The strictly NFL gambling thread (1 Viewer)

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[Cliff Clavin]

final tally?

Up a good amount, about 2 grand. Gave up on the thread though. Was fun while it lasted.

I was up $105,091

 

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Damn, I was only up $95,100.29

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Any surefire locks this week?

 

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Any surefire locks this week?

 

[Baloney Sandwich]

I know of only two people that have never had a losing season betting on the NFL...ghostguy123 and Kim Jong Un

 

[leftcoastguy7]

Could someone please tell me who is going to win the NFC?

 

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Could someone please tell me who is going to win the NFC?

The Patriots, duh.

East Coast Bias.

 

[Peyton Marino]

if you're not making at least 1 billion each NFL season it's time to look for where you went wrong in life

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Any surefire locks this week?

I don't always bet dogs, but Cincinnati +3 looks good this week. I always like home dogs with the better rated defense.

 

[Nero]

Any surefire locks this week?

The lock is Houston +3 or 3 1/2 in some places. I feel pretty good about Houston winning the game.

 

[The_Man]

Houston is the only game I don't have a lean on.

I like

Cincy +3

Seattle -5

Washington +1

I guess I'll go with KC -3 just because I like to go on the record picking all the playoff games. But I really like is the under in this game.

 

[ghostguy123]

I cashed out cause I never bet the playoffs. Mainly cause I suck at playoff betting, but out of the 4 upcoming games the only things scoring on the Ghost confidence meter is the over 45 of the Packers/Skins game, assuming somewhat normal weather.

 

[Zow]

I tied for first in a spread pool of two hundred participants. Hit at a 56% clip. Best nfl gambling moment on my life. Won a few grand.

I like Houston and Green Bay this week. Picking Pitt and Minnesota in the other two games but wouldn't lay any real money on them.

 

[ghostguy123]

I tied for first in a spread pool of two hundred participants. Hit at a 56% clip. Best nfl gambling moment on my life. Won a few grand.

I have never been all that great in those pools where you have to pick all the games. 56% is pretty damn good when the large majority of those games that you picked were probably complete coin flips. You probably hit near 75% or better on the games that you had a really strong feeling on.

Those are the games I stick to when I bet any sort of significant amount.

 

[ghostguy123]

Sketchy weather in washington tomorrow. Looked like rain and crazy wind. Would have to check in right before the game, but if it is halfway reasonable, over

 

[Zow]

I tied for first in a spread pool of two hundred

participants. Hit at a 56% clip. Best nfl gambling moment on my life. Won a few grand.

I have never been all that great in those pools where you have to pick all the games. 56% is pretty damn good when the large majority of

those games that you picked were probably complete coin flips. You probably hit near 75% or better on the games that you had a really strong feeling on.

Those are the games I stick to when I bet any sort of significant amount.

See that's the funny thing, I only broke even on individual bets I made this seasons. Not sure what that says haha.

 

[ghostguy123]

I tied for first in a spread pool of two hundred

participants. Hit at a 56% clip. Best nfl gambling moment on my life. Won a few grand.

I have never been all that great in those pools where you have to pick all the games. 56% is pretty damn good when the large majority of

those games that you picked were probably complete coin flips. You probably hit near 75% or better on the games that you had a really strong feeling on.

Those are the games I stick to when I bet any sort of significant amount.

See that's the funny thing, I only broke even on individual bets I made this seasons. Not sure what that says haha.

For one season, probably nothing.

I know if I am forced to pick every game each week I am barely above 50%.

I am actually sort of jonesing to bet some games these playoffs. Small stuff, just to have some action. 25 a game or some crap.

 

[ghostguy123]

I do have a powerball bet with someone, he set the O/U at 1 winning ticket, I took the over.

 

[Todem]

For some action today I went ahead and did a home dog parlay.

Houston and Vikings.

 

[Billy Bats]

I do have a powerball bet with someone, he set the O/U at 1 winning ticket, I took the over.

That's a lock. Will be at least three IMO. Add to your bet!

 

[ghostguy123]

Sketchy weather in washington tomorrow. Looked like rain and crazy wind. Would have to check in right before the game, but if it is halfway reasonable, over

Wish I would have checked. Windy but otherwise not bad. Oh well.

All four road teams won eh? I know that has happened before, but maybe what, 2 or 3 other times? Not a real huge surprise I guess considering all four road teams were better teams.

Hmm, odds to win AFC championship

Patriots +160

Broncos +210

Might just throw something on each and take a small profit. Seems VERY likely one of them gets to the super bowl.

 

[Bill Brasky]

You probably hit near 75% or better on the games that you had a really strong feeling on.

Those are the games I stick to when I bet any sort of significant amount.

JFC

 

[Peyton Marino]

Sketchy weather in washington tomorrow. Looked like rain and crazy wind. Would have to check in right before the game, but if it is halfway reasonable, over

Wish I would have checked. Windy but otherwise not bad. Oh well.

All four road teams won eh? I know that has happened before, but maybe what, 2 or 3 other times? Not a real huge surprise I guess considering all four road teams were better teams.

Hmm, odds to win AFC championship

Patriots +160

Broncos +210

Might just throw something on each and take a small profit. Seems VERY likely one of them gets to the super bowl.

agreed. i'd even go so far as to say it's up to 71% likely.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Any surefire locks this week?

