Klimtology
Footballguy
US Signals Possible Tariff Relief for Canada, Mexico
No offense taken and what all my clients pay me for is exactly what I am doing right now thus far this year.IMO it's just the sentiment in this thread playing out.I honestly don't understand the stock market. S&P down almost 2% most of the day, climbs all the way back to green, then goes down 1.25% in the last 35 minutes of the dayMan, I swear the S&P was just green like 20 minutes ago...
Poster Bear 1 - feels like WW3 coming, I'm selling
Poster Bear 2 - stagflation coming, I'm selling
Poster Techie - Nvidia forward PE less than Coke, I'm buying
Poster Pro FA - Initiating a position in ABC at these levels
Then you add in tonight's wildcard and people like me are hedging at the close.
And while this isn't a shot @Todem , there are pros sitting around that need to beat the indexes that feel like they need to be doing something during tumultuous times.
He should be selling his collection.My boss is a coin nerd who loves nothing more than bidding on coins at online auctions. Neat, huh?
Anyhow, he's been trying to buy 1oz US Silver Eagles that are slabbed and being auctioned off. These aren't rare, they're hold nothing of value over spot other than being mint and slabbed. They ordinarily would go for a few bucks over spot price in an auction. He's been bidding 150% on these coins and getting shut out. Insanity. These are the sort of coins that if you had them and needed to sell would fetch you roughly $31.50 (spot price of silver today). And people around the world are bidding 150-160% premiums to 'win' these.
Short term traders don't want to hold overnight. Particularly since there is a big political speech tonight (<--- not a political statement, just noting the event!).I honestly don't understand the stock market. S&P down almost 2% most of the day, climbs all the way back to green, then goes down 1.25% in the last 35 minutes of the dayMan, I swear the S&P was just green like 20 minutes ago...
I fear that my post is going to come across or someone will interpret it as being political even though I’m 10000% not intending it to be. Regardless of if one agrees or disagrees with the actions of the new administration—one constant is that our markets tend to like a certain level of consistency and predictability. It’s clear that this administration is one that is not averse to taking action and doing so quickly. This kind of action and environment seems like it has a strong potential to breed volatility. it does seem as though the ultimate goal of this administration is to be more business friendly (more deregulation, lowering of corporate taxes)—but getting to those goals might be involve going through some ups and some downs. I’m not sure what @Todem thinks—but it kinda feels like the major downswings could be solid opportunities for long term investors to get into some good deals. I also feel like the volatility could make for some nice opportunities for stock traders—but that’s certainly not a risk-free proposition. Over the past few months, I actually sold some of my positions and took some profits. I’ve also been selling some of my alternative assets (some sportscards, timepieces) and keeping my cash on the sidelines. I just feel like there is going to be some opportunities in the stock market or possibly the real estate market in the next year to 18months to where I can make some moves. I might be misplaying the situation, but I feel a bit more comfortable having some extra cash on the sidelines right now.I honestly don't understand the stock market. S&P down almost 2% most of the day, climbs all the way back to green, then goes down 1.25% in the last 35 minutes of the dayMan, I swear the S&P was just green like 20 minutes ago...
I fully agree with your sentiments.I fear that my post is going to come across or someone will interpret it as being political even though I’m 10000% not intending it to be. Regardless of if one agrees or disagrees with the actions of the new administration—one constant is that our markets tend to like a certain level of consistency and predictability. It’s clear that this administration is one that is not averse to taking action and doing so quickly. This kind of action and environment seems like it has a strong potential to breed volatility. it does seem as though the ultimate goal of this administration is to be more business friendly (more deregulation, lowering of corporate taxes)—but getting to those goals might be involve going through some ups and some downs. I’m not sure what @Todem thinks—but it kinda feels like the major downswings could be solid opportunities for long term investors to get into some good deals. I also feel like the volatility could make for some nice opportunities for stock traders—but that’s certainly not a risk-free proposition. Over the past few months, I actually sold some of my positions and took some profits. I’ve also been selling some of my alternative assets (some sportscards, timepieces) and keeping my cash on the sidelines. I just feel like there is going to be some opportunities in the stock market or possibly the real estate market in the next year to 18months to where I can make some moves. I might be misplaying the situation, but I feel a bit more comfortable having some extra cash on the sidelines right now.I honestly don't understand the stock market. S&P down almost 2% most of the day, climbs all the way back to green, then goes down 1.25% in the last 35 minutes of the dayMan, I swear the S&P was just green like 20 minutes ago...
