timschochet
Footballguy
OMG I had no idea. I will start a thread right now.Thought I might see a thread for him this morning. Loved his work.
OMG I had no idea. I will start a thread right now.Thought I might see a thread for him this morning. Loved his work.
If we had signatures still.....OMG I had no idea. I will start a thread right now.
Because I want to be right about calling it a year before the election season started.ill begin with this question: what is the single most important reason you support your candidate?
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That's not why this thread was started!I would like to use this thread, in the spirit of its original intent when I started it, to have a slower, more rational discussion about the election.
If I recall, your pick was John Kasich, right?Because I want to be right about calling it a year before the election season started.
That's fair. I know you despise her. Just to clarify, if it's Hillary vs. Trump, you will vote for Trump?The most important reason I support my (or any) candidate is that he or she is not Hillary Clinton.
I know how you feel. But I can't criticize others too much because I've been pretty critical of the Trump fans. I've tried not to be mean, but some of them are rude to me so I've responded accordingly.
It's probably only going to get worse as we get closer to November...
Well spoiler alert I will be voting Bernie if I get the chance. I do get to vote for him in the primary and can't wait.I'm not stopping my novel ranking; just changing the title of the thread.
Let's slow things down a bit.
I would like to use this thread, in the spirit of its original intent when I started it, to have a slower, more rational discussion about the election. All topics are welcome. All thoughts are welcome. All supporters are welcome: Trump, Hillary, Kasich, Bernie, Rubio, Cruz, Sanders, or whomever. Make your case. Lengthy posts are just fine. Good argument is fine.
But short insults are NOT fine. Leave it for the other threads. I am not criticizing anybody in particular; I'm as guilty as anybody else. I couldn't help making fun of Eminence yesterday, for instance. But that's not what THIS thread is about. I'd also like to avoid discussion of conspiracy issues. There's plenty of room for that in other threads as well.
I will begin with this question: what is the single most important reason you support your candidate?
My own answer has changed several times, but I don't believe it will change again through November: my answer is: the single most important reason I support my candidate is that I believe she will defeat Donald Trump. My number one priority is to prevent Donald Trump from becoming the President of the United States. A little later, if anyone's interested, I will go into detail why I feel that way.
I live in a state where it won't matter, but I will vote Gary Johnson unless Bernie is the Dem candidate.That's fair. I know you despise her. Just to clarify, if it's Hillary vs. Trump, you will vote for Trump?
I'm not a voter, but I support Hillary Clinton. I support her because she's very intelligent and basically middle of the road. She won't rock the boat too much but will hopefully make some improvements. For example, its very encouraging to hear her talk about massive reform to the criminal justice system.I'm not stopping my novel ranking; just changing the title of the thread.
Let's slow things down a bit.
I would like to use this thread, in the spirit of its original intent when I started it, to have a slower, more rational discussion about the election. All topics are welcome. All thoughts are welcome. All supporters are welcome: Trump, Hillary, Kasich, Bernie, Rubio, Cruz, Sanders, or whomever. Make your case. Lengthy posts are just fine. Good argument is fine.
But short insults are NOT fine. Leave it for the other threads. I am not criticizing anybody in particular; I'm as guilty as anybody else. I couldn't help making fun of Eminence yesterday, for instance. But that's not what THIS thread is about. I'd also like to avoid discussion of conspiracy issues. There's plenty of room for that in other threads as well.
I will begin with this question: what is the single most important reason you support your candidate?
My own answer has changed several times, but I don't believe it will change again through November: my answer is: the single most important reason I support my candidate is that I believe she will defeat Donald Trump. My number one priority is to prevent Donald Trump from becoming the President of the United States. A little later, if anyone's interested, I will go into detail why I feel that way.
The future.I will begin with this question: what is the single most important reason you support your candidate?
A brokered convention. I really haven't gotten into it with anyone here about the convention possilbities because it's not a really something that can be talked about with quick one sentence hits on the topic and everyone gets sick of my long winded political posts. But the convention rules are whatever the party wants them to be. If no candidate gets to Cleveland with the majority then the vitriol of the Trump people saying that he still better win misunderstands the nature of the convention and the reason for it. By definition if no person has the required number to guarantee the nomination then there is no nominee unless that person wins the ballots at the convention. For as much as Trump is the one with the most votes he also is not supported by the party en masse or even by majority, he is simply the last man standing.If I recall, your pick was John Kasich, right?
