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BassNBrew said:
This just in, Lordstown Motors  won't sell trucks to Russia....

or pretty much anyone,

Lordstown Motors CEO Dan Ninivaggi said the company will initially only sell vehicles to a small amount of pre-selected businesses.  Embattled electric vehicle start-up Lordstown Motors expects to produce and sell up to only 3,000 vehicles through next year, the company announced Monday.
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Anyone still playing this one?  I was in it pretty big pre/post SPAC.  Been a while now. 

Used to like the looks of their truck, or at least more than Rivian, CyberDelorean.  But then Ford, Chevy and Ram came out with theirs and I'd much rather own one of these.  

 
beef said:
Anyone still playing this one?  I was in it pretty big pre/post SPAC.  Been a while now. 

Used to like the looks of their truck, or at least more than Rivian, CyberDelorean.  But then Ford, Chevy and Ram came out with theirs and I'd much rather own one of these.  
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Not at all. I got out of SPACs and probably should have sold the last of the stocks that started at SPACs back in November too.

I think I made a couple grand on RIDE. Pretty sure I sold at $29.50 so seeing it at $2.71 makes me feel good. Not for anyone still in it just that at least one call I made in late 2020/early 2021 was good! LAZR was the other one around this time that I got out very well.

 
stbugs said:
Not at all. I got out of SPACs and probably should have sold the last of the stocks that started at SPACs back in November too.

I think I made a couple grand on RIDE. Pretty sure I sold at $29.50 so seeing it at $2.71 makes me feel good. Not for anyone still in it just that at least one call I made in late 2020/early 2021 was good! LAZR was the other one around this time that I got out very well.
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Ended my RIDE about the same time you did.  

 
Apparently the Risk On switch was flipped today.  BLDP, SE, EBS, QS, and since it is basically correlated to other risk assets even crypto are all up pretty big.

Is it that with all the uncertainty due to Ukraine the feeling is that the Fed won't raise rates 4-7 times now?  Something else?

 
SFBayDuck said:
Apparently the Risk On switch was flipped today.  BLDP, SE, EBS, QS, and since it is basically correlated to other risk assets even crypto are all up pretty big.

Is it that with all the uncertainty due to Ukraine the feeling is that the Fed won't raise rates 4-7 times now?  Something else?
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Feels nice seeing some green in these but seems like this year when we have these big blowoff days in these high risk companies it's followed up by a whollleeee lot of consistent selling the next few weeks wiping out those gains and then a lot more.  Almost like it's been people trying to create liquidity to get out of them.

 
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2Squirrels1Nut said:
2Squirrels1Nut said:
On 2/18/2022 at 1:51 PM, 2Squirrels1Nut said:
Bought 1, 6/17/22, SPXL $130 call for $5.70.  Will be looking to add more if the sell off continues. 
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Bought 2 more at $3.90 each
Expand  
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Added 2 more at $3.00 each.  Couldn't get a sub 3 order to fill earlier
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Sold these today for a $700 gain.  Unfortunately think there's going to be another opportunity to buy back in lower. 

 
stinkzmagee said:
One theory is shorts covering driving the rally .  It can happen with a gap down https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/put-sellers-incredible-feb-24th-intraday-reversal.

I unfortunately didn’t get any money in, waiting for things to go lower.  The market can do anything, but I’m thinking (hoping) we see some more downside in the coming weeks as another opportunity.  
 

As always I’d love @Todemopinion on if he thinks that was the bottom or not.
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When you have a geo political event like this.....it is impossible to call any kind of bottom. So much unpredictability and especially with a unstable guy like Putin. 

So no I am not calling a bottom. I am sticking to my thesis the market will whip saw back and forth and stay range bound for the most part and 4th quarter I feel like we will see a real nice rally as long as the market has clarity on inflation, fed policy and the Ukraine/Russia situation. I still think we eek out a low single digit return overall. 

I have a little bit of cash left for one more irrational selling day and we are done. We did a lot of buying on the names I listed last Thursday in that first hour of trading. 

The staples have been selling off more and more because of this invasion as the market is conflicted on supply issues, banking issues etc etc. 

I am in a complete holding pattern on the small amount of cash I have left. I actually feel really good about what I have bought and the prices we got for the long term. 

We have not even finished the 1st quarter of the year.....and a lot of damage has been done. Especially in the Nasdaq. I think the mega tech names represent long term value here long term (especially GOOGL, FB, NFLX, AAPL and AMZN). But there are so many speculative stocks that are still trading at wacky multiples. 

The high multiple growth stocks that I love are:

SHOP

CRM

ADSK

RBLX

NVDA

AMD

And of course AMZN (yeah that multiple is still freaking high lol but they are a monster....a sleeping dragon if you will). 

The rest of my portfolio is the master list filled with great bluechip growing dividend paying stocks.....they never let me down over the long haul. And of course boring staples and ultilties.

