cobalt_27
Footballguy
So, someone remind me why we're still starting 2 RBs in most of our leagues? Oh, that's right--most NFL teams start 2 RBs, so we should as well.
Well.
Indeed, I do remember a time when the 2-RB set was in vogue. But, teams are relying much more on the 1-back set or utilizing a fullback, at best. We aren't seeing two fantasy-producing RBs in the same backfield. Not anymore.
Even if you like the 2 RB setup in your fantasy leagues, this still may be interesting information. I've taken all running backs since 1970 and teased out everyone that scored 100 or more fantasy points each year (based on your typical 1/10, 6/TD scoring system). Then, I counted all the teams that had TWO running backs score 100+ points in the same year. The following results are summarized by (a) decade and (b) # of teams w/2+ RBs > 100pts:
1970s 110
1980s 90
1990s 61
00-04 23
So, we've gone from 11 teams/year who had multiple producing RBs in the '70s to, now, less than 5 teams/year.
I did not control for injuries that required a NEW starter to come in and fill the primary RB role at some point in the season. But, just looking at the names from year-to-year, it's clear to me that the most recent teams who have had multiple backs scoring over 100pts was heavily determined by injuries; my guess is it's more heavily-weighted in that direction now than it was in the past.
We're talking about over a 50% reduction in teams utilizing a multiple-back set since the 1970s (far more if you factor in the number of teams playing now vs. back then).
Now, whether you like the 2RB setup in fantasy football or not, I don't think the argument holds anymore that it's done this way to emulate what's on the field in the NFL on any given Sunday. Those second backs...they ain't carrying the load...they're blocking for the primary ballcarrier.
But, it is this 2RB emphasis that has created the supply issue in most leagues--that, thus, dictates demand--and has totally diminished the values of other positions. As anyone who's ever read any of my posts on this topic, you know my bias and bewilderment over elite QBs getting passed over until the 2nd and 3rd rounds in favor of those mid-range RBs.
So, for those of you who are similarly frustrated that your drafts aren't even coming close to reflecting true talent value on the field, maybe you can take this data to your league commish and push for changes in the lineup structure that establish better equilibrium to your league's relative positional value.
Well.
Indeed, I do remember a time when the 2-RB set was in vogue. But, teams are relying much more on the 1-back set or utilizing a fullback, at best. We aren't seeing two fantasy-producing RBs in the same backfield. Not anymore.
Even if you like the 2 RB setup in your fantasy leagues, this still may be interesting information. I've taken all running backs since 1970 and teased out everyone that scored 100 or more fantasy points each year (based on your typical 1/10, 6/TD scoring system). Then, I counted all the teams that had TWO running backs score 100+ points in the same year. The following results are summarized by (a) decade and (b) # of teams w/2+ RBs > 100pts:
1970s 110
1980s 90
1990s 61
00-04 23
So, we've gone from 11 teams/year who had multiple producing RBs in the '70s to, now, less than 5 teams/year.
I did not control for injuries that required a NEW starter to come in and fill the primary RB role at some point in the season. But, just looking at the names from year-to-year, it's clear to me that the most recent teams who have had multiple backs scoring over 100pts was heavily determined by injuries; my guess is it's more heavily-weighted in that direction now than it was in the past.
We're talking about over a 50% reduction in teams utilizing a multiple-back set since the 1970s (far more if you factor in the number of teams playing now vs. back then).
Now, whether you like the 2RB setup in fantasy football or not, I don't think the argument holds anymore that it's done this way to emulate what's on the field in the NFL on any given Sunday. Those second backs...they ain't carrying the load...they're blocking for the primary ballcarrier.
But, it is this 2RB emphasis that has created the supply issue in most leagues--that, thus, dictates demand--and has totally diminished the values of other positions. As anyone who's ever read any of my posts on this topic, you know my bias and bewilderment over elite QBs getting passed over until the 2nd and 3rd rounds in favor of those mid-range RBs.
So, for those of you who are similarly frustrated that your drafts aren't even coming close to reflecting true talent value on the field, maybe you can take this data to your league commish and push for changes in the lineup structure that establish better equilibrium to your league's relative positional value.
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