You don't often see an economic shock like the Atlanta GDP is reflecting.Nothing to see here
Read lots of comments about cash percentage in here that have me wondering just how close to retirement some folks are. Cause missing a roaring 20% year in your mid 30s because of too much cash really can hurt in the long run.There he is!Thinking about going ALL CASH
How long should I wait before doing so?
I'm finally getting back into the market.
Dumb?
Did I miss the wave?
![]()
Todem
Did I get back into the market at the wrong time?
I just went 2/3 in.
![]()
God no.Is NVDA a meme stonk now?
Hot stock? Yeah. But they are proving it on the top and bottom lines and future guidance and where we are in the "AI" cycle.
There is a bubble forming....no doubt. But NVDA are the ones selling all the pick axes in the gold rush if you get my drift.
What does a bubble forming mean exactly?
TIA
I'm just getting back into the market.
Is this a bad idea?
![]()
What would you consider to be Long Term?
TIA
3- 5 years?
![]()
Is it time to get out?
![]()
I mean this in the nicest way possible - you might just want to auto-invest into index funds and never log into your account, or hire someone.
Yeah 100%You don't often see an economic shock like the Atlanta GDP is reflecting.Nothing to see here
Read lots of comments about cash percentage in here that have me wondering just how close to retirement some folks are. Cause missing a roaring 20% year in your mid 30s because of too much cash really can hurt in the long run.There he is!Thinking about going ALL CASH
How long should I wait before doing so?
I'm finally getting back into the market.
Dumb?
Did I miss the wave?
![]()
Todem
Did I get back into the market at the wrong time?
I just went 2/3 in.
![]()
God no.Is NVDA a meme stonk now?
Hot stock? Yeah. But they are proving it on the top and bottom lines and future guidance and where we are in the "AI" cycle.
There is a bubble forming....no doubt. But NVDA are the ones selling all the pick axes in the gold rush if you get my drift.
What does a bubble forming mean exactly?
TIA
I'm just getting back into the market.
Is this a bad idea?
![]()
What would you consider to be Long Term?
TIA
3- 5 years?
![]()
Is it time to get out?
![]()
I mean this in the nicest way possible - you might just want to auto-invest into index funds and never log into your account, or hire someone.
You don't often see an economic shock like the Atlanta GDP is reflecting.Nothing to see here
Read lots of comments about cash percentage in here that have me wondering just how close to retirement some folks are. Cause missing a roaring 20% year in your mid 30s because of too much cash really can hurt in the long run.There he is!Thinking about going ALL CASH
How long should I wait before doing so?
I'm finally getting back into the market.
Dumb?
Did I miss the wave?
![]()
Todem
Did I get back into the market at the wrong time?
I just went 2/3 in.
![]()
God no.Is NVDA a meme stonk now?
Hot stock? Yeah. But they are proving it on the top and bottom lines and future guidance and where we are in the "AI" cycle.
There is a bubble forming....no doubt. But NVDA are the ones selling all the pick axes in the gold rush if you get my drift.
What does a bubble forming mean exactly?
TIA
I'm just getting back into the market.
Is this a bad idea?
![]()
What would you consider to be Long Term?
TIA
3- 5 years?
![]()
Is it time to get out?
![]()
I mean this in the nicest way possible - you might just want to auto-invest into index funds and never log into your account, or hire someone.
Historically, I'd carry almost zero cash in my brokerage or retirement accounts. That's because, pre-2022, the risk-free rate was under 1% (at least in the accounts I hold). Now it's 4.3% at Vanguard. Back in the day when you could borrow at a ridiculous 3% or even lower, then yes we all should have / could have carried more debt. That strategy is long gone with mortgage rates hovering around 7%.You don't often see an economic shock like the Atlanta GDP is reflecting.Nothing to see here
Read lots of comments about cash percentage in here that have me wondering just how close to retirement some folks are. Cause missing a roaring 20% year in your mid 30s because of too much cash really can hurt in the long run.There he is!Thinking about going ALL CASH
How long should I wait before doing so?
I'm finally getting back into the market.
Dumb?
Did I miss the wave?
![]()
Todem
Did I get back into the market at the wrong time?
I just went 2/3 in.
![]()
God no.Is NVDA a meme stonk now?
Hot stock? Yeah. But they are proving it on the top and bottom lines and future guidance and where we are in the "AI" cycle.
There is a bubble forming....no doubt. But NVDA are the ones selling all the pick axes in the gold rush if you get my drift.
What does a bubble forming mean exactly?
TIA
I'm just getting back into the market.
Is this a bad idea?
![]()
What would you consider to be Long Term?
TIA
3- 5 years?
![]()
Is it time to get out?
![]()
I mean this in the nicest way possible - you might just want to auto-invest into index funds and never log into your account, or hire someone.
