Travdogg's positional rankings from week 6 onward (2 Viewers)

[travdogg]

QB:
1. Josh Allen (1)
2. Lamar Jackson (2)
3. Jalen Hurts (3)
4. Kyler Murray (4)
5. Patrick Mahomes (6)
6. Justin Herbert (5)
7. Joe Burrow (7)
8. Tom Brady (8)
9. Geno Smith (NR), 3 straight very good weeks, good weapons, some mobility and a horrible defense. It feels wrong to bet on Geno, but its undeniable how good he's been.
10. Derek Carr (12)
11. Kirk Cousins (13)
12. Jared Goff (NR), I'd still like to see more (any) consistency, but like Geno, good weapons and bad defense is a nice combo for a fantasy QB. Supporting cast should be healthy coming out of the bye.
13. Dak Prescott (10), kinda thought he would be back by now. Cowboys D is playing so well, his usual passing volume might not be there.
14. Tua Tagovailoa (14)
15. Russell Wilson (9), I might be being too stubborn keeping him on the rankings, but he is only a week removed from a top-3 week.
Dropped off: Matthew Stafford (11), has 1 good game, and has been a turnover machine. 5 weeks in, its time to let go of what happened a year ago, and face facts that the Rams are a bad offense. Trevor Lawrence (15), just missed the list, but is just a little too inconsistent, and hasn't shown the upside a couple others have.

 

[travdogg]

RB:
1. Christian McCaffrey (1)
2. Jonathan Taylor (2)
3. Saquon Barkley (3)
4. Austin Ekeler (4)
5. Derrick Henry (5)
6. Josh Jacobs (12), always been a huge fan of his, but I completely bought the McDaniels NE RB hype and avoided Jacobs like the plague. He's probably going to end up being the best value of fantasy drafts this year.
7. Dalvin Cook (6)
8. Joe Mixon (7)
9. Nick Chubb (9)
10. D'Andre Swift (8)
11. Kenneth Walker (NR), was my favorite rookie RB prospect in this draft, and other than Javonte, my favorite since Barkley. There's a lot of Dalvin Cook to his game in my opinion. With Seattle looking like a good to very good offense, consider this a flag plant.
12. Alvin Kamara (10)
13. Leonard Fournette (11)
14. Breece Hall (18), could argue him higher, as he's been top-15 in 4 straight games. Carter will likely continue to do just enough to prevent a true full workload though.
15. Dameon Pierce (22), has always given me a Chris Carson vibe (a guy I was seemingly always higher on than the consensus) and has 3 straight top-10 weeks. I'm probably being too passive here.
16. Aaron Jones (15)
17. Rhamondre Stevenson (19)
18. Najee Harris (14)
19. David Montgomery (17)
20. Miles Sanders (20)
21. Devin Singletary (21)
22. Melvin Gordon (25)
23. James Conner (16), has been a flex level player, and is routinely banged up. The TDs should come but growing impatient.
24. JK Dobbins (23)
25. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (24)
26. James Robinson (26)
27. Raheem Mostert (NR), he's left Edmonds in the dust, and only the fact that he's Raheem Mostert is stopping from going higher. He's arguable over the 3 guys ahead of him.
28. Jeff Wilson (27)
29. Tony Pollard (NR), has a Kamara+ level upside, if he ever actually got a 20-touch workload.
30. Kareem Hunt (NR), he's flexible weekly, and if something ever happens to Chubb he's a top-10 RB.
Dropped off: Rashaad Penny (13), real shame he got hurt. Was having a really great year averaging over 6 YPC. Ezekiel Elliott (28), he's pretty clearly not the Cowboys best RB, and his only really edge over Pollard is pass blocking. Cam Akers (29), the answer to which Rams RB to own is probably just neither, might be the worst OL in the NFL. AJ Dillon (30), it's been a steady decline here. Honestly, GB should probably be using Aaron Jones more than they are, and it seemed like they may have figured that out this past week.

 

[travdogg]

