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**Streaming Defense** Weeks 14-16 FF Playoffs (1 Viewer)

SameSongNDance said:
Familiarity likely works in HOU's favor. Mind you, these stats are have a healthy Watt factored in but HOU has owned Bortles at home over the past two years.

In 2014 Bortles was 14 of 33 for for 117 yards, no TDs, no INTs. He was sacked 5 times and fumbled but JAC recovered the ball. JAC scored 17 points in this game.

In 2015 Bortles was 17 of 32 for 239 yards, no TDs, 2 INTs. He was sacked 8 times and fumbled twice, he lost one of them. JAC scored 6 points in this game.

Edit: Watt accounted for 3 sacks in each game. Bortles 100% has nightmares about Watt.

Bortles has never thrown a TD on the road vs. HOU. He's been much better at home (5 TDs) but still turns the ball over, fumbling at least once every game. Again, I know the sample size is small and this isn't the same HOU defense but it's clear HOU's DST has put up points at home vs. JAC in recent history. I think they need to be up for consideration for week 15, especially assuming Clowney and Joseph are back.
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Here is my post about the HOU vs. JAC match-up from last week when I was looking ahead.

I'm going back and forth between BAL and HOU.

They're definitely a DST1 this week. Is that term ever used? 

 
I have Houston rostered but Buffalo is available somehow after waivers.

I like that Houston is at home and fighting for the division against Bortles.  Not a bad match-up next week either with Cinci coming to Houston.

 
Been riding the Vikings all year, now I'm debating HOU as they are available.  Probably should pull the trigger as the Viking are at GB next week if I make it through this week.

 
I am still pondering my D choice.  I have ATL and NE rostered and prefer ATL.  GB is on the wire but I do not think I am going to make a play for them since ATL and GB are pretty close.   Chicago seems to be improving.  With Jeffery coming back, the WR corp is actually better than average. 

 
In my league with limited options I grabbed ATL off the wire last week and GB off the wire this week... sitting on both of them.  I think @Power Monster makes some good points in his post above.  Generally I like to see how teams are playing lately and how their competition has been playing when I'm picking a streamer D.

Atlanta -- last 3 weeks haven't allowed more than 21 points; have totaled 6 sacks and 7 TOs.  SF is the 10th best matchup per Yahoo, scoring 24, 6, and 17 points the last 3 weeks while committing 2 TOs, allowing a safety, and giving up 10 sacks.

Green Bay -- they've definitely been on a roll, allowing no more than 13 points in any of their last 3 against Philly, Houston, and Seattle.  In those three games they've got 9 sacks, 6 interceptions, and two more fumble recoveries.  Chicago, meanwhile, is the 12th best matchup per Yahoo, scoring 21, 24, and 11 the past 3 weeks, though committing only 3 TOs and allowing only 2 sacks (though it should be noted they played Tennessee, SF, and Detroit.  With Howard, Chicago is definitely playing low-risk football, doing their best to limit TOs and increase TOP while essentially hiding Barkley as much as possible... not sure exactly what to make of that, except that Green Bay on the season is the 9th best run D in the league in yards per game and is 11th in yards per attempt. 

Buffalo -- if you've planned ahead and grabbed the Bills, you may be wavering a bit as they've not been very good lately.  I actually just saw them dropped in one of my leagues after a guy held them for the past 3 weeks in anticipation of this matchup (he had a 1st round bye locked up).  That said, as I previously posted, Cleveland is the skeleton key for opposing Ds.  Cleveland hasn't scored more than 13 points in a game since week 8.  RGIII was utterly terrible last week, and presumably gets another start while Cleveland tries to confirm he's not the answer.  They've allowed an astonishing 22 sacks over the past month along with 9 TOs, and a couple of DST TDs for good measure.  Buffalo hasn't been awesome lately with 2, -4, and 6 points in their last 3, but they're getting Cleveland at home.  They just played Pittsburgh at home and held Big Ben, Lev Bell, and co to 27 points and forced 3 TOs.  Cleveland's Offense =/= Pittsburgh's Offense.  This feels like a high floor opportunity for Buffalo against a Cleveland team just playing out the string. 

To me, of these three options, Buffalo has the highest floor.  We've seen Kaepernick and Hyde lay it on an opposing team, though not in the past few weeks with the team presumably tanking.  We've seen Barkley play fairly well, Chicago adopt a very low risk game plan, and Jordan Howard tear it up on the ground (plus they're getting back Jeffery).  We haven't seen Cleveland lay it on anyone since week 8 when they scored 28 against the Jets, who we know aren't very good.  Even in that game, the Jets still scored 4 points in a standard league.  Outside of that one?  Cleveland hasn't allowed less than 6 points to an opposing D this season, and they have 6 out of 13 games with double digit points allowed to the opposing DST (last week's 9 to Cinci just missed making that 7/13).