I don't always bet dogs, but Cincinnati +3 looks good this week. I always like home dogs with the better rated defense.

Never a doubt.

 

[fantasycurse42]

Sketchy weather in washington tomorrow. Looked like rain and crazy wind. Would have to check in right before the game, but if it is halfway reasonable, over

Wish I would have checked. Windy but otherwise not bad. Oh well.

All four road teams won eh? I know that has happened before, but maybe what, 2 or 3 other times? Not a real huge surprise I guess considering all four road teams were better teams.

Hmm, odds to win AFC championship

Patriots +160

Broncos +210

Might just throw something on each and take a small profit. Seems VERY likely one of them gets to the super bowl.

agreed. i'd even go so far as to say it's up to 71% likely.

I'll have more definitive odds next Monday.

 

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Sketchy weather in washington tomorrow. Looked like rain and crazy wind. Would have to check in right before the game, but if it is halfway reasonable, over

Wish I would have checked. Windy but otherwise not bad. Oh well.

All four road teams won eh? I know that has happened before, but maybe what, 2 or 3 other times? Not a real huge surprise I guess considering all four road teams were better teams.

Hmm, odds to win AFC championship

Patriots +160

Broncos +210

Might just throw something on each and take a small profit. Seems VERY likely one of them gets to the super bowl.

agreed. i'd even go so far as to say it's up to 71% likely.

I'll have more definitive odds next Monday.

I look forward to him posting his picks Sunday evening.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

On to the next round:

There were 2 very lucky teams that advanced. One goes to Denver getting 7, the other goes to Carolina only getting 3. I'll take my chances fading the second one.

Carolina -3

 

[wilked]

On to the next round:

There were 2 very lucky teams that advanced. One goes to Denver getting 7, the other goes to Carolina only getting 3. I'll take my chances fading the second one.

Carolina -3

That's the only line of the 4 I think is mis-priced. I am with you

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Lets see if we can go for 3 weeks in a row.

Two 3 point favorites, the ARI/CAR game should be a good one to watch.

First glance almost had me on the Brady > Manning bandwagon but a closer look shows me the homedog/better defense angle that cashed a couple weeks ago, when Cinci totally screwed the pooch and still somehow covered vs Pitt.

Denver +3

 

[wilked]

Can't back you up there, but I have some bias as well...

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Can't back you up there, but I have some bias as well...

This one I'm a little shaky on, just favoring a system over my eyes I guess.

 

[Bill Brasky]

s.tfu, I come to this thread for to hear what ghost maybe might kind of but probably not we'll think about it and then confirm after the fact, bets.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Lets see if we can go for 3 weeks in a row.

Two 3 point favorites, the ARI/CAR game should be a good one to watch.

First glance almost had me on the Brady > Manning bandwagon but a closer look shows me the homedog/better defense angle that cashed a couple weeks ago, when Cinci totally screwed the pooch and still somehow covered vs Pitt.

Denver +3

Call me crazy, but I like Denver again, this time at +3.5. Denver's defense is the real deal and their offense won't be the turnover machine that Arizona's was.

 

[jamil]

Lets see if we can go for 3 weeks in a row.

Two 3 point favorites, the ARI/CAR game should be a good one to watch.

First glance almost had me on the Brady > Manning bandwagon but a closer look shows me the homedog/better defense angle that cashed a couple weeks ago, when Cinci totally screwed the pooch and still somehow covered vs Pitt.

Denver +3

Call me crazy, but I like Denver again, this time at +3.5. Denver's defense is the real deal and their offense won't be the turnover machine that Arizona's was.

Peyton had 9 TDs and 17 INTs this season.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Lets see if we can go for 3 weeks in a row.

Two 3 point favorites, the ARI/CAR game should be a good one to watch.

First glance almost had me on the Brady > Manning bandwagon but a closer look shows me the homedog/better defense angle that cashed a couple weeks ago, when Cinci totally screwed the pooch and still somehow covered vs Pitt.

Denver +3

Call me crazy, but I like Denver again, this time at +3.5. Denver's defense is the real deal and their offense won't be the turnover machine that Arizona's was.

Peyton had 9 TDs and 17 INTs this season.

He has no ints in his 3 most recent games.

His last int was over 2 months ago.

 

[Peyton Marino]

yoooooooo

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Verlander / Scherzer parlay? 

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Verlander / Scherzer parlay? 

Sounds like a :IBTL:

 

[Baloney Sandwich]

Fawker, next year I will make you an offer. You post your weekly bets on here all season long before the games kick off next Fall. Provide the bet details with amounts and we will add up where you are at the end of the year. Whatever amount you are up at the end of the year , I will match it. If you happen to fall into the hole for the first time since the Nixon Administrstion, you match that amount and pay it to me.

Offer still stands, we can start week 4 

 

[mquinnjr]

Sounds like a :IBTL:

MLB is so predictable!

 

[ChainsawU]

I want to place an offer you can't refuse. You and your wife are a loving couple with a bright future. You are a talented architect. Diana is a top-notch real estate agent. But when the recession hits, your finances take a nosedive. In a last-ditch effort to save your dream home, you head to Las Vegas to win back your mortgage money thru gambling. After you lose everything, a mysterious billionaire offers the solution to your money problems: $1 million in cash if I can have sex, dirty, dirty sex with your wife. And this is 1993.