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Thomas Jones - I have him ranked #12RB (1 Viewer)

It's time for all of the haters stop talking about Jones being a bust his whole career. The guy played in Arizona for how many years? Should we start a list of players who didn't do much in AZ, then moved onto other teams and began to produce to their full potential? It's not necessary because no one can argue that AZ is, and has consistenly been, one of the worst teams to play for in football.
Pittman and Shipp both played in Arizona. Jones couldn't beat out either of them.
As I mentioned earlier, Jones carried 137 times last year for 627 yards and 4.6 ypc.
Jones had one run for 61 yds, otherwise he was 136 for 566, or 4.16 ypc. The real stat here is Pittman had 187 carries and 75 receptions. Jones has a habit of carrying the ball less than the other RB on the team.Dayne's looking pretty good this preseason. Anyone got him 8-12?
 
Just want to chime in here incase this thread get's bumped in December. I'd be mad if I wasn't man enough to at least put my neck on the line.I am a Thomas Jones doubter. I can't put my finger on it, but it's some combination of not trusting the Bears to produce a fantasy-worth RB, TJ's constant dissappointing and strange injuries and a general belief in other RBs at his tier.For example, I think both Westbrook and C Brown will exceed TJ's production. Taking Jones before Brown is crazy IMO.But it takes all types......

 
Something for the "T. Jones-is-a-bust" crowd to consider.As I mentioned earlier, Jones carried 137 times last year for 627 yards and 4.6 ypc. Compare that average to some other well known RBs with 100+ carries last year:Stephen Davis - 4.5 ypcRudi Johnson - 4.5 ypcPriest Holmes - 4.4 ypcDomanick Davis - 4.3 ypcTravis Henry - 4.1 ypcEdgerin James - 4.1 ypc
I'll give you 3 more numbers: 3.7, 3.4, and 3.3
Yep - you listed them in reverse order though. His ypc have gone up each year in the league, and most dramaticly when switching from Arizona to Tampa Bay. Lovie Smith obviously liked what he saw from Jones enough to target him as his main FA acquisition. It will be interesting to see what happens to that ypc figure in an offense specificly geared to his running style.
 
Previous posts mention "Rookie QB", "no good WRs"... to me that sounds like....Jamal Lewis last year (Boller, Travis Taylor, etc.).Not that I am comparing Jones to Jamal, but I am compairing the situation.Nobody expected Jamal to do what he did last year because of Boller and lack of WR's...and guess what 2066 yards, 14 TDs.
What? Nobody would expect 2000.But maybe the previous years of 1324 and 1327 yds would suggest a good year. Has Jones done anything that would even suggest a good year?
 
He's one of those scary boom or bust picks. I remember him catching my eye last year in the preseason when he was with the Bucs. He ripped off a few nice runs and made a few moves that demonstrated rare physical skills. I certainly feel like he has the potential to be a productive back, but I would feel uncomfortable with him as my RB2 unless I had a quality third option. He's showing a lot of signs of progress and people who automatically dismiss him based on his past are being foolish, but he's still a risk. If you want to talk about an underrated Jones then I'd look at Kevin. I'm probably a bit biased because I've been drafting the guy in every league known to man, but I think he's clearly a better pick than Rudi Johnson, Brian Westbrook, Tiki Barber, Curtis Martin, Quentin Griffin, and Marshall Faulk.
Excellent post.Jones is a risk...that's all i'm saying. As such, he is absolutely NOT the #10 rb....
 
I like Thomas Jones' chance to have a nice breakout season, but he should hope to break the top 20 or top 15, not the top 12. That said, I think there are still too many questions surrounding him and that Bears offense. I wouldn't want him as my #2 RB unless I got him in the late third or early fourth round, as there are safer picks out there for RB2 status.

 
I dont know why this thread even exists. Why does someone want to debate whether someone is a "sleeper". Doesn't that defete the whole purpose? Why try to convince someone of your diamond in the rough (even if it is a 50/50)?Threads like this only increase a players value...won't decrease it.It is obvious some people like him and others dont. So dont try to change the minds of people that dont like him...it could bite you in the ####....at least if a guy from your league reads this thread.Better off posting this in 5 weeks, then the "Told you so" either view point can roll.Until then....shhhhhhhhhhhh.

