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**Streaming Defense 2015** Week 15 - Playoffs: No time to get cute (1 Viewer)

Maybe I missed it (seriously, point and call me dumb if I did) but why are there so many people taking flyers on the colts dst? I know it changes year to year and you never know what you'll get but seriously, they were not good on defense last year and I don't see why that will change. Yes they have a favorable schedule for their defense but this does not guarantee success. Even the bad teams score when the defense gives as much resistance as a gentle sneeze. I'm open to being wrong, I'd just like someone to tell me why I am.
Held 7 bad opponents to 20 or less with 4 under 13 and a shutout mixed in last year :shrug:

4 of first 5 draft picks on D.

 
Waited too long on Miami. Should have broke my rule about taking defense 2nd to last. They went in the 14th of 20 rounds. Ended up with TB for week 1. May check the waiver wire before then.
Yeah, waited too long on Miami's juicy schedule. Using Jets for week 1.

 
I likewise missed out on the 'Phins. Gonna use the Jets week 1, then scramble for an alternative for weeks 2 & 3 (Jets play Colts & Eagles those weeks). I should've landed Dolphins...got too cute at the end of the draft. A solid 6 week DST is likely worth more than 90% of the last 3 Rd flyers most of us take.

 
Here I am on the "eve" of my biggest $$$ draft...............

(I have some other thoughts on mental acuity in and around your drafts, and afterwards as well)

I may post on this later on.

The more I think I knew on many things, the less I think I have it figured out.

This is a nervousness that I tend to have each year, but yet its the one thing I tend to forget until it rears its ugly head.

Its almost like a quiet uncertainty.

Of course, it also relates to streaming.

My knee jerk reaction this year,is to try and nail down MIAMI in a later round, say the 12th or 13th.

(every year I say I will wait till the last round, but yet I am always able to pull the trigger on one in the 12th, knowing my long shot lottery tickets will be there later most of the time)

The more I look over everything, this thread included, it seems like acquiring Miami will be the streamers best friend this year.

Then we will have a better knowledge of how the defenses look, into week 6 and beyond.

Is pulling the trigger a round or two early on Miami a shark move?

Talk me off the ledge............................

TZM
Miami has been available easily in the second to last round of all my drafts so far. Every mock I run has them easily available as well. Unless your other players read the shark pool, you are likely safe.
They went in the 14th of 20 in mine. I think the secret is out.

 
I draft in the Washington DC area, so Miami has been going fairly early here among D streamers. Wirth a flyer at whatever point the guppies have drafted all the "elite" defenses, imo.

 
Jags offense might not be Top 10, but there should be enough changes to get it to average / slightly below average.

New RT/Center with last year's starters now depth.. New OC. Much deeper at RB with Yeldon, Gerhart looks healthier, and the addition of Pierce at the back end.

Even with Julius Thomas dinged, Bortles looks very comfortable making quick throws to Marcedes and Harbor.

I'd be concentrating on offenses with instability/significant injuries to the OL:

TB

OAK

WAS

NYG

CHI

 
Well, my usually strategy of streaming Ds is out the window.

In one heavy FBG league, I waited until the 17th/18th rounds of a 20 rounder (kicker in 19th, James Starks as a flyer in 20). I actually love the two Ds I got, NE and Ariz. When NE is on bye Arizona (@home) plays St. Louis. It is week 4, so I don't think Gurley will be that effective yet, so I like that match up a lot. In week 9, NE (@home) plays Washington when Arizona is on a bye. Week 7 is a tough match up (based on 2014) for Arizona and NE (@home) has the Jets. Week 12 is tough for NE (@Den) and Arizona plays @SF. Championship week 16 has a bad match up for Arizona (@home vs. GB) and NE has the Jets again. Actually, NE in weeks 14-16 is Houston, Tenn and NYJ. Probably ignoring Arizona at that point (Minn, Phi, GB).

