Thoughts on this article from all the smart investors in this thread?
This indicator has correctly predicted five steep stock market declines since 1870 -- and it's highly successful at calling bottoms, too!
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Historic Shiller P/E ratio of 22 = bottom?
What would a Shiller P/E ratio of 22 look like today? Considering the Shiller P/E ratio ended Oct. 5, 2022, at 28.32, an additional 22.32% downside would be necessary in the S&P 500 to bring it to a level where support has been found during prior bear markets. This would entail the S&P 500 dropping by 844.43 points to 2,938.85. All told, this would represent a peak-to-trough bear market decline of 39%.