 
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I have Holmes, LT2, Green, Portis, McCallister, Alexander, Lewis, Edge, Taylor, Dom Davis, and Barlow ranked in the top 11...then T Jones.....please convince me i am crazy but he has looked great, is healthy, in a great FF system, sole ball carrier, feature of the offense, fast, strong etc....Who should I put ahead of him? Dillon - NE spreads ball too muchFaulk - injury prone - if plays 10 games I am luckySDavis - Foster impact + injurysHenry ~ McGahee factorBennett - kneeRudi, westbrook, etc..????I might draft him early this year...whadda ya think????
My whole draft was based on grabbing T. Jones in the 4th round (10 teams). I was able to pull it off. If you have to have him more than that, go ahead, but I would seriously doubt you have to pay the 2nd round price that you are thinking of.
 
I don't often buy into the hype on a player, but I did on Jones. I took him in the 4th (4.08) as a 3rd RB. We keep 1 player drafted after 9th and the team that had him last year didn't hold him after drafting him 12th last year.I was happy. 1.05-Deuce2.08-Chad3.05-Henry4.08-Jones

 
repeat

Not that I am comparing Jones to Jamal, but I am compairing the situation
What? Nobody would expect 2000.But maybe the previous years of 1324 and 1327 yds would suggest a good year. Has Jones done anything that would even suggest a good year?
Just saying the "rookie QB" and "WR" thing doesn't hold water.Last I checked Chicago rebuilt its O-line with proven players like Tait and Brown (i think) and have looked good....Terry Shea is using a good system, and Jones has talent (high draft propect)...only thing missing is that Jones needs to produce/step up...and all the pieces are in place for this to happen (unlike in AZ).Not trying to convince, but it is an advantage to single out players that are in position to go low and break out...wouldnt give up too much, but there is no denying that his upside is high.
 
I had not really took the hype of T. Jones too seriously but apparently the rest of my league didn't either.In my 12-team performance redraft league (6th year), I was able to grab Jones as my 3rd rb with the 6.3 pick. (yes, that's 6th round :excited: ).Many laughed and thought I was crazy. Here were some questionable backs that went before him...Chris Brown 2.10Charlie Garner 3.12 :shock: Lee Suggs 4.3Kevin Jones 4.5Tiki Barber 4.11TJ Duckett 5.8 :eek: :loco: :X Here's guessing that I get the last laugh on this pick. True, he is boom or bust, but at that round as my 3rd, I can risk it. :thumbup:

 
It's time for all of the haters stop talking about Jones being a bust his whole career. The guy played in Arizona for how many years? Should we start a list of players who didn't do much in AZ, then moved onto other teams and began to produce to their full potential? It's not necessary because no one can argue that AZ is, and has consistenly been, one of the worst teams to play for in football.
Pittman and Shipp both played in Arizona. Jones couldn't beat out either of them.
As I mentioned earlier, Jones carried 137 times last year for 627 yards and 4.6 ypc.
Jones had one run for 61 yds, otherwise he was 136 for 566, or 4.16 ypc. The real stat here is Pittman had 187 carries and 75 receptions. Jones has a habit of carrying the ball less than the other RB on the team.Dayne's looking pretty good this preseason. Anyone got him 8-12?
Oh, so you are going to take away a 61 yard gain. Does that mean for ALL the other players, you will also take away a 50+ yard gain? That is simply ridiculous. Apples to apples, please.Furthermore, Dayne is doing it in PRESEASON. Jones had his numbers, short a span as they may be, in the REAL season. Again, apples to apples. Not saying Jones is a guarantee, but you need to be consistent with your numbers if you are using them to support an arguement.
 
He plays Houston at home and at Detroit weeks 15-16. That got my attention. I don't know if I buy all the hype, but he has a very favorable schedule in the playoffs for most.

 
He plays Houston at home and at Detroit weeks 15-16. That got my attention. I don't know if I buy all the hype, but he has a very favorable schedule in the playoffs for most.
A Point NOT to be overlooked.Now I need to make it to the playoffs, and as importantly, win that first game!
 
