Stock Thread (44 Viewers)

[General Malaise]

This is pretty significant news.

China Introduces New Exports Controls On Antimony, Tungsten And Silver​

According to Trump, his big achievement a week ago when he announced the trade truce with China, was getting Beijing to agree to remove export limitations on rare earth minerals, which as most now know are so critical for US companies to make everything from cell phones, to cars, and military equipment. And yet, as discussed on a few occasions this week, it feels like the cracks in this latest trade deal are already starting to show, whether it is Beijing ordering Trump what he can't talk about, or quietly ring-fencing its domestic data center by banning US AI chips.

And now, it appears that while China granted Trump a 1 year reprieve on rare earths, it is quietly tightening the export noose on other, just as important minerals.

According to the Global Times, China has introduced new export controls on silver, antimony, and tungsten.

In the statement published on the MOFCOM's website last Thursday, the export controls are for the 2026-27 period, and have the stated aim of "stepping up the protection of resources and the environment."

You know I hear they're making Hondas these days out of tungsten and antimony...

 

[Capella]

Brutal week, got damn

 

[BassNBrew]

I'm make a pretty strong buy on Celsius. The numbers were crushed by a "fake" one off. They stated that they entered into a distribution agreement where Pepsi is picking up the cost. Basically because of IRS rules they have to show the entire expense last quarter but the reimbursement income from Pepsi is amortized (not sure this is the right word to use here) over the entire length of the agreement. Basically a total push in reality they are being punished for. This will inflate future income numbers.

Why the additional drop today? This is normally the type of thing that gets identified as people sift through the details, and the overreaction snaps back the next day.

Monster price target raised by 3 firms. I can only assume people shifting their energy drink allocation.

 

[The Z Machine]

Nah good, Bob

 

[Buckna]

Brutal week, got damn

Yeah - this down 2 or 3% overall every day is getting old

 

[odin33]

This is pretty significant news.

China Introduces New Exports Controls On Antimony, Tungsten And Silver​

According to Trump, his big achievement a week ago when he announced the trade truce with China, was getting Beijing to agree to remove export limitations on rare earth minerals, which as most now know are so critical for US companies to make everything from cell phones, to cars, and military equipment. And yet, as discussed on a few occasions this week, it feels like the cracks in this latest trade deal are already starting to show, whether it is Beijing ordering Trump what he can't talk about, or quietly ring-fencing its domestic data center by banning US AI chips.

And now, it appears that while China granted Trump a 1 year reprieve on rare earths, it is quietly tightening the export noose on other, just as important minerals.

According to the Global Times, China has introduced new export controls on silver, antimony, and tungsten.

In the statement published on the MOFCOM's website last Thursday, the export controls are for the 2026-27 period, and have the stated aim of "stepping up the protection of resources and the environment."

Ready to ride the UAMY train again. All aboard

CHOOO CHOOO!!

 

[identikit]

Somehow ended up green for the day

Heavy metals weighting did the trick, looks like

 

[NajehHejan]

With reports of support to temporarily open govt back up, let’s hope stonks go up.

 

[The Z Machine]

With reports of support to temporarily open govt back up, let’s hope stonks go up.

I thought stonks only went up?

 

[identikit]

I don't want to jinx anything, but....

 

[kevzilla]

IBB and XBL Do we like one more than the other?

 

[General Malaise]

Wait, we got sigs back?

 

[Nick Vermeil]

Wait, we got sigs back?

Testing

 

[Desert_Power]

Wait, we got sigs back?

That is an elite one

 

[Desert_Power]

I thought stonks only went up?

This sig is evergreen

 

[General Malaise]

UAMY my only red stock today.

 

[identikit]

Had a few red ones today, but today's overall was north of the Nasdaq final number

I'll take it

 

[Sand]

 

[BassNBrew]

Booyah....Friday buys ran today

AMD - 4.5% (laggard)
Celsius - 7.3%
Elf - 8.3%
NVDA - 5.8%
PLTR - 8.8%

Love a good sale.

 

[St. Louis Bob]

Silicon Valley data centers totaling nearly 100MW could 'sit empty for years' due to lack of power — huge installations are idle because Santa Clara can't cope with surging electricity demands

One day the AI trade has to wake up to the lack of electricity right?

 

[urbanhack]

Silicon Valley data centers totaling nearly 100MW could 'sit empty for years' due to lack of power — huge installations are idle because Santa Clara can't cope with surging electricity demands

One day the AI trade has to wake up to the lack of electricity right?

relevant to today's activity.

