The strictly NFL gambling thread (1 Viewer)

[Peyton Marino]

What book is letting you parlay a dog with an under

and just an FYI. That is the only reason I bet it. I figured if it went under that the Jags chance of covering +14 was good enough to make the bet. I looked at nothing for that game, just those numbers.

Congrats on discovering correlated parlays and a book that will let you play them. Most won't.

 

[ghostguy123]

And can we get a screenshot of the parlay just for kicks

no. why do you need it? I posted it

Alright man, easy. Just wondering. Take it easy.

its ok. I would if I knew computer ####

 

[ghostguy123]

What book is letting you parlay a dog with an under

and just an FYI. That is the only reason I bet it. I figured if it went under that the Jags chance of covering +14 was good enough to make the bet. I looked at nothing for that game, just those numbers.

Congrats on discovering correlated parlays and a book that will let you play them. Most won't.

agreed. Sometimes with topbet they wont depending on the numbers, but I still havent seen an NFL bet where they wouldnt let me

 

[ghostguy123]

seattle is ####### stupid. Kick the FG you idiots

 

[ghostguy123]

Nothing looks great today. Plus spending my available time on playoff lineups. But got a few smallish bets anyway.

Steelers -3

Packers -5

buff/GB under 49.5

parlay for kicks, jags +14 with the under 45

Seattle at -9.5 right now

Let's add in a teaser, Seattle (-2.5) and New England (-2.5)

4-1 again, with another parlay.

Coulda sworn someone said I need to pick winners.............................

 

[Reginald Cornsilks]

Nothing looks great today. Plus spending my available time on playoff lineups. But got a few smallish bets anyway.

Steelers -3

Packers -5

buff/GB under 49.5

parlay for kicks, jags +14 with the under 45

Seattle at -9.5 right now

Let's add in a teaser, Seattle (-2.5) and New England (-2.5)

4-1 again, with another parlay.

Coulda sworn someone said I need to pick winners.............................

Nice. MAke it to 9-1 and you'll eventually break even on those 7 point teasers, GB.

 

[ghostguy123]

Nice. MAke it to 9-1 and you'll eventually break even on those 7 point teasers, GB.

huh?

 

[gmbacm]

Nothing looks great today. Plus spending my available time on playoff lineups. But got a few smallish bets anyway.

Steelers -3

Packers -5

buff/GB under 49.5

parlay for kicks, jags +14 with the under 45

Seattle at -9.5 right now

Let's add in a teaser, Seattle (-2.5) and New England (-2.5)

4-1 again, with another parlay.

Coulda sworn someone said I need to pick winners.............................

Im getting scared off by the "smallish bet", "not putting the time in" and "nothing looks great today" posts. Give us a 5star lock so we can all break the bank.

 

[ghostguy123]

Im getting scared off by the "smallish bet", "not putting the time in" and "nothing looks great today" posts. Give us a 5star lock so we can all break the bank.

sorry man. Havent seen one of those in over a year

 

[ghostguy123]

One bet placed already

Lions (-1) and Seahawks (-2) 6 point teaser placed. Will get that one out of the way before the lines shift

I hate betting a lot of favorites and mostly road teams, but at the moment this seems like the week for it. Games I got my eye on

Chargers +2.5

Packers -10.5

Lions -7

Saints -6

Bills -6

Seattle -8

Best moneyline dogs I see based on the payouts:

Falcons +225

Giants +195

Cardinals +320 (every ounce of logic dictates Seattle should make this one a real easy win, but they seem to enjoy sucking balls on the road from time to time)

 

[ghostguy123]

Last NFL bets till the super bowl. Cant wait to lose that one.

Lions (-1)/Seahawks (-2) teaser

Giants (+210)/Cardinals (+330) moneyline parlay

Lions -9

RAvens -5.5

 

[Peyton Marino]

BOUT THAT TIME

 

[Peyton Marino]

Fawker, next year I will make you an offer. You post your weekly bets on here all season long before the games kick off next Fall. Provide the bet details with amounts and we will add up where you are at the end of the year. Whatever amount you are up at the end of the year , I will match it. If you happen to fall into the hole for the first time since the Nixon Administrstion, you match that amount and pay it to me.

tap

 

[[icon]]

Fawker, next year I will make you an offer. You post your weekly bets on here all season long before the games kick off next Fall. Provide the bet details with amounts and we will add up where you are at the end of the year. Whatever amount you are up at the end of the year , I will match it. If you happen to fall into the hole for the first time since the Nixon Administrstion, you match that amount and pay it to me.

tap

:grabsnotebookandpen:

SCHOOL ME WITH DEM PICKS!!!

