Week 11 Waiver Wire (1 Viewer)

[davearm]

It always amazes me when people don't learn from history. It amazes me more when people assume one good season means a great career. This is the NFL. The only thing you know is that you don't know what the future will hold. However, we do know historically what has happened to players with that kind of workload. But yeah, there can always be an exception. 

Since I didn't quite know what it is that I was supposed to have learned from history, I did a query on the data dominator for rookie RBs that went over 1000 yards with 5.0 YPC.

NAME POS YR AGE EXP G RSH RSHYD YD/RSH RSHTD REC RECYD YD/REC RECTD FANT PT
1 Ezekiel Elliott rb 2016 21 1 9 198 1005 5.08 9 18 250 13.89 1 185.5
2 Jeremy Hill rb 2014 22 1 16 222 1124 5.06 9 27 215 7.96 0 187.9
3 LeGarrette Blount rb 2010 24 1 13 201 1007 5.01 6 5 14 2.80 0 138.1
4 Adrian Peterson rb 2007 22 1 14 238 1341 5.63 12 19 268 14.11 1 238.9
5 Clinton Portis rb 2002 21 1 16 273 1508 5.52 15 33 364 11.03 2 289.2
6 Mike Anderson rb 2000 27 1 14 297 1487 5.01 15 23 169 7.35 0 255.6
7 Barry Sanders rb 1989 21 1 15 280 1470 5.25 14 24 282 11.75 0 259.2
8 Ickey Woods rb 1988 22 1 16 203 1066 5.25 15 21 199 9.48 0 216.5
9 Don Woods rb 1974 23 1 12 227 1162 5.12 7 26 349 13.42 3 211.1
10 Franco Harris rb 1972 22 1 14 188 1055 5.61 10 21 180 8.57 1 189.5
11 John Brockington rb 1971 23 1 14 216 1105 5.12 4 14 98 7.00 1 150.3
12 Cookie Gilchrist rb 1962 27 1 14 214 1096 5.12 13 24 319 13.29 2 231.5


Not a bad list to be on.

 

[JFS171]

CMike now on the Packers.  Could be their starter as early as this week.

Won't be this week, obviously.  Could it happen in the future?  Maybe.  I kinda see this as Knile Davis part II, only now Don Jackson is on IR so the roster spot is available.  By numerous accounts, Michael really struggles to learn schemes and playbooks -- happened in Dallas, happened again in Washington.  I don't pretend to know everything going on in Seattle, but there's more to being a RB than just taking a handoff and being a great athlete.  Otherwise this guy wouldn't have bounced around the league as much as he has.

 

[Dondante]

Is Sammy Watkins (for the block) more valuable than Ladarious Green (pseudo lotto ticket) ROS? 

 

[JFS171]

I think the point @skinsrule05 was trying to make is that there's a long list of guys who have fallen off substantially in year N+1 after getting this many touches in Year N.  Doesn't mean his career will be cooked, but he may not be quite the same next year if he hits 400+ touches this year.

People said that about Murrays workload. That he was "ruined". Give me that kind of ruined any day.

Murray went from averaging 4.7 YPC in Dallas in 2014 (392 carries + another 57 receptions totaling 449 touches) to 3.6 YPC in Philly, and was then shipped out the door.  Now all of that isn't on Murray (team and scheme changed, etc.), but the track record of guys falling off after that kind of workload is a pretty long one.

 

[Gatorman]

Alshon dropped in a lot of league due to the suspension.  He comes back for the fantasy playoffs.  If you are basically in, I would grab him...

 

[Statorama]

By numerous accounts, Michael really struggles to learn schemes and playbooks -- happened in Dallas, happened again in Washington.  

I'd heard similar rumblings about CJ Spiller, and that it was the reason the Pack passed on him.  

 

[Bernie51]

Well that's been rather underreported...

