I am not sure where best to put this so I will dump it here. This is a fabulous break down of Mexico by Doyle. Give it a read
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Matthew Doyle
https://twitter.com/MattDoyle76
@MattDoyle76
I don't think people have fully grasped what an inflection point this tournament is for Mexican soccer. They were a legit top 15 team for half a century, knocking on the door of the top 10. Infrastructure, culture, talent... they had it all & it seemed like a matter of time.
But this month's failure laid bare the bigger, structural failures in Mexico, and those bigger, structural failures have already been felt further down the ranks into the youth national teams. After decades of dominance at the U20 & U23 levels, that has started to dry up...
..and the Mexican U17s aren't considered, collectively, to be as talented as the US & Canadian cohorts. What's gone wrong? We tried to address it on Club & Country and from where I and
@empiregass sit, we see three main issues:
1. Mexican youth teams (clubs) are dominated by kids born in the first 3 months of the year, which is a dead giveaway that the folks making the choices are choosing kids who are physically dominant rather than looking for kids who are good soccer players w/ potential to scale.
This was an issue for years in the US until the USSDA (now MLS Next) was founded 15 years ago. It was never really an issue for Mexico, but for whatever reason -- maybe the glory of chasing another Olympic gold? -- youth emphasis became on winning instead of developing.
2. Mexican coaches aren't developed and given a clear path, and that's happening at all levels (Chivas, who only employ Mexican players, just hired a European coach who washed out of MLS three years ago). This obviously has the most long-lasting, negative impact at the youth levels, because if you're not developing elite coaches then you're not going to develop elite players. The river of institutional knowhow that had served Mexico so well for so long has started to dry up. And because of that, it becomes a crisis if someone like Diego Lainez doesn't hit, because there's not five more of them coming. There's maybe only two more... or maybe none. And they're not showing up and developing later because...
3. Liga MX sides have a brutally bad recent track record of playing and developing young players. A few do it well (Pachuca), but most have little interest in it, and so it's becoming harder and harder to create the next generation of stars (why is there no elite replacement for Guardado or Herrera???). The path isn't totally gone, but it's narrower than it ever was before.
Even with all of the above handicaps I can't imagine Mexico falling out of the top 25 teams in the world -- 30 at worst -- and they'll never be in danger of actually missing the World Cup. With the expanded field, those days are gone. But this is the furthest they've been in my lifetime from ascending into the true world elite, and it's to me it's obvious that this performance over the past week is not just a blip brought about by bad luck, but rather an indication of where that program is pointed.
And so, this is the inflection point. I'm genuinely curious to see if the FMF and Liga MX address this in any substantive way. Also... if you thought they were recruiting dual-nationals hard as hell before, just wait. Every single kid is going to get the full-court press.