Yeah I don't get the whole "well my options are cash or some yolo play". I'm probably guilty of not carrying enough debt but carrying cash isn't really a thought process for me.
I regret (not a lot) basically using my stock gainz to be mortgage free and car loan free with kids college done. I could be richer if I had leveraged more but, who says that?
I feel that. I got caught with too much cash over a long period about 15 years ago (I kept thinking a big pullback was imminent). I'm still doing pretty well overall, but in my weaker moments I start doing the math on where I'd be now in an alternate universe.Read lots of comments about cash percentage in here that have me wondering just how close to retirement some folks are. Cause missing a roaring 20% year in your mid 30s because of too much cash really can hurt in the long run.
What'd I miss on this?Sold off the new UWMC I bought last week for a 7.5% gain. That was pretty much a no brainer with the dividend news. Still hold way more shares than I should be.
Same pattern today. Every day with this.Latest S&P pattern. Futures are up, first hour good, then down but treading water throughout the day, tank towards close.
Has me contemplating moving brokerage assets from VOO to something like Vanguard Treasury Money Market Fund (VUSXX). Things don't smell right IMO.
What'd I miss on this?Sold off the new UWMC I bought last week for a 7.5% gain. That was pretty much a no brainer with the dividend news. Still hold way more shares than I should be.
He recently sold some Chinese gold coins for $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$. Had to help him package those up and ship them and let me tell you, taking something worth more than your house and car and possessions into a courier is a tad on the daunting side.He should be selling his collection.My boss is a coin nerd who loves nothing more than bidding on coins at online auctions. Neat, huh?
Anyhow, he's been trying to buy 1oz US Silver Eagles that are slabbed and being auctioned off. These aren't rare, they're hold nothing of value over spot other than being mint and slabbed. They ordinarily would go for a few bucks over spot price in an auction. He's been bidding 150% on these coins and getting shut out. Insanity. These are the sort of coins that if you had them and needed to sell would fetch you roughly $31.50 (spot price of silver today). And people around the world are bidding 150-160% premiums to 'win' these.![]()
![]()
Were you handcuffed to a briefcase at any point during this transaction?He recently sold some Chinese gold coins for $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$. Had to help him package those up and ship them and let me tell you, taking something worth more than your house and car and possessions into a courier is a tad on the daunting side.He should be selling his collection.My boss is a coin nerd who loves nothing more than bidding on coins at online auctions. Neat, huh?
Anyhow, he's been trying to buy 1oz US Silver Eagles that are slabbed and being auctioned off. These aren't rare, they're hold nothing of value over spot other than being mint and slabbed. They ordinarily would go for a few bucks over spot price in an auction. He's been bidding 150% on these coins and getting shut out. Insanity. These are the sort of coins that if you had them and needed to sell would fetch you roughly $31.50 (spot price of silver today). And people around the world are bidding 150-160% premiums to 'win' these.![]()
![]()
Were you handcuffed to a briefcase at any point during this transaction?He recently sold some Chinese gold coins for $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$. Had to help him package those up and ship them and let me tell you, taking something worth more than your house and car and possessions into a courier is a tad on the daunting side.He should be selling his collection.My boss is a coin nerd who loves nothing more than bidding on coins at online auctions. Neat, huh?
Anyhow, he's been trying to buy 1oz US Silver Eagles that are slabbed and being auctioned off. These aren't rare, they're hold nothing of value over spot other than being mint and slabbed. They ordinarily would go for a few bucks over spot price in an auction. He's been bidding 150% on these coins and getting shut out. Insanity. These are the sort of coins that if you had them and needed to sell would fetch you roughly $31.50 (spot price of silver today). And people around the world are bidding 150-160% premiums to 'win' these.![]()
![]()
I'm 47. If I have regrets it was not keeping liquidity while rates were low.Historically, I'd carry almost zero cash in my brokerage or retirement accounts. That's because, pre-2022, the risk-free rate was under 1% (at least in the accounts I hold). Now it's 4.3% at Vanguard. Back in the day when you could borrow at a ridiculous 3% or even lower, then yes we all should have / could have carried more debt. That strategy is long gone with mortgage rates hovering around 7%.You don't often see an economic shock like the Atlanta GDP is reflecting.Nothing to see here
Read lots of comments about cash percentage in here that have me wondering just how close to retirement some folks are. Cause missing a roaring 20% year in your mid 30s because of too much cash really can hurt in the long run.There he is!Thinking about going ALL CASH
How long should I wait before doing so?
I'm finally getting back into the market.
Dumb?
Did I miss the wave?
