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Somebody called Cramer about FLGT today/tonight.  He said he didn't understand why it's going down as it seems like a good company to him.  FWIW

 
😂 You can’t make this #### up. Only in meme world would DWAC be up 24% after hours to over $55 because of news that the SPAC wants to raise $1B in a PIPE.

First, this PIPE would push the company valuation to $3B meaning that this pipe is for 33% of the company.

Second, the share price of the PIPE, for 33% of the company, is $30.

People are jumping all over themselves to by stock at $55 that the company is valuing at $30 and it’s not like they are selling 1% of the company, it’s 1/3 of the company.

Man, the fleecing of America is on. This seems no different than TV evangelists getting rich off of their ardent supporters, who in many cases can barely afford what they are sending to the rich folks fleecing them. Amazing to watch.

 
I already made the mistake of starting a couple other small positions a few weeks ago. All small so can DCA in lower.
Did this with SEMR, CFLT, and MQ (which trades like a penny stock anyway) but they were small. Sold puts on the deep red days to get some premium and if they execute, that’s fine too.

I had some covered calls I sold get close to being called away until the last week. That’s no longer a concern. Silver lining!

 
😂 You can’t make this #### up. Only in meme world would DWAC be up 24% after hours to over $55 because of news that the SPAC wants to raise $1B in a PIPE.

First, this PIPE would push the company valuation to $3B meaning that this pipe is for 33% of the company.

Second, the share price of the PIPE, for 33% of the company, is $30.
$DWAC has a double whammy of MEME stock and a cult following of the guy associated with it. I’m following the story because it’s funny. “We’ll have that social media app launched any day now! It’s gonna be amazing and awesome and LOOK OVER THERE!” :steals bags of money, runs:

 
$FLGT already confirmed they can detect the Omnichannelbot variant. These guys are good, even if they’re planning to return the means of production to the state.

ETA: This concludes my morning blog update

 
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I don't look at the indices much.  Too macro of a view and doesn't tell a clear story.  Following the sector charts has done well for me.  There have been multiple 5-10% sector corrections post-Covid crash but they get covered up if you're only looking at the S&P, Naz or Dow charts.  Play the sector ETFs or dig into them and find the individual stocks that are leading/trailing the others to find value or get ready to take profits on.  That's been working well for me and I'll continue to do it until it doesn't.    

For my 401k (TSP) I've been like the Fed and never stopped pumping since the Covid crash.  I just got so used to the money getting taken out I don't even miss it.  

 
Did this with SEMR, CFLT, and MQ (which trades like a penny stock anyway) but they were small. Sold puts on the deep red days to get some premium and if they execute, that’s fine too.

I had some covered calls I sold get close to being called away until the last week. That’s no longer a concern. Silver lining!
MQ is something I’ve been watching as well. It’s down a ton and the P/S while high is about 20 now and they are still growing this year by almost 100% so it’s not unreasonable. Seems also like a good way to play crypto as well. One day, when I’ve got the time, I should get better at options usage. 

 
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$FLGT already confirmed they can detect the Omnichannelbot variant. These guys are good, even if they’re planning to return the means of production to the state.

ETA: This concludes my morning blog update
This is one of the reasons I like FLGT as well. They seem hyper flexible and based on their ridiculous success in COVID testing, we have proof that they are nimble. I also love the idea that they have no need for future dilution and have a war chest for acquisitions to grow other channels. Throw in the core growth and they give me a nice level of confidence in their abilities.

 
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Did this with SEMR, CFLT, and MQ (which trades like a penny stock anyway) but they were small. Sold puts on the deep red days to get some premium and if they execute, that’s fine too.

I had some covered calls I sold get close to being called away until the last week. That’s no longer a concern. Silver lining!
I added SEMR this morning.  Still a small stake and not even a half position.  

 
Shouldn't, but did.  DCA'd on AI at 29.90 & 28.15 

dummy... you should really rid yourself of this cancer.  

 
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All right @beefwhat price is a good entry point for MTTRW?
I'm strictly a tailer on MTTR/W with an average around $7.75 and it's still 40% above it's 50 DMA so it's hard for me to even consider adding from a short term play.  Maybe I'd consider it if that 50 DMA gap closes and it gets down to a $12.50 range???  @Sand is in for the long haul.  Not sure if he's considering adding more or not though since it sounds like he has a hefty position already.            

 
I'm strictly a tailer on MTTR/W with an average around $7.75 and it's still 40% above it's 50 DMA so it's hard for me to even consider adding from a short term play.  Maybe I'd consider it if that 50 DMA gap closes and it gets down to a $12.50 range???  @Sand is in for the long haul.  Not sure if he's considering adding more or not though since it sounds like he has a hefty position already.            
From my point of view it has mooned a lot lately, so I'd still be pretty careful about jumping in- still pretty high up there.  Though I say that as someone who has a pile and am happy just sitting on what I have.  I'll fully admit I have no idea what financials are on this - I like the technology and moonshotted this.

 
Yep. Just read that over the last 30 days, around 95% of the stocks in the S&P are down 25% or more while the index itself is only down 4%. So, some people might be waiting for the handful of stocks that are propping the index up (AAPL, etc) to collapse because they assume they will drag the other 95% of the stocks with them. That could happen. Or not. I’m still planning on scaling in my 15% cash soon but it’ll be slow. If the indexes themselves collapse I’ll increase my 401k contribution which is the only move I ever really make in there since they’re just funds.


