PPR need 1 TE
Cmet vs Jets (No Fields)
moreau vs Sea
Juwan Johnson vs SF?
Well the real question is what kind of premium does Murray get for rush yards?Joe Burrow or Kyler Murray? It's a non-PPR League. 6 point TDs. 1 point every 25 yd pass it. Minus two for interceptions.
I know Tennessee has a week secondary but they sacked burrow quite a bit last year and that o line doesn't look as good. Murray is coming off of an injury and not sure I can trust him versus a decent chargers defense.
Standard scoring
which QB:
Lawrence vs Balt
Rodgers vs Eagles
Matt Ryan vs Pitt
Carr vs Sea
Tannehill vs Cin
I like Burrow.Joe Burrow or Kyler Murray? It's a non-PPR League. 6 point TDs. 1 point every 25 yd pass it. Minus two for interceptions.
I know Tennessee has a week secondary but they sacked burrow quite a bit last year and that o line doesn't look as good. Murray is coming off of an injury and not sure I can trust him versus a decent chargers defense.
Well the real question is what kind of premium does Murray get for rush yards?Joe Burrow or Kyler Murray? It's a non-PPR League. 6 point TDs. 1 point every 25 yd pass it. Minus two for interceptions.
I know Tennessee has a week secondary but they sacked burrow quite a bit last year and that o line doesn't look as good. Murray is coming off of an injury and not sure I can trust him versus a decent chargers defense.
Generally speaking you have two solid, safe floor, high ceiling options. Tennessee is a pass funnel defense and without Mixon I question what Perine can get going on the ground against one of the top rush defenses in the league.
Murray's matchup is also very good and he has more ways to generate stats. He also has Marquise Brown back and on the field with Hopkins for the first time this year. On paper that's tantalizing.
I think you can safely flip a coin and be comfortable with wherever it lands. For me it's razor thin but:
Murray>Burrow
Tough calls. Random number generators.PPR need 1 TE
Cmet vs Jets (No Fields)
moreau vs Sea
Juwan Johnson vs SF?
Carr and it's not really close for me.Standard scoring
which QB:
Lawrence vs Balt
Rodgers vs Eagles
Matt Ryan vs Pitt
Carr vs Sea
Tannehill vs Cin
PPR
Pierce @ Mia
Perine @ Ten
Fields inactive has me going back and forth on my flex spot. Standard scoring.
David Montgomery @ Jets
Isiah Pacheco vs Rams
Perine @ TN
Needing a big game after both Davis and Meyers (and Maher) put up minimal points in Thursday.
If I had confidence in Siemian, fields being out would be good for Monty getting GL loos…but how often are they getting down there against the Jets? Pacheco the bigger upside?
TNs D has shut down RBs…i like his receiving upside but wonder how his usage changes without Mixon. I cant see it being a huge game for him.Fields inactive has me going back and forth on my flex spot. Standard scoring.
David Montgomery @ Jets
Isiah Pacheco vs Rams
Perine @ TN
Needing a big game after both Davis and Meyers (and Maher) put up minimal points in Thursday.
If I had confidence in Siemian, fields being out would be good for Monty getting GL loos…but how often are they getting down there against the Jets? Pacheco the bigger upside?
I think it's close between Monty and Perine but TN is a tough D...i still lean monty
I think I don't trust many Texans this week with the quarterback change. I do like Pierce but in a full PPR Perine is probably the better option As I think he will have multiple opportunities to catch passes out of the backfield against that tough rush defense.PPR
Pierce @ Mia
Perine @ Ten
Thank you again @ChakaOkay, so it looks like Treylon is the new consideration. I wish we had more to go on with him. He looked great last week but the risk with that offense is always if Henry will run wild and Tannehill only throw 20 passes? I don't know how to handicap this except with the belief that Burks is probably (possibly?) a high upside guy.THANK YOU!! @ChakaRE:Thanks again...I appreciate the thoughtfulness and assistance for my considerations
Standard scoring, PPR, bonus at 100 yds rushing or receiving (not combined)
italicized players are who I am leaning toward
RB (x1) to pair w/ Taylor
Edwards (*if active)
Wilson
Mitchell
WR (x2)
Keenan
Jakobi Myers
Dionte Johnson
Nico Collins
Flex (x1)
Any of the above not selected...leaning RB Wilson.........
.................but please reply w/ second FLEX choice as result of Edwards potentially NOT being active in which case I lean towards sliding Wilson into RB2. THANK YOU
Jeff Wilson? 100% him, even if Gus is active and doesn't have an injury designation. That Houston rush D is terrible and Wilson has come in and immediately supplanted Mostert. He had 4% to 47% snap share against the Bears and followed that with 61% to 28% against the Browns. It's too good of a matchup and opportunity and he provides you the luxury of taking a wait and see approach with Gus. Mitchell isn't even in the conversation. Love what he's doing but you have to rely on blowouts and even then he may only see 9 carries (like last week).
Wilson>Gus>Mitchell
WR:
Definitely Keenan IMO.
Yeah I have no real problem with your choices. Although I still might favor Diontae over Meyers a little bit mostly because he's been the squeaky wheel this week. Both he and Tomlin have commented on it. No guarantee that translates into anything, in fact it is 100% speculation so best to ignore it entirely. Minnesota defense