 
Looking for a big earnings report from TGT in the morning. I really like what they are doing philosophically as a company (better employee pay and benefits; improving sustainability), and it seems like they are way ahead of the curve with drive up shopping. 

Down 20% last few months and ready to bounce back. 

 
JB Breakfast Club said:
Looking for a big earnings report from TGT in the morning. I really like what they are doing philosophically as a company (better employee pay and benefits; improving sustainability), and it seems like they are way ahead of the curve with drive up shopping. 

Down 20% last few months and ready to bounce back. 
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Big beat. Up 16% premarket

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-01/target-climbs-as-earnings-outlook-exceed-wall-street-estimates

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/01/target-tgt-q4-2021-earnings.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/target-profit-rises-as-annual-revenue-crosses-100-billion-11646134269

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/target-shares-soar-premarket-as-profit-beats-offsets-revenue-miss-company-offers-upbeat-guidance-2022-03-01

 
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The Man With No Name said:
Big beat. Up 16% premarket

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-01/target-climbs-as-earnings-outlook-exceed-wall-street-estimates

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/01/target-tgt-q4-2021-earnings.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/target-profit-rises-as-annual-revenue-crosses-100-billion-11646134269

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/target-shares-soar-premarket-as-profit-beats-offsets-revenue-miss-company-offers-upbeat-guidance-2022-03-01
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I find it really interesting how companies can have very similar results but different stock movements. Target missed revenue and forecasted softer earnings/margins for 2022. The only beat was earnings and from one article that was due to a $2.4B stock repurchase. I definitely wouldn’t call their actual results a big beat. Really surprised they are up this morning considering how the market had been pummeling any miss lately.

Being up 11% with this:

For 2022, the company is now expecting revenue to grow in the low to mid-single digits, while adjusted EPS grows by a high-single digit amount.

 
JB Breakfast Club said:
Looking for a big earnings report from TGT in the morning. I really like what they are doing philosophically as a company (better employee pay and benefits; improving sustainability), and it seems like they are way ahead of the curve with drive up shopping. 

Down 20% last few months and ready to bounce back. 
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Nice call.

 
stbugs said:
I find it really interesting how companies can have very similar results but different stock movements. Target missed revenue and forecasted softer earnings/margins for 2022. The only beat was earnings and from one article that was due to a $2.4B stock repurchase. I definitely wouldn’t call their actual results a big beat. Really surprised they are up this morning considering how the market had been pummeling any miss lately.

Being up 11% with this:

For 2022, the company is now expecting revenue to grow in the low to mid-single digits, while adjusted EPS grows by a high-single digit amount.
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P/E (TTM)14.70

 
BassNBrew said:
P/E (TTM)14.70
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PEG of 2 to 3 including share repurchases. Under 1 is good. PEs are always lower for low growth. Single digit earnings growth due to stock repurchases should get a really low PE.

I was honestly surprised at the premarket pop. They missed on almost every tracked number except earnings, due to a big stock repurchase. When I read all the numbers that missed I absolutely thought it was going to get hit hard.

 
Oh and I love their drive up shopping. I only get certain things at Target and it save a bunch of time. I like Target a lot, not up there with Costco, Amazon and the grocery stores, but on that second level with Lowe’s (way closer than HD). Those 5 places would be all I need.

 
BNKU hasn't been at this 46 level since last Summer.  Already have a huge stake in it but I'll buy more here.  

Setting another buy at 45

 
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I'm assuming the financial sector selloff is from Russia fear and some continued uncertainty with rates.  I get the rates, but that seems like it should have been priced in which leaves just the fear.  And how much exposure does BAC, JPM, PNC, GS, USB, MS, WFC, C really have with Russia?  

Seems like too good of a deal on some of these bank stocks that I'm starting to wonder if I'm the fool for thinking they're great buys...  

This helps:  US bank exposure to Russia 'minimal': analyst

Lehman moment ‘not likely’

 
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beef said:
I'm assuming the financial sector selloff is from Russia fear and some continued uncertainty with rates.
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I think a better culprit is counterparty risk. Because of the SWIFT cutoff, somebody(ies) could be holding things they are not getting paid for, ever. That uncertainty is weighing on financials, I think.

 
beef said:
I'm assuming the financial sector selloff is from Russia fear and some continued uncertainty with rates.  I get the rates, but that seems like it should have been priced in which leaves just the fear.  And how much exposure does BAC, JPM, PNC, GS, USB, MS, WFC, C really have with Russia?  

Seems like too good of a deal on some of these bank stocks that I'm starting to wonder if I'm the fool for thinking they're great buys...  

This helps:  US bank exposure to Russia 'minimal': analyst

Lehman moment ‘not likely’
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Didn’t C just say they had almost $10B in exposure? Found it:

https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/citigroup-flags-54-bln-exposure-russian-assets-2022-02-28/

 
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beef said:
I'm assuming the financial sector selloff is from Russia fear and some continued uncertainty with rates.  I get the rates, but that seems like it should have been priced in which leaves just the fear.  And how much exposure does BAC, JPM, PNC, GS, USB, MS, WFC, C really have with Russia?  