According to some guys I watched on TV, it is mathematically impossible for Kasich to win the Republican nomination even if he wins Ohio tomorrow. I don't know whether this is true or not. If it IS true, then I'm not sure what's supposed to happen for Kasich.
Let's take Kasich's best scenario: he wins tomorrow, and then people are sick of Trump so Kasich starts winning in the bigger, more moderate states: California, New York, etc. But he'll still go into the convention behind Trump in the delegate count. What happens then?
While I agree that money corrupts politics, I'm not sure campaign finance reform is a solution. If we take money away from the candidates, then we increase the power of the media, and I don't like that idea either.The future.
I think Bernie's platform is the future of America. Right now it's looking like a distant future, but every Bernie supporter gained takes a little time off the clock.
And it begins with the reason I supported Bernie to begin with - campaign finance reform. I sincerely believe the only money generated for a campaign should be from the government, the candidate themselves, and the people. No Super PACs, no corporations. I don't care who you shill for, I care about a level playing ground and for candidates and their issues to be heard, not to be drowned out before they even get a chance.
And I get it, I'm idealistic and pie in the sky. Whatever. I think it's right, and what should be done. Feel the Bern.
.What I don't understand about a brokered convention is simply this: let's say Trump doesn't have the necessary 1200 delegates to win. He's still going to have more delegates than anyone else right? So I simply can't see a situation in which he is denied the nomination in favor of somebody with less delegates (or in the case of somebody new, no delegates.)A brokered convention. I really haven't gotten into it with anyone here about the convention possilbities because it's not a really something that can be talked about with quick one sentence hits on the topic and everyone gets sick of my long winded political posts. But the convention rules are whatever the party wants them to be. If no candidate gets to Cleveland with the majority then the vitriol of the Trump people saying that he still better win misunderstands the nature of the convention and the reason for it. By definition if no person has the required number to guarantee the nomination then there is no nominee unless that person wins the ballots at the convention. For as much as Trump is the one with the most votes he also is not supported by the party en masse or even by majority, he is simply the last man standing.
But in reality Kasich has pretty much no shot at this point. It's fun to argue though.
Doesn't the example of Donald Trump argue against money controlling politics?The future.
I think Bernie's platform is the future of America. Right now it's looking like a distant future, but every Bernie supporter gained takes a little time off the clock.
And it begins with the reason I supported Bernie to begin with - campaign finance reform. I sincerely believe the only money generated for a campaign should be from the government, the candidate themselves, and the people. No Super PACs, no corporations. I don't care who you shill for, I care about a level playing ground and for candidates and their issues to be heard, not to be drowned out before they even get a chance.
And I get it, I'm idealistic and pie in the sky. Whatever. I think it's right, and what should be done. Feel the Bern.
HTH.What I don't understand about a brokered convention is simply this: let's say Trump doesn't have the necessary 1200 delegates to win. He's still going to have more delegates than anyone else right? So I simply can't see a situation in which he is denied the nomination in favor of somebody with less delegates (or in the case of somebody new, no delegates.)
I mean I get that people keep talking about this but I don't know how this formula is going to work.
I think you mean a 3rd Obama term, right?I'm not a voter, but I support Hillary Clinton. I support her because she's very intelligent and basically middle of the road. She won't rock the boat too much but will hopefully make some improvements. For example, its very encouraging to hear her talk about massive reform to the criminal justice system.
I'm basically looking for a third Clinton term - with some major improvements. Like drastically changing the drug war.
If there is a brokered convention, who do you think will be the favorite?A brokered convention. I really haven't gotten into it with anyone here about the convention possilbities because it's not a really something that can be talked about with quick one sentence hits on the topic and everyone gets sick of my long winded political posts. But the convention rules are whatever the party wants them to be. If no candidate gets to Cleveland with the majority then the vitriol of the Trump people saying that he still better win misunderstands the nature of the convention and the reason for it. By definition if no person has the required number to guarantee the nomination then there is no nominee unless that person wins the ballots at the convention. For as much as Trump is the one with the most votes he also is not supported by the party en masse or even by majority, he is simply the last man standing.
