Stock Thread (20 Viewers)

[Sand]

Lots of folks released the Kraken this morning. Volume already 7X daily average.

I can't find any news on this. Anyone got a link as to why this has attracted attention?

As a side note, it's a good thing this is in the same account as AREC. The mini-bubble in the rare earth stocks has popped.

 

[General Malaise]

Lots of folks released the Kraken this morning. Volume already 7X daily average.

I can't find any news on this. Anyone got a link as to why this has attracted attention?

As a side note, it's a good thing this is in the same account as AREC. The mini-bubble in the rare earth stocks has popped.

I don't know if this is driving anything, but for those of you interested in Kraken, this was on Twitter today:

https://x.com/transhumanica/status/1980263840752500854

 

[Nick Vermeil]

I've been enjoying some day trading on BYND. Reminds me of the good old days of stock market BS.

 

[General Malaise]

Here's a snippet from the report:


Kraken Robotics: 10x hiding in plain sight​

Kraken robotics is a highly asymmetric stock that has a 10x potential over the next 3-5 years through specific, predictable and imminent catalysts.
It's a subsea drone smallcap that's a call option on Anduril.

Kraken Robotics carved out a critical niche for itself, establishing dominance in subsea batteries, rated for 6,000 meter depth and with 2-3x higher density than competitors. This enables subsea drones to have longer and deeper missions, larger payloads and more advanced sensors, all while meeting stringent US Navy safety specs.

Unlike the aerial drone market that is fragmented and hyper-competitive, subsea drone market is consolidated. Kraken has a virtual monopoly on advanced subsea batteries, demonstrated by its 55% gross margins. It sells its cutting-edge SeaPower batteries and sonars to Anduril. They power Anduril's Dive-LD, Dive-XL (GhostShark) and more.

Anduril, a hot private company, is the fastest growing and most important defense hyperscaler; it's the Palantir's younger brother, recently valued at $30B in an 8x oversubscribed fundraising round.

Anduril is starting to rapidly ramp up production of its subsea drones, autonomous robots critical for defense and deterrence.

Now the mind-blowing part -

Every subsea drone Anduril makes is powered by Kraken's batteries. Dive-LDs (pickup size) are estimated to contain $1-2M CAD of Kraken products, Dive-XLs (bus size) contain $8-10M. Smaller Copperhead smart torpedoes contain perhaps $100-250k worth. Some of them have Kraken's sonars, too! Oh and Seabed Sentry? Likely also equipped with SeaPower batteries.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

Lots of folks released the Kraken this morning. Volume already 7X daily average.

I can't find any news on this. Anyone got a link as to why this has attracted attention?

As a side note, it's a good thing this is in the same account as AREC. The mini-bubble in the rare earth stocks has popped.

I'm pretty sure it was this post that did it.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

OK. Maybe not

 

[Sand]

OK. Maybe not

Yeah, that's juicy.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

Maybe I will be able to retire after all.

let's get that plot of land out by the coast. we'll each have a cottage or tiny home.

I like this idea a lot.

Though after the last few days, it'll likely be a tent for me.

Can you save a pad for me?

- guy who has way too many Tesla 2x short shares

Looks like Tesla will post blow out numbers. Really need Musk to screw up the conference call.

What makes you say this? Is this one of those "expectations are so low they can't miss" kinds of quarters?

They maintain fantastic information on their customers, and they aren't afraid to show it.

I own a 2015. I bought it in 2018 as a lease expiration. I received an e-mail a few weeks ago congratulating me on 10 years with Tesla,

It included a link to a survey. I gave them my unadulterated view of how being a Tesla owner has changed in the last 7 years. I don't know if they were going for, "currently indistinguishable from Ford", but it's what they got.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

I'm old enough to remember when Elon said they would never make money off servicing vehicles and that it's terrible to make a profit on service.

Guess who is terrible?

 

[Bob Sacamano]

tl;dr old man yells at clouds. Clouds ignore him and keep making billions.

 

[JB Breakfast Club]

NFLX getting smacked on EPS miss

 

[BassNBrew]

Maybe I will be able to retire after all.

let's get that plot of land out by the coast. we'll each have a cottage or tiny home.

I like this idea a lot.

Though after the last few days, it'll likely be a tent for me.

Can you save a pad for me?

- guy who has way too many Tesla 2x short shares

Looks like Tesla will post blow out numbers. Really need Musk to screw up the conference call.

What makes you say this? Is this one of those "expectations are so low they can't miss" kinds of quarters?

They maintain fantastic information on their customers, and they aren't afraid to show it.

I own a 2015. I bought it in 2018 as a lease expiration. I received an e-mail a few weeks ago congratulating me on 10 years with Tesla,

It included a link to a survey. I gave them my unadulterated view of how being a Tesla owner has changed in the last 7 years. I don't know if they were going for, "currently indistinguishable from Ford", but it's what they got.