Seems like too good of a deal on some of these bank stocks that I'm starting to wonder if I'm the fool for thinking they're great buys...  

This helps:  US bank exposure to Russia 'minimal': analyst

Lehman moment ‘not likely’
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Such a big move in Treasuries will tend to do that.

 
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ghostguy123 said:
JPM a good buy near 52 week low?
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I like JPM and other financials long term and have no problems buying here.  I don't know that I like any one bank stock the best (check Todem's lists) so I'm sticking with ETFs that cover the top banks in the sector.  I've had a few posts on BNKU today where JPM is a 10%.  XLF if you don't want leverage.  JPM is just over 10% in that one too.  

 
beef said:
I like JPM and other financials long term and have no problems buying here.  I don't know that I like any one bank stock the best (check Todem's lists) so I'm sticking with ETFs that cover the top banks in the sector.  I've had a few posts on BNKU today where JPM is a 10%.  XLF if you don't want leverage.  JPM is just over 10% in that one too.  
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Hello, old friend...

BNKU

 
Thoughts on DFS?  It's held up near highs much better than most of the other banks.  I still have a decent chunk left from covid lows I'm considering trimming a bunch, thinking it could have much further to fall than the other banks if the financial sell-off continue.

 
FreeBaGeL said:
Thoughts on DFS?  It's held up near highs much better than most of the other banks.  I still have a decent chunk left from covid lows I'm considering trimming a bunch, thinking it could have much further to fall than the other banks if the financial sell-off continue.
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The only thing I am buying now in stocks is placeholders. Meaning one or two shares so its in the portfolio with a baseline price and easy to follow/track. I'm hoarding cash and have some fairly aggressive positions in UVXY, SQQQ, RWM, SWN; all are down slightly, except UVXY which has been extremely profitable. I sold 20% when It hit $20 today. At this point I am at least 2/3s cash

 
FreeBaGeL said:
Thoughts on DFS?  It's held up near highs much better than most of the other banks.  I still have a decent chunk left from covid lows I'm considering trimming a bunch, thinking it could have much further to fall than the other banks if the financial sell-off continue.
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If I were to start a real positions in financial right now, it would probably be MS, GS, or maybe WFC, But I am waiting.

 
TDOC now valued at $14B.  Less than the $18.5B they paid for Livongo 16 months ago.  Huge writedown.  Slight bump with Amazon integration announcement but then again everyone will be able to use Alexa for voice controls.  That's nothing.  People are going back to see their doctors in offices unless it's a real inconvenience. Is anyone still bullish on these guys?

 
Capella said:
Everybody give up on SE? Looks like another disastrous earnings. 
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Same old story.  Nice growth in everything except profit. Though it seems like most of the tanking is from the headwinds they guided for in gaming.  Stock actually initially pumped off purely the numbers they released.

 
Capella said:
Everybody give up on SE? Looks like another disastrous earnings. 
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Huh????

Meanwhile, total revenues of $3.2 billion rose 105.7% year-over-year and surpassed analysts’ expectations of $2.91 billion. The strong performance of Digital Entertainment, along with e-commerce and other services, drove the overall results. 

Revenues from Digital Entertainment increased 104.1% year-over-year to $1.4 billion. Bookings rose 6.8% year-over-year to $1.1 billion, and quarterly active users (QAUs) stood at 654 million, up 7.1% from the same quarter last year.  

E-commerce revenue stood at $1.6 billion during the quarter, representing a rise of 89.4% year-over-year. Similarly, gross merchandise value (GMV) was up 52.7% to $18.2 billion. 

During the quarter, the company witnessed strong growth in the adoption of SeaMoney’s offerings. The total payment volume for the mobile wallet came in at $5 billion, up 70.1% year-over-year. Additionally, quarterly paying users for mobile wallet services rose to 45.8 million. 

Sea’s Chairman and CEO, Forrest Li, said, “As we look ahead, it is clear that consumer activities and experiences are increasingly converging online at the intersection of content, commerce, and community. We believe our ecosystem comprises a complete consumer tech and innovation stack that is distinctively relevant to the new opportunities being presented. Therefore, we will continue to focus on best positioning Sea in the long run to best serve the changing needs of fast growing digital-native generations.”

Guidance

For 2022, Sea projects to generate bookings for digital entertainment in the range of $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion. Revenue from e-commerce is anticipated between $8.9 billion and $9.1 billion, the midpoint of which reflects 75.7% growth from 2021.

Also, digital financial services revenue is expected to be between $1.1 billion to $1.3 billion, the midpoint indicating 155.4% year-over-year growth.
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FreeBaGeL said:
Same old story.  Nice growth in everything except profit. Though it seems like most of the tanking is from the headwinds they guided for in gaming.  Stock actually initially pumped off purely the numbers they released.
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I've done well buying after their results.  Usually they tank and then people dig in deeper and they bounce back.

 
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