But in reality Kasich has pretty much no shot at this point. It's fun to argue though.
I think he means a 5th Bush termI think you mean a 3rd Obama term, right?
I agree with this. But it's also one of the main reason that Clinton doesn't have the excitement of a Trump or Sanders candidacy. It's hard to get excited about status quo, especially THIS status quo.
The delegates are only pledged for the initial vote, right? After the first vote, with each successive vote, more and more are allowed to change..What I don't understand about a brokered convention is simply this: let's say Trump doesn't have the necessary 1200 delegates to win. He's still going to have more delegates than anyone else right? So I simply can't see a situation in which he is denied the nomination in favor of somebody with less delegates (or in the case of somebody new, no delegates.)
I mean I get that people keep talking about this but I don't know how this formula is going to work.
For one, delegates are actual human beings who aren't necessarily supporters of the candidate they're pledged to, and they're only required to vote for that candidate on the first couple ballots. Also, even if all Trump's delegates were die-hard, make-America-great-again kind of people, as long as they don't constitute an actual majority, it's still possible for the remaining delegates to decide on a compromise candidate that they all like better than Trump..What I don't understand about a brokered convention is simply this: let's say Trump doesn't have the necessary 1200 delegates to win. He's still going to have more delegates than anyone else right? So I simply can't see a situation in which he is denied the nomination in favor of somebody with less delegates (or in the case of somebody new, no delegates.)
I mean I get that people keep talking about this but I don't know how this formula is going to work.
I meant that she would be continuing her husband's presidency, but yea - I like Obama too. So I would like something in the Bill Clinton/President Obama administration. With some tweaks - I've already mentioned a need for a big improvement in criminal justice/war on drugs/war on terror.I think you mean a 3rd Obama term, right?
I agree with this. But it's also one of the main reason that Clinton doesn't have the excitement of a Trump or Sanders candidacy. It's hard to get excited about status quo, especially THIS status quo.
This is true- on paper. But the reality of the situation is, at least IMO, that if Trump is the guy with the most votes, and yet he is denied the nomination, there's going to be a riot. A rebellion like nothing we've ever seen. It will destroy the Republican party if that happens. Am I being overly dramatic here?The delegates are only pledged for the initial vote, right? After the first vote, with each successive vote, more and more are allowed to change.
But that's not the point, though is it? What you (and Bernie) are railing about is the system in which a few elites decide who is going to be the nominee by throwing tons of cash at them. And that's a fair enough criticism of how politics have worked in this country forever. But those elites DON'T WANT DONALD TRUMP- I think that's pretty clear. And when someone like Trump comes along (admittedly it's rare) all of their money and power can't stop it.@timschochet Donald Trump's own money is allowing him to run. He wouldn't have a platform if he didn't have his cash.
I think so. There have been brokered conventions previously in history and the leader coming into the convention didn't win the nomination. Do you think that these times are different? Because of the rhetoric already?This is true- on paper. But the reality of the situation is, at least IMO, that if Trump is the guy with the most votes, and yet he is denied the nomination, there's going to be a riot. A rebellion like nothing we've ever seen. It will destroy the Republican party if that happens. Am I being overly dramatic here?
I think these are legitimate complaints. However, I would point out that almost all candidates do this to some degree. IMO, the main reason it irritates you when Hillary does it is not because she is especially unethical, but because she doesn't do it well. She's a lousy politician, a lousy salesperson, and her attacks come off badly.Bernie supporter here and I am probably voting Hillary if she gets the nom. However, it really pisses me off when she says stupid #### like 'I don't know where Bernie was when I was trying to get healthcare reform....'. It's a blatant lie and something a lying politician would say. same thing with the auto bailout nonsense. keep it up and I might just go 3rd party. if she can manage to at least attempt to be honest, she might get my vote. doing politician-y things really turns me off.
Not to barge in, but the money men and/or party bosses don't want #2 either - so you could get e.g. Kasich with 50 delegates as the one that beats Trump to the nomination.I think so. There have been brokered conventions previously in history and the leader coming into the convention didn't win the nomination. Do you think that these times are different? Because of the rhetoric already?