 

[fantasycurse42]

 

[tonydead]

He's probably too distracted to pay attention to football this year with two of the greatest tv series ever made showing on Sunday nights this fall.

 

[Frostillicus]

SAints -3 at ATL

KC -3 at home vs Titans

Jags +10.5 at Philly

Vikings/Rams over 43.5

Not feeling real strong on any, just kinda feelin it a bit for these.

You went 0-4 on the squarest plays I have ever seen in my life and then disappeared. Do you post what you think and then fade yourself?

For one, I didnt bet any of them. If I did, maybe one of them. Hence the "not feeling real strong" comment. Those were initial thoughts.

Impossible to get anywhere or follow along that ridiculous all purpose gambling thread with 560000 posts a day with nonsense about stuff I dont care about

This post rules so hard.

 

[Frostillicus]

Hope you guys didn't actually bet those, cause I didn't. Outside of that degenerate-style jets game I bet last thursday, I told ya I don't do Thursday games. Just way too unpredictable.

I was pretty sure the Cowboys would win that one, wow. Sanchez for real??? Can't be true, can it? Doesn't help the Cowboys were just terrible.

Arizona made it to -2.5 on topbet..............betting this one.................already bet it.

This too.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

You can just tell me what to post and I'll post it and then you can quote it in your sig.

 

[Frostillicus]

You can just tell me what to post and I'll post it and then you can quote it in your sig.

Yeah it's weird when someone uses something you never said as their sig.

 

[ghostguy123]

Hope you guys didn't actually bet those, cause I didn't. Outside of that degenerate-style jets game I bet last thursday, I told ya I don't do Thursday games. Just way too unpredictable.

I was pretty sure the Cowboys would win that one, wow. Sanchez for real??? Can't be true, can it? Doesn't help the Cowboys were just terrible.

Arizona made it to -2.5 on topbet..............betting this one.................already bet it.

This too.

Now go back and repost the winners

I think there was like one. Maybe two

 

[ghostguy123]

I got a baby comin in like 3 weeks. There's no time for this.

But I will be betting anyway.

Have not looked at any lines for this week. Will do so now actually

 

[ghostguy123]

Caught my eye

jets -3 God the Browns suck. So do the Jets though I guess.

Jags +3.5

Seattle -4

Denver -5

6.5 point teaser KC +7.5 and under 47

Who knows what these lines will be in a few days.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Who knows indeed.

 

[Peyton Marino]

we will be grading picks this year based on the 'ghostguy' rating system:

"just feeling it a bit" weakest plays, generally leans given as free plays

"caught my eye" equivalent of a 1* premium play

"just hoping to talk about these games" just strong leans... unless they win!

"i like these plays... SIKE no I don't I hope you didn't bet those because I didn't!" idk

 

[ghostguy123]

Is that pick-em thing going on this year?

 

[ghostguy123]

we will be grading picks this year based on the 'ghostguy' rating system:

"just feeling it a bit" weakest plays, generally leans given as free plays

"caught my eye" equivalent of a 1* premium play

"just hoping to talk about these games" just strong leans... unless they win!

"i like these plays... SIKE no I don't I hope you didn't bet those because I didn't!" idk

well, yeah. Nobody likes every game the same do they?

FYI, all those games I just posted I have NOT bet. Will I??? I don't know. I haven't looked at anything for each game regarding injuries and whatnot.

Pretty sure the Browns don't win more than 3 games this year though, so any close line I am going against them just based on principle.

 

[Peyton Marino]

FYI, all those games I just posted I have NOT bet. Will I??? I don't know.

this is the best ####### thing i have ever read

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Taint?

 

[Homer J Simpson]

This thread is great.

 

[Raider Nation]

we will be grading picks this year based on the 'ghostguy' rating system:

"just feeling it a bit" weakest plays, generally leans given as free plays

"caught my eye" equivalent of a 1* premium play

"just hoping to talk about these games" just strong leans... unless they win!

"i like these plays... SIKE no I don't I hope you didn't bet those because I didn't!" idk

well, yeah. Nobody likes every game the same do they?