 

[Desert_Power]

Didn't realize the markets were open.

 

[Harry Frogfish]

Anyone see Cramer's interview with the BROS exec yesterday? At one point, while asking when BROS would be opening stores in other markets, he jokingly said the stock would go up 20 points when they got to NY. I think there's some truth to that actually. One of the reasons I'm holding, and bought more at 49, is we're still early in the game here.

Cue the sell/short for the anti-Cramer Bros.

Oh, one thing to be gleaned that I thought was worth noting is how that sector has been clobbered. Considering as much, this thing's hanging in there -- something I've always liked.

I'm standing pat. Patience. GM, you're gonna be right, especially if you get out now.

 

[Capella]

Somebody on the nvda reddit posted a while back that the stock drops a decent amount every Tuesday right on cue and I blew that off but now that I’m paying attention to it they may have been onto something.

 

[Desert_Power]

Silicon Valley data centers totaling nearly 100MW could 'sit empty for years' due to lack of power — huge installations are idle because Santa Clara can't cope with surging electricity demands

One day the AI trade has to wake up to the lack of electricity right?

relevant to today's activity.

Seems like most of the activity is driven by Softbank's news. But if they're just going to plow the cash back into OpenAI then it hasn't really left NVDA.

 

[Runkle]

Silicon Valley data centers totaling nearly 100MW could 'sit empty for years' due to lack of power — huge installations are idle because Santa Clara can't cope with surging electricity demands

One day the AI trade has to wake up to the lack of electricity right?

relevant to today's activity.

Seems like most of the activity is driven by Softbank's news. But if they're just going to plow the cash back into OpenAI then it hasn't really left NVDA.

Every 100% reliable backtested trend ends as soon as it's made public

 

[urbanhack]

Silicon Valley data centers totaling nearly 100MW could 'sit empty for years' due to lack of power — huge installations are idle because Santa Clara can't cope with surging electricity demands

One day the AI trade has to wake up to the lack of electricity right?

relevant to today's activity.

Seems like most of the activity is driven by Softbank's news. But if they're just going to plow the cash back into OpenAI then it hasn't really left NVDA.

coreweave seems to be hit hard based on the data center news. But todem always said it was never a good value until it got below 100 or closer to 80 or 85.

looks like they lowered their guidance

 

[BassNBrew]

Silicon Valley data centers totaling nearly 100MW could 'sit empty for years' due to lack of power — huge installations are idle because Santa Clara can't cope with surging electricity demands

One day the AI trade has to wake up to the lack of electricity right?

relevant to today's activity.

Seems like most of the activity is driven by Softbank's news. But if they're just going to plow the cash back into OpenAI then it hasn't really left NVDA.

coreweave seems to be hit hard based on the data center news. But todem always said it was never a good value until it got below 100 or closer to 80 or 85.

I taking a hard look but it's really a crap shoot.

 

[General Malaise]

Anyone see Cramer's interview with the BROS exec yesterday? At one point, while asking when BROS would be opening stores in other markets, he jokingly said the stock would go up 20 points when they got to NY. I think there's some truth to that actually. One of the reasons I'm holding, and bought more at 49, is we're still early in the game here.

Cue the sell/short for the anti-Cramer Bros.

Oh, one thing to be gleaned that I thought was worth noting is how that sector has been clobbered. Considering as much, this thing's hanging in there -- something I've always liked.

I'm standing pat. Patience. GM, you're gonna be right, especially if you get out now.

Holding 200 shares at $53 and change and not going anywhere.

 

[General Malaise]

Anyone see Cramer's interview with the BROS exec yesterday? At one point, while asking when BROS would be opening stores in other markets, he jokingly said the stock would go up 20 points when they got to NY. I think there's some truth to that actually. One of the reasons I'm holding, and bought more at 49, is we're still early in the game here.

Cue the sell/short for the anti-Cramer Bros.

Oh, one thing to be gleaned that I thought was worth noting is how that sector has been clobbered. Considering as much, this thing's hanging in there -- something I've always liked.

I'm standing pat. Patience. GM, you're gonna be right, especially if you get out now.

Holding 200 shares at $53 and change and not going anywhere.

245 shares! Forgot I bought some for my oldest son.

 

[bshell27]

Just took a small position in MOBX. Any other speculative plays?

I miss the CYDY days.

https://www.reddit.com/r/pennystocks/comments/1ojxf5s/mobx_mobix_labs_great_buying_opportunity/

 

[BassNBrew]

AMD CEO Lisa Su said on Tuesday that the company’s overall revenue growth would expand to about 35% per year over the next three to five years, driven by “insatiable” demand for artificial intelligence chips.

