GoBirds
Footballguy
I think I’m with you, there will be more opportunities ahead. I got lucky with BA and need to take a step back....may still keep averaging in to my Vanguard funds at a higher rate since we are still well off the highs.
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Stock Thread (12 Viewers)
- Thread starter St. Louis Bob
- Start date
Shula-holic
Footballguy
My 401K for 2019 hit 1/8/20. So I averaged in a little taxable into VFIAX on 3/18/20. Looking for more. VEMAX as well.
Sand
Footballguy
Pretty close. Maybe 10% exposed to stocks, 80% cash (some long bonds in there I stayed put with).
TripItUp
Footballguy
for me it's a feel...when we hit 18K Dow it just felt right.
Right now with three up days for the first time in several weeks...feels like the wrong time.
ghostguy123
Footballguy
Opposite of a sell off
gruecd
Footballguy
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
Capella
Footballguy
Shula-holic
Footballguy
Back over SP 3000 by next Mon-Tue? 
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The Ref
Footballguy
Todem
Footballguy
Next leg down....you gotta go in Sand.
I will post here when I am. You can’t time the bottom.....ever. Long term. Think long!
Todem
Footballguy
Market priced that in Monday.
But more bad news ahead.....this is not over. And if not.....wonderful. But I have seen this movie before with different actors.
And BTW there are plenty of values still in the market.
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TripItUp
Footballguy
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
I do know that bear markets and pandemics collectively take at least 3 weeks to self correct and return to normal.
While that sounds funny, wouldn’t that be thought process behind someone buying right now, especially after this rally?
While that sounds funny, wouldn’t that be thought process behind someone buying right now, especially after this rally?
proteus126
Footballguy
The algos must like something in the recent movements.
But yeah, I agree with the thought that a retest of lows should lie ahead. Just sit back and marvel at the mad lurching beast that is the U.S. market at the moment.
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Golf Guy 69
Footballguy
They got 4.5 trillion in the bail out package alone for big business 450 billion leveraged by 10.
It's been over a decade since we have had market movements like this.
Not saying a retest is not in the cards but if there isn't one, the reason the talking heads will give (after the fact) is that this selloff was not based on economic fundamentals. It was based on an external event, never before seen or contemplated. At least that is what Cramu will say, along with he saw it coming.
I need a retest because I sold most of my holdings yesterday.
Not saying a retest is not in the cards but if there isn't one, the reason the talking heads will give (after the fact) is that this selloff was not based on economic fundamentals. It was based on an external event, never before seen or contemplated. At least that is what Cramu will say, along with he saw it coming.
I need a retest because I sold most of my holdings yesterday.
dkp993
Footballguy
TripItUp
Footballguy
My guess is we see at least 1 more retest and some CNBC analysts seem to agree...who knows. With the Fed pumping money the market could react a lot different than other crashes.
Sand
Footballguy
This level is about where I got off, so really not that bad off. Now if she goes right back to 3400 I'm hosed.
TripItUp
Footballguy
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NajehHejan
Footballguy
yes please. i'm about where i got out as well but am starting to feel like i'm seriously missing out.
WHERE ARE THE SCREAMING VALUE BUYS STILL!!!!!!????!!!11!!/!!
Bonfire
Footballguy
As this is a fear driven market, and we are such a celebrity worshipful culture I am waiting for a celebrity death to spook the herd.
Sad to say, but I imagine there would be a lot more panic and reaction if Tom Hanks or whoever were to die vs reports of a faceless ten thousand.
If this were to happen I expect another rush for the exits.
Sad to say, but I imagine there would be a lot more panic and reaction if Tom Hanks or whoever were to die vs reports of a faceless ten thousand.
If this were to happen I expect another rush for the exits.
Big League Chew
Footballguy
siffoin
Footballguy
What is the method you use to determine "value"?
edit: Not to say I don't like your picks...some of them I think represent great value. Just asking how YOU determine it
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Bossman
Footballguy
Markets up 3 days in a row? Back to Bull already?
... but what about the recession? ... and all of the small businesses that are permanently closing?
Wow, .... turns out this was never a real recession.