FYI, all those games I just posted I have NOT bet. Will I??? I don't know. I haven't looked at anything for each game regarding injuries and whatnot.

Pretty sure the Browns don't win more than 3 games this year though, so any close line I am going against them just based on principle.

Fair enough?

 

[ghostguy123]

FYI, all those games I just posted I have NOT bet. Will I??? I don't know.

this is the best ####### thing i have ever read

I agree.

 

[ghostguy123]

It's ####### tuesday. Who bets the NFL on a tuesday?.....................................................just took the Jets....................................no I didnt

 

[Peyton Marino]

yea who would want to bet before the limits get raised and sharp money tightens up the line?

 

[ghostguy123]

yea who would want to bet before the limits get raised and sharp money tightens up the line?

The people who actually researched some things would be my guess.

Wait, before the limits gets raised?? Not even sure what that means.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Lines are the softest when they open. They're tightest when they close, as sharps/wiseguys have made their plays and moved the lines. Consequently, books gradually increase the amount they allow people to bet.

Note, this information really only applies to people who bet a lot of money on games and are +EV gamblers.

Also I doubt anyone's really tailing you but it's poor form to post a play you're not betting yourself unless you explicitly say you're merely considering. Just FYI.

 

[ghostguy123]

Lines are the softest when they open. They're tightest when they close, as sharps/wiseguys have made their plays and moved the lines. Consequently, books gradually increase the amount they allow people to bet.

Note, this information really only applies to people who bet a lot of money on games and are +EV gamblers.

Also I doubt anyone's really tailing you but it's poor form to post a play you're not betting yourself unless you explicitly say you're merely considering. Just FYI.

I just told you I did not bet them, so that should cover the explicit part. Besides, nobody has posted a bet in this thread. Lot of talky, no posty. I think in 10 pages, not one other person posted a bet. Maybe someone will this year. Probably not, but ya never know.

I am aware the lines change, but since I haven't researched any games this week, does that even matter? The lines could easily change in my favor or go the other way before kickoff.

Pretty sure topbet doesnt change its limits. Maybe it does, I have no idea. I never bet big enough to find out.

 

[ghostguy123]

"merely considering"

I will use this.

The games I posted in #473 I am merely considering.

 

[Bill Brasky]

fantastic shtick

 

[Peyton Marino]

what do you mean you "haven't researched" the games? the browns suck seems like pretty valuable info. you must have picked that up from somewhere.

 

[jamil]

merely considering... i love this.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

I might bet 5 units on the Over tomorrow, but then again I might not

Who knows

 

[Peyton Marino]

I might bet 5 units on the Over tomorrow, but then again I might not

Who knows

who knows what that line might be tomorrow!

 

[Leroy Hoard]

I got a baby comin in like 3 weeks. There's no time for this.

But I will be betting anyway.

Baby needs a new pair of shoes.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

This is how you start a competing thread people. Innovate!

 

[Dan Lambskin]

I might bet 5 units on the Over tomorrow, but then again I might not

Who knows

who knows what that line might be tomorrow!

apparently there are limits. i'll go 1u now and hopefully get another 4 u down tomorrow...maybe

not even sure about the 1u to be honest

 

[Peyton Marino]

I actually like the over too. Steelers are weak in the secondary and the Pats like to target opposing teams weaknesses. I see them throwing a lot, and the Steelers will have to throw to keep up, especially with Bell out.

this is merely a STRONG CONSIDERATION right now, tho

 

[lumpy19]

we will be grading picks this year based on the 'ghostguy' rating system:

"just feeling it a bit" weakest plays, generally leans given as free plays

"caught my eye" equivalent of a 1* premium play

"just hoping to talk about these games" just strong leans... unless they win!

"i like these plays... SIKE no I don't I hope you didn't bet those because I didn't!" idk

well, yeah. Nobody likes every game the same do they?

FYI, all those games I just posted I have NOT bet. Will I??? I don't know. I haven't looked at anything for each game regarding injuries and whatnot.

Pretty sure the Browns don't win more than 3 games this year though, so any close line I am going against them just based on principle.

Wo wo wo....stop the clock.

Get on this, I don't think the linesmakers have adjusted for injuries, you're on to something here.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

 

[Billy Bats]

Is that pick-em thing going on this year?

You have to join.

https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index.php?/topic/711004-nfl-capping-challenge-rich-fbg-to-donate-money-to-pot/