Anyway, NE/Arizona isn't bad at all. You can also still pickup other teams to fill in the few weeks where neither has a great match up. There are only 3 weeks where both have average match ups according to DD and one is NE against Houston, which is better than last year's numbers. I drafted them as the 8th and 9th defenses. To give you an idea of who I passed up at this point: Josh Gordon (keeper thoughts), Juwan Thompson, Jordan Reed, Marqise Lee, Cole Beasley, Tyler Lockett and Jared Cook went after my NE pick (I took Ariz 2 picks after). I think it will pay dividends even though I got them so late.

My other draft on Sunday doesn't count. I took Seattle as the first D (7.10). You are limited to 20 transactions (new rule this year) with a small roster (15 for 9 starters), so streaming is pretty much out of the question with bye weeks. I have a decent roster but I took Foster for future, so I may be making RB moves early and I don't want to drop good players for a one week D. I will probably try to stream if I find one of my backups is crap, but I took Seattle with a week 9 bye as a set it and forget it so I could solidify the haves/have nots on the roster by the time I get to needing a D for week 9. I hated having to make that pick that early, but it did start a D run since people realized why I did it (I said so after the pick). If you have a crappy D, you are literally stuck with it or you are using a bunch of transactions. I really hate the new rule. I am a high transaction guy.

 
The same old after draft dark thoughts have set in.

It happens every year for me. (I won't post my team here unless its really called for)

But the reason I even came in to post, was something very odd happened in my draft, when it came to defenses.

Seattle goes off the board in the final slot of round 8. LOL.

Then in round 9 things went haywire.

Houston, Buffalo and Philly all went off the board.

The the run stopped. I was sort of surprised, but I said I will get Miami in the 14th.

13th round- Arizona, Baltimore, Green Bay all went.

In the 14th, I was sitting there looking at St. Louis, INDY, Miami and a few others of note, but none considered "top tier".

If you had a choice, which would you take?

(note- I am of the streaming mind, but if I can land a good startable one each week, then I am all for that)

TZM

 
Cutler has been handing the football over the GB via interceptions and fumbles for years. Regardless as to whether its home or away, he's a sure bet to turn the ball over multiple times.

 
Only 15 DSTs got drafted in my long time league. Tasty WW:

DEN

NYJ

(I know, right?)

CLE

MIN

DAL

CIN

PIT

First Waiver is Thursday. Might drop one (Torrey, Reuben, Flacco or Crowell) to load up. Jets @ home V. Browns should be good, no?

ETA: I have the Panthers

 
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I have a draft this week where we pick a DST for the entire year and I have the #1 choice.

SEA, BUF, MIA, or HOU?

 
OK, I've waited long enough.

I ended up going STL in the draft, but I am regretting that decision. (as a fluke, TWO teams got second defenses in the final round, which caused me to NOT get Miami or Indy)

I'm not liking STL facing Seattle in week 1, and to make it tougher I am starting Russell Wilson.

So the best of the lot on the wire is.................... MIN, CLE , TB .

I really like MIN vs. SF in week 1, but the best of this is probably CLE that plays the Jets, then it gets good with TEN and OAK at home.

I am leaning towards picking up CLE and rolling that way for a few weeks, thoughts streamers???

Obviously this would require dropping STL, which to me looks seriously overrated going into the season.

TZM

 
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Maybe I missed it (seriously, point and call me dumb if I did) but why are there so many people taking flyers on the colts dst? I know it changes year to year and you never know what you'll get but seriously, they were not good on defense last year and I don't see why that will change. Yes they have a favorable schedule for their defense but this does not guarantee success. Even the bad teams score when the defense gives as much resistance as a gentle sneeze. I'm open to being wrong, I'd just like someone to tell me why I am.
Have YOU looked at their schedule for the first four weeks?

 
Insein said:
On to week 1.
Was just looking for this. I am debating the following:NYJ hosting Browns

Chiefs at Texans

GB at Bears

Browns do have a nice start to the year though and should be in consideration.

 
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Was toying with Minnesota this weeks because I think SF has train wreck written all over them this year. But its in SF, so I'm hesitant.

 
Bengals week one for me. There is some hype surrounding the Raiders this year, but show me.
Can't argue with great of a matchup Oak was last year. I think they have jumped a few teams though.
 
