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Stock Thread (36 Viewers)

kevzilla said:
CYDY under attack again, let's see if support materializes or not.
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I expect it to bounce around until we see some medical trial results.  Not surprised we have stabilized at this level - the move to 10 was quite parabolic and screamed momo.  So it did and got a kick to come back down.  

 
ex-ghost said:
BLMN not taking off today. This may be a long-term hold or a sell off. I really can't see it over 11 anytime soon.
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Sold yesterday at 10.50 and was regretting it a little early this morning as selling too early.  But now glad I did to get out from under it.  If it goes back to mid 9 or below, I'll be back in.  Still lots of profit from the onion YTD.  

 
Getzlaf15 said:
Why do you panic like 3657 times per day?   :lmao:
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New to the game, and a stonk like CYDY is crazy.

Also pissed I didn't sell at 10 when I posted about it the other day right before the attack, also pissed I set a sell limit a few % too high this morning, and now it's dropped like 17% since then.

Lot of emotions, mostly pissed at myself for letting FOMO cost me a lot of money due to my idiocy on a few occasions with this. 

 
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Thoughts on Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF as part of an overall long term investment portfolio that is too high on stocks?

I'm not knowledgeable or comfortable enough to do individual stocks at this time.

 
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ghostguy123 said:
New to the game, and a stonk like CYDY is crazy.

Also pissed I didn't sell at 10 when I posted about it the other day right before the attack, also pissed I set a sell limit a few % too high this morning, and now it's dropped like 17% since then.

Lot of emotions, mostly pissed at myself for letting FOMO cost me a lot of money due to my idiocy on a few occasions with this. 
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I think this stock will bounce until we get news.  Unless you're a day trader, I wouldn't sweat it.  Just hold and be happy when we get the good news.

 
For the past few days with CYDY, $6 has been the lower bound that only temporarily gets breached.  Will be interesting to see if that continues, if the resistance gives way, or if a higher floor is established all in the absence of additional news.  Holding and just adding a bit more as it floats around until some news comes out.

 
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Added some more around $6. With wash sales, my cost basis is now down to $10. Although made some money selling as it went up. 
 

But when are we getting this distribution announcement? Would be a great thing to drop on Monday morning. 

 
sporthenry said:
Added some more around $6. With wash sales, my cost basis is now down to $10. Although made some money selling as it went up. 
 

But when are we getting this distribution announcement? Would be a great thing to drop on Monday morning. 
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How is your cost basis $10?

 
adonis said:
For the past few days with CYDY, $6 has been the lower bound that only temporarily gets breached.  Will be interesting to see if that continues, if the resistance gives way, or if a higher floor is established all in the absence of additional news.  Holding and just adding a bit more as it floats around until some news comes out.
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Yep, 5.70 looks super important.  If we drop beneath there I'm likely going to exit half as an interim step (will look to buy back).

 
sporthenry said:
Added some more around $6. With wash sales, my cost basis is now down to $10. Although made some money selling as it went up. 
 

But when are we getting this distribution announcement? Would be a great thing to drop on Monday morning. 
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It is believed he will make the annoucement on Monday.  Per his interview yesterday, NP said he was signing it this week and announce on Monday.  Who knows if or what may come up to make that not happen.  

 
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djmich said:
Yep, 5.70 looks super important.  If we drop beneath there I'm likely going to exit half as an interim step (will look to buy back).
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And just watching it closely, it seems to hover pretty strongly around 6.7 on the upper end at least from what I've seen (no data analysis).  So between 6.7 and 6.0 for me.  Above the one I'll likely sell more, and below the second I'll likely buy more...at least until those baselines shift noticeably.

 
What kind of software do you guys use who do this regularly?  Is it all just online tickers, or do you rely on some applications to be able to get more real-time analytics?

 
CR69 said:
How is your cost basis $10?
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I mean I'm half kidding. It's what Fidelity reports with the wash sale. I'm net up for the year. But traded it like #### over the past week so lost money. I had a feeling that it may drop like a log so I'd sell at every small drop then buy back at every rally (buy high, sell low). Should have known that a short attack wouldn't have provided enough time to get out. Even did the get out sub $5 and bought back in over $5. Would have been better off just leaving it. Oh well. Still some money to be made at $6. 

 
adonis said:
What kind of software do you guys use who do this regularly?  Is it all just online tickers, or do you rely on some applications to be able to get more real-time analytics?
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I use TD Ameritrades Think or Swim platform.  I think its great

 
Walking Boot said:
Hypothetically, if you buy 1000 shares at $1 each, then sell 500 of them at $2 each, your cost basis on the remaining shares is $0. 

It would be crazy if his average share price was $10 as this thing only tickled $10.01 for a nanosecond before the crash.
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Wash sales adds to your cost basis. I'm half joking, it's just funny and sad when my cost basis is above the ATH. But as I said, I was buying and selling on the way up. So my last buys were in the $9 range, sold at $4.50, bought back at $5.50. Now at 6. Voila, you get a $10 cost basis or what I like to call, tax loss heaven. Now I can buy the next TSLA and not worry about that tax consequences. Anyone got a good parabolic stock idea? 

 
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sporthenry said:
Wash sales adds to your cost basis. I'm half joking, it's just funny and sad when my cost basis is above the ATH. But as I said, I was buying and selling on the way up. So my last buys were in the $9 range, sold at $4.50, bought back at $5.50. Now at 6. Voila, you get a $10 cost basis or what I like to call, tax loss heaven. Now I can buy the next TSLA and not worry about that tax consequences. Anyone got a good parabolic stock idea? 
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KOPN

 
I use fidelity Active Trader Pro, which is free and seems to be crazy powerful to my noob eyes.