Su said that much of that would be captured by the company’s AI data center business, which it expects to grow at about 80% per year over the same time period, on track to hit tens of billions of dollars of sales by 2027.

 

[BassNBrew]

Lisa Su has a history of conservative statements.

 

[pecorino]

Silicon Valley data centers totaling nearly 100MW could 'sit empty for years' due to lack of power — huge installations are idle because Santa Clara can't cope with surging electricity demands

One day the AI trade has to wake up to the lack of electricity right?

relevant to today's activity.

Seems like most of the activity is driven by Softbank's news. But if they're just going to plow the cash back into OpenAI then it hasn't really left NVDA.

coreweave seems to be hit hard based on the data center news. But todem always said it was never a good value until it got below 100 or closer to 80 or 85.

looks like they lowered their guidance

Are we buying CRWV?

 

[Desert_Power]

Silicon Valley data centers totaling nearly 100MW could 'sit empty for years' due to lack of power — huge installations are idle because Santa Clara can't cope with surging electricity demands

One day the AI trade has to wake up to the lack of electricity right?

relevant to today's activity.

Seems like most of the activity is driven by Softbank's news. But if they're just going to plow the cash back into OpenAI then it hasn't really left NVDA.

coreweave seems to be hit hard based on the data center news. But todem always said it was never a good value until it got below 100 or closer to 80 or 85.

looks like they lowered their guidance

Yeah. A lot of news I guess. I still think the energy component is most likely to be the wall this AI bubble runs into.

 

[St. Louis Bob]

Silicon Valley data centers totaling nearly 100MW could 'sit empty for years' due to lack of power — huge installations are idle because Santa Clara can't cope with surging electricity demands

One day the AI trade has to wake up to the lack of electricity right?

relevant to today's activity.

Seems like most of the activity is driven by Softbank's news. But if they're just going to plow the cash back into OpenAI then it hasn't really left NVDA.

coreweave seems to be hit hard based on the data center news. But todem always said it was never a good value until it got below 100 or closer to 80 or 85.

looks like they lowered their guidance

Yeah. A lot of news I guess. I still think the energy component is most likely to be the wall this AI bubble runs into.

Feels like the market is Clark W. Griswold putting a million Christmas lights on his house except the nuclear auxiliary plant hasn't even been planned yet much less constructed.

Then WHY do these stocks keep going up TODD?!!

 

[St. Louis Bob]

I guess the other scenario is AI becomes sentient and diverts all power to itself leaving 350 million Americans without power. Then we have to destroy data centers and power plants, while navigating killer robots, already in use. :/

 

[pecorino]

Just checked in on LYB which I had sold a few months ago. $45 per share? What the heck happened? Doesn’t seem like a name or sector where a 40% drop off its yearly high is warranted.

 

[BassNBrew]

I think my admiration of Lisa Su now exceeds @Capella love of Jeff Bezos.

 

[The Z Machine]

Kinda sorta wish I didn't unload 80% of my AMD like a month ago.

 

[Nigel]

META continues to disappoint

 

[Desert_Power]

Silicon Valley data centers totaling nearly 100MW could 'sit empty for years' due to lack of power — huge installations are idle because Santa Clara can't cope with surging electricity demands

One day the AI trade has to wake up to the lack of electricity right?

relevant to today's activity.

Seems like most of the activity is driven by Softbank's news. But if they're just going to plow the cash back into OpenAI then it hasn't really left NVDA.

coreweave seems to be hit hard based on the data center news. But todem always said it was never a good value until it got below 100 or closer to 80 or 85.

looks like they lowered their guidance

Yeah. A lot of news I guess. I still think the energy component is most likely to be the wall this AI bubble runs into.

Feels like the market is Clark W. Griswold putting a million Christmas lights on his house except the nuclear auxiliary plant hasn't even been planned yet much less constructed.

Then WHY do these stocks keep going up TODD?!!

I don't see a lot of coverage of it, but the way China has built cheap renewable power for their AI (and designing their data centers) is fascinating. Covered some here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WJXyxNBbhKM

 

[Sand]

AMZN, MSTR, KTOS, CLS pushing ye olde gamboooling account up bigly this morning.

This is like finding out your accountant friend is dating a stripper.