I saw another article on Fidelity this morning that 79% of stocks are below their 20-day MA which is the 3rd lowest since the March 2020 crash (92% in Sept 2020 and 88% in Sept 2021).

My portfolio's drop certainly looks like the last few big QQQ/SPY pullbacks, even if the indexes themselves don't.  I guess the questions going forward are two-fold...

1) If the indexes continue to pullback, will it be kind of the opposite of the last few days where it will be the big companies finally falling while the smaller stuff stays flat, or will it drag the smaller stuff down even further creating a kind of double whammy on those

2) With so much of this predicated on changes to fed policy, will growth stuff bounce back this time?  I could definitely foresee a scenario where the indexes bounce back to new ATH's but a lot of these growth stocks we trade a lot in here are still down 30-40% from their highs of last month.

 
From my point of view it has mooned a lot lately, so I'd still be pretty careful about jumping in- still pretty high up there.  Though I say that as someone who has a pile and am happy just sitting on what I have.  I'll fully admit I have no idea what financials are on this - I like the technology and moonshotted this.
I looked and it’s really pricey, like 100 times sales. I was looking at it when it was around $14-15 but even though I like it, it seems way overvalued right now. It’s a cool tech and has a lot of applications but their revenue isn’t even growing Q over Q and they already have a real business. I’m not planning to jump in unless it runs back down a bit.

 
KR up huge today that tailed me in October.  Just sold those shares for about a 20% gain.  Will look to add those back around $40 or sell the rest around $50.

 
We took some fresh positions (half positions) in:

CRM

ADSK

V

MA

FB


This seems quicker than you originally intended to start buying.  Did you see something that makes you feel like it's time to start adding back in, or is this just a small nibble on the cash you pulled out last month?

 
Valuations were high no doubt.  The low interest rates however supported the valuations.  Take those away and we will see a correction.  I just don't think the Fed will do anything until late spring/summer at the earliest.  
Sure, except the market is forward looking so is already beginning to price in the expected rate hikes that are likely coming next spring/summer.

 
What is up with Upstart?  Or should I call it Downstart.  Plummetted to $160 where i added.
This is a good example of what I mean- sure, it's down ~50% from the highs, but it's still up over 280% ytd. It could get cut in half from here and still be almost a double on the year- who the heck knows what it's really "worth"?

 
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Sold a bunch of losers this morning and bought 100 shares of VRTX.  For context, they are making some noise currently for a breakthrough treatment of Type 1 Diabetes and as a dad of a child with T1D, this looks really promising.  Long way to go, of course, but man, a world with a cure for T1D is one I want to cheer for.  

https://www.healthline.com/diabetesmine/vertex-type-1-diabetes-research

 
Sold a bunch of losers this morning and bought 100 shares of VRTX.  For context, they are making some noise currently for a breakthrough treatment of Type 1 Diabetes and as a dad of a child with T1D, this looks really promising.  Long way to go, of course, but man, a world with a cure for T1D is one I want to cheer for.  

https://www.healthline.com/diabetesmine/vertex-type-1-diabetes-research
Thanks for posting. I came across a NYT headline the other day when I was looking into another company but it was behind a paywall so I couldn't see the company name. Then I saw a squirrel and completely forgot about it. Adding to my watchlist but rooting them on either way.

 
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Yep. Just read that over the last 30 days, around 95% of the stocks in the S&P are down 25% or more while the index itself is only down 4%. So, some people might be waiting for the handful of stocks that are propping the index up (AAPL, etc) to collapse because they assume they will drag the other 95% of the stocks with them. That could happen. Or not. I’m still planning on scaling in my 15% cash soon but it’ll be slow. If the indexes themselves collapse I’ll increase my 401k contribution which is the only move I ever really make in there since they’re just funds.
I thought these numbers seemed out of whack- they just said on CNBC that it's 53% of the S&P are down 10% or more from their 52 week highs.  :)

 
What is up with Upstart?  Or should I call it Downstart.  Plummetted to $160 where i added.


Sold these.  Plus 9% in an hour....ring the bell.

Really miss the days when I had time to follow stocks closely and catch gifts like this.

 
Thanks for posting. I came across a NYT headline the other day when I was looking into another company but it was behind a paywall so I couldn't see the company name. Then I saw a squirrel and completely forgot about it. Adding to my watchlist but rooting them on either way.
Only costs a quarter million dollars, a year. 

 
Sold these.  Plus 9% in an hour....ring the bell.

Really miss the days when I had time to follow stocks closely and catch gifts like this.
Seems like you still have time obviously. I missed that. I remember reading an article that was cautious on UPST and they said get in at $150 so that’s close to someone’s target who was on the negative side. Seems like a solid price.

 
This is one of the reasons I like FLGT as well. They seem hyper flexible and based on their ridiculous success in COVID testing, we have proof that they are nimble. I also love the idea that they have no need for future dilution and have a war chest for acquisitions to grow other channels. Throw in the core growth and they give me a nice level of confidence in their abilities.
It's actually down on the day. Added more.

 
If it's more infectious and less fatal, the virus might actually be doing us a favor. More sick and less dead might be the way out.

 

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