Also, I think those of you with Baltimore should really consider playing them.  That's an elite D... in my league they just put up 6 points against NE, by far the best offense in the league.  Now they're getting a somewhat crumbling Philly team with a rookie QB and plenty of game film on him.  The last month in standard Yahoo scoring, Philly has allowed 7, 10, 8, and 9 points to Seattle, Green Bay, Cincinnati, and Washington.  Maybe one of those teams is on the same level as Baltimore.   Meanwhile, in that same stretch, Baltimore posted 1 point against Dallas (basically their only down game all year), followed by 11 against Cinci, 15 against Miami, and 6 last week against NE.  Philly doesn't have the ability to run and hold the ball like Dallas did, and the game is in Baltimore.  Only twice this year has Baltimore failed to score at least 6 points (vs Oakland in week 4 -- the worst matchup for DSTs in the league per Yahoo, and @ Dallas in Week 11 -- the second worst matchup in the league).  To me, Baltimore is a "don't overthink it" type of play.

 
NREC34 said:
Yahoo has Tenn projected to do better than Buff. Can anyone explain this? Are they crazy?
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Yes, I can explain it. All Yahoo projections are meaningless, and defensive projections are especially meaningless. (As are defensive rankings, BTW. I still see Philly being ranked as a Top 12 D each week, even though they haven't been that for some time.)

 
Lascelle said:
My streaming defense for Week 14 was the Bengals vs. Cleveland.

My streaming defense for Week 15 is the Bills vs. Cleveland.

I have a waiver claim to nab the Chargers defense for Week 16... who face Cleveland.
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That's been my play as well. All in on the Ds facing CLE this week and next.

Was a little hard to do as it required dropping ATL, who I think is a superb play vs the 49ers this week. I just think BUF will fare better at home vs CLE, and I care more about nabbing those points, and SD's points vs CLE next week than I do about allowing another GM to get a crack at ATL this week.

Go BUF and SD!

 
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I like GB,they've been playing great lately,plus it's supposed to be -1 at game time,with 13 mph winds..That ball will be like a rock,which will make it hard to throw and hard to hold on to(very slippery),..All players get a downgrade in this game. The Bears have nothing to play for,they might be just going through the motions, just to get the game over with and get back to their warm toasty homes...Not many games are played at around or below zero weather. This game is probably going to be the 2nd coldest game ever played in Chicago. With the Packers fighting for a play-offs spot! love their D this week!

 
Crystalsteam99 said:
I like GB,they've been playing great lately,plus it's supposed to be -1 at game time,with 13 mph winds..That ball will be like a rock,which will make it hard to throw and hard to hold on to(very slippery),..All players get a downgrade in this game. The Bears have nothing to play for,they might be just going through the motions, just to get the game over with and get back to their warm toasty homes...Not many games are played at around or below zero weather. This game is probably going to be the 2nd coldest game ever played in Chicago. With the Packers fighting for a play-offs spot! love their D this week!
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My only concern and knock against GB is that CHI will try and run Howard as much as they can, which only tick, tick, ticks the clock and less opportunities to make plays? Now, that being said, you can't run 100% of the time, so when CHI does throw it's lick your chops time!

 
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Started NE last week. Not bad. Yes, could have started ATL. That's how it goes. Still got the W. Forward to this week and beyond. Lots of D/ST still left to consider.

Between NE, BUF, ATL, BAL, and GB I would have to lean BUF at home vs. CLE. Also looking forward after this week BUF gets CLE, MIA, and @ NYJ. Not too bad as they play for their jobs on the line?

 
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Stompin' Tom Connors said:
This effect may only be for this weekend, though -- if BUF loses, they pretty much are sunk in terms of any playoff hope, so can see the team falling apart for ROY.
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It's Cleveland and they certainly don't want to be remembered as the only team that CLE got a win against? As much as I'm not a big fan of the blowhard Rex Ryan, I think his troops rally and stomp em into the ground!

