What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Stock Thread (29 Viewers)

All of my inverse plays paying off...
TLT like valic funds paid off big for me this year but I bailed at 1/2 on Friday and other 1/2 on Monday. Tried a dead cat bounce timed buy and that failed, so as of yesterday, I sit and watch.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Been a long time since anyone has seen a full blown wash out panic selling day in the markets. We haven't even hit a day where they throw the circuit breakers in forever. have we?

 
I bought in when the Medicare Advantage stuff started coming out. Seemed like huge potential for them. $65-ish, I think.
I question myself too much. I’m getting better and aside from them (might buy if they dip again, which I’m sure they will), definitely thinking about dabbling in some. Bought two stocks right before the bell as I think the prices were right again. Only spent a small portion of my cash.

 
Wow

bought XOM and MRK mid-morning, and doubled up at close for $1/$2 off respectively.

I always place limit orders below the current price, every purchase today ended up below my limit price, I’ve never had that happen before.

 I still have cash to put to work / light on fire.

I’m a long term holder but wish me luck. 

 
This is like 2008 selling here. Nasdaq is down like 11% or so in 4 days. 
That’s what happens with all these programs and analytics. TDOC best revenue estimates by 1.76%. It’s up around 20% and had already been up 40% in the past two months. If it were a cloud software company with the exact same numbers it would have gotten crushed this week for not beating numbers enough.

 
Not sure why anyone would want to leave money in this market right now ...

other than hedge / inverse or virus vaccine stocks.

My portfolio lost 100K this week before I sold everything this morning.

I just couldn't continue to sit back and watch it evaporate..

Don't know how much more it would have been down after today.  Safe to say, I saved myself thousands.

 
I own this as well. I doubt the gains hold, but hopefully. 
It should based on estimates but again this isn’t something I’m selling any time soon. It’s my highest holding behind AMZN. DCAing some more 401k money tomorrow! That helps with a little of the sting.

Looks like the two stocks I bought are up after hours. One had a good earnings report so glad I got it at a nice discount. Sit on it a while now. 

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Not sure why anyone would want to leave money in this market right now ...

other than hedge / inverse or virus vaccine stocks.

My portfolio lost 100K this week before I sold everything this morning.

I just couldn't continue to sit back and watch it evaporate..

Don't know how much more it would have been down after today.  Safe to say, I saved myself thousands.
I’m not taking an income tax sized hit on gains and I’m way more long term than you are. If my stocks are still growing like gangbusters and I’ve got a 10-15 year timeframe, I’m not jumping ship and potentially missing a recovery. And by recovery, I’m not talking next week. Not sure how long it will go down but just 401k and matching wise my wife and I should be investing another $40k+ so it’s nice to have some DCAing going on. I sat through the ####ty 2000s, so I’ll have no worries even if this lasts several years again. That just means my cash on the sidelines and my new 401k investing will be buying low for the next cycle. That said if you pick the right stocks they’ll hopefully be beating the market.

 
(28%)American companies are seeking to cut their reliance on China as coronavirus outbreak disrupts production, crimps revenue
 

Some American companies are seeking to cut their reliance on China as coronavirus outbreak disrupts production, crimps revenue

Revenue in China will fall in 2020 if the coronavirus continues to disrupt work through April, said half of the respondents in AmCham China’s survey

Some US companies are shifting out of China, with 28 per cent polled saying they are setting up, or using alternative supply chains, according to a separate survey by AmCham Singapore

 
A little note on the indexes today. Approximations of course.

S&P - maxed out at 2.82% above today's bottom.

NAZ - maxed out at 3.21% above today's bottom.

R2K - maxed out at 3.73% above today's bottom. I think this could be a good play off the bottom. R2K has taken such a beating and always does. It did not fall the furthest AND rose the fastest.

We are holding at the 200 day MA for the S&P.
Bye S&P 200 day MA. 200 day MA for the NAZ is next up.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
It should based on estimates but again this isn’t something I’m selling any time soon. It’s my highest holding behind AMZN. DCAing some more 401k money tomorrow! That helps with a little of the sting.

Looks like the two stocks I bought are up after hours. One had a good earnings report so glad I got it at a nice discount. Sit on it a while now. 
Looks like TTD is now up more than today’s loss  (up 8%) and my other stock is up 5% after both earning reports today. That’ll help a little. 

 
Contemplating moving everything including 401K to cash. Coca Cola is warning of a Diet Coke shortage because they can't get the sweetener from China. #### is real and ain't getting better. 
I hope I made the right call. I went into my IRA's through Ameritrade and sold all my ETF's when they were down around 1.7% today. Saw they ended down 4.5%. I'm staying on the sidelines for a bit. I left my 401K as is. 80% of my retirement is in IRA's due to a rollover. 

