Guillotine league. non-ppr, need help selecting three WRs
- Diggs is in
- G Wilson also likely in
- C Kupp with injured Stafford or Brett Rypien.
Very short bench has only other WR Aiyuk on bye, but I could swap out Kupp or Wilson for Nico Collins or Amari Cooper.
Stick with top three or drop Kupp or Wilson for Collins or Cooper?
I don't know what a Guillotine league is but if it means you can only use each player once, I definitely bench Kupp if Rypien plays. I probably bench him regardless since it's not PPR, I could see Rypien peppering him with 12+ targets but that only amounting to 8 for 43 yards and 0 TDs or something like that. Which is fine in PPR but hurts in every other format.
It's difficult to trust Amari with PJ looking to get another start. He has always been a volatile WR so that monster 3 TD game will probably happen eventually but he's not a weekly set-and-forget starter right now so he hurts people often when they try to chase that game. It is a great matchup so worth considering at the very least.
Nico has tapered off over the las three games. 16 total targets over that span is very disappointing, I mentioned up thread that I am concerned that defensive coordinators have enough film on Stroud that they can now defend him more effectively.
I do think Kupp definitely has the highest target ceiling/floor so he probably is your safest play but I don't have high expectations for him at all. If I was going to swap him it's really a coin toss but I probably lean to Nico.
Not much real way to distinguish these guys without trying to get into advanced metrics like how they do against specific coverages and the defensive tendencies of their opponents. But I don't have access to that info and, if I did I would probably have to start charging for my time.
Wish I could be more definitive but you have a very tough call here.