 
Team Smokin' said:
It's Cleveland and they certainly don't want to be remembered as the only team that CLE got a win against? As much as I'm not a big fan of the blowhard Rex Ryan, I think his troops rally and stomp em into the ground!
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Tend to agree, although it's really hard to go 0-fer the entire year unless you're a team that completely gives up, and not sure any pro player not named Randy Moss will want that reputation. I can see the Browns putting up valid fights against all contenders just to be off the schneid and play as spoilers as much as their opponents will want to just avoid being the team that gets beat by the 0-for-now team.

 
No talk of Giants, are they rostered in everyone's leagues? On wire and have been solid of late and get a banged up Stafford at home

 
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hounddog said:
No talk of Giants, are they rostered in everyone's leagues? On wire and have been solid of late and get a banged up Stafford at home
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I picked up the Giants among the many defenses discussed in this thread this week.

 
Cheesedawg said:
I picked up the Giants among the many defenses discussed in this thread this week.
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Have Miami in the rain @ NYJ meadowlands vs. NYG vs Detroit.

Right now I'm leaning Miami. Really don't think Stafford's finger is a real issue based on comments and think he's pretty good with the ball. 

 
I picked up Atl and Miami this week and I have the Patriots.  Leaning towards the Dolphins at NY against that putrid offense but I am tempted after what ATL did last week.

 
The_Fonz said:
I picked up Atl and Miami this week and I have the Patriots.  Leaning towards the Dolphins at NY against that putrid offense but I am tempted after what ATL did last week.
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A couple of key defenders who have been out for Miami recently, including Kiko Alonso, should be back this week, which bumps their DST for me.

I'm starting Miami with confidence over ATL.

 
Moonshine said:
A couple of key defenders who have been out for Miami recently, including Kiko Alonso, should be back this week, which bumps their DST for me.

I'm starting Miami with confidence over ATL.
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Thank you....combined with Bryce Petty is is very juicy looking.  Agreance! :football:

 
I have the Texans but leaning GB. I read that its going to be zero degrees with wind... any confirmation of this? The Texans have just sucked all around, hesitant to start them, like its the game that Bortles goes off....

 
Any opinions on the Bears this week compared to teams like the Raiders, Buccaneers or Lions?  

They seem to be ranked near the bottom wherever I look.  However, they looked good the past 2 weeks, Rodgers isn't 100%, it'll be around 0 degrees during the game, etc. 

 
Magic_Man said:
I may go Texans over Ravens this week in 1 league
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I have the same choices.  

Balt at home looks great and they need to win out. 

Houston defense is OK, played well against Luck, but makes me nervous. 

They are fighting for the playoffs like Balt.  

Coin toss tomorrow for me :2cents:

 
BigDave said:
I have the same choices.  

Balt at home looks great and they need to win out. 

Houston defense is OK, played well against Luck, but makes me nervous. 

They are fighting for the playoffs like Balt.  

Coin toss tomorrow for me :2cents:
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I believe Baltimore is an excellent play this week and no way I would play the Texans over Baltimore.

 
shadyridr said:
Bears vs Rodgers would be a top pick in a bizarro fantasy league
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In the Lemarchand's Box that is the Saints playoff chances, the Bears need to beat the Packers this week so I'll be pulling for the Monsters of the Midway.

At least you'd have that going for you.

 
AngryPatriot said:
I have the Texans but leaning GB. I read that its going to be zero degrees with wind... any confirmation of this? The Texans have just sucked all around, hesitant to start them, like its the game that Bortles goes off....
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Cold. Bad cold. 6 for a high. Wind chills probably - 25 or less. Windy. Lake effect snow south in N. Indiana. Miserable day to be outside for 5 minutes let alone 3 hours. Bears will run. GB will try to run and throw. Looks like setup for a low scoring game but then again this is the NFL. Never know. 

 
simey said:
I would play the Bills. I have to decide between playing Miami @ Jets or Giants at home against Lions.
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Have the Bills lost anybody of significance on defense past couple weeks?  I was planning on playing them against the putrid Browns, but Atl and GB are sitting on the waivers

 
Magic_Man said:
I may go Texans over Ravens this week in 1 league
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I have the same choices.  

Balt at home looks great and they need to win out. 

Houston defense is OK, played well against Luck, but makes me nervous. 

They are fighting for the playoffs like Balt.  

Coin toss tomorrow for me :2cents:

Thanks, I'm leaning Balt because that was my first choice and those usually work out best :D

 
chad in Indy said:
Have the Bills lost anybody of significance on defense past couple weeks?  I was planning on playing them against the putrid Browns, but Atl and GB are sitting on the waivers
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The Bills should have a good day on both sides of the ball against Cleveland. The Bills D should rack up a few sacks and turnovers. 

 
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