who is going to outlast me for sure so probably need to update all this. The only downside I guess is when she leaves me for the pool boy any accounts I had before half goes towards his Porsche?😁

 
Looks like another down day again. SMH that I didn't sell my handful of vested AMZN above $2k. I had a feeling I should. Still have a decent amount of cash hanging around so watching, but not quite sure if we are close to another bottom because things have been so rosy this year. My last purchases were May 13th, but I had way more confidence buying at those prices. Made 1 mistake that's down a little, luckily my smallest and my biggest was luckily my best at still over 50% up. Starting to see some of the stocks getting close to those levels, but others I liked are still way up since then and since growth stocks seemed to be getting kicked around now, might go lower.

 
Bossman said:
I've been making a small profit during my 3 month FBG suspension.

Long TVIX, then short TVIX ... then long ....  just unloaded some heavy TVIX bags today for a nice profit.

This stuff has burned me before but I've either figured it out or I'm getting lucky.

Locked in long term gains on 40 shares of AMZN @ $1900.

Looks like I may be able to pick those 40 back up for $1800 or less here.

Holding on to see where she settles.
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Starting my reload of AMZN today. Order in @ 1750.

I've got a small fortune ready to invest. Any other bargains that I should be looking at?

 
Bossman said:
Starting my reload of AMZN today. Order in @ 1750.

I've got a small fortune ready to invest. Any other bargains that I should be looking at?
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I’ve got a lot and I’m kicking myself for not investing in a weed/CBD stock last week. Up around 80% including 10% today. Watched it go from 14 to 18 only to go into the 13s and now 23s. Dumb ### me.

Lots of good growth companies getting whacked. Trying to figure out if this blood letting will continue or not. They’re all down 5-7% but they’ve gone up so much this year that they still have plenty to go down if high growth stocks have fallen a bit out of favor due to high price/sales. Many down more than what they were before some great earnings reports this past couple weeks.

I’m still not sure but I'm certainly not the best judge of timing as seen above.

 
stbugs said:
I’ve got a lot and I’m kicking myself for not investing in a weed/CBD stock last week. Up around 80% including 10% today. Watched it go from 14 to 18 only to go into the 13s and now 23s. Dumb ### me.

Lots of good growth companies getting whacked. Trying to figure out if this blood letting will continue or not. They’re all down 5-7% but they’ve gone up so much this year that they still have plenty to go down if high growth stocks have fallen a bit out of favor due to high price/sales. Many down more than what they were before some great earnings reports this past couple weeks.

I’m still not sure but I'm certainly not the best judge of timing as seen above.
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Which weed stocks are you looking at?

I'm in CRON and ACB and they've been on the down swing for a while.

 
Bossman said:
Which weed stocks are you looking at?

I'm in CRON and ACB and they've been on the down swing for a while.
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CBWTF and CWBHF. The latter is the one I’ve been following and missed a golden opportunity last week. Everything else was going so well and I wasn’t paying enough attention.

Hey, my one loser so far this year is up today! Woo hoo.

 
Bossman said:
Starting my reload of AMZN today. Order in @ 1750.

I've got a small fortune ready to invest. Any other bargains that I should be looking at?
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AMZN order triggered.

Tried to sell off the last of my TVIX @ 22.85 at the end of the day today.

Didn't trigger but it's up to $23.70 after hours. LOL ... sometimes you win when you don't get what you want.

 
Bossman said:
whoa ... up another $4 a share after hours. 

should be fun tomorrow.
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May be buying tomorrow. Everything I checked except one was down 3% or so after hours. Still pissed that I missed making a lot of money on that damn weed stock. Paying too much attention to the other stuff going bonkers last week and then blowing up this week.

 
Bossman said:
Starting my reload of AMZN today. Order in @ 1750.

I've got a small fortune ready to invest. Any other bargains that I should be looking at?
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I like BAC, PFE, JWN, NKTR.

Someone else mentioned CBWTF which I bought at $1 and watched it march straight down to 55 cents. Bought more on the way down but dumped it about a month ago. In other words, beware listening to me.

 
Capella said:
Amz at 1720. Guess I’m buying more tomorrow. 
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Dang, missed it.

I really need to get on board with after hours trading.

Looking to pick up more AMZN, was trading at 1720 after hours yesterday ... opened at 1770 today. Sheesh.

looking to sell my TVIX, was trading at $26 after hours yesterday ... opened at $20 today. WTF?

 
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