Yeah, I’m not a trader so I do miss some momentum stocks. Just one note, Tesla just announced 520 mile batteries and if you’re familiar with Moore’s law and semiconductors, I’d be willing to bet that EVs are going to be on a similar path now that we kind of already see the LCD replacing Tube TVs happening with combustion engines. As sales of EVs accelerate and GM/Ford/VW/Toyota are only selling EVs, I think I’ll be closer to correct that there will be a 1000 mile battery in 5 years. Let’s say my call is by Valentines Day 2026, Elon will have tweeted that the Model Z will have a range of 1000.5 miles. Also, I agree with you on the fast charging, if I go in and out of the grocery store and get 10 miles extra is it worth all the waiting to find an open EV charger spot? Look at the amount of money people spend on convenience today. There will be penny pinchers out there but most people will just charge at home and at work and not try to save $5 a month charging at the grocery store and when 90% of the cars are EVs, my local Publix isn’t paying $100k to outfit the entire parking lot so that people can actually find a charger. Again, I see autonomous driving being the ultimate option to have your car drop you off at dinner, charge at home and pick you back up.Nice edit.
I'm somewhere between the two of you. I tend to agree with bugs that most of these companies seem overvalued and that there seem to be more popping up every day. And yes, battery life is improving and will improve, but I don't think we're going to see a 1,000 mile battery within 5 years. I hope. Hell, I'd be just as happy, maybe even happier, with a 500 mile battery and someone coming up with an Anker Powerbank I can USB into my car from my trunk while I'm moving.
My biggest question is still the tech in the chargers themselves. With Tesla owners used to faster and faster superchargers, getting 15-30 mph is painful unless you're somewhere you can charge all day (work) or you just need a quick top off (an hour at a restaurant) and it's REALLY convenient.
If I'm somewhere I'm unfamiliar, I'll check to see if there are Superchargers nearby. If I'm somewhere I know what's around, I'll hit one up if it's nearby. Otherwise, unless I KNOW I need a few extra miles shortly, I don't bother with the others unless it's crazy convenient. Partially because many of them aren't free, and you never know what kind of process you've gotta go through to use them (Download our app, put in your credit card number, submit your blood sample, run to the store and buy our adapter, and it's just THAT easy). I do love the idea of the BEEM solar stations. Especially for places like office buildings.
I did some toe dipping with BEEM, because GM, and of course I should have held onto it longer. And short-term like BEEM, there are lots of returns to be had. But that's not how he invests for the most part, so it completely makes sense that he'd avoid them. I'm mostly the same. I don't want much to do with them long-term. Doesn't mean there aren't profitable trades to be made.
@General Malaise To address a couple notes, the numbers of current EVs will be a tiny percent of overall EVs in a matter of a few years. Based on some of the Tesla bulls out there, they’ll be selling per year more cars than they’ve sold so far in a few years. Add in all the other EVs coming from everywhere else, 95% of them will be 400-500+ miles in as short as 2023.
I see all the valid points and it’s nice to get back to discussing some future stocks like SE and thoughts on current valuations.
One other note, there will be wireless charging coming soon as well. If someone invents that, I’ll buy the stock because that’s something easy and fits perfectly in autonomous cars like Uber fleets that park themselves, have robots clean up the #### in the back of the car and charge at the same time.
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