UX is customizable but utilitarian... which is to be expected. Quotes appear to be real time with constant updates. 

 
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CNBC - Moderna stock falls by as much as 9.4% after report says late-stage coronavirus vaccine trial delayed

Stonks unfazed by the news. Should be a positive for CYDY actually though. 

 
-OZ- said:
Man, every day should be this normal.

Roth IRA up 2.6%, only holding down there is wolverine.

Trading account is down, mostly CYDY and the onion.
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FWIW, CYDY has a negative Beta, so it generally trades in the opposite direction as the S&P 500

 
Sold the blmn acquired at 10.06 for 10.30. Chipping away at small gains while we waited for the pop

 
This is from Ihub.  I thought it was interesting.

The Judas Sheep 

In agricultural terms a Judas Sheep is used to help herd sheep into the slaughterhouse. The sheep resides on the opposite side of the fence near the intended herd to be harvested. It is induced to start walking up a ramp where the other sheep follow on the opposite side of the fence. 

The Judas Sheep's path veers off and it is taken to the next area to led the next herd. The sheep that followed are slaughtered, processed, and sold as lamb chops, probably served with a side of mint jelly if you have a taste for it. 

In the case of the short seller they are looking to get a few below market sales in. Either between their own accounts or not, so those that follow the spikes and dip will start walking up that ramp into the slaughterhouse. 

The more sales the more sheepish traders slaughtered. Shorts can repeat this process many times until the following happens: 

1. Traders wise up and understand what drives the volatility. 

2. A material event occurs in which shorting becomes suicide. 

3. A material event occurs in which the company folds and that's it. 

4. Shorts get trapped in the volatility and they have to reset or opt for safer hunting grounds. 

Our Situation 

Based on HIV being in the bag the likely outcomes are scenarios events 2 and 4. COVID results will crush shorts sooner, HIV results will crush shorts later. A volatility trap can occur shortly after COVID results and speculation on an emergency phase 2 approval.  

Why Scenarios 1 and 3 Are Off The Table 

First and foremost very few traders break their bad habits of being dumb and panicky. Most of them have never sat down and watch large sums of money come and go, or have the stomach to watch the chart turn into tidal waves. So scenario 1 is not very likely, dumb rules the world. 

Scenario 3 is unlikely for multiple reasons. First our CEO would dump his last dollar into the company. So funding through HIV approval and sales is a gimmie. 100 million shares being able to be sold helps raise funds. COVID results will be in the ballpark of EIND results based on the types of patients and severity treated in the EIND group. 

What My Due Diligence And Gut Tells Me 

We are going to get sniped at and weak hands will fold. The very same people shorting us will then try to ride any good news, well at least those leading the shorts. I am also confident in our science, CEO and the fact that shorts are resulting to dubious tactics to churn out a buck. I take the last part as a sign that it's last call for them and time to pound any last shots they can get in.
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rascal said:
Thoughts on Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF as part of an overall long term investment portfolio that is too high on stocks?

I'm not knowledgeable or comfortable enough to do individual stocks at this time.
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I use a little of that in my portfolio. I actually use VGLT just to get the security of the govt in there. I like the lower correlation than other, intermediate bonds provide. It’s riskier with interest rate risk, but I think it will be some time before interest rates rise. 

 
Only recent news and catalysts on CYDY have been positive so have to invent fake negatives.

Staying long going to ride out the bump. Not selling. 

 
I feel like the events of Tuesday dispel the idea that big pharma played much/any part in the runup to $10. If they were willing to drive the share price up that high in an effort to eventually make a bid, they would have bought all the way down the 9 million share dump and softened the impact. Maybe you can argue they did, and the results would have been worse otherwise, but the Bids the entire slide down don't really support that imo (anecdotal, sure, but it's what it is). A positive to those who are hoping/holding for the cancer scenario. :shrug:

 
Moonlight said:
Only recent news and catalysts on CYDY have been positive so have to invent fake negatives.

Staying long going to ride out the bump. Not selling. 
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Read a comment that the Citron CYDY report had a lot of the same language that their INO report did.  Didn't even bother to write anew - just copy and paste.

 
ConstruxBoy said:
I use a little of that in my portfolio. I actually use VGLT just to get the security of the govt in there. I like the lower correlation than other, intermediate bonds provide. It’s riskier with interest rate risk, but I think it will be some time before interest rates rise. 
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Yeah, I can't see interest rates going up in 2020.

 
I’m brand new to this and don’t know #### but I still feel compelled to remind everybody that CYDY was always a long-term play. The short term run up has been fun but anybody in on this should be in til the Cancer or HIV situation sorts itself out.  

 
Trademark application

The mark consists of a representation of an abstracted antibody on a circular background shown adjacent to the term IMMUVANCE in stylized letters.

Mark For: IMMUVANCE™ trademark registration is intended to cover the categories of therapeutic preparations, namely, therapeutic preparations for the treatment of HIV, cancer, graft-versus-host disease, autoimmune diseases, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, immune system related diseases and disorders, respiratory diseases and disorders, COVID-19, and therapeutic preparations for the prevention of HIV, cancer, graft-versus-host disease, autoimmune diseases, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, immune system related diseases and disorders, respiratory diseases and disorders, COVID-19; therapeutic preparations, namely, antibodies for use in targeting the CCR5 cell receptor.
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Introducing IMMUVANCE

IMMUVANCE, for PrEP... talk to your doctor to see if Immuvance is right for you.  

 
So weird.  I'm up $40k on CYDY this past week or two and it feels like the world is crumbling in here.  The artificial run-up to $10 really skewed thinking. 

#notselling

 
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