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Strategies for drafting at the end of the round (1 Viewer)

Ripleys

Footballguy
Seems the majority of leagues I've seen you could expect AP, Jackson, LT, Westy, Gore, Addai, Lynch to go off the board first. It seems this year drafting at the end of the round you'll have all kinds of tough decisions. Do you take Brady if he's there? Grab the first WR? Take the best 2 RBs?

Anyone have thoughts on drafting late in the rounds this year? Any mocks or actual drafts with positive results drafting late?

:shrug:

 
:sehorn:

Very good topic and one that should generate a lot of buzz this time of the year.

My early thoughts: Don't draft Brady he won't reproduce his season from last year. Two players that I will look to grab is R.Wayne and C.Portis. I think that these guys are going to have a great seasons and you need to grab surefire players at the bottom of round 1/beginning of round 2.

 
I was guessing Portis, Bush, MJD, and LJ would probably be the next 4 RBs taken, if the entire first round goes RB...

 
Portis was the first player who popped into my head when I saw the thread title.

He was devalued a year ago and it looks/sounds like it's going to happen again so far.

 
I've been at the back of the 1st round in both startup dynasties this year (11th in both a 14 and 12 teamer), and decided to move up both times. I did it specifically to get MJD, but I'd have wanted to get one of the first eight in any event. The back half of the 2nd and 3rd rounds (picks 20-35) seems pretty strong to me - so I didn't feel like I was giving up much at all to move into the top 8/9.

 
My strategy would be to get the league to adopt the Banzai Method so the guys on the end don't get shafted.

If that isnt an option... I would certainly want the absolute best young center piece for my team in RB.

I wouldnt play around and get fancy with QB or WR with that first selection. Unless every thing fell to the worst possible scenario.

With the second pick I would be more willing to go QB and then possibly WR if another RB option doesnt hit.

But considering you have the rookie RBs, I would delve into those also.

you show...

AP

Jackson

LT

Westy

Gore

Addai

Lynch

Portis

Bush

MJD

LJ

I'd grab two RBs. Mendenhall & Stewart. McFadden is certainly a consideration also.

You can get a couple vets (which will be undervalued) later to help for a year or two.

 
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Seems the majority of leagues I've seen you could expect AP, Jackson, LT, Westy, Gore, Addai, Lynch to go off the board first. It seems this year drafting at the end of the round you'll have all kinds of tough decisions. Do you take Brady if he's there? Grab the first WR? Take the best 2 RBs? Anyone have thoughts on drafting late in the rounds this year? Any mocks or actual drafts with positive results drafting late? :popcorn:
I have been considering drafting Moss and TO 1st and 2nd in one of my leagues. I haven't run this scenario out yet so I don't know if it is practical. It will depend on the RBs that will be available in the late 3rd / early 4th rounds.
 
Seems the majority of leagues I've seen you could expect AP, Jackson, LT, Westy, Gore, Addai, Lynch to go off the board first. It seems this year drafting at the end of the round you'll have all kinds of tough decisions. Do you take Brady if he's there? Grab the first WR? Take the best 2 RBs? Anyone have thoughts on drafting late in the rounds this year? Any mocks or actual drafts with positive results drafting late? :popcorn:
I have been considering drafting Moss and TO 1st and 2nd in one of my leagues. I haven't run this scenario out yet so I don't know if it is practical. It will depend on the RBs that will be available in the late 3rd / early 4th rounds.
This is a dynasty start up.TO & Moss???
 
Seems the majority of leagues I've seen you could expect AP, Jackson, LT, Westy, Gore, Addai, Lynch to go off the board first. It seems this year drafting at the end of the round you'll have all kinds of tough decisions. Do you take Brady if he's there? Grab the first WR? Take the best 2 RBs? Anyone have thoughts on drafting late in the rounds this year? Any mocks or actual drafts with positive results drafting late? :popcorn:
I have been considering drafting Moss and TO 1st and 2nd in one of my leagues. I haven't run this scenario out yet so I don't know if it is practical. It will depend on the RBs that will be available in the late 3rd / early 4th rounds.
This is a dynasty start up.TO & Moss???
Sorry, I missed that. No way this is a dynasty stratagy.
 