Every year since he's been drafted, people have been high on Thomas Jones. And every year, he disappoints. This season will be no different.I have him ranked 29th among RBs, behind the likes of Charlie Garner, Duce Staley, DeShaun Foster, and Moe Williams.
Remember when the same was said about.....AHMAN GREEN???Thomas Jones was the Bucs best RB when he got the chance last year. He showed bursts that Pittman and Shipp only dream of. So he didn't blossom right away - not everyone does. He's got the skill, and in the right situation he could be very good. I think he's in the perfect situation, and could end up in the top 10 in some scoring systems. A potentially great value when 20 RB's are off the board. Oh, and how in the world can you have Foster ranker higher than Jones? Are you betting that he will start 10+ games? If not, that is just crazy.
 
Every year since he's been drafted, people have been high on Thomas Jones.  And every year, he disappoints.  This season will be no different.I have him ranked 29th among RBs, behind the likes of Charlie Garner, Duce Staley, DeShaun Foster, and Moe Williams.
Id love t0 play in your league.Garner , Deshaun ( fumbling ) Foster,Moe ( 4th RB in Minny Williams ),ranked ahead of him.Nothing else to say.
don't know about putting foster and williams ahead of him, but I basically agree with you. The hype he is getting is borderline insane. He has done nothing thusfar to warrant the kind of consideration he his getting. remember, this guy was, what, the #7 pick out of college? He's been a bust from the getgo.....I would put him in the bottom 5 starters right now....
Things hes done to receive the hype he is current getting:1.Be a great talent out of college and be taken with the #7 overall pick. Predicted by many to be a superstar in the making. 2.After struggling his first few years, have a great 2nd half of the season last year.3.Go to a team that totally fits his strengths.4.Go to a team that seems intent on trading its only other legitimate RB, so as to make him the unquestioned #1 option not only at RB, but in the entire offense.5.Go to a system that has produced an absolute stud(and I mean ABSOLUTE stud) every time its been tried in the past.6.Look great so far in the preseason.He could obviously turn out to be a bust. But to say that you can't see at all why there are any reasons for hype is a bit foolish imo.
 
There's a serious flaw in your Faulk/Holmes analogy: The Bears suck, the Rams and Chiefs don't(didn't). Besides, Faulk and Priest did quite well in their first homes, Jones was not the answer in AZ, he wasn't in TB, and he won't be in Chicago. remember as well that injuries limited him significantly in his first and third years....Not too mention how patently awful the passing game looks in Chi....8 in the box anyone? If anything, he's the next James Stewart. He may do well, but I don't really see a reason to expect him too. But that's just me....
The Rams were 4-12 before the season that Faulk came over. The Chiefs were 7-9 the year before they got Holmes and 6-10 the year before Holmes exploded as the best RB in the league. The Bears btw were 13-3 in the last year they played a home game. Next argument please.EDIT: I see that someone already refuted these points, so I'm a little late.
 
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There's a serious flaw in your Faulk/Holmes analogy:  The Bears suck, the Rams and Chiefs don't(didn't).
The Chiefs were 7-9 the year before Vermeil/Green/Holmes arrived...6-10 in their first year together.The Rams were 4-12 the year before Warner and Faulk teamed up in St.Louis...13-3 in their first year together.So, YES...the Rams and Chiefs did suck at this point in the progression.
Sorry, I'm going to have to dispute this one.In the pre-Vermeil era, both teams had decent offensive players on-board before the transition to the new offense.The 1996 Rams (w/o Vermeil) had:Isaac Bruce: 84-1338-7 (who had 119-1781-13 the year before) andEddie Kennison: 54-924-9Although not great, Harold Green and Lawrence Philips split time and but up 1500/10.They were lacking some at QB with Tony Banks the predominant QB.The 1997 Rams (w/Vermiel) had:Tony Banks as bad as ever. Still no clear #1 RB (in fact they were worse that year). Bruce did well but got hurt. No other WR did much of anything. Overall, the offense WAS WORSE than the year before.The 2000 Chiefs (w/o Vermeil) had:Elvis Grbac 4264/28RBBCDerrick Alexander 1400/10Tony Gonzalez 1200/9The 2001 Chiefs (w/Vermeil):Added Green and HolmesHad no real WR threatHad Tony G's numbers dipComparing either of those teams to the Bears, Chicago has . . . . Who do the Bears have that has any proven experience?Their record might be the same as the Rams or Chiefs, but I think the similarities stop pretty close to there.
So in Holmes first year, other than Holmes KC had(according to your own words) no solid WRs, a stud TE who had an off year, and Trent Green who was very unproven(had one good year in Washington and was coming off of a season ending injury). Basically the only one of those who you would've counted as a plus would've been Gonzo, but even you said he had an off year. Explain to me how thats so much better?I don't know why you list 1996 and 1997 only(or at all for that matter) because Faulk came over in 1999 for the Rams. That year they had their starting QB injured in the preseason, a rookie WR forced into their starting lineup(Holt), and an extremely injury prone WR who was good but not great when he did play and who had come off a season in which he only played 5 games(Bruce). What on earth is so good about that?Now of course its easy to look back and see how Holt turned out to be a stud, Bruce shed the injury prone label, Warner turned into a 2 time MVP, Green turned out to be the real deal, the Chiefs o-line turned into the best in the league, and so on and so on. But perhaps in two years we'll look back and see tons of stars on Chicago. Maybe it is the system that they're running. I fail to see any differences at all between how Faulk and the Rams looked and Priest and the Chiefs looked before their first season and how Jones looks with the Bears now. Next argument.
 