WR:
1. Justin Jefferson (1)
2. Cooper Kupp (2)
3. Stefon Diggs (3)
4. CeeDee Lamb (4)
5. Ja'Marr Chase (5)
6. Davante Adams (6)
7. Tyreek Hill (7)
8. Amon-Ra St. Brown (8)
9. AJ Brown (9)
10. DK Metcalf (11)
11. Tee Higgins (12)
12. Mike Evans (13)
13. Courtland Sutton (14)
14. Jaylen Waddle (10)
15. Hollywood Brown (20), fun fact, only Cooper Kupp has more targets this season than Brown. I think Hopkins return will be the end of that level of targeting but should raise the tide of the whole offense. In typical Brown fashion he did drop what would have been a 75-yard TD this week, but he also got open for it too. I'm expecting less volume, more big plays starting in week 7.
16. Mike Williams (18)
17. Deebo Samuel (16)
18. DeAndre Hopkins (21)
19. Amari Cooper (25), just like Jacobs, I let the narrative of "Brissett can't support a good WR in a super run heavy offense" make me avoid Cooper in every league. He's been a top-10 WR 3 of the last 4 weeks and is seeing the most targets of his career.
20. Christian Kirk (15)
21. Tyler Lockett (29), has been a WR1 other than week 1. I'm probably being too low on him, but his history of being boom/bust is making me cautious. Of course, that history was all with a different QB so...
22. Keenan Allen (19)
23. Terry McLaurin (22)
24. Chris Godwin (24)
25. DeVonta Smith (27)
26. Chris Olave (28)
27. Curtis Samuel (30)
28. Michael Pittman (17), possible overreaction, but while I like Pittman, this passing game is garbage, and Matt Ryan is washed. Other than week 1, which featured an entire half of comeback mode, Pittman has been a WR3.
29. Drake London (26)
30. DJ Moore (31)
31. Diontae Johnson (32)
32. Brandin Cooks (33)
33. Gabe Davis (35)
34. Rashod Bateman (36)
35. Michael Thomas (23), another possible overreaction, but I'm just getting a sinking feeling that he isn't going to be healthy, and that Olave might be the #1 anyway. Lot of mouths to feed in a mediocre offense too.
36. Jerry Jeudy (34)
37. Adam Thielen (38)
38. Romeo Doubs (40)
39. Hunter Renfrow (NR), just a hunch here, but I think the Raiders will come out of the bye week with an effort to get him and a hopefully healthy Waller going.
40. Garrett Wilson (39)
Dropped off: JuJu Smith-Schuster (37), he's just a guy, a bigger named Byron Pringle if you will. I'm not confident anybody other than Kelce is relevant in the KC passing game. Opposing defenses SHOULD act the same eventually.

 

[travdogg]

TE:
1. Travis Kelce (2)
2. Mark Andrews (1)
3. Darren Waller (3)
4. George Kittle (4)
5. TJ Hockenson (5)
6. Dallas Goedert (6)
7. Zach Ertz (7)
8. Tyler Higbee (13), leads all TEs in targets, he's doing next to nothing with them, but can only fade a guy seeing almost 10 targets a game so far. Schedule gets a lot easier after facing SF, Dallas defenses the last 2 weeks.
9. Gerald Everett (12), been pretty boom or bust, but as long as Allen is out, he's tough to sit. Nothing but a hunch to go on, but I think we are going to see some TD regression as it applies to Herbert/Ekeler in the coming future.
10. Kyle Pitts (8)
11. Dalton Schultz (9)
12. David Njoku (10)
13. Pat Freiermuth (11)
14. Hayden Hurst (NR), he's passed Boyd as the #3 option in the passing game. I am tempering my expectations as his best coincided with Higgins not playing, but at a thin position, could do a lot worse.
15. Hunter Henry (NR), basically went from a timeshare to a full time guy with Jonnu out. NE being NE, there isn't really any timetable on Jonnu's return. Henry could be a solid bye week fill in.
Dropped off: Tyler Conklin (14), hasn't been used quite as much by Wilson as Flacco. Passing in NY is down in general since the QB switch. Wins are up though. Dawson Knox (15), obvious regression candidate was obvious.

 

[-jb-]

I hate your rankings because all of my players are ranked poorly. And because you’re right.

 

[VikingFrog]

Taysom Hill missing from your rankings.

 

[travdogg]

Taysom Hill missing from your rankings.

I think he's fool's gold. Just as likely to get a 0 than anything else. Also think he sees less work whenever Winston is back, probably true whenever Thomas and Landry are back as well, which could be this week.

Could argue him at TE15 I guess. If I had him, I'd be trying my hardest to deal him.

 

[Desert_Power]

I'd like to hear the rational for putting CMC at #1 ROS. He is currently sitting at #7 in standard and #5 in PPR. He's got a good floor, but we haven't seen evidence he has a high ceiling.

 

[travdogg]

I'd like to hear the rational for putting CMC at #1 ROS. He is currently sitting at #7 in standard and #5 in PPR. He's got a good floor, but we haven't seen evidence he has a high ceiling.

His receiving work has spiked the last 2 weeks, which I don't think a coaching or QB change effects, QB change may actually push it further in that direction, as Mayfield has a tendency to play hero ball, instead of taking the easier/safer completion.

He's also very consistent and is likely to have some bigger TD spike games going forward, just like Henry/Ekeler have after the 1st couple weeks. I also think he's simply the most talented RB in the NFL, and he's been RB5 (or 7) in as bad a situation as it could be. This feels like his floor to me, which is strong, as he's put up 25 and 23 the last 2 weeks in PPR.

I can absolutely see an argument for Taylor or Barkley ahead of him, though they have a lot of the same issues with supporting cast and poor QB play. I think they are the clear top-3. I just prefer CMC.

 

[Desert_Power]

I'd like to hear the rational for putting CMC at #1 ROS. He is currently sitting at #7 in standard and #5 in PPR. He's got a good floor, but we haven't seen evidence he has a high ceiling.

His receiving work has spiked the last 2 weeks, which I don't think a coaching or QB change effects, QB change may actually push it further in that direction, as Mayfield has a tendency to play hero ball, instead of taking the easier/safer completion.