I'd be looking at a combo of MJD, Manning, Wayne or Lynch. For what it's worth, I think you'd be slotted pretty nicely for Gates at 4.1 as well (not that you'd have to).

 
P Manning 1st and your top rated WR 2nd and a WR in the 3rd.

Can't get Manning? pick WR's at 12 and 13, QB in the 3rd (maybe RB 3rd, QB 4th)

Everybody's gonna scream RB. Let's say the RB's you draft tank. So what?

You get an impact rookie RB next year.

The odds of that WR you take in the 2nd and even 3rd round are gonna be better

that they will be consistent top 20 performers over the "impact" RB's. (for YEARS)

Every week you drop your scrub rb for a one week wonder and one of them will hit.

E Graham, R Grant, A Bradshaw type of possibilities.

More then likely T Jones will be your starter for this year and either a scrub RB or flex WR/TE.

Last year A Peterson was drafted 42nd , M Lynch 44rd, and C Taylor 84th.

(footballguys average draft position)

Think about that

 
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2 stud WR's who will be around for years. I would look at Andre Johnson and Reggie Wayne.
Everyone keeps talking about Wayne, but I'm not sure if people realize he's going to be 30 yrs old during this season. In as little as 1-2 yrs, he'll be 31-32 and will hit that point where he loses a ton of trade value (see Holt who is only 32 this year). If you don't mind that age, then I would easily prefer Moss over Wayne who I feel should easily outperform him over the next 2-3 yrs and is only 1 yr older (31 this year).Otherwise, go the younger route and grab AJ or Fitz or Colston or Edwards. These guys are going to put up #'s comparable to Wayne and are all considerably younger.
 
P Manning 1st and your top rated WR 2nd and a WR in the 3rd.

Can't get Manning? pick WR's at 12 and 13, QB in the 3rd (maybe RB 3rd, QB 4th)

Everybody's gonna scream RB. Let's say the RB's you draft tank. So what?

You get an impact rookie RB next year.

The odds of that WR you take in the 2nd and even 3rd round are gonna be better

that they will be consistent top 20 performers over the "impact" RB's. (for YEARS)

Every week you drop your scrub rb for a one week wonder and one of them will hit.

E Graham, R Grant, A Bradshaw type of possibilities.

More then likely T Jones will be your starter for this year and either a scrub RB or flex WR/TE.

Last year A Peterson was drafted 42nd , M Lynch 44rd, and C Taylor 84th.

(footballguys average draft position)

Think about that
Peterson and Lynch weren't drafted outside of pick 20 in dynasty drafts....And it's usually not easy to "hit" on a one week wonder.... there were an inordinate number of RB injuries last year.

Waiting until pick 36/37 for a RB might net you a Jacobs or J.Lewis, or a 2nd tier rookie RB.... not bad. Between picks 37 and 60 you will see J.Jones, Graham, L.White, and Edge. T. Jones goes in the pick 60 range. After that it's Rudi, F.Taylor, D.Williams.... Travis Henry may be a value in the 70s or 80s.

I would go RB/WR in the 1st and 2nd.... there is ample WR value at 36 and 37, but RBs are harder to come by.

Going RB/WR/WR/WR will net you 4 strong young players. Most RBs available at 36 or later are filler types, not dynasty cornerstones. It's nice to have at least ONE RB you can count on....

I do agree somewhat that young WRs are safer and hold their value longer in dynasty leagues, especially ppr.

 
P Manning 1st and your top rated WR 2nd and a WR in the 3rd.

Can't get Manning? pick WR's at 12 and 13, QB in the 3rd (maybe RB 3rd, QB 4th)

Everybody's gonna scream RB. Let's say the RB's you draft tank. So what?

You get an impact rookie RB next year.