The last time I checked the Bears offensive line was still one of the worst in the league, no legitimate #1 WR, and a rookie QB.
The Bears added one of the best o-linemen in the league in this offseason and got everyone else healthy. They have two former high round pick WRs who have played so well in the preseason that they traded their one proven WR away, their QB is not a rookie and he has impressed the coaching staff so much that they made no play at all for Warner, Garcia, Brunell, etc. this offseason. Remember this same team of 'nobodys' went 13-3 two years ago. Next!
 
He's one of those scary boom or bust picks. I remember him catching my eye last year in the preseason when he was with the Bucs. He ripped off a few nice runs and made a few moves that demonstrated rare physical skills. I certainly feel like he has the potential to be a productive back, but I would feel uncomfortable with him as my RB2 unless I had a quality third option. He's showing a lot of signs of progress and people who automatically dismiss him based on his past are being foolish, but he's still a risk. If you want to talk about an underrated Jones then I'd look at Kevin. I'm probably a bit biased because I've been drafting the guy in every league known to man, but I think he's clearly a better pick than Rudi Johnson, Brian Westbrook, Tiki Barber, Curtis Martin, Quentin Griffin, and Marshall Faulk.
:gang1: Too bad hes not clearly a better pick than Pinner! :gang1:
 
It's time for all of the haters stop talking about Jones being a bust his whole career. The guy played in Arizona for how many years? Should we start a list of players who didn't do much in AZ, then moved onto other teams and began to produce to their full potential? It's not necessary because no one can argue that AZ is, and has consistenly been, one of the worst teams to play for in football.
Pittman and Shipp both played in Arizona. Jones couldn't beat out either of them.
1999 Baltimore Ravens: Priest Holmes 89 carries, Errict Rhett 236 carriesDoes that mean he can't even beat out Rhett? Of course not. Its just that some offenses suit players strengths better than others. Chicago targeted Jones, kicked out their incumbent RB, and built the offense around him. Next!
 
Jones had one run for 61 yds, otherwise he was 136 for 566, or 4.16 ypc.
And if you take Jamal Lewis' run over 50 yards out, I bet he'd be average as well. Whats the point? You could really do that with any RB. Booyah!
 
I don't think there is any dispute over the fact that this thread is going to turn into an "I Told You So"...one way or the other.

 
Just don't target him too early. Not many people are really expecting that much from him. I just got him in round 10. Not exactly a shark league, but I just wouldn't spend too high of a pick on him. He should fall to the middle rounds.

 
I have T.Jones lumped in with Henry, Dillon, Westbrook. He will have a career year in 2004.....although that wouldn't take much. I also agree that the FBG projections are right on. I selected him as my #3RB with the 5.1 pick in a 12-team redraft league last Thursday night....no points per receptions. I feel very confident with TJ as my #3. I'm on the bandwagon.

