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VBD - Consensus Projections or Single Source? (1 Viewer)

Seven Costanza

Footballguy
Okay guys, after the great discussion we had on VBD baselines, I am hoping to get similar feedback on another topic of interest concerning VBD.

When you are converting your stat projections into fantasy points, do you tend to use consensus stat projections or a single source such as just Doods or Bryant or Bloom or Wood?? I am not to the point of creating my own projections yet, so I will be relying on either a consensus or a single stat set. Does using a consensus tend to smooth things out to much or not really? Have you guys found one stat set to trend towards more accurate over any other??

Thanks in advance!!

 
Always use multiple sources, weighted by my trust level of the source. Still, the best are right only 67% of the time, so while perhaps better than predicting weather, still dicey!

 
Consensus. My fave from last year was fftoolbox, though I often will jump away from strict VBD calcs when I make an intuitive (to put positive spin on it; use emotional if you want to put negative spin on it) to 'reach' for a guy. For example, using FBG consensus merged with fftoolbox, with my SOS adjustments, I had Andre Johnson as WR7, but recently reached for WR11 (Vincent Jackson).

 
Hopefully I'll be able to develop projections on my own by next season. Too bad nobody publishes coverage stats (Revis covered WR1 on 25 sroutes, WR2 on 20, and WR3 on 10).

 
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David and Joe!

This is why I subscribe. Get thier projections, tweek a little, draft using them with a slight weight to my gut instincts.

 
If I don't do my own projections, I start with someone else's that is close to how I feel, and then edit them. If I averaged a group, I'd still edit them to end up how I believe, so it's kind of a moot point for me.

 
If I don't do my own projections, I start with someone else's that is close to how I feel, and then edit them. If I averaged a group, I'd still edit them to end up how I believe, so it's kind of a moot point for me.
I try not to edit my averaged projection set a whole lot, unless its something I feel strongly about, and that's pretty rare. However, I do reserve the right to skip around my lists come draft day, based on my gut, and the previous few weeks of reading articles, blogs, and forums.I'm trying not to focus on the mechanics of making viable projections, instead I try to focus on who I like vs dislike. Ex: if Frank gore is at the top of my list and I need a rb, I might skip a few spots down my list and take Levonte Bell, even if my projections have Gore rated higher.

 

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