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Stock Thread (11 Viewers)
- Thread starter St. Louis Bob
- Start date
Bossman
Footballguy
FTEC ... this is fantastic. Hopefully your acorns deep in this one.
5 days: +2.8% 20 days: +9.1% 60 days: +14.3% YTD: +24.3%
1 year: +38.8% 3 years: +51.6% 5 years: +192.7% 8 years: +478%
FreeBaGeL
Footballguy
Both of these are just essentially the same as QQQ, right?
Bossman
Footballguy
Seems to be about the same as far as holdings. The expense ratios are a little different;
FTEC 0.08% = $80 on $100k
VGT 0.10% = $100 on $100k
QQQ 0.20% = $200 on $100k
Not a huge difference but would be if you had several of those $100k and were holding for a decade.
$500k x 10 year
FTEC = $4000
VGT = $5000
QQQ = $10,000
SFBayDuck
Footballguy
Took a position in silver miner EXK yesterday based on some stuff a technical analyst I followed had posted. Up 16% today, not a bad start!
Unrelated (I think?), looks like other than NVDA continuing to eat the world, every value fund I own was up over 1% today. I've been busy and haven't been following the news as I usually would, did something come out that strengthened the likelihood of rate cuts soon(ish)?
Unrelated (I think?), looks like other than NVDA continuing to eat the world, every value fund I own was up over 1% today. I've been busy and haven't been following the news as I usually would, did something come out that strengthened the likelihood of rate cuts soon(ish)?
Atomic Punk
Footballguy
Read this morning that NVDA bought heavily into SOUN and ARM but thought I’d wait … ARM is up 2% today and another 4% AH … SOUN up 23% today.
Obviously kicking myself. Anyone know much about these?
Another one I’m interested in is Generation Uranium but I’m just a noob at this … thoughts on this one would also be appreciated.
Obviously kicking myself. Anyone know much about these?
Another one I’m interested in is Generation Uranium but I’m just a noob at this … thoughts on this one would also be appreciated.
General Malaise
Footballguy
I've been involved in uranium since 2004 and I've never once heard the name Generation Uranium. If it's an exploration company only, I wouldn't touch it with anything more than some "fun money".
If you want to invest in uranium I'd suggest actual companies that produce it or own physical. Sprott Physical, Cameco and Denison Mines would be my preference. I kept a small position on DNN as they not only produce uranium and have great properties with proven resources but also own 2.5 million pounds of U308 at an average cost of $29/Lb.
Not to say all the junior uranium miners are worthless or won't do well with strong commodity prices, but the only thing I'm certain of about Canadian junior exploration companies is that they are only good at producing more stock certificates.
If you want to invest in uranium I'd suggest actual companies that produce it or own physical. Sprott Physical, Cameco and Denison Mines would be my preference. I kept a small position on DNN as they not only produce uranium and have great properties with proven resources but also own 2.5 million pounds of U308 at an average cost of $29/Lb.
Not to say all the junior uranium miners are worthless or won't do well with strong commodity prices, but the only thing I'm certain of about Canadian junior exploration companies is that they are only good at producing more stock certificates.
SFBayDuck
Footballguy
I almost tagged you in as a response to Atomic's post, knew you'd have an educated opinion!
I own gold via IAUM in my IRA (long term, uncorrelated asset), any thoughts on some of the precious metals miners? In addition to the EXK position I took this week, I'm considering adding NEM. Looking for some juice in the Roth I trade in a bit.
General Malaise
Footballguy
Eh, I don't follow gold and silver much anymore. I dabble in a silver 3x ETF (AGQ) from time to time but just when I feel like silver is due for a small run.
NEM is best in breed for gold miners. It's the kind of gold company I'd put my dad in or my kids. As long as gold prices are firm or rising, this one is safe as kittens.
One gold/silver stock our firm owns quite a bit of is AYA. I can pull some research for you if you like when I'm back from vacation later this month. Our team is big on management that under promises and over delivers so if they like this one, it's merit based.
The General
Footballguy
Profit taking in effect. Long over due.
Atomic Punk
Footballguy
SOUN up another 9% today.
General Malaise
Footballguy
Just remembered - EXK is Endeavor silver which was one of the first company lunch presentations I attended at the Heathman Hotel years and years ago. The CEO gave every attendee (about 20 of us) a 1 Oz silver coin with their company logo/design. I might still have it or one of my sons does. I used to own this stock too and did well on it.