The odds of that WR you take in the 2nd and even 3rd round are gonna be better

that they will be consistent top 20 performers over the "impact" RB's. (for YEARS)

Every week you drop your scrub rb for a one week wonder and one of them will hit.

E Graham, R Grant, A Bradshaw type of possibilities.

More then likely T Jones will be your starter for this year and either a scrub RB or flex WR/TE.

Last year A Peterson was drafted 42nd , M Lynch 44rd, and C Taylor 84th.

(footballguys average draft position)

Think about that
Peterson and Lynch weren't drafted outside of pick 20 in dynasty drafts....And it's usually not easy to "hit" on a one week wonder.... there were an inordinate number of RB injuries last year.

Waiting until pick 36/37 for a RB might net you a Jacobs or J.Lewis, or a 2nd tier rookie RB.... not bad. Between picks 37 and 60 you will see J.Jones, Graham, L.White, and Edge. T. Jones goes in the pick 60 range. After that it's Rudi, F.Taylor, D.Williams.... Travis Henry may be a value in the 70s or 80s.

I would go RB/WR in the 1st and 2nd.... there is ample WR value at 36 and 37, but RBs are harder to come by.

Going RB/WR/WR/WR will net you 4 strong young players. Most RBs available at 36 or later are filler types, not dynasty cornerstones. It's nice to have at least ONE RB you can count on....

I do agree somewhat that young WRs are safer and hold their value longer in dynasty leagues, especially ppr.
:shrug:
 
2 stud WR's who will be around for years. I would look at Andre Johnson and Reggie Wayne.
I just went this route and took Johnson and Edwards out of the 12/13 slot. Ended up taking Brees and T.O. at the next turn and got Julius Jones and LenDale White in the fifth/sixth. It's a PPR league.
 
Based on the FBG rankings here is who you could likely be looking at:

10. Portis

11. Gore

12. LJ

13. Brady

14. McGahee

15. Moss

16. Manning

17. McFadden

18. Edwards

19. A. Johnson

20. Fitz

Now unless you are in a league with questionable competition it is safe to say that there is no way both Portis and Gore will fall, so I think we can scratch that option. There is probably a pretty good chance that one of them falls however. I think most leagues will have a guy in there that goes with Brady, Manning or even LJ. So, I would target Portis/Gore to start. After that I'm a bit torn between McFadden and the elite WRs. I would probably end up going with the proven elite WR. Moss or Edwards for me. So likely results for me:

1.12. Portis/Gore

2.01. Moss/Edwards

 
2 stud WR's who will be around for years. I would look at Andre Johnson and Reggie Wayne.
Everyone keeps talking about Wayne, but I'm not sure if people realize he's going to be 30 yrs old during this season. In as little as 1-2 yrs, he'll be 31-32 and will hit that point where he loses a ton of trade value (see Holt who is only 32 this year). If you don't mind that age, then I would easily prefer Moss over Wayne who I feel should easily outperform him over the next 2-3 yrs and is only 1 yr older (31 this year).Otherwise, go the younger route and grab AJ or Fitz or Colston or Edwards. These guys are going to put up #'s comparable to Wayne and are all considerably younger.
:construction: There is no justifiable way to rank Wayne ahead of Moss IMO. I think a lot of people just think Moss is a lot older than he really is. Maybe because he has been productive for so long? Either way, Moss should easily be the #1 WR on the rankings if you don't mind 30 yr old WRs.
 
Seems the majority of leagues I've seen you could expect AP, Jackson, LT, Westy, Gore, Addai, Lynch to go off the board first. It seems this year drafting at the end of the round you'll have all kinds of tough decisions. Do you take Brady if he's there? Grab the first WR? Take the best 2 RBs?

Anyone have thoughts on drafting late in the rounds this year? Any mocks or actual drafts with positive results drafting late?