He's also very consistent and is likely to have some bigger TD spike games going forward, just like Henry/Ekeler have after the 1st couple weeks. I also think he's simply the most talented RB in the NFL, and he's been RB5 (or 7) in as bad a situation as it could be. This feels like his floor to me, which is strong, as he's put up 25 and 23 the last 2 weeks in PPR.

I can absolutely see an argument for Taylor or Barkley ahead of him, though they have a lot of the same issues with supporting cast and poor QB play. I think they are the clear top-3. I just prefer CMC.

Appreciate the thoughts. I have been looking at ROS rankings today thinking about what trades I could pull. Seems like I see Saquon #1 most often whereas folks are more split on CMC. I own both and think I would give Saquon the edge.

 

[Banger]

Great list and appreciate the effort. My 2 cents Samuel > McLaurin…Samuel essentially out performs him side by side in same offense.

Love Walker and just aggressively tried to get him and was rebuffed.

I’m a Taylor owner and hope you’re right but not confident seeing Ryan and the offense.

 

[Mongidig]

I'd like to hear the rational for putting CMC at #1 ROS. He is currently sitting at #7 in standard and #5 in PPR. He's got a good floor, but we haven't seen evidence he has a high ceiling.

His receiving work has spiked the last 2 weeks, which I don't think a coaching or QB change effects, QB change may actually push it further in that direction, as Mayfield has a tendency to play hero ball, instead of taking the easier/safer completion.

He's also very consistent and is likely to have some bigger TD spike games going forward, just like Henry/Ekeler have after the 1st couple weeks. I also think he's simply the most talented RB in the NFL, and he's been RB5 (or 7) in as bad a situation as it could be. This feels like his floor to me, which is strong, as he's put up 25 and 23 the last 2 weeks in PPR.

I can absolutely see an argument for Taylor or Barkley ahead of him, though they have a lot of the same issues with supporting cast and poor QB play. I think they are the clear top-3. I just prefer CMC.

CMC can just show up and score 20+ points as long as he continues to get the targets. As you said he has done it under the worst of circumstances. His floor is looking great going forward and we have yet to see his inevitable ceiling games. He looks great out there.

 

[travdogg]

Great list and appreciate the effort. My 2 cents Samuel > McLaurin…Samuel essentially out performs him side by side in same offense.

Love Walker and just aggressively tried to get him and was rebuffed.

I’m a Taylor owner and hope you’re right but not confident seeing Ryan and the offense.

McLaurin and Samuel are very close for me. My concern with Samuel is that he's not going to get as many bunny touches, with Robinson back. Some of his catches (and runs) earlier this year felt like extensions of the running game. Samuel hasn't run in 2 weeks, and I am mildly concerned that is a trend. It's not a killer, I still like Samuel, but it's a hit to his value if those are gone.

I mean, the offense not being great sometimes focuses a team to lean even more on a RB. Is Taylor's supporting cast worse than Barkley's?

 

[Mongidig]

I’m a Taylor owner and hope you’re right but not confident seeing Ryan and the offense.

Taylor will have better days. I think they will figure out the offensive line issues eventually. Pierce is developing into a nice receiver. I think the offense will improve. There will come a point where Taylor starts to roll. It's not like his talent just went away.

 

[Mongidig]

6. Josh Jacobs (12), always been a huge fan of his, but I completely bought the McDaniels NE RB hype and avoided Jacobs like the plague. He's probably going to end up being the best value of fantasy drafts this year.

The fantasy hive mind got this one very wrong.

 

[Banger]

Great list and appreciate the effort. My 2 cents Samuel > McLaurin…Samuel essentially out performs him side by side in same offense.

Love Walker and just aggressively tried to get him and was rebuffed.

I’m a Taylor owner and hope you’re right but not confident seeing Ryan and the offense.

McLaurin and Samuel are very close for me. My concern with Samuel is that he's not going to get as many bunny touches, with Robinson back. Some of his catches (and runs) earlier this year felt like extensions of the running game. Samuel hasn't run in 2 weeks, and I am mildly concerned that is a trend. It's not a killer, I still like Samuel, but it's a hit to his value if those are gone.

I mean, the offense not being great sometimes focuses a team to lean even more on a RB. Is Taylor's supporting cast worse than Barkley's?

My hope is that the colts lean on Pierce more..he looked really good and maybe if they had 2 wrs to care about it could open things up a bit and keep some drives alive. Their line is not great and Ryan seems to be an adventure each snap. I think the Giants have a good line and Jones isn’t blowing up and can use his legs to pick up some key plays….never thought I’d say it coming into this year but so far I think the Giants do have a better supporting cast than Indy.

Good point on the rushes with Samuel..didn’t notice that.

 

[Banger]

I’m a Taylor owner and hope you’re right but not confident seeing Ryan and the offense.

Taylor will have better days. I think they will figure out the offensive line issues eventually. Pierce is developing into a nice receiver. I think the offense will improve. There will come a point where Taylor starts to roll. It's not like his talent just went away.