Until I didn't. But if I remember, these guys have producing mines in Mexico and are really big on helping the local communities. Shoot I might even have my old notes from this one. Lol.....
General Malaise
Footballguy
Mid-summer, mid-week sell-off. What's the volume like today?
SFBayDuck
Footballguy
There are ETFs for that, one that follows Democrats (NANC) and one for Republicans (KRUZ). NANC is outperforming the S&P this year by a good amount, KRUZ is underperforming YTD.
Bossman
Footballguy
They certainly win much more than they loose somehow. I think there are groups of folks who do this and likely do very well.
ADX is doing a tender offer in early August in which it, so far as I can tell, will conduct a stock buyback at 98% of the NAV at that time. That is a good premium since ADX usually trades at roughly a 10% discount to NAV. Any reason why I should not back up the truck? It's completely possible that I am missing something.
ADX tender offer
ADX tender offer
metoo
Footballguy
In my 401k I've been buying small caps with new money and slowing transferring from an international fund. Baby steps.
SFBayDuck
Footballguy
Yeah I've been trying to slowly simplify my portfolio, across two rollover IRAs, two Roths, a 401K, and a taxable account. Especially in the IRAs I'm working towards consolidating from a whole bunch of MFs and ETFs I've gathered over the years to just VUG (large cap growth) and AVUV (small cap value) as the core holdings, with EDV (long term treasuries), DBMF (managed futures) and IAUM (gold) thrown in. Still have a 10% allocation to int'l across three or four funds across three accounts, I'm torn on what to do with that (if anything).
Finally moving my current 401K to Brokeragelink so I can move that money from the sub-optimal MFs offered there to align with the above. Already did that with my current Roth 401K funds.
I'm hoping to retire in the next few years so trying to glidepath my way into the decumulation portfolio I think I want over that time.
Sand
Footballguy
We're up 36% since the October low. (HFS - 36%!!) I love days like today when we get expected profit taking. Reaffirms my spidey sense that this market still wants to go up.
cosjobs
Footballguy
I've been doing really well with the AI runup. I'm looking for the cheapest hedge, so I don't regretsell my holdings, beyond UVXY.
I found this stock called PTF that trades in momentum tech stocks. Today its at 63,47, down almost a dollar.
bought a lot of $58 PUTS, expiring July 19 and Aug 18 for 3.5 and 22 cents respectively. LOTS of them,
Despite thousand of shares I don't have much actual cash exposure
Seemed like a good hedge,but its traded pretty lighly and I've gotten burneed before on low volume stocks. Anyone have thoughts on this?
I found this stock called PTF that trades in momentum tech stocks. Today its at 63,47, down almost a dollar.
bought a lot of $58 PUTS, expiring July 19 and Aug 18 for 3.5 and 22 cents respectively. LOTS of them,
Despite thousand of shares I don't have much actual cash exposure
Seemed like a good hedge,but its traded pretty lighly and I've gotten burneed before on low volume stocks. Anyone have thoughts on this?
FreeBaGeL
Footballguy
The funds have generally trailed the markets they simulate.
For instance NANC is up 50% since inception, but that's mainly because the funds happened to be started right around the bottom of the market last year. NANC is super tech heavy (Pelosi pretty much only trades tech, mostly big tech) yet QQQ is up 62% over the same period.
The ETF funds aren't great and their are two reasons for that.
For starters the funds lag the actual trades by a lot (I think 80 days?), as they I believe have 80 days to disclose their trades. So in this fast moving market, by the time the funds buy something it's probably already moved a bunch.
The other reason being that the congress trades just aren't as good as people think. Pelosi which is the one I looked at (all the trades are available to look up for all of them) basically has had one really really good trade (NVDA) and a whole bunch of garbo (PYPD, DIS, AB, WBD). Other than that she's basically just been holding big tech a long time. She did also do really well on PANW. That's really the only one she's been ahead of the game on. She bought NVDA when it was a lot lower than it is now, but it was still after AI hype was in full swing.
Then you'll get these articles throwing around big numbers that are either accidentally or intentionally manipulated. Like the famous one for Pelosi is that she made 65% this year and 63% last year. But those numbers are REALIZED returns. She simply sold and took profits on some long term holdings of AAPL/MSFT that juiced those numbers up. And even those profit taking sells were pretty poorly timed as both stocks have run up bigly since.