:lmao:
We won't be able to tell how positive the results are until the end of the year, or even longer. Perhaps you are hinting at what your RB corps would look like if you opted to pass on them in rounds 1 and 2? Let's see what 2 RB's you may be able to snag with picks 36 and 37 in a dynasty league. Based strictly on the dynasty rankings on FBG, you'd get Jonathan Stewart and Brandon Jacobs, with a shot at snagging Michael Turner and Rashard Mendenhall. Can your stud WR's (or QB/WR) pick up the slack for these guys? The downfall with skipping RB's in 1/2 is that you need to load up more than the others who took stud RB's early. Sure, you may get some decent value at RB in rounds 5/6 while others are taking QB's/WR's, but you may be too far behind at that point.
 
2 stud WR's who will be around for years. I would look at Andre Johnson and Reggie Wayne.
I just went this route and took Johnson and Edwards out of the 12/13 slot. Ended up taking Brees and T.O. at the next turn and got Julius Jones and LenDale White in the fifth/sixth. It's a PPR league.
That was your dynasty draft...BreesJJonesLWhiteAJohnsonBEdwardsTOwens... ???
 
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2 stud WR's who will be around for years. I would look at Andre Johnson and Reggie Wayne.
I just went this route and took Johnson and Edwards out of the 12/13 slot. Ended up taking Brees and T.O. at the next turn and got Julius Jones and LenDale White in the fifth/sixth. It's a PPR league.
That was your dynasty draft...BreesJJonesLWhiteCJohnsonBEdwardsTOwens... ???
I like it. It's Andre Johnson BTW.
 
The way I see it is with your first 2 picks you want to make sue you don't lose your league, you can win it with later picks. I think fo me that means go with Wayne (very safe pick) and a RB that you like such as Bush, MJD, Portis or Barber.

 
This topic applies to me, I took Ronnie Brown and J.Stewert there, (mcfadden was already taken) Brady Manning and all the wr's was still there. And this is a ppr. But i wanted to get me a nice ppr rb like Ronnie and gambled on Stew as i knew most of the good rookie rb's would be gone by the time its my pick, and plus i can go wr/wr on my next 2 picks.

 
jurb26 said:
Based on the FBG rankings here is who you could likely be looking at:10. Portis11. Gore12. LJ13. Brady 14. McGahee15. Moss16. Manning17. McFadden18. Edwards19. A. Johnson20. FitzNow unless you are in a league with questionable competition it is safe to say that there is no way both Portis and Gore will fall, so I think we can scratch that option. There is probably a pretty good chance that one of them falls however. I think most leagues will have a guy in there that goes with Brady, Manning or even LJ. So, I would target Portis/Gore to start. After that I'm a bit torn between McFadden and the elite WRs. I would probably end up going with the proven elite WR. Moss or Edwards for me. So likely results for me:1.12. Portis/Gore2.01. Moss/Edwards
depends on the format, but in leagues I've played in, I would like the Edwards/Colston combo, 2 of Brees/Ben, Witten/Evans/Bowe at the next turn, trade down for future picks when possible, worry about RBs in future drafts and grab some sleeper RBs as the draft progresses. Generally speaking, it's really difficult to be a strong contender without a top 5 RB initally, so I'm more inclined to set myself up long term. WRs and Qbs tend to hold value and production longer yet are usually undervalued IMO.
 
Christo said:
BigSteelThrill said:
BeTheMatch said:
2 stud WR's who will be around for years. I would look at Andre Johnson and Reggie Wayne.
I just went this route and took Johnson and Edwards out of the 12/13 slot. Ended up taking Brees and T.O. at the next turn and got Julius Jones and LenDale White in the fifth/sixth. It's a PPR league.
That was your dynasty draft...BreesJJonesLWhiteCJohnsonBEdwardsTOwens... ???
I like it. It's Andre Johnson BTW.
It's a league that features one college player, too, so I got LeSean McCoy later on, which will hopefully help down the line. It's just been my experience that WRs are far more consistent and far less injury-prone than RBs. I'd rather get some young but already established WRs that I can "count on" for years and then just worry about plugging in RBs as I go. It seems like RBs come out of nowhere every year. Ryan Grant won me a league title last year. But WRs rarely pop up out of nowhere and produce immediately. So I personally value the WRs more, especially in a PPR.
 

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