One thing that gave me hope was that i saw a stat going into week 5 that at the same pt last year he was rb20 and this year he was rb22. Granted he is hurt now but with the rb situation so bleak, if he’s 80% of last year he’ll be great. Can’t remember RB being so incredibly watered down. not only are the touches split, most teams have 3rd down backs, running qbs vulture tons of tds…if you can land any bell cow it’s a huge win at this point.

 

[EBF]

Wouldn't consider RB11 a flag plant on Walker given his draft slot and Seattle's RB situation. He may be top 5 ROS, but RB11 is a reasonable median. Man will be fed touches the rest of the way, and that's going to give him a high floor if nothing else.

Been bullish on Alec Pierce since the draft. Some chance he overtakes Pittman. Better speed and big play ability. One to watch, at least. Coming on strong the last few weeks. Indy isn't a super passing attack though, so may not be able to sustain two startable guys for FF.

Can't really fault you for the Pitts ranking, but still feel he's talented enough to blow up on any given Sunday. TE10 just feels wrong.

 

[travdogg]

Wouldn't consider RB11 a flag plant on Walker given his draft slot and Seattle's RB situation. He may be top 5 ROS, but RB11 is a reasonable median. Man will be fed touches the rest of the way, and that's going to give him a high floor if nothing else.

Been bullish on Alec Pierce since the draft. Some chance he overtakes Pittman. Better speed and big play ability. One to watch, at least. Coming on strong the last few weeks. Indy isn't a super passing attack though, so may not be able to sustain two startable guys for FF.

Can't really fault you for the Pitts ranking, but still feel he's talented enough to blow up on any given Sunday. TE10 just feels wrong.

Yeah, probably not much of a flag plant on Walker, but I figured its been a theme of mine this year, and he was the closest candidate to make it work.

Kinda with you on Pierce, been very impressed with him, but he's still playing behind Campbell, hopefully that changes soon. I'm kinda thinking its more likely he hurts Pittman more than establishes himself, at least in the short term.

I hate having Pitts that low, but between the hammy, Mariota, and Arthur Smith seemingly preferring not to actually scheme for his best players, I'm somewhat pessimistic. I want to have both Pitts and London higher.

 

[Craig_MiamiFL]

Nice job.

Like a lot of the bumps (Higbee/Everett/Hurst) and dumps (Najee/Pitts). The previous bump on Stevenson may have been just too early (Over the next weeks Harris is out, he's definitely in that single digit area for me).

Given their roles/health, I'd have Higbee over Waller/Kittle w/o hesitation(PPR) . Kittle is probably due his explosion game soon but he's just blocking way too much for my liking. Unless Jefferson/OBJ come in like a house of fire, hard to see how Higbee finishes outside Top 5 in PPR.

Najee's been atrocious so far. Warren's easily looked like the better back all year and should at worst be in the COP back role. I still think it's believe it when you see it with Warren and Tomlin as Najee out-touched Warren 12-1 in the first half last week vs. Bills.

LET GENO COOK

 

[Capella]

Chubb at 9 is just absolutely baffling. Best back in the league playing in a run heavy offense. I wouldn’t trade him for anybody on that list ahead of him.

 

[rockaction]

Chubb at 9 is just absolutely baffling. Best back in the league playing in a run heavy offense. I wouldn’t trade him for anybody on that list ahead of him.

Even with his snap share, he's RB1 in our half PPR league. By a good distance, too. Not sure why an injured Johnathan Taylor is so high, actually. Those ankle injuries that they downplay take about four-six weeks to really heal up.

 

[Pip's Invitation]

Chubb at 9 is just absolutely baffling. Best back in the league playing in a run heavy offense. I wouldn’t trade him for anybody on that list ahead of him.

Even with his snap share, he's RB1 in our half PPR league. By a good distance, too.

Put another way, he's why my ridiculously thin team has a winning record.

 

[rockaction]

Put another way, he's why my ridiculously thin team has a winning record.

In Summerpalooza or your main redraft league?

 

[Pip's Invitation]

Put another way, he's why my ridiculously thin team has a winning record.

In Summerpalooza or your main redraft league?

Summerpalooza. My main redraft league is full PPR, I don't have Chubb and I am 1-4 (pretty much EVERYTHING has gone wrong).

 

[rockaction]

Summerpalooza

Gotcha. Yeah, I just looked at your team. It's interesting. You probably had to hope to get more from McLaurin and Herbert is stuck behind Monty, but it's a good team. I just had to look because I spend so much time on my dynasty teams that I don't know who holds what players in redraft. I know who everybody holds in my main dynasty league for the most part, but that's about all I can muster. (Gotta type on the internet all day, don't you know.)

 

[travdogg]

Nice job.

Like a lot of the bumps (Higbee/Everett/Hurst) and dumps (Najee/Pitts). The previous bump on Stevenson may have been just too early (Over the next weeks Harris is out, he's definitely in that single digit area for me).