... and yeah, I understand the costs of owning a business. I own 2 for 3 decades. Mine aren't going anywhere.
Payroll expenses? Health insurance? ... what do you think all of these unemployment numbers are? you think people are getting paid AND collecting unemployment?
People are "laid off" not terminated. 98% will have jobs waiting for them when we get thru this.
Now I'm not going to pretend that I know what the stock market will do. We could very well see more selloff and pain in the next several weeks.
What I do know is that the economy was as strong as it ever was, with record low unemployment, prior to covid 19 landing on US soil.
I have no reason to think it won't return to at least "very healthy" once we get past this. ... and cheap gas to boot!
... but what about the recession? ... and all of the small businesses that are permanently closing?
Wow, .... turns out this was never a real recession.
... and yeah, I understand the costs of owning a business. I own 2 for 3 decades. Mine aren't going anywhere.
Payroll expenses? Health insurance? ... what do you think all of these unemployment numbers are? you think people are getting paid AND collecting unemployment?
People are "laid off" not terminated. 98% will have jobs waiting for them when we get thru this.
Now I'm not going to pretend that I know what the stock market will do. We could very well see more selloff and pain in the next several weeks.
What I do know is that the economy was as strong as it ever was, with record low unemployment, prior to covid 19 landing on US soil.
I have no reason to think it won't return to at least "very healthy" once we get past this. ... and cheap gas to boot!
beef
Footballguy
This is killing me. Bound up at home. I just want to get in the vehicle and take a long road trip. But I live in a place with no cases so I'd only be driving into CV zones.
fred_1_15301
Footballguy
It seems like you might be underestimating the financial impact this will have on a decent proportion of the population by the time we finally get through this.Markets up 3 days in a row? Back to Bull already?
... but what about the recession? ... and all of the small businesses that are permanently closing?
Wow, .... turns out this was never a real recession.
... and yeah, I understand the costs of owning a business. I own 2 for 3 decades. Mine aren't going anywhere.
Payroll expenses? Health insurance? ... what do you think all of these unemployment numbers are? you think people are getting paid AND collecting unemployment?
People are "laid off" not terminated. 98% will have jobs waiting for them when we get thru this.
Now I'm not going to pretend that I know what the stock market will do. We could very well see more selloff and pain in the next several weeks.
What I do know is that the economy was as strong as it ever was, with record low unemployment, prior to covid 19 landing on US soil.
I have no reason to think it won't return to at least "very healthy" once we get past this. ... and cheap gas to boot!
chet
Footballguy
ghostguy123
Footballguy
Market dont care that we have the world lead in confirmed cases now. Futures up.
Golf Guy 69
Footballguy
Our socialist government won't let the market or big business fail. They proved that already. There is no fear and BA proved it, they bucked aid they didn't need and soared.
skycriesmary
Climbing up the Walls
I'm looking at UVXY once we hit 265 on SPY. I didn't have the balls to enter SPXL when I mentioned it a couple of days ago (who needs a 30% return in two days anyway).
ghostguy123
Footballguy
Eh, some people needed to get richer first.
Too bad I have made about a whopping 500 bucks the past week. Yay me
TripItUp
Footballguy
Value to me means limited downside risk, with decent upside with a 1 year horizon. Amazon probably the lowest percentage gainer here but I just like the company and believe they gain market share as result of pandemic.
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need2know
Footballguy
-OZ-
Footballguy
Who do you talk to?
Problem true.
For me, I realized my pain tolerance is pretty high, but perhaps I should have a little closer to 80/20 than 95/5.
Like you said, you got out around here. Now we get to see if you're smarter/ luckier bthan others, and make the right decision going forward. I hope the best for you, but as I'm mostly in, I don't want another big fall. Although I'd be okay with it as I have around $20k to put in our play account sometime soon.
You could change the name to Berkshire Hathaway and the same applies. I might go all in there for our college accounts.
chet
Footballguy
Here's the report . They focused much more on the testing than on the treatment unfortunately. They allude to CYDY but never name the company.
SFBayDuck
Footballguy
I was waiting for the segment and then at the end of the news I had to rewind it when I realized that was probably your guy.
chet
Footballguy
