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Stock Thread (24 Viewers)

beef said:
Was thinking about people out of work and what that might do, and if some sectors can report earnings that live up to their recent runs too.  I like banks this year and will stay long on them, but they've been on a huge run, lots of new highs.  Kind of feels like some will have to crush it to keep their prices where they are.  Just meeting expectations might cause them to drop 5-10%.  Think a few report end of this week or real soon too so I might do a little more trimming in BNKU.  
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I’ll be honest, I think the same thing. It’s been value over growth recently but there was a disconnect in how much growth got pummeled and how much value had run. It was almost like people didn’t realize how well a lot of stocks had done and how much they already went up. I’m not sure value is a term that applies anymore.

 
beef said:
Humana down 20% since Wednesday's close.  Seems a bit of an overreaction.  Might have to make some room in the Roth for this one.  
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Shares of Humana Inc. (HUM) rallied 1.4% in premarket trading Wednesday, after the health insurer disclosed a $1.0 billion accelerated share repurchase agreement. The ASR, which is part of the $3.0 billion share repurchase program announced in February 2021, represents about 2% of Humana's market capitalization of $50.3 billion as of Tuesday's close. The stock has bounced 7.8% over the past two days, following the 20.3% plunge over the previous two days after the company slashed its Medicare Advantage membership growth outlook. The stock has slumped 6.8% over the past three months through Tuesday, while the S&P 500 has gained 8.3%.
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McBokonon said:
INMD pre-announced this morning.

Record revenue for the fourth quarter in the range of $109.5M-$110M and revenue for the full year of 2021 in the range of $356.5M-$357M, higher than previously announced guidance of $343M-$347M

Record Non-GAAP1 earnings per diluted share for the fourth quarter and full year of 2021 in the range of $0.61 and $0.62 and $2.02 to $2.03, respectively

Non-GAAP1 gross margin for the full year of 2021 in the range of 84-86%

Full year 2022 revenue in the range of $415M-$425M

This thing is a steal, but up 9% premarket.
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Just noticed, that 2022 forecast looks awful unless they are lowballing. That’s basically all four quarters the same as Q4 2021, sequentially flat. That doesn’t seem right.

 
stbugs said:
Just noticed, that 2022 forecast looks awful unless they are lowballing. That’s basically all four quarters the same as Q4 2021, sequentially flat. That doesn’t seem right.
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It’s in-line with what they said previously. Still 18% YoY and yeah, probably conservative with COVID uncertainty considering what they do. I certainly wouldn’t raise guidance if I was them. 

 
INMD coming back down, as if the premarket rise never happened.   

 
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Todem said:
Picked up some defense and dividends today and started a position for the first time in Novartis AG.

NVS

Very nice looking balance sheet, 10% annual dividend growth. Solid pharma stock.

3.55% current yield

I also have added some more CRM and TGT today.
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I trimmed Targee (and CRM) to add cash.  It's down close to 20% from it's peak, I guess that's correction or "bear" market.  I agree with your call here.  It may drift down further, but the premise of your theory has been met so it's time to execute.

 
Todem said:
Picked up some defense and dividends today and started a position for the first time in Novartis AG.

NVS

Very nice looking balance sheet, 10% annual dividend growth. Solid pharma stock.

3.55% current yield

I also have added some more CRM and TGT today.
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I'm a longtime NVS fan and I also added some CRM today. 

 
BassNBrew said:
I trimmed Targee (and CRM) to add cash.  It's down close to 20% from it's peak, I guess that's correction or "bear" market.  I agree with your call here.  It may drift down further, but the premise of your theory has been met so it's time to execute.
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Yeah it’s almost impossible to time bottoms.

 
SFBayDuck said:
Looking for the next OKE, which is in a daily battle with SE for supremacy in my portfolio, I started a position in HESM this week that I'm planning on building on.  J.C. Parets mentioned it on the Compound and Friends podcast recently as a breakout candidate that would benefit from energy hitting new highs that pays a 7.5% dividend while you wait.  They mention MLPs in relation to it but Hess transitioned from an MLP back in late 2019, so my understanding is that there isn't an issue holding it in a tax advantaged account (someone please feel free to "check my math" on that!).

Of course I also own 20M SHIB coins, so do your own research!
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I built up a triple position of HESM over a couple of weeks in late October and early November, and it's been working  - now above 52-week closing high with this solid march it's had since late November, up about 25% in that time.  And even with this price increase it's still at a 6.9% yield, and the dividend has climbed steadily over the past couple of years.