Tesla


TSLA
-1.08%
earnings are always huge events with a lot riding on them. Wednesday’s third-quarter earnings report is no different. This time, the electric-vehicle maker should beat Wall Street estimates. It isn’t clear if investors will care, though.


For the quarter, Wall Street projects earnings per share of 55 cents from sales of $27.2 billion, according to FactSet.

Producing better sales and earnings than expected shouldn’t be all that difficult. Tesla delivered a record 497,099 cars in the third quarter, about 54,000 vehicles more than analysts projected.

That number of cars is worth roughly $2.4 billion in sales. Still, Wall Street’s estimate for total automotive sales is about $20.6 billion, rising just $600 million since the delivery report. Wall Street looks behind; analysts don’t always update estimates right away.




Also, third-quarter automotive estimates are only about $600 million higher than the $20 billion in third-quarter 2024 auto sales, when Tesla sold 34,209 fewer vehicles. Not matter how investors slide it, sales estimates look light.

Tesla also deployed a record 12.5 gigawatt-hours of energy storage product in the quarter, up from 6.9 gigawatt hours deployed in the third quarter of 2024.

The third quarter was strong. Still, the company is entering the first of what CEO Elon Musk referred to as “rough quarters” in July. The federal $7,500 EV purchase tax credit is gone, making EVs more expensive, and the company has yet to expand the robo-taxi business it launched in June in Austin, Texas.



More than earnings, what Musk and management say about EV demand and robo-taxis should determine the reaction to the quarterly report. Tesla launched lower-priced “Standard” versions of its Model 3 and Y vehicles in October. How orders are shaping up would be good to know.

Exactly when Tesla will add another city to its robo-taxi business, or remove the safety monitor from the front passenger seat, would also be nice to know.

“Musk is well-known for his aggressive timelines for new products,” said Zacks Investment Research stock strategist Andrew Rocco. “If Musk can convince investors that future product road maps are still on track, investors will reward him.”

Tesla stock is up about 11% this year and about 103% over the past 12 months. Gains have come despite Tesla selling fewer cars than in 2024.

Investors have focused more on artificial-intelligence opportunities. Tesla uses AI to train its cars to drive and to train humanoid robots that it hopes to start selling in significant quantities next year.

The stock dropped 1.1% ahead of earnings, closing at $442.60, while the S&P 500


SPX
0.00%
was flat and the Dow Jones Industrial Average

DJIA
+0.47%
rose 0.5%.




Options markets imply shares will move about 6%, up or down, after earnings. The stock has moved an average of about 10% over the past four quarterly reports. Shares have fallen once and risen three times over that span, including a 22% jump after the company reported its 2024 third-quarter results.

Better-than-expected earnings helped fuel the rise. Tesla reported earnings of 72 cents. Wall Street was looking for 59 cents, according to FactSet.

The outlook energized investors, too. At the time, Tesla management said they expected to grow car sales in 2024, implying fourth-quarter deliveries of about 515,000 vehicles. Wall Street was projecting about 500,000.

Ultimately, the company missed that mark, delivering about 496,000 cars, falling to growth car sales in 2024 compared with 2023.

 

[Capella]

Amazon follows its one really big green day in two months with an equally red day today. Great stuff.

 

[Nugget]

Back into SOXS at 3.80 - feels like we are due for a pullback. Will bail if it falls to 3.40

And out

 

[Pigskin Fanatic]

Back into SOXS at 3.80 - feels like we are due for a pullback. Will bail if it falls to 3.40

And out

was lucky to have free cash when you posted this, followed in and out. thanks.

 

[fruity pebbles]

Doesn’t the Netflix drop seem like an overreaction?

 

[Bob Sacamano]

They're back to where they were in May. Up 46% YoY.

 

[General Malaise]

Ouchie momma. Nowhere to hide.

 

[Ridgeback]

Back into SOXS at 3.80 - feels like we are due for a pullback. Will bail if it falls to 3.40

And out

I'm still in from like $6.90. Oops.

 

[kevzilla]

Ouchie momma. Nowhere to hide.

My 30% cash says hi. On the rest...

 

[The Z Machine]

Did someone jump in the market and didn't tell us???

 

[Bob Sacamano]

Ouchie momma. Nowhere to hide.

Slip safely, soundly, and snugly into the Kraken

 

[General Malaise]

This UAMY might provide me with that early widow maker I've been pining for.....what a roller coaster.

 

[BassNBrew]

Ouchie momma. Nowhere to hide.

UUUU up 10% today.