I do think these times are different. But not because of the rhetoric. Because 99% of us can't remember a brokered convention, ever. The closest any of us have gotten to it is fantasy: the West Wing, season 6.I think so. There have been brokered conventions previously in history and the leader coming into the convention didn't win the nomination. Do you think that these times are different? Because of the rhetoric already?
I think people who support campaign finance reform are mostly impervious to counter-evidence. As you noted, Donald Trump has managed to steamroll the entire Republican field while barely spending a dime. If campaign donations translated to votes, Jeb Bush should have had the nomination locked up by now.Doesn't the example of Donald Trump argue against money controlling politics?
Here's what I mean: on Bill Maher the other night, the first guest had written a book about the Koch brothers, how incredibly powerful they are, even more so since Citizens United, how they're going to spend nearly a billion dollars on this election, how nobody should have such power, etc. etc.
Yet it's very clear that the Koch brothers don't want Donald Trump, yet they're as helpless to stop him as everybody else. My theory is that this is because populism beats out money every time. Trump is also spending very little of his own money, and he's going to be the nominee. Now you could argue that this is a one time deal, that in most elections before and after this one, money decides. But still, wouldn't you say that the Trump example is a contradiction of the theory?
InternetWhile I agree that money corrupts politics, I'm not sure campaign finance reform is a solution. If we take money away from the candidates, then we increase the power of the media, and I don't like that idea either.
Ironic that you have to be a great politician to be considered a great candidate - but apparently nobody likes politicians.I think these are legitimate complaints. However, I would point out that almost all candidates do this to some degree. IMO, the main reason it irritates you when Hillary does it is not because she is especially unethical, but because she doesn't do it well. She's a lousy politician, a lousy salesperson, and her attacks come off badly.
Both her husband and Obama did the exact same thing as Hillary, but most people didn't notice because they were charming and smooth.
InternetWhile I agree that money corrupts politics, I'm not sure campaign finance reform is a solution. If we take money away from the candidates, then we increase the power of the media, and I don't like that idea either.
He has spent over 20 million dollars. It does help when the media breathlessly reports your every fart but he has spent a lot of money.I think people who support campaign finance reform are mostly impervious to counter-evidence. As you noted, Donald Trump has managed to steamroll the entire Republican field while barely spending a dime. If campaign donations translated to votes, Jeb Bush should have had the nomination locked up by now.
Also, when people like Bill Maher talk about how nobody should have the ability to influence public opinion, it would be a lot more honest if they added the clause "besides me" to that.
Pretty much none of it his.He has spent over 20 million dollars. It does help when the media breathlessly reports your every fart but he has spent a lot of money.
Whomever it is, they'll be GREAT.On the topic of brokered convention who is a realistic candidate to be Trump's vice? It's not going to be Cruz or Rubio. What about Kasich? Or is there another front runner and I haven't paid enough attention?
The internet takes time and money too.InternetWhile I agree that money corrupts politics, I'm not sure campaign finance reform is a solution. If we take money away from the candidates, then we increase the power of the media, and I don't like that idea either.
'everybody does it' is not going to get my vote. I expect a little more, I guessI think these are legitimate complaints. However, I would point out that almost all candidates do this to some degree. IMO, the main reason it irritates you when Hillary does it is not because she is especially unethical, but because she doesn't do it well. She's a lousy politician, a lousy salesperson, and her attacks come off badly.
Both her husband and Obama did the exact same thing as Hillary, but most people didn't notice because they were charming and smooth.
My counter to this is that money can also be used against you, and give negative exposure - much of which may be based loosely on facts (see 99% of political ads). I think money translates into influence of the electorate - and in turn, that means votes.I've been thinking about this because I couldn't put my finger on where we disconnect.
In my opinion, money doesn't necessarily translate to votes, it translates to exposure. Given how things are and how much information a typical voter uses in an election, the more exposure a voter has with a candidate makes it more likely the voter is to choose said candidate on the ballot. This is actually being seen straightaway with Bernie and how he gains in polls in states where he spends money for exposure/name recognition.
Trump had all the exposure in the world heading into his candidacy. He spent millions before this election cycle so the nation would know his name. He's already there.