She's up 700% over the last 10 years, which is pretty darn good, but QQQ is up 650% over the same period and she pretty much exclusively buys big tech, so pretty much just in line with the market. Then you add the lag factor into the tracking funds, and you may as well just buy QQQ.
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cosjobs
Footballguy
Costco new sells one oz bullion bars for under 2400, no tax, no shipping and my Exec cashback.
cosjobs
Footballguy
Give me a heads up when you're ready to short it.Bot my first NVDA shares today. Everyone get ready for a pullback
Costco trades at a higher PE than NVDA 
In regard to the momentum trade stocks - those are great when there is low volatility and everything seems to be steadily climbing with just slight drawbacks. But of volitivity increases or there is a major correction momentum trades tend to get crushed. That said, they've been outperforming all the indexes handily over the past year or two. If it aint broke, don't fix it? I dunno, I don't like risk as I get older.
In regard to the momentum trade stocks - those are great when there is low volatility and everything seems to be steadily climbing with just slight drawbacks. But of volitivity increases or there is a major correction momentum trades tend to get crushed. That said, they've been outperforming all the indexes handily over the past year or two. If it aint broke, don't fix it? I dunno, I don't like risk as I get older.
identikit
Footballguy
Bossman
Footballguy
Sold my NVDU this week at $130.50
23% profit in 15 days. Wish I wagered twice what I did but still made some healthy coin.
Looking to get back in on the next dip ... or is today the dip?
identikit
Footballguy
Not so far
Bossman
Footballguy
Yeah, going the wrong way today to get back in ... which is fine by me. Still holding plenty of NVDA so let it rip if that's what it wants to do.
My target to get back in NVDU is probably unrealistic ... $110-$112 range. I'm patient tho and fine sitting on my hands if it doesn't feel right to me.
Bossman
Footballguy
This "Day trading" feels like gambling and I don't care how you spin it.
You can educate yourself, do all the research, be smart about it, ... but it still comes down to luck.
Similar to playing Blackjack or Poker ... you can have all of the skill and knowledge, do everything right, and still lose ...
or like me, have just a small clue about what you're doing (trading NVDU) and win big.
... and the more ko-ho-nees you have, the more you stand to win or lose.
and now we can do it anywhere, anytime, with our phone and one thumb.
You can educate yourself, do all the research, be smart about it, ... but it still comes down to luck.
Similar to playing Blackjack or Poker ... you can have all of the skill and knowledge, do everything right, and still lose ...
or like me, have just a small clue about what you're doing (trading NVDU) and win big.
... and the more ko-ho-nees you have, the more you stand to win or lose.
and now we can do it anywhere, anytime, with our phone and one thumb.
cosjobs
Footballguy
You can still buy for the same price. You can get 1000 contacts for for $100. If it PTU takes a 10% dip you'd make thousands in the next week. 20% dip would be tend of thousands profit.
Or you can buy Sept 58 puts for about double the price (20 cents). Still way to0 cheap imo, but still at a price I'm happy to wager.
General Malaise
Footballguy
What the hell caused it to fall from over $200 to under $2 in less than a year????
General Malaise
Footballguy
Eh, f it, I'm in for 70 little shares. Had some cash just sitting around ready for an Uncle Cos special.
cosjobs
Footballguy
They got a divorce?
Runkle
Footballguy
The problem is that Congress discloses weeks/months after they make the trade, and in the meantime, the insider info they're trading off of has already hit the market
General Malaise
Footballguy
All I know is that Mother Nancy has loaded for bear on NVDA and that's all I need to know.
dino259
Footballguy
There was a 1 to 100 reverse stock split. It IPO'd in August of 2023.
FreeBaGeL
Footballguy
So is it just an error in the stock chart then? Because the stock chart usually accounts for that and shows the entire chart in post-split pricing. But for IVP it shows it as a 97% loss since IPO.
ETA: It looks like the 1.67 price was actually post-split. It dropped from $30 to 16 cents, or $300 to 1.67 post-split. So still a 97% loss.
General Malaise
Footballguy
Yeah the company Financials in no way ever supported a >$200 stock price. They did a $5MM offering that triggered the decline. Lol
Please don't get this thread shut down with political talk.
Sand
Footballguy
Quite the accomplishment here, when you think about it.
Sand
Footballguy
There is discussion of stock holdings from folks that have insider knowledge - and there are folks in public positions of power that do. That's not political/partisan. If you deem it so or close to so please define the line clearly so we stay on the proper side.
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