Given their roles/health, I'd have Higbee over Waller/Kittle w/o hesitation(PPR) . Kittle is probably due his explosion game soon but he's just blocking way too much for my liking. Unless Jefferson/OBJ come in like a house of fire, hard to see how Higbee finishes outside Top 5 in PPR.

Najee's been atrocious so far. Warren's easily looked like the better back all year and should at worst be in the COP back role. I still think it's believe it when you see it with Warren and Tomlin as Najee out-touched Warren 12-1 in the first half last week vs. Bills.

LET GENO COOK

Top-10 for Stevenson is certainly possible, it's pretty nebulous after Chubb for me. I just wouldn't put it past Belichick to randomly give Pierre Strong (or somebody) like 15 touches for whatever reason.

I'm coming around a bit on Higbee, just off volume, he's a catch and fall guy, but that's basically Ertz too, and he's ranked right there as well. I'm under the impression Waller should be fine health wise. He's been so unlucky this year. I think they'll be spending the bye week trying to find ways to get Waller/Renfrow going. Raiders are 3rd in offense but 15th in points, which has been great for Carlson owners, but is why they are 1-4. They need those guys to keep drives going and get TDs instead of FGs, I think they'll get it figured out.

As for Kittle, I actually took a deep look at Kittle since he came back, because I was expecting some push back, and I wanted to see something to back up what my eyes have been telling me. Despite what it may seem like, Kittle isn't blocking any more than normal. He's running as many routes as Deebo. He's had a couple near misses, including what should have been a TD against LA, where he didn't get his 2nd foot down. I think its just a matter of time and would consider Kittle an outstanding buy low.

Najee is a guy I have never liked. I thought he was a 3rd round prospect in the 2021 draft and wasn't overly impressed by his rookie season. That said, this feels, like you said, that Tomlin is gonna ride that horse until he can't. So with that in mind, I can't go lower on Najee yet. But yeah, nobody who drafted him can be happy that he's basically AFC David Montgomery right now.

You know, if Geno Smith didn't have a track record of almost a decade of being a below average player, like if it were some highly touted young guy doing this (like say, I don't know, Trevor Lawrence) I would have honestly considered putting him above both Brady and Burrow.

 

[travdogg]

Chubb at 9 is just absolutely baffling. Best back in the league playing in a run heavy offense. I wouldn’t trade him for anybody on that list ahead of him.

He's bucking every historical trend there is. He's literally in a 53-47 time share. He does almost nothing in the passing game and isn't even the designated short yardage RB. He's basically been a unicorn, and I don't like betting on unicorns. I'm not saying he's a sell high, but I very much think we are seeing his ceiling.

I could see a case for Chubb over Mixon or Cook, but I have a hard time putting him in the top-5, because this level of efficiency seems nowhere near sustainable.

 

[Insein]

Chubb at 9 is just absolutely baffling. Best back in the league playing in a run heavy offense. I wouldn’t trade him for anybody on that list ahead of him.

He's bucking every historical trend there is. He's literally in a 53-47 time share. He does almost nothing in the passing game and isn't even the designated short yardage RB. He's basically been a unicorn, and I don't like betting on unicorns. I'm not saying he's a sell high, but I very much think we are seeing his ceiling.

I could see a case for Chubb over Mixon or Cook, but I have a hard time putting him in the top-5, because this level of efficiency seems nowhere near sustainable.

I'm not sure what trend you're looking at but getting half the snaps and while he's on the field, he gets at least 17 carries a game. He's dominating with those touches behind a very good o-line. They've sustained it for 5 straight games. That's the only consistent thing they've done.

 

[jvdesigns2002]

Chubb at 9 is just absolutely baffling. Best back in the league playing in a run heavy offense. I wouldn’t trade him for anybody on that list ahead of him.

He's bucking every historical trend there is. He's literally in a 53-47 time share. He does almost nothing in the passing game and isn't even the designated short yardage RB. He's basically been a unicorn, and I don't like betting on unicorns. I'm not saying he's a sell high, but I very much think we are seeing his ceiling.

I could see a case for Chubb over Mixon or Cook, but I have a hard time putting him in the top-5, because this level of efficiency seems nowhere near sustainable.

I also feel like you are far too low on Chubb. He’s been the RB1 with Brissett as his qb. In 5-6 weeks, Brissett turns into Watson and the offense will create even more goal line opportunities. If you are doing ROS rankings- are you factoring in that there is a very good chance that the Browns offense is likely to get a lot better in a matter of weeks?

 

[humpback]

Chubb at 9 is just absolutely baffling. Best back in the league playing in a run heavy offense. I wouldn’t trade him for anybody on that list ahead of him.

He's bucking every historical trend there is. He's literally in a 53-47 time share. He does almost nothing in the passing game and isn't even the designated short yardage RB. He's basically been a unicorn, and I don't like betting on unicorns. I'm not saying he's a sell high, but I very much think we are seeing his ceiling.

I could see a case for Chubb over Mixon or Cook, but I have a hard time putting him in the top-5, because this level of efficiency seems nowhere near sustainable.