![]()
Todem
Did I get back into the market at the wrong time?
I just went 2/3 in.
![]()
God no.Is NVDA a meme stonk now?
Hot stock? Yeah. But they are proving it on the top and bottom lines and future guidance and where we are in the "AI" cycle.
There is a bubble forming....no doubt. But NVDA are the ones selling all the pick axes in the gold rush if you get my drift.
What does a bubble forming mean exactly?
TIA
I'm just getting back into the market.
Is this a bad idea?
![]()
What would you consider to be Long Term?
TIA
3- 5 years?
![]()
Is it time to get out?
![]()
I mean this in the nicest way possible - you might just want to auto-invest into index funds and never log into your account, or hire someone.
Yeah I don't get the whole "well my options are cash or some yolo play". I'm probably guilty of not carrying enough debt but carrying cash isn't really a thought process for me.
I regret (not a lot) basically using my stock gainz to be mortgage free and car loan free with kids college done. I could be richer if I had leveraged more but, who says that?
Were you handcuffed to a briefcase at any point during this transaction?He recently sold some Chinese gold coins for $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$. Had to help him package those up and ship them and let me tell you, taking something worth more than your house and car and possessions into a courier is a tad on the daunting side.He should be selling his collection.My boss is a coin nerd who loves nothing more than bidding on coins at online auctions. Neat, huh?
Anyhow, he's been trying to buy 1oz US Silver Eagles that are slabbed and being auctioned off. These aren't rare, they're hold nothing of value over spot other than being mint and slabbed. They ordinarily would go for a few bucks over spot price in an auction. He's been bidding 150% on these coins and getting shut out. Insanity. These are the sort of coins that if you had them and needed to sell would fetch you roughly $31.50 (spot price of silver today). And people around the world are bidding 150-160% premiums to 'win' these.![]()
![]()
Were you handcuffed to a briefcase at any point during this transaction?He recently sold some Chinese gold coins for $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$. Had to help him package those up and ship them and let me tell you, taking something worth more than your house and car and possessions into a courier is a tad on the daunting side.He should be selling his collection.My boss is a coin nerd who loves nothing more than bidding on coins at online auctions. Neat, huh?
Anyhow, he's been trying to buy 1oz US Silver Eagles that are slabbed and being auctioned off. These aren't rare, they're hold nothing of value over spot other than being mint and slabbed. They ordinarily would go for a few bucks over spot price in an auction. He's been bidding 150% on these coins and getting shut out. Insanity. These are the sort of coins that if you had them and needed to sell would fetch you roughly $31.50 (spot price of silver today). And people around the world are bidding 150-160% premiums to 'win' these.![]()
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"Hamburgers! The cornerstone of any nutritious Eat Off video."
Palest incarnation of Jules Winnfield ever.
I’ve got premium accounts with almost all AI platforms…Also, someone with photoshop skills should make that happen.
Yeah...risk free rates are still ok. 4% where I am.....absolutely nothing wrong with having powder. I did say....building cash is prudent back in January.Historically, I'd carry almost zero cash in my brokerage or retirement accounts. That's because, pre-2022, the risk-free rate was under 1% (at least in the accounts I hold). Now it's 4.3% at Vanguard. Back in the day when you could borrow at a ridiculous 3% or even lower, then yes we all should have / could have carried more debt. That strategy is long gone with mortgage rates hovering around 7%.You don't often see an economic shock like the Atlanta GDP is reflecting.Nothing to see here
Read lots of comments about cash percentage in here that have me wondering just how close to retirement some folks are. Cause missing a roaring 20% year in your mid 30s because of too much cash really can hurt in the long run.There he is!Thinking about going ALL CASH
How long should I wait before doing so?
I'm finally getting back into the market.
Dumb?
Did I miss the wave?
![]()
Todem
Did I get back into the market at the wrong time?
I just went 2/3 in.
![]()
God no.Is NVDA a meme stonk now?
Hot stock? Yeah. But they are proving it on the top and bottom lines and future guidance and where we are in the "AI" cycle.
There is a bubble forming....no doubt. But NVDA are the ones selling all the pick axes in the gold rush if you get my drift.
What does a bubble forming mean exactly?
TIA
I'm just getting back into the market.
Is this a bad idea?
![]()
What would you consider to be Long Term?
TIA
3- 5 years?
![]()
Is it time to get out?
![]()
I mean this in the nicest way possible - you might just want to auto-invest into index funds and never log into your account, or hire someone.
Yeah I don't get the whole "well my options are cash or some yolo play". I'm probably guilty of not carrying enough debt but carrying cash isn't really a thought process for me.