 
I've posted many times how much I like Jones. I currently have him ranked #11 for this season.Anyone who considers him a bust will rely on his numbers from Arizona, and that's fine. If numbers from 2 and 3 years ago dictate how a player will do this year for you, knock him way down your list. EVERYTHING he's done since the middle of last year points to him turning the corner as an NFL RB. EVERYTHING. If you don't see it, you're going to miss an opportunity to get a great value pick in most drafts.I took him last night at 3.09 of a 10 team league behind Edge and Barlow. I had to pull the trigger because the guy picking at 10 liked him and he'd never have made it to me any later. I LOVE the pick, and I ended up with plenty of quality and depth at QB and WR to go with what I feel will easily be the best RB corp in the league.

 
I snagged Jones in the third round of a 14 team keeper league and could not be happier having him as my #3 RB behind Edge and Dillon. As they say, "don't love anyone, don't hate anyone, just draft for value."Had i drafted him as my #1 RB, I would not be nearly as happy, but blanket statements like "he couldn't beat out Pittman for the starting job, so he must not be worth taking" don't do much for me.

 
Should Jones go down, would it definately be A Train, or would A Pete have a chance to sneak in? I agree that line is pretty good, and there is a favorable playoff schedule...

 
Fact is, he was on AWFUL Cardinals teams,
The team may have been aweful, but the Arizona O-Line was REAL big and REAL GOOD. Jones is very overrated. I agree with the post on the first page of this thread. I would have Duce and Garner ahead of him but not Moe Williams or Forster. Jones shouldn't be picked before the 4th round in any 10 team league and not before the the 3rd round in any 12 team league.
 
Fact is, he was on AWFUL Cardinals teams,
The team may have been aweful, but the Arizona O-Line was REAL big and REAL GOOD. Jones is very overrated. I agree with the post on the first page of this thread. I would have Duce and Garner ahead of him but not Moe Williams or Forster. Jones shouldn't be picked before the 4th round in any 10 team league and not before the the 3rd round in any 12 team league.
I agree with the rounds he should be taken, but I am a converted Jones hater. I thought he was garbage until I checked into the numbers a bit more and looked at last year.I got him in thbe 4th of a 12 teamer - very very happy especially since my 3rd rounder, Bennett, is hurt.
 
I don't think there is any dispute over the fact that this thread is going to turn into an "I Told You So"...one way or the other.
I've been on the pro-TJ side in a number of other threads all offseason, so I guess I better get in on this one as well in case this is the thread that happens to get bumped in October.
 
I took him last night at 3.09 of a 10 team league behind Edge and Barlow. I had to pull the trigger because the guy picking at 10 liked him and he'd never have made it to me any later. I LOVE the pick, and I ended up with plenty of quality and depth at QB and WR to go with what I feel will easily be the best RB corp in the league.
Edge / Barlow / TJ "easily" the best RBs in the league?You might want to have one non-risky RB before you make that claim.Bump this in November when Edge is hurt and Barlow / TJ are both under-performing.Meanwhile, the Holmes / C Brown drafter will be running wild!
 
I took him last night at 3.09 of a 10 team league behind Edge and Barlow. I had to pull the trigger because the guy picking at 10 liked him and he'd never have made it to me any later. I LOVE the pick, and I ended up with plenty of quality and depth at QB and WR to go with what I feel will easily be the best RB corp in the league.
Edge / Barlow / TJ "easily" the best RBs in the league?You might want to have one non-risky RB before you make that claim.Bump this in November when Edge is hurt and Barlow / TJ are both under-performing.Meanwhile, the Holmes / C Brown drafter will be running wild!
When I have 3 of my top 12 RBs, yes, I consider what I have to be the best RBs in my league. Easily.If I'm wrong about my guys then obviously that won't happen. But I'm not worried about Chris Brown being better than any of my three guys.I'm not worried about Edgerrin at all right now. Based on nothing but opportunity and talent, Barlow will get 350 touches this year, and unless he gets hurt he'll have no problem living up to his draft position. And as for Jones, well, people finally seem to be catching on to how good his chances are to fulfilling his promise as a RB this year.
 
I dont know why this thread even exists. Why does someone want to debate whether someone is a "sleeper". Doesn't that defete the whole purpose? Why try to convince someone of your diamond in the rough (even if it is a 50/50)?Threads like this only increase a players value...won't decrease it.It is obvious some people like him and others dont. So dont try to change the minds of people that dont like him...it could bite you in the ####....at least if a guy from your league reads this thread.Better off posting this in 5 weeks, then the "Told you so" either view point can roll.Until then....shhhhhhhhhhhh.
I don't get this post at all. So what is the point of this message board then? To decieve everyone because some of your league mates might be here? The point here to to help everyone out.
 