I also feel like you are far too low on Chubb. He’s been the RB1 with Brissett as his qb. In 5-6 weeks, Brissett turns into Watson and the offense will create even more goal line opportunities. If you are doing ROS rankings- are you factoring in that there is a very good chance that the Browns offense is likely to get a lot better in a matter of weeks?

Eh, I'm not sure Watson moves the needle much. For starters, it'll be almost 2 years since he last played in a game when he comes back, and with a new system with new coaches and players there could definitely be some rust to shake off. Plus they're very likely to throw more often with him (they've been one of the most run heavy teams so far), and any increase in goal line opportunities could be offset by Watson vulturing them.

His return may be a positive for Chubb, but there's a wide range of possible outcomes here. Ftr I'd have him a few spots higher as well, but not really because of Watson.

 

[Dr. Octopus]

The fantasy hive mind got this one very wrong.

I surely am surprised that McDaniel hasn't used multiple backs - and he's looked great. I was a fan of Zamir White partially based on the situation.

 

[Dr. Octopus]

I think the Giants do have a better supporting cast than Indy

How? Their WR corp is arguably the worst in the league (and it's not really close).

 

[Pip's Invitation]

I think the Giants do have a better supporting cast than Indy

How? Their WR corp is arguably the worst in the league (and it's not really close).

The Bears are close.

 

[Dr. Octopus]

I think the Giants do have a better supporting cast than Indy

How? Their WR corp is arguably the worst in the league (and it's not really close).

The Bears are close.

Yeah they are, but Mooney >> than any current Giants WR.

 

[BobbyLayne]

Kamara puts 191 YFS, drops two spots

Taysom Hill missing from your rankings.

Oh he’s being reflected in the rankings

 

[Desert_Power]

The fantasy hive mind got this one very wrong.

I surely am surprised that McDaniel hasn't used multiple backs - and he's looked great. I was a fan of Zamir White partially based on the situation.

He's just been too good to ignore. They didn't use him enough the first 3 games, but he is just commanding volume.

 

[Capella]

Chubb at 9 is just absolutely baffling. Best back in the league playing in a run heavy offense. I wouldn’t trade him for anybody on that list ahead of him.

He's bucking every historical trend there is. He's literally in a 53-47 time share. He does almost nothing in the passing game and isn't even the designated short yardage RB. He's basically been a unicorn, and I don't like betting on unicorns. I'm not saying he's a sell high, but I very much think we are seeing his ceiling.

I could see a case for Chubb over Mixon or Cook, but I have a hard time putting him in the top-5, because this level of efficiency seems nowhere near sustainable.

Hmmm. Appreciate the work you put into this but totally disagree. But that’s the point!

 

[MCFootball123]

If Toney could EVER get healthy he's a stud

 

[Desert_Power]

28. Michael Pittman (17), possible overreaction, but while I like Pittman, this passing game is garbage, and Matt Ryan is washed. Other than week 1, which featured an entire half of comeback mode, Pittman has been a WR3.

Target share isn't that great either with Pierce in the lineup. This just isn't a good enough offense to feel comfortable with any of the weapons outside of JT.

 

[Team Smokin']

QB:
1. Josh Allen (1)
2. Lamar Jackson (2)
3. Jalen Hurts (3)
4. Kyler Murray (4)
5. Patrick Mahomes (6)
6. Justin Herbert (5)
7. Joe Burrow (7)
8. Tom Brady (8)
9. Geno Smith (NR), 3 straight very good weeks, good weapons, some mobility and a horrible defense. It feels wrong to bet on Geno, but its undeniable how good he's been.
10. Derek Carr (12)
11. Kirk Cousins (13)
12. Jared Goff (NR), I'd still like to see more (any) consistency, but like Geno, good weapons and bad defense is a nice combo for a fantasy QB. Supporting cast should be healthy coming out of the bye.
13. Dak Prescott (10), kinda thought he would be back by now. Cowboys D is playing so well, his usual passing volume might not be there.
14. Tua Tagovailoa (14)
15. Russell Wilson (9), I might be being too stubborn keeping him on the rankings, but he is only a week removed from a top-3 week.
Dropped off: Matthew Stafford (11), has 1 good game, and has been a turnover machine. 5 weeks in, its time to let go of what happened a year ago, and face facts that the Rams are a bad offense. Trevor Lawrence (15), just missed the list, but is just a little too inconsistent, and hasn't shown the upside a couple others have.

After suffering with R Wilson and Tua now very questionable, Dak on the shelf I dropped them all at the waiver wire to get Geno Smith at QB. I can't believe I am saying this, yet alone pulling the trigger. Picked up T Hill with concussed Freiermuth. Got T Hill on a FAB offer $1 above the next bidder, whom happens to be our opponent this week who text me this early morning, "U f'd us again." LOL . Still hanging onto Muth, but TE besides Kelce is a mess. I keep waiting to hear Gronk returning to make a run and then I'll jump there.

Edit: I will likely have to drop Muth for a D/ST unless I can package a 2 for 1 deal in a trade. Otherwise, the difference between Muth and T Hill is nominal, but upside with Hill.