Confirmation bias at its finest -- many of the "fantasy experts" want to believe Starks is the guy, so they ignore the situation of Montgomery completely.  Cecil just this week on the recap show said Montgomery belonged on your bench or your waiver wire.  Wrong... assuming he's actually going to be reaching full health in the coming weeks.

I am struggling with this as I really want to believe TyMo will rebound in snaps this week. However, the vast majority thinks his playing time will be sparse now.

In other news, Akeem Hunt becomes more interesting now that Alfred Blue is ruled out. Lamar Miller is still there, but he's banged up and has played less than 50% of snaps for the last few games.   

 

[Rodrigo Duterte]

TyMo???  Good lord.

 

[Houston turmOiler]

Akeem Hunt can play but he'll probably only be part of a committee unless Miller and Blue miss time. He's always looked good to me...better than Tyler Ervin as a RB for sure up to this point. I would speculate if Miller was out instead of limited he'd have a nice role...Blue is the bigger back of course. There's a chance he's also banged up a bit. Grimes is also banged up but I much prefer Hunt.

Jacksonville has let multiple RBs have success in single games the past couple of weeks.... Derrick Henry also had his best game spelling Murray, so it may amount to chasing points. Still, depending on your needs and roster requirements Hunt could be a stash. I'd like him better in a split with Blue if Miller were out.

A little update here....Blue and Grimes are going to miss this game, which elevates Hunt quite a bit. Ervin seems to be mostly a kick returner. Miller has been banged up for a little while now, and Mexico City is more than 7000 feet above sea level. I dont have a link but OBrien already stated Hunt would be part of the gameplan. If you're desperate for a dart throw at RB Hunt should get some chances. I'm guessing a roughly 60-40 split with Miller leading the way, but could be more depending on Miller's health and game flow. 

 

[Houston turmOiler]

Duplicate post my bad

 

[Tool]

CMike now on the Packers.  Could be their starter as early as this week.

Or not.

 

[WhatRox]

Deep league: Mitchell or Amendola with gronk and hogan out

 

[Sarlakticacid]

Tamme done for year. It's their bye week but Hooper in Atlanta 

 

[FUBAR]

Im dropping.

It wasn't just usage...he barely saw the field.  Playing from behind, you would have thought you would see more Montgomery and less Starks.  But Starks was out there...even motioning out wide eventhough he was not going to see the ball being thrown to him out there.  Made zero sense.

Team looks like they have about given up on McCarthy and he has given up either trying to use Montgomery...or there is more to his illness and rep count than they are letting on.  There was zero reason for him not to be out there more once behind...he is more dynamic than Starks...but the usage just isn't there.

That's my thought as well, so I dropped him and bipps for Ryan Matthews and kirk cousins (starting over Eli this week).

 

[Tool]

Thoughts on Eli Rogers this week? playing Cleveland. Coates seems to be useless, or will he play much bigger role now that seems healthy?

 

[shadrap]

Dw Washington RB-Detroit.   It's this week or bust.

 

[JohnnyU]

A J Derby is a good speculative add in deep dynasty leagues.  Ever since Denver traded for him they have increased his snap count and from what I'm reading they appear to want him part of the offense.

 

[Danish Bengal]

Dw Washington RB-Detroit.   It's this week or bust.

Why? Is Riddick hurt?

 

[Frank Black]

Alshon dropped in a lot of league due to the suspension.  He comes back for the fantasy playoffs.  If you are basically in, I would grab him...

Gatorman, after all these years, nice to read one of your posts again. I agree with you on Alshon.

 

[KingPrawn]

Alshon dropped in a lot of league due to the suspension.  He comes back for the fantasy playoffs.  If you are basically in, I would grab him...

Agreed. If you have the space and a playoff spot wrapped up or nearly wrapped up, Jeffery is a nice stash. Sammy Watkins fits that same mold, but a bit riskier with injury questions.

 

[kawaihae]

Tyler Lockett - just in time for Seattle's late season offensive surge? 

 

[BustedKnuckles]

Ameer Abdullah for the playoffs