Just want to chime in here incase this thread get's bumped in December. I'd be mad if I wasn't man enough to at least put my neck on the line.I am a Thomas Jones doubter. I can't put my finger on it, but it's some combination of not trusting the Bears to produce a fantasy-worth RB, TJ's constant dissappointing and strange injuries and a general belief in other RBs at his tier.For example, I think both Westbrook and C Brown will exceed TJ's production. Taking Jones before Brown is crazy IMO.But it takes all types......
Your boldness has inspired me.I'll go on record saying that T Jones will finish as a definite top 10 RB and probably a top 5 one.
 
Something for the "T. Jones-is-a-bust" crowd to consider.As I mentioned earlier, Jones carried 137 times last year for 627 yards and 4.6 ypc. Compare that average to some other well known RBs with 100+ carries last year:Stephen Davis -  4.5 ypcRudi Johnson - 4.5 ypcPriest Holmes - 4.4 ypcDomanick Davis - 4.3 ypcTravis Henry - 4.1 ypcEdgerin James - 4.1 ypc
I'll give you 3 more numbers: 3.7, 3.4, and 3.3
Yep - you listed them in reverse order though. His ypc have gone up each year in the league, and most dramaticly when switching from Arizona to Tampa Bay. Lovie Smith obviously liked what he saw from Jones enough to target him as his main FA acquisition. It will be interesting to see what happens to that ypc figure in an offense specificly geared to his running style.
:own3d: :own3d: :own3d:
 
Just want to chime in here incase this thread get's bumped in December. I'd be mad if I wasn't man enough to at least put my neck on the line.I am a Thomas Jones doubter. I can't put my finger on it, but it's some combination of not trusting the Bears to produce a fantasy-worth RB, TJ's constant dissappointing and strange injuries and a general belief in other RBs at his tier.For example, I think both Westbrook and C Brown will exceed TJ's production. Taking Jones before Brown is crazy IMO.But it takes all types......
Your boldness has inspired me.I'll go on record saying that T Jones will finish as a definite top 10 RB and probably a top 5 one.
I don't really believe it, but since I drafted T. Jones in the 4th, I sure hope you're right :thumbup:
 
Fact is, he was on AWFUL Cardinals teams,
The team may have been aweful, but the Arizona O-Line was REAL big and REAL GOOD. Jones is very overrated. I agree with the post on the first page of this thread. I would have Duce and Garner ahead of him but not Moe Williams or Forster. Jones shouldn't be picked before the 4th round in any 10 team league and not before the the 3rd round in any 12 team league.
If that o-line was so good then how come no other stud RBs have ever come from there? Their o-line was full of high draft picks who did nothing but disappoint. Did they ever have one pro bowl lineman during Jones' time there? Also the fact that they were behind so often means they had to abandon the run. Next!
 
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Just want to chime in here incase this thread get's bumped in December.  I'd be mad if I wasn't man enough to at least put my neck on the line.I am a Thomas Jones doubter.  I can't put my finger on it, but it's some combination of not trusting the Bears to produce a fantasy-worth RB, TJ's constant dissappointing and strange injuries and a general belief in other RBs at his tier.For example, I think both Westbrook and C Brown will exceed TJ's production.  Taking Jones before Brown is crazy IMO.But it takes all types......
Your boldness has inspired me.I'll go on record saying that T Jones will finish as a definite top 10 RB and probably a top 5 one.
I don't really believe it, but since I drafted T. Jones in the 4th, I sure hope you're right :thumbup:
Didn't you also get CBrown at 3.06? I thought I saw that in another thread - if so, we had identical 3rd and 4th rounds - the mistrust of TJones in general pushed him to me at 4.06 after I took C Brown at 3.06.Someone even said - "I wonder if he'll suck as bad as he did in Arizona again" Who cares - as my RB3 inthe 4th round, I'll take the upside of TJones.I could EASILY see a Priest Holmes/ASmith "rejected, though talented, RB" factor occurring and I could see Jones having at least a year or two of good 'nuff FF production.That said, I could also see a struggling Bear offense not getting him enough opp to produce as he should and the lack of passing game support giving him too many 8 in the box situations.That said, I am actually going to start him as my RB2 versus Detroit at home over Chris Brown heading into Miami. Aaaaaah, starting RB talk, must mean the season is 13 days away!
 