 

[Gally]

Target share isn't that great either with Pierce in the lineup. This just isn't a good enough offense to feel comfortable with any of the weapons outside of JT.

I am not so sure you can feel comfortable with JT either. The offense has been that bad.

 

[travdogg]

28. Michael Pittman (17), possible overreaction, but while I like Pittman, this passing game is garbage, and Matt Ryan is washed. Other than week 1, which featured an entire half of comeback mode, Pittman has been a WR3.

Target share isn't that great either with Pierce in the lineup. This just isn't a good enough offense to feel comfortable with any of the weapons outside of JT.

Pittman also doesn't have a single target over 20 yards so far this season. That was where he made a lot of his hay with Wentz last year. Pittman isn't much of a YAC WR, so its weird to me that they have basically been using him like he's Chris Godwin.

I can't fade Pittman more than that, as he's still seeing a healthy amount of targets, but it feels like his upside is gone.

Not to say I called it, but I said at the time, that Indy wasn't upgrading going from Wentz to Ryan and may actually be downgrading, and that sure seems to be the case. At least Wentz had some mobility and threw downfield. I'm not 100% sure Indy wouldn't be better off going with Nick Foles.

 

[Team Smokin']

WR:
1. Justin Jefferson (1)
2. Cooper Kupp (2)
3. Stefon Diggs (3)
4. CeeDee Lamb (4)
5. Ja'Marr Chase (5)
6. Davante Adams (6)
7. Tyreek Hill (7)
8. Amon-Ra St. Brown (8)
9. AJ Brown (9)
10. DK Metcalf (11)
11. Tee Higgins (12)
12. Mike Evans (13)
13. Courtland Sutton (14)
14. Jaylen Waddle (10)
15. Hollywood Brown (20), fun fact, only Cooper Kupp has more targets this season than Brown. I think Hopkins return will be the end of that level of targeting but should raise the tide of the whole offense. In typical Brown fashion he did drop what would have been a 75-yard TD this week, but he also got open for it too. I'm expecting less volume, more big plays starting in week 7.
16. Mike Williams (18)
17. Deebo Samuel (16)
18. DeAndre Hopkins (21)
19. Amari Cooper (25), just like Jacobs, I let the narrative of "Brissett can't support a good WR in a super run heavy offense" make me avoid Cooper in every league. He's been a top-10 WR 3 of the last 4 weeks and is seeing the most targets of his career.
20. Christian Kirk (15)
21. Tyler Lockett (29), has been a WR1 other than week 1. I'm probably being too low on him, but his history of being boom/bust is making me cautious. Of course, that history was all with a different QB so...
22. Keenan Allen (19)
23. Terry McLaurin (22)
24. Chris Godwin (24)
25. DeVonta Smith (27)
26. Chris Olave (28)
27. Curtis Samuel (30)
28. Michael Pittman (17), possible overreaction, but while I like Pittman, this passing game is garbage, and Matt Ryan is washed. Other than week 1, which featured an entire half of comeback mode, Pittman has been a WR3.
29. Drake London (26)
30. DJ Moore (31)
31. Diontae Johnson (32)
32. Brandin Cooks (33)
33. Gabe Davis (35)
34. Rashod Bateman (36)
35. Michael Thomas (23), another possible overreaction, but I'm just getting a sinking feeling that he isn't going to be healthy, and that Olave might be the #1 anyway. Lot of mouths to feed in a mediocre offense too.
36. Jerry Jeudy (34)
37. Adam Thielen (38)
38. Romeo Doubs (40)
39. Hunter Renfrow (NR), just a hunch here, but I think the Raiders will come out of the bye week with an effort to get him and a hopefully healthy Waller going.
40. Garrett Wilson (39)
Dropped off: JuJu Smith-Schuster (37), he's just a guy, a bigger named Byron Pringle if you will. I'm not confident anybody other than Kelce is relevant in the KC passing game. Opposing defenses SHOULD act the same eventually.

Wondering if perhaps we'll see an appearance in the top 40 from Pickens and/or Pierce, as in Alec. I also own the other Pierce RB. I only watched Pierce once this year and what's not to like except his QB's deep ball arm? Oh, he's moving to WR #2 on IND. He's gotta move up now?

 

[travdogg]