 
I'm sure there are plenty of talking head articles over the years that said this could never happen. This is quite historic with the speed of the drain. Guy on right now said what is usually correct, Monday ends up being the worst day. 

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I think the thing that worries me the most is nothing has even really happened yet domestically with this virus. Feels like that could be a real S hitting the fan moment. 

 
UAL off it's low but ended up down for the day.  

Here's a stonk that said, we are rescinding all guidance, good luck guys, and the market bought into it.  

It will take me a long time to digest that.

 
I think the thing that worries me the most is nothing has even really happened yet domestically with this virus. Feels like that could be a real S hitting the fan moment. 
Yeah, pretty much barring a stroke of luck vaccine. Even then the damage has been done and by the time that gets released to the general public, we could already be in recession if this spreads.

 
Yeah, pretty much barring a stroke of luck vaccine. Even then the damage has been done and by the time that gets released to the general public, we could already be in recession if this spreads.
Yea I have to say I really don’t know how to play this. I’ve already lost so much money I don’t want to bail and miss any returns but the thought of stomaching another 10% is pretty ridiculous. I’m in long on everything but it still is hard to watch. 

 
I hope I made the right call. I went into my IRA's through Ameritrade and sold all my ETF's when they were down around 1.7% today. Saw they ended down 4.5%. I'm staying on the sidelines for a bit. I left my 401K as is. 80% of my retirement is in IRA's due to a rollover. 
Age and risk aversion is variable, but like Capella posted above...if this hits the US, you probably made the right call.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Yea I have to say I really don’t know how to play this. I’ve already lost so much money I don’t want to bail and miss any returns but the thought of stomaching another 10% is pretty ridiculous. I’m in long on everything but it still is hard to watch. 
Well if it makes ya feel any better, the guys I listen to say the longterm bull market target is 3800-4000. Then a sell off again. No time frame given for obvious reasons (this virus). Dude also predicted a 30% move in early 2020. He didn't know which way but that's what he said. I only read his stuff and no longer follow minute by minute. That got me in trouble. I follow the long term forecast. I also really listen to Adam Mancini's twitter. He has great analysis.

 
Yea I have to say I really don’t know how to play this. I’ve already lost so much money I don’t want to bail and miss any returns but the thought of stomaching another 10% is pretty ridiculous. I’m in long on everything but it still is hard to watch. 
I'm no expert but you might want to take a measured approach. Don't view it as 100% In/Out. If you're not sure maybe pull some out. Smooth out that risk curve in case this is magically the bottom (which I don't think it could be). 

 
Mom and pop investor got duped again.

I'm no expert but you might want to take a measured approach. Don't view it as 100% In/Out. If you're not sure maybe pull some out. Smooth out that risk curve in case this is magically the bottom (which I don't think it could be). 
It's hard to pull the trigger now but that's probably the best move. If it drops, you at least saved some and if it goes up with no magic bullet, it's most likely a dead cat bounce where funds sell into strength. I already did that when I tried to time a dead cat bounce Tuesday. Should have just stayed in the TLT type funds.

 
Even with some cash and hedges galore in place, I'm still feeling the pain from this week.

Truly brutal. 
My portfolio is down about 3% with hedges, and I’m feeling about as good as I could expect. Kicking myself in retrospect for not buying up stock in a protective mask company (APT going parabolic, so predictable).

 
Tomorrow around an hour before market close.
And finish everyone off on Monday when they look at the $ they used to have over the weekend?

Because of coronavirus, could the next big run be on biotech stocks instead of the FANG stocks? Meaning could big money take this opportunity to pump up another group of stocks? Something  to watch. I will definitely have $ biotech when I pull the trigger.

 
Oof. I’m down like 10% in the blink of an eye.  Wish I hadn’t gone so heavy into the market like a month ago....  glad at least a quarter is on the sidelines. 

 
Well if it makes ya feel any better, the guys I listen to say the longterm bull market target is 3800-4000. Then a sell off again. No time frame given for obvious reasons (this virus). Dude also predicted a 30% move in early 2020. He didn't know which way but that's what he said. I only read his stuff and no longer follow minute by minute. That got me in trouble. I follow the long term forecast. I also really listen to Adam Mancini's twitter. He has great analysis.
Good info. Thanks. 

 
CNBC

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said it revised its guidelines to allow clinicians across the U.S. to test more people suspected of carrying the new coronavirus. Under the prior federal guidelines, clinicians could test suspected COVID-19 patients if they had traveled recently from China or had been in contact with someone known to be infected. Some lawmakers criticized the CDC’s previous guidance as too restrictive. The new guidelines, which were posted to the CDC’s website Thursday, appear to place more power in the hands of local health practitioners to determine who should get tested. —Feuer

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top