Also the fact that they were behind so often means they had to abandon the run. Next!
Won't that be similar to the situation Chicago finds themselves in this year - esp. with their losses in the secondary and the fact they face Favre, C-Pepp and Harringont twice each this year?
 
Just want to chime in here incase this thread get's bumped in December.  I'd be mad if I wasn't man enough to at least put my neck on the line.I am a Thomas Jones doubter.  I can't put my finger on it, but it's some combination of not trusting the Bears to produce a fantasy-worth RB, TJ's constant dissappointing and strange injuries and a general belief in other RBs at his tier.For example, I think both Westbrook and C Brown will exceed TJ's production.  Taking Jones before Brown is crazy IMO.But it takes all types......
Your boldness has inspired me.I'll go on record saying that T Jones will finish as a definite top 10 RB and probably a top 5 one.
I don't really believe it, but since I drafted T. Jones in the 4th, I sure hope you're right :thumbup:
Didn't you also get CBrown at 3.06? I thought I saw that in another thread - if so, we had identical 3rd and 4th rounds - the mistrust of TJones in general pushed him to me at 4.06 after I took C Brown at 3.06.Someone even said - "I wonder if he'll suck as bad as he did in Arizona again" Who cares - as my RB3 inthe 4th round, I'll take the upside of TJones.I could EASILY see a Priest Holmes/ASmith "rejected, though talented, RB" factor occurring and I could see Jones having at least a year or two of good 'nuff FF production.That said, I could also see a struggling Bear offense not getting him enough opp to produce as he should and the lack of passing game support giving him too many 8 in the box situations.That said, I am actually going to start him as my RB2 versus Detroit at home over Chris Brown heading into Miami. Aaaaaah, starting RB talk, must mean the season is 13 days away!
Nice drafting Marc :thumbup: My 12 team league went like thisTomlinson at 1.02Harrison at 2.11 (couldn't believe he fell to me- I was set to go RB-RB but couldn't pass the value)C Brown at 3.02T Jones at 4.11 (this shocked me that he was still there)I added Emmitt late as a 4th RB and took a shot with Hollings and O Smith really late. I am looking to start both Jones and Chris Brown (2RBs plus a flex) along with LT and am pretty pleased with the idea.
 
Also the fact that they were behind so often means they had to abandon the run. Next!
Won't that be similar to the situation Chicago finds themselves in this year - esp. with their losses in the secondary and the fact they face Favre, C-Pepp and Harringont twice each this year?
Not really. The Bears will actually USE Thomas Jones as a big part of the passing game when they fall behind. He won't come off the field, and he's going to have EVERY opportunity to succeed. Receiving yards count every bit as much as rushing yards, and he should definitely have plenty of both.There's no doubting his opporunity this year.
 
Also the fact that they were behind so often means they had to abandon the run. Next!
Won't that be similar to the situation Chicago finds themselves in this year - esp. with their losses in the secondary and the fact they face Favre, C-Pepp and Harringont twice each this year?
Exactly!! That's the way I see the Bears this year!Given two equally talented running backs with the same opportunity, the one on the better team will score more fantasy points.Thomlinson and Taylor and Deuce put up great numbers because they are SO talented. But unless you can prove TJ is more talented than Brown / Westbrook / Dillon / Rudi / Henry....I'll be passing on TJ.
 
Also the fact that they were behind so often means they had to abandon the run.  Next!
Won't that be similar to the situation Chicago finds themselves in this year - esp. with their losses in the secondary and the fact they face Favre, C-Pepp and Harringont twice each this year?
Exactly!! That's the way I see the Bears this year!Given two equally talented running backs with the same opportunity, the one on the better team will score more fantasy points.Thomlinson and Taylor and Deuce put up great numbers because they are SO talented. But unless you can prove TJ is more talented than Brown / Westbrook / Dillon / Rudi / Henry....I'll be passing on TJ.
Well, I don't consider them equally talented. Jones is the more physically talented RB of the 2 in my opinion, especially if you factor in receiving ability.The difference between TJ in Arizona and TJ in Tampa Bay and so far in Chicago is that he's actually playing up to his talent level.
 