I regret (not a lot) basically using my stock gainz to be mortgage free and car loan free with kids college done. I could be richer if I had leveraged more but, who says that?
Heck no....never ever do that.I'm 47. If I have regrets it was not keeping liquidity while rates were low.Historically, I'd carry almost zero cash in my brokerage or retirement accounts. That's because, pre-2022, the risk-free rate was under 1% (at least in the accounts I hold). Now it's 4.3% at Vanguard. Back in the day when you could borrow at a ridiculous 3% or even lower, then yes we all should have / could have carried more debt. That strategy is long gone with mortgage rates hovering around 7%.You don't often see an economic shock like the Atlanta GDP is reflecting.Nothing to see here
Read lots of comments about cash percentage in here that have me wondering just how close to retirement some folks are. Cause missing a roaring 20% year in your mid 30s because of too much cash really can hurt in the long run.There he is!Thinking about going ALL CASH
How long should I wait before doing so?
I'm finally getting back into the market.
Dumb?
Did I miss the wave?
![]()
Todem
Did I get back into the market at the wrong time?
I just went 2/3 in.
![]()
God no.Is NVDA a meme stonk now?
Hot stock? Yeah. But they are proving it on the top and bottom lines and future guidance and where we are in the "AI" cycle.
There is a bubble forming....no doubt. But NVDA are the ones selling all the pick axes in the gold rush if you get my drift.
What does a bubble forming mean exactly?
TIA
I'm just getting back into the market.
Is this a bad idea?
![]()
What would you consider to be Long Term?
TIA
3- 5 years?
![]()
Is it time to get out?
![]()
I mean this in the nicest way possible - you might just want to auto-invest into index funds and never log into your account, or hire someone.
Yeah I don't get the whole "well my options are cash or some yolo play". I'm probably guilty of not carrying enough debt but carrying cash isn't really a thought process for me.
I regret (not a lot) basically using my stock gainz to be mortgage free and car loan free with kids college done. I could be richer if I had leveraged more but, who says that?
I have no intention whatsoever to take on debt to invest. Just to be clear nor would I advocate that for anyone.
You guys want me to double down or wait until you get you piles of cash invested.Count on tomorrow being the end of the correction, just made some 3x Bear buys. Last time I did this I rode them to a huge loss.
You taking on any new clients? I like the cut of your jib.You guys want me to double down or wait until you get you piles of cash invested.Count on tomorrow being the end of the correction, just made some 3x Bear buys. Last time I did this I rode them to a huge loss.
The good news is that I fat fingered one of the buys and bought the 3x Bull TQQQ instead of SQQQ. At least that's not as bad as the time I margined my MIL to the tune of a quarter million dollars buying 100 shares of $2500+ Amazon.
STOXX go up?Bought a little STOXX and TSLA today
Love it when the new kids are up on Day 1
... aaaaaand we missed it again..... aaaaaand we missed it.Is it sinister to think that all of this bluster about tariffs and whatever is intentional to drive a sell off so people with money can swoop in and buy low?
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STOXX go up?Bought a little STOXX and TSLA today
Love it when the new kids are up on Day 1
It wouldn't surprise one bit if there's manipulation going on.... aaaaaand we missed it again..... aaaaaand we missed it.Is it sinister to think that all of this bluster about tariffs and whatever is intentional to drive a sell off so people with money can swoop in and buy low?
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Just doubled down on TECS, so yes.Are we back already?
FYPIf this happens again in two weeks I'm going to stand up and get angry and shake myfistshovels at DC and sit right back down and take it. Like I always do.
Funny you say that cause I just started a position in a small cap value/blend fundJust heard a stat that the Russell 2000 is flat over the last 4 years. Really down 30% if you take inflation into account. Not really sure what to make of that other than mega caps are running rampant over the rest of the market.
Just heard a stat that the Russell 2000 is flat over the last 4 years. Really down 30% if you take inflation into account. Not really sure what to make of that other than mega caps are running rampant over the rest of the market.
I wouldn’t invest in an index small cap etf or fund. I want someone who picks companies in that arena.Been hearing folks touting the small caps for years, that they are poised to play catch up. They never do. I’ve never invested in a small cap focused ETF.
Agreed, but I prefer a systemic approach rather than stock picking. Look at funds from Dimensional or Avantis if you do want to invest in factors like small cap or value, as they add a quality screen. IWM isn’t the way to get smart exposure in that space, imho.I wouldn’t invest in an index small cap etf or fund. I want someone who picks companies in that arena.Been hearing folks touting the small caps for years, that they are poised to play catch up. They never do. I’ve never invested in a small cap focused ETF.