WR:
1. Justin Jefferson (1)
2. Cooper Kupp (2)
3. Stefon Diggs (3)
4. CeeDee Lamb (4)
5. Ja'Marr Chase (5)
6. Davante Adams (6)
7. Tyreek Hill (7)
8. Amon-Ra St. Brown (8)
9. AJ Brown (9)
10. DK Metcalf (11)
11. Tee Higgins (12)
12. Mike Evans (13)
13. Courtland Sutton (14)
14. Jaylen Waddle (10)
15. Hollywood Brown (20), fun fact, only Cooper Kupp has more targets this season than Brown. I think Hopkins return will be the end of that level of targeting but should raise the tide of the whole offense. In typical Brown fashion he did drop what would have been a 75-yard TD this week, but he also got open for it too. I'm expecting less volume, more big plays starting in week 7.
16. Mike Williams (18)
17. Deebo Samuel (16)
18. DeAndre Hopkins (21)
19. Amari Cooper (25), just like Jacobs, I let the narrative of "Brissett can't support a good WR in a super run heavy offense" make me avoid Cooper in every league. He's been a top-10 WR 3 of the last 4 weeks and is seeing the most targets of his career.
20. Christian Kirk (15)
21. Tyler Lockett (29), has been a WR1 other than week 1. I'm probably being too low on him, but his history of being boom/bust is making me cautious. Of course, that history was all with a different QB so...
22. Keenan Allen (19)
23. Terry McLaurin (22)
24. Chris Godwin (24)
25. DeVonta Smith (27)
26. Chris Olave (28)
27. Curtis Samuel (30)
28. Michael Pittman (17), possible overreaction, but while I like Pittman, this passing game is garbage, and Matt Ryan is washed. Other than week 1, which featured an entire half of comeback mode, Pittman has been a WR3.
29. Drake London (26)
30. DJ Moore (31)
31. Diontae Johnson (32)
32. Brandin Cooks (33)
33. Gabe Davis (35)
34. Rashod Bateman (36)
35. Michael Thomas (23), another possible overreaction, but I'm just getting a sinking feeling that he isn't going to be healthy, and that Olave might be the #1 anyway. Lot of mouths to feed in a mediocre offense too.
36. Jerry Jeudy (34)
37. Adam Thielen (38)
38. Romeo Doubs (40)
39. Hunter Renfrow (NR), just a hunch here, but I think the Raiders will come out of the bye week with an effort to get him and a hopefully healthy Waller going.
40. Garrett Wilson (39)
Dropped off: JuJu Smith-Schuster (37), he's just a guy, a bigger named Byron Pringle if you will. I'm not confident anybody other than Kelce is relevant in the KC passing game. Opposing defenses SHOULD act the same eventually.

Wondering if perhaps we'll see an appearance in the top 40 from Pickens and/or Pierce, as in Alec. I also own the other Pierce RB. I only watched Pierce once this year and what's not to like except his QB's deep ball arm? Oh, he's moving to WR #2 on IND. He's gotta move up now?

Right now, I view both Pierce and Pickens as more drains on Pittman/Diontae than individually valuable. That said, they both have some upside. If I went to 50 WR's they both would have been around 50 or so.

ETA: In the long run, I don't view Pittman or Diontae as insurmountable either, though I question whether those will happen in 2022.

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Not much love for the Silver Bullet in DC

 

[travdogg]

Not much love for the Silver Bullet in DC

What's Coors have to do with anything, I thought that was a Colorado beer?

 

[BassNBrew]

QB:
1. Josh Allen (1)
2. Lamar Jackson (2)
3. Jalen Hurts (3)
4. Kyler Murray (4)
5. Patrick Mahomes (6)
6. Justin Herbert (5)
7. Joe Burrow (7)
8. Tom Brady (8)
9. Geno Smith (NR), 3 straight very good weeks, good weapons, some mobility and a horrible defense. It feels wrong to bet on Geno, but its undeniable how good he's been.
10. Derek Carr (12)
11. Kirk Cousins (13)
12. Jared Goff (NR), I'd still like to see more (any) consistency, but like Geno, good weapons and bad defense is a nice combo for a fantasy QB. Supporting cast should be healthy coming out of the bye.
13. Dak Prescott (10), kinda thought he would be back by now. Cowboys D is playing so well, his usual passing volume might not be there.
14. Tua Tagovailoa (14)
15. Russell Wilson (9), I might be being too stubborn keeping him on the rankings, but he is only a week removed from a top-3 week.
Dropped off: Matthew Stafford (11), has 1 good game, and has been a turnover machine. 5 weeks in, its time to let go of what happened a year ago, and face facts that the Rams are a bad offense. Trevor Lawrence (15), just missed the list, but is just a little too inconsistent, and hasn't shown the upside a couple others have.

Not going to comment, but wanted to say thanks for doing this. Enjoy your thoughts and the comments that follow.

 

[packer_junkie]

Really curious about ASB rest of season? Does he jump back into being a top 10 guy after the injury and ramp up? Or does the offense get crazy balanced w/ Swift, Williams, Hock, Reynolds, etc

 

[travdogg]

Really curious about ASB rest of season? Does he jump back into being a top 10 guy after the injury and ramp up? Or does the offense get crazy balanced w/ Swift, Williams, Hock, Reynolds, etc

I think when everyone is healthy, its Swift and St. Brown being the clear leads, with Hockenson (and maybe Jamaal) an ancillary guy who is featured in the redzone, and Jameson being mostly just a big play guy. I think guys like Chark and Reynolds become 1-3 catch guys.

Let's say Goff throws for 250 a game, I'd expect St. Brown to have 75 of that, which is 30%. I wouldn't be surprised if everybody had a bit of a spike in YPC as a fully healthy offense is going to create a lot of space.