Nice drafting Marc :thumbup: My 12 team league went like thisTomlinson at 1.02Harrison at 2.11 (couldn't believe he fell to me- I was set to go RB-RB but couldn't pass the value)C Brown at 3.02T Jones at 4.11 (this shocked me that he was still there)
While we're jerking each other off here:1.06 Deuce (Priest>LT>SAlexander>AGreen>Portis it CAN happen)2.06 Harrison :shock: (Moss in the first, Holt went before him, and everyone else took RBs in the second)3.06 Chris Brown4.06 TJonesFilled in the rest of the 1/2/2 lineup with Moulds and ABrooks/Plummer, I am four deep behind my WRs with RSmith, Driver, Gardner and Rice (I would have gone 5/5 WR/RB, but those WRs just kept falling).I'm thin behind my top-3 RBs, but it's a start-2 league so I should be OK - I just needed to get AThomas to back up Jones and someone snagged him before I could.ASmith was left to the WW, so I can back up Brown sometime later if I feel like it.On this talent discussion - I have yet to see TJones turn talent into production - even in his decent TB days last year. He was half a talent, IMO. He will def, get plenty of OPP this year to turn that T into O, which is why he was a nice low risk-high reward player for me at the RB3 spot.
 
Oh, so you are going to take away a 61 yard gain. Does that mean for ALL the other players, you will also take away a 50+ yard gain? That is simply ridiculous. Apples to apples, please.
And if you take Jamal Lewis' run over 50 yards out, I bet he'd be average as well. Whats the point? You could really do that with any RB. Booyah!
The point is simple. When you take away one 61 yard run, and it significantly lowers his ypc, then it is meaningless to use ypc as a gauge. If you take away Lewis' longest run of 82 yards, his ypc only drops from 5.3 to 5.14. Obviously, that is much more meaningful and is because of his greater number of carries. And yes, if you apply that to all other players, ypc becomes a much more meaningful statistic.
1999 Baltimore Ravens: Priest Holmes 89 carries, Errict Rhett 236 carriesDoes that mean he can't even beat out Rhett?
Poor comparison. Pittman and Shipp have never equaled Rhett (maybe combined). Holmes had a history of being good (1000 yds), something Jones has never had. Holmes was also injured that year and only played in 9 games.
 
Oh, so you are going to take away a 61 yard gain. Does that mean for ALL the other players, you will also take away a 50+ yard gain? That is simply ridiculous. Apples to apples, please.
And if you take Jamal Lewis' run over 50 yards out, I bet he'd be average as well. Whats the point? You could really do that with any RB. Booyah!
The point is simple. When you take away one 61 yard run, and it significantly lowers his ypc, then it is meaningless to use ypc as a gauge. If you take away Lewis' longest run of 82 yards, his ypc only drops from 5.3 to 5.14. Obviously, that is much more meaningful and is because of his greater number of carries. And yes, if you apply that to all other players, ypc becomes a much more meaningful statistic.
1999 Baltimore Ravens: Priest Holmes 89 carries, Errict Rhett 236 carriesDoes that mean he can't even beat out Rhett?
Poor comparison. Pittman and Shipp have never equaled Rhett (maybe combined). Holmes had a history of being good (1000 yds), something Jones has never had. Holmes was also injured that year and only played in 9 games.
I guess apples to apples is a more difficult concept than I thought.Ok, for Lewis, how many times more carries did he have? so take away his TWO longest runs... or THREE longest runs...apples to apples is pretty important, ya know?
 
I guess apples to apples is a more difficult concept than I thought.Ok, for Lewis, how many times more carries did he have? so take away his TWO longest runs... or THREE longest runs...apples to apples is pretty important, ya know?
I guess the point wasn't so simple. ONE run significantly distorts Jones' stats while ONE run doesn't distort Lewis' stats. Until Jones carries the ball more than 137 times, ypc will remain insignificant.
 
It's not about stats. It's not about YPC. It's not about anything from his days in Arizona. It's not about what Priest Holmes or Marshall Faulk did in this offense. It's about the way Thomas Jones has played since last season, and all of the reasons pointing to him having all of the talent and opportunity to succeed this year. Either you believe it or not, but if he fails or succeeds this year it'll have absolutely NOTHING to do with how he performed in Arizona.

 

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