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I'm rolling with TB at home this week. Bit of a reach but best of what was available.
I thought seriously about getting TB, and I still am.

I ended up dropping STL and got Cleveland in that one big league I am in. (STL's schedule is too tough early)

But I may take the TB crew yet and hop aboard that train.

Geesh, every time I think of TB now, I think of that horror show they put up vs. ATL last year in one of those night games.

I have to get that outta my head, and realize this is a new year. :)

In brighter news, in my "oldest league" I got INDY last night in round 15 of 16.

Miami was swiped by a Miami homer just a few picks before me, but I am content with INDY.

2 more drafts tonight, still trying to get Miami somewhere if I can~!

TZM

 
Picked up Miami as they were dropped for some reason. Benching STL for the reasons you point out. Still some potential in that D IMO, gonna hold if I can.

 
Only 15 DSTs got drafted in my long time league. Tasty WW:

DEN

NYJ

(I know, right?)

CLE

MIN

DAL

CIN

PIT

First Waiver is Thursday. Might drop one (Torrey, Reuben, Flacco or Crowell) to load up. Jets @ home V. Browns should be good, no?

ETA: I have the Panthers
I loaded up everywhere on the Jets D for week 1. I'll figure out week 2 later.
 
Only 15 DSTs got drafted in my long time league. Tasty WW:

DEN

NYJ

(I know, right?)

CLE

MIN

DAL

CIN

PIT

First Waiver is Thursday. Might drop one (Torrey, Reuben, Flacco or Crowell) to load up. Jets @ home V. Browns should be good, no?

ETA: I have the Panthers
I loaded up everywhere on the Jets D for week 1. I'll figure out week 2 later.
Missed NYJ on the first waivers. Picked up DEN to roll with them after week 1, think I'll start out with Panthers @ JAX.

Broncos have 4 decent matchups Weeks 2-5 then the bye. Not as confident in them post bye week.

 
The team that jumps out to me is the Raiders, but the lack of chatter here makes me a bit nervous...what am I missing?

Oakland's D was their strength last year, held back by a putrid offense that is likely to improve at least a bit.

Meanwhile, they add Mack and Edwards via the draft, Dan Williams/Curtis Lofton up the middle. I'm not sure whether Del Rio is a positive or a negative - at least he's defensive minded and had some success on the defensive side of the ball.

I almost forgot to mention that they are one of the few defenses available that are at home against a below average QB.

 
Anyone got the stones to start Philly D on the road vs the Falcons? ATL OL is rubbish and their RBs are highly suspect at this point. I see the Eagles jumping out to a big lead and then pinning their ears back.

 
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Anyone got the stones to start Philly D on the road vs the Falcons? ATL OL is rubbish and their RBs are highly suspect at this point. I see the Eagles jumping out to a big lead and then pinning their ears back.
If they weren't already drafted in my homer leagues hell yea! Lots of sacks and playing from behind should lead to turnovers. And then there's special teams which is always a threat to take it to the house ateast once a game.

 
I was able to out play Seattle last year with streaming picks by about 6.2 points per week. The matchups played a huge part in that.
Wow...that is a pretty big advantage.
The average weekly score in my league was 12.17. I managed to get 17.67 streaming. Only one other guy caught on after week 5 and started streaming too ending up with 17.5. Other than that, everyone was at or below the average.
The more competitive the league the less likely you are to pull this off as others do it.

 
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I was able to out play Seattle last year with streaming picks by about 6.2 points per week. The matchups played a huge part in that.
Wow...that is a pretty big advantage.
The average weekly score in my league was 12.17. I managed to get 17.67 streaming. Only one other guy caught on after week 5 and started streaming too ending up with 17.5. Other than that, everyone was at or below the average.
The more competitive the league the less likely you are to pull this off as others do it.
Agreed. I'm hoping not too many others caught on. It didn't seem it as people drafted the standard ranked teams in order in rounds 11-15

 
I was able to out play Seattle last year with streaming picks by about 6.2 points per week. The matchups played a huge part in that.
Wow...that is a pretty big advantage.
The average weekly score in my league was 12.17. I managed to get 17.67 streaming. Only one other guy caught on after week 5 and started streaming too ending up with 17.5. Other than that, everyone was at or below the average.
The more competitive the league the less likely you are to pull this off as others do it.
Agreed. I'm hoping not too many others caught on. It didn't seem it as people drafted the standard ranked teams in order in rounds 11-15
Well, lets be fair. 6 points seems a bit fluky high to me.