 

[BassNBrew]

$TSLA Earnings:- Total revenue increased 12% YoY to $28.1B. YoY- EPS: $0.50- Operating income decreased 40% YoY to $1.6B, resulting in a 5.8% operating margin- Quarter-end cash, cash equivalents and investments was $41.6B. The sequential increase of $4.9B was primarily the result of increased free cash flow- Profitability: $1.6B GAAP operating income, $1.4B GAAP net income, $1.8B non-GAAP net income"In Q3, the Tesla team achieved record vehicle deliveries globally, showing strength and growth across all regions, while also achieving record energy storage deployments across the residential, industrial and utility sectors. This strong performance resulted in both record revenue and free cash flow generation in the quarter.We continue to launch new products that excite our customers across automotive and energy. We launched the Model YL and Model Y Performance and further expanded our vehicle offering with the Model 3 and Model Y Standard, our most affordable vehicles. We also unveiled the Megapack 3 and Megablock, which will further simplify large battery installations by reducing cost and time to deploy. We believe our scale and cost structure will enable us to navigate the shifting market dynamics across the globe more effectively than our peers, with advances in AI making our products the most compelling in the market.Our focus remains on scaling our core hardware business by maximizing our deliveries and deployments, as these products will deliver increasing value to our customers over time via services powered by AI. Every Tesla vehicle delivered today is designed for autonomy while every Tesla energy storage product is capable of being enhanced and optimized by our virtual power plant or Autobidder functionality. We continue to deliver a fleet of products that brings AI into the real world as we pursue a future of sustainable abundance as outlined in our Master Plan Part IV.While we face near-term uncertainty from shifting trade, tariff and fiscal policy, we are focused on long-term growth and value creation. We are prudently making the necessary investments in our business, including future business lines, that we believe will drive incredible value for Tesla and the world across transport, energy and robotics."

 

[BassNBrew]

Tesla reported a 12% increase in third quarter revenue on Wednesday following two straight periods of declines. However, earnings missed analysts estimates.

Here’s how the company did, compared with estimates from analysts polled by LSEG:

• Earnings per share: 50 cents adjusted vs. 54 cents estimated
• Revenue: $28.10 billion vs. $26.37 billion estimated

Total revenue climbed from $25.18 billion a year earlier. Automotive revenue increased 6% to $21.2 billion from $20 billion in the year-ago period, Tesla said.

 

[Nathan R. Jessep]

added to CDE and NEM, my 2 main gold mining plays

added some more physical gold and silver shares to my bag

bought some PM for long term port

 

[fruity pebbles]

Elon will just have an Optimus sit there and look stupid during the conference call and the stock will skyrocket.

 

[General Malaise]

Ouchie momma. Nowhere to hide.

UUUU up 10% today.

Yeah, late report of increased sanctions on Russia seemed to put a bid into some of these names. Crazy times we live in.

 

[Capella]

Can anybody summarize what happened with beyond today? Saw some people on Reddit talking about it but seems like it see-sawed.

 

[Nick Vermeil]

Can anybody summarize what happened with beyond today? Saw some people on Reddit talking about it but seems like it see-sawed.

It’s in the meme o sphere. It’s being driven by speculators trying to stick it to the shorts. But it’s clearly overvalued after the debt for stock swap last week. It was halted a few times today as it fell back to earth. I’ve made quit a bit on it during the last week but it’s pure gambling on par with GameStop and whatever that workout wear stock was. I will probably try a few more day trades this week but it isn’t real.

 

[Capella]

Can anybody summarize what happened with beyond today? Saw some people on Reddit talking about it but seems like it see-sawed.

After further reading, guess it’s the new GME/meme stonk for some reason.

 

[Capella]

Can anybody summarize what happened with beyond today? Saw some people on Reddit talking about it but seems like it see-sawed.

It’s in the meme o sphere. It’s being driven by speculators trying to stick it to the shorts. But it’s clearly overvalued after the debt for stock swap last week. It was halted a few times today as it fell back to earth. I’ve made quit a bit on it during the last week but it’s pure gambling on par with GameStop and whatever that workout wear stock was. I will probably try a few more day trades this week but it isn’t real.

Had no idea they were so in the dumpster like this. Their chart is unreal. From a 160 a share in 2021 to .60 last week. Woof.

 

[Sand]

Can anybody summarize what happened with beyond today? Saw some people on Reddit talking about it but seems like it see-sawed.

After further reading, guess it’s the new GME/meme stonk for some reason.

No joke. 10 bagger in 4 days.

 

[ericttspikes]

Government buddies front running quantum stocks now? US taxpayers are going to be holding the bag on some garbage companies.

 

[BassNBrew]

Nice day. Stroke of luck adding to my quantum companies yesterday. Taking 25% of my Tesla 2x bears off the table at a 25% gain. I'm still bearish on the stock but worried about decay of this vehicle.

Watched a video last night discussing why Nov/Dec will be strong based on a JPM memo.

1. Huge amount of money on the sidelines.
2. Many mutual funds end of year is October increasing October selling pressure to lock in gains.
3. October is one of the slowest months for company stock buybacks. Nov/Dec will be strong with companies trying to meet eoy goals and being beyond earnings.
4. Automated trading has been a net sell over the last several weeks. There was a better word for this but I don't recall it.
5. Wall Street sentiment is negative which is a positive indicator.
6. (this is mine) the high historically PE is a overblown. Tesla and Palantir are driving a chunk of this. Earnings this quarter will increase the denominator.
7. Declining interest rate cycle.