Update here:

Sold MSTR, bought CRCL. MSTR has been underperforming (I think largely due to its high premium). Booked a good profit there. Very, very bullish on CRCL over a decade+. It is very interest rate sensitive (as seen by performance today), but in the long term there are massive tailwinds here - The GENIUS act created a very fertile field for Tether and Circle, in particular. Estimates of the stablecoin business to be 15x what it is now by 2035. I'll take a bet that Circle gets a decent chunk of that. IMO, of course.

Bought a bit of KOID (humanoid robotics ETF). KOID is another 10-20 year bet, but I see nothing but tailwinds there.

Also looking at buying AGIX (AI ETF that has managed to buy into private AI companies like OpenAI, etc.) . AGIX is a bit of a worry with valuation in the space, so thinking on that one.

 

[General Malaise]

Silver up $2 and change today, back above $53 after some dipping and dropping. I am ready to see it touch $60. Bought some HL and AG today. HI-YO

 

[Desert_Power]

AMZN, MSTR, KTOS, CLS pushing ye olde gamboooling account up bigly this morning.

This is like finding out your accountant friend is dating a stripper.

Update here:

Sold MSTR, bought CRCL. MSTR has been underperforming (I think largely due to its high premium). Booked a good profit there. Very, very bullish on CRCL over a decade+. It is very interest rate sensitive (as seen by performance today), but in the long term there are massive tailwinds here - The GENIUS act created a very fertile field for Tether and Circle, in particular. Estimates of the stablecoin business to be 15x what it is now by 2035. I'll take a bet that Circle gets a decent chunk of that. IMO, of course.

Bought a bit of KOID (humanoid robotics ETF). KOID is another 10-20 year bet, but I see nothing but tailwinds there.

Also looking at buying AGIX (AI ETF that has managed to buy into private AI companies like OpenAI, etc.) . AGIX is a bit of a worry with valuation in the space, so thinking on that one.

A lot of ADRs in KOID it looks like? Interesting one to watch.

AGIX seems like a good short target at some point

 

[Sand]

AMZN, MSTR, KTOS, CLS pushing ye olde gamboooling account up bigly this morning.

This is like finding out your accountant friend is dating a stripper.

Update here:

Sold MSTR, bought CRCL. MSTR has been underperforming (I think largely due to its high premium). Booked a good profit there. Very, very bullish on CRCL over a decade+. It is very interest rate sensitive (as seen by performance today), but in the long term there are massive tailwinds here - The GENIUS act created a very fertile field for Tether and Circle, in particular. Estimates of the stablecoin business to be 15x what it is now by 2035. I'll take a bet that Circle gets a decent chunk of that. IMO, of course.

Bought a bit of KOID (humanoid robotics ETF). KOID is another 10-20 year bet, but I see nothing but tailwinds there.

Also looking at buying AGIX (AI ETF that has managed to buy into private AI companies like OpenAI, etc.) . AGIX is a bit of a worry with valuation in the space, so thinking on that one.

A lot of ADRs in KOID it looks like? Interesting one to watch.

Does look like it. Lots of rare earths, lots of robotics. So a large Japanese and Chinese contingent is to be expected.

 

[BassNBrew]

Made 3 buys today:

DNUT - Krispy Kreme: Turnaround play. Technicals look good as it move over it's moving averages. Most recent quarter showed better margins.

A - Agilent: Medical tech company that recently broke out. Big growth here.

TXG - 10x Genomics: Another recent breakout. Used to sell at $150-$200, now around $16. Losing money so this is risky.

All will be dumped if they fall 25%. Small positions in the $300-$500 range. I want to leave room for a second buy at -10% and the portfolio allocation remain a non-factor.

 

[identikit]

A surprise quarterly earnings # has CLBT up 22% after hours

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cellebrite-di-ltd-clbt-q3-221501655.html

 

[Chadstroma]

Kinda sorta wish I didn't unload 80% of my AMD like a month ago.

Yea... nice bump today. Glad I have held. Biggest return in my portfolio. Up 2137% on it. The sucky thing is back when I bought it (a long time ago) I meant to buy NVIDIA as well and somehow didn't... I think I out in a strike prove that missed and then never followed up by thought I did in my head. When it started blowing up I went in and was like "where is it"? but at least I got AMD and have not sold.

 

[identikit]

Kinda sorta wish I didn't unload 80% of my AMD like a month ago.

Yea... nice bump today. Glad I have held. Biggest return in my portfolio. Up 2137% on it. The sucky thing is back when I bought it (a long time ago) I meant to buy NVIDIA as well and somehow didn't... I think I out in a strike prove that missed and then never followed up by thought I did in my head. When it started blowing up I went in and was like "where is it"? but at least I got AMD and have not sold.

I too sold too early on AMD