Trust me I am not taking anything away from what Insein did at all, but can you depend on that every year, I think not.

Now, on a more realistic note, perhaps we could average possibly 3 points more a week??????? That is still a gargantuan edge in the overall scheme of things.

(You dont believe it??? OK , you draft, and stow away a defense sir. Let me add in another flier at WR or RB who may well explode, and last but not least pick your poison at defense, because I will stream my way to 3 more points a week, and have that flier to boot~!!)

The only real appropriate way to try and gauge effectiveness, is to track it for a few years.

Hell, that doesn't even take into consideration one important factor.................

One manager may be more adept at picking the correct streamer week to week as well!

Interesting stuff.

TZM

 
Don't keep track of averages. Just know that from using the info/discussion from this thread over the last 3 years, I would say my team wins the defense match up against my opponent more times then it loses. IMO one of the best, in season, threads to follow.

 
Any notes on the Pats defense from someone who watched the game would be appreciated.

Had to miss the game tonight, sigh.........

FWIW- I am not high on the Pats defense. (though many in my leagues started them and didn't think twice) Drafted on name alone I suppose, which happens a lot.

Just curious if this is one I may be juggling and picking from later on in the year or not.

TZM

 
Any notes on the Pats defense from someone who watched the game would be appreciated.

Had to miss the game tonight, sigh.........

FWIW- I am not high on the Pats defense. (though many in my leagues started them and didn't think twice) Drafted on name alone I suppose, which happens a lot.

Just curious if this is one I may be juggling and picking from later on in the year or not.

TZM
they looked really bad. 2 missed fgs and a few timely stops saved them from a really bad outing

 
Anyone got the stones to start Philly D on the road vs the Falcons? ATL OL is rubbish and their RBs are highly suspect at this point. I see the Eagles jumping out to a big lead and then pinning their ears back.
I'm playing them, and I have Ryan/Julio. Basically banking on a shootout with some big turn overs/plays to make them useful. I should forewarn that most times, my gut is terrible and I really should stop listening to it.

 
Any notes on the Pats defense from someone who watched the game would be appreciated.

Had to miss the game tonight, sigh.........

FWIW- I am not high on the Pats defense. (though many in my leagues started them and didn't think twice) Drafted on name alone I suppose, which happens a lot.

Just curious if this is one I may be juggling and picking from later on in the year or not.

TZM
they looked really bad. 2 missed fgs and a few timely stops saved them from a really bad outing
That was one of the best Os they will play. DeAngelo looked good and while the Pats D wasn't good I still think they will be fine when they are playing lesser teams. I have AZ and NE and this week was one of a couple weeks that both had not so good match ups. That said still 3 sacks and an INT so not a horrible game.
 
The team that jumps out to me is the Raiders, but the lack of chatter here makes me a bit nervous...what am I missing?

Oakland's D was their strength last year, held back by a putrid offense that is likely to improve at least a bit.

Meanwhile, they add Mack and Edwards via the draft, Dan Williams/Curtis Lofton up the middle. I'm not sure whether Del Rio is a positive or a negative - at least he's defensive minded and had some success on the defensive side of the ball.

I almost forgot to mention that they are one of the few defenses available that are at home against a below average QB.
Oakland had the worst scoring defense in the NFL last year, and the worst fantasy defense by traditional scoring as well. They've got some pieces they can build around, but that's about all that can be said for them at this point.

 
Any notes on the Pats defense from someone who watched the game would be appreciated.

Had to miss the game tonight, sigh.........

FWIW- I am not high on the Pats defense. (though many in my leagues started them and didn't think twice) Drafted on name alone I suppose, which happens a lot.