Although looking at the above it also reminds me that SE has slid from the 2nd largest position in my Roth all the way to 10th with the way it's been hammered recently. :(

 
SFBayDuck said:
I built up a triple position of HESM over a couple of weeks in late October and early November, and it's been working  - now above 52-week closing high with this solid march it's had since late November, up about 25% in that time.  And even with this price increase it's still at a 6.9% yield, and the dividend has climbed steadily over the past couple of years.

Although looking at the above it also reminds me that SE has slid from the 2nd largest position in my Roth all the way to 10th with the way it's been hammered recently. :(
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Dot

Can't use FBG on my desktop.  Anybody else?

 
General Malaise said:
Amazingly their black coffee is worse than BROS. Neither have a dark roast at the ready.  

But I'm not their mark.
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Isn't dark roast sort of what the Pacific Northwest is best known for?  That's why I started buying PNW coffee brands because they were the only ones with good dark roasts.  

 
TQQQ gave me a quick "Oh ####!" moment before I figured out it split.   Doesn't mater, but missed the news on that happening.  

 
beef said:
Isn't dark roast sort of what the Pacific Northwest is best known for?  That's why I started buying PNW coffee brands because they were the only ones with good dark roasts.  
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Honestly, I don't know.  The French Roast from Starbucks is what I buy from Costco.  Whole beans for cheap.  Freshly ground and brewed it's hard to beat.  

 
General Malaise said:
Honestly, I don't know.  The French Roast from Starbucks is what I buy from Costco.  Whole beans for cheap.  Freshly ground and brewed it's hard to beat.  
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I like the San Francisco Bay French Roast beans from Costco more than the Starbucks ones if you’ve never tried them. Happen to be cheaper, too.

 
beef said:
Isn't dark roast sort of what the Pacific Northwest is best known for? That's why I started buying PNW coffee brands because they were the only ones with good dark roasts.  
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Nossa Familia  (French roast) for the win. Easily the best roaster in Portland, you can buy it online too.

 
Since we are off topic on coffee. just want to give a shout out to one of my favorite places to get beans.  Ruby Coffee Roasters who are somewhere deep in Wisconsin are awesome.   The price isn't cheap but there is value in the quality.

Starbucks french roast, meh, but to each his own

 
I can't force myself to buy stock in Ford or any of these other legacy auto makers and their dumb dealership models.  Obviously the stock is kicking butt and great for shareholders, but I hate these kind of companies that have to be dragged kicking and screaming into the future.

 
Ford is currently my largest individual holding and I expect Ford to keep rolling, the demand for the lightning is going to be absolutely huge, especially once people that might be on the fence start seeing them in person. 

It's really a joke that Tesla is somehow valued more than Ford, GM, Toyota, Honda, and Nissan (and others) combined while barely being able to produce a fraction of the cars.  While electric cars are great and are going to be the future, Tesla is not going to be the sole surviving automaker in the future. 

 
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stbugs said:
No #### and I hate coffee. WTF happened today that I am unaware of?
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Can't blame interest rates for today as they dropped too.

I think things are just kinda dicey now and selling snowballs into more selling.  :shrug:

 
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stbugs said:
No #### and I hate coffee. WTF happened today that I am unaware of?
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I guess last two days were just a result of the fed being slightly less hawkish than people were worried about, but now we're back to our regular "interest rates are rising by a tiny amount so big tech companies for whom this will be a rounding error need to be sold into bankruptcy" routine.

I think we get one rate raise and before we can do the second the numbers slow down enough.  Like 20% of the CPI index on this recent report was oil and cars, both of which have nothing to do with inflation (and the same can be said about a lot of other things that were affected as well).

 
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Dwayne Hoover said:
Since we are off topic on coffee. just want to give a shout out to one of my favorite places to get beans.  Ruby Coffee Roasters who are somewhere deep in Wisconsin are awesome.   The price isn't cheap but there is value in the quality.

Starbucks french roast, meh, but to each his own
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Well yes, of course I can source better coffee than SBUX but I don't want to spend a fortune getting coffee beans that have been pooped out of a baby sloth or whatever.  For the money, a bag of SBUX French Roast from Costco does just fine.  

 
GreenNGold said:
It's really a joke that Tesla is somehow valued more than Ford, GM, Toyota, Honda, and Nissan (and others) combined while barely being able to produce a fraction of the cars.  While electric cars are great and are going to be the future, Tesla is not going to be the sole surviving automaker in the future. 
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From an auto maker view I agree.  Lot of EV related stocks just don't matchup to the traditional auto maker stocks.  I don't own TSLA or any others and have no intensions of buying them.  But when it comes to TSLA I view it as a lot more than just an auto maker.  I think their biggest asset and value comes from Elon, and all their R&D and tech.  

 
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