Just curious if this is one I may be juggling and picking from later on in the year or not.

TZM
they looked really bad. 2 missed fgs and a few timely stops saved them from a really bad outing
That was one of the best Os they will play. DeAngelo looked good and while the Pats D wasn't good I still think they will be fine when they are playing lesser teams. I have AZ and NE and this week was one of a couple weeks that both had not so good match ups. That said still 3 sacks and an INT so not a horrible game.
Their pass rush is not good and Ben had 5-6 seconds at times to throw at times and the Steelers desperately miss Martavis Bryant.. The injury to Dominique Easley is something to monitor.

 
Any notes on the Pats defense from someone who watched the game would be appreciated.

Had to miss the game tonight, sigh.........

FWIW- I am not high on the Pats defense. (though many in my leagues started them and didn't think twice) Drafted on name alone I suppose, which happens a lot.

Just curious if this is one I may be juggling and picking from later on in the year or not.

TZM
they looked really bad. 2 missed fgs and a few timely stops saved them from a really bad outing
That was one of the best Os they will play. DeAngelo looked good and while the Pats D wasn't good I still think they will be fine when they are playing lesser teams. I have AZ and NE and this week was one of a couple weeks that both had not so good match ups. That said still 3 sacks and an INT so not a horrible game.
Their pass rush is not good and Ben had 5-6 seconds at times to throw at times and the Steelers desperately miss Martavis Bryant.. The injury to Dominique Easley is something to monitor.
They aren't a great D, but 3 sacks a game is 1 below the #2 sack team in 2014. NE was #13 with 40 sacks last year, so it seems like they have a decent pass rush. I know they were missing Bryant, but Ben still had 351 yard passing and DWill got some really nice blocking. Again, NE has a lot of nice games and I expect them to be a decent D fantasy wise. Of course, if I didn't have so many slots to cover the Dallas RBs and my issues at RB2, I likely would have picked up a 3rd D for this week (I have AZ as well, they match up with NE well).

 
Steaming Carolina this week, grabbed off waivers.
i would be skeptical of them. i see them losing to the jags this week straight up to a score of something like 21-17
I am starting Carolina in two leagues but I agree with being skeptical. The Jags are improved from last year on offense. Also have to consider the fact that the potential ineptitude of the Carolina offense puts their defense on the field more than most. I considered Indy as well but Buffalo may throw the ball a total of 15 times all game. That doesn't lend itself to very many sacks, turnovers, etc. Tempted to drop Carolina for KC who plays Houston

 
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Steaming Carolina this week, grabbed off waivers.
i would be skeptical of them. i see them losing to the jags this week straight up to a score of something like 21-17
I am starting Carolina in two leagues but I agree with being skeptical. The Jags are improved from last year on offense. Also have to consider the fact that the potential ineptitude of the Carolina offense puts their defense on the field more than most. I considered Indy as well but Buffalo may throw the ball a total of 15 times all game. That doesn't lend itself to very many sacks, turnovers, etc. Tempted to drop Carolina for KC who plays Houston
I have KC as my starting d now. Luckily my league doesn't give defense a lot of points unless they get shutouts or a lot of turnovers and tds so wide rather just ride with kc and hope they get back to 2013 form

 
For those in best ball, how about the 2 Ds in the rookie QB matchup?
For those with slim pickens this week, I just noticed this blurb:

USA Today: Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston faces a brutal history when he faces Tennessee Titans assistant head coach/defense **** LeBeau in Week 1. Since 1995, rookie quarterbacks are 3-26 with 24 touchdowns and 37 interceptions against his defenses.

 
Leroy Hoard said:
For those in best ball, how about the 2 Ds in the rookie QB matchup?
For those with slim pickens this week, I just noticed this blurb:

USA Today: Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston faces a brutal history when he faces Tennessee Titans assistant head coach/defense **** LeBeau in Week 1. Since 1995, rookie quarterbacks are 3-26 with 24 touchdowns and 37 interceptions against his defenses.
That was when he was with Pit. I get he has great schemes and all but Tennessee is just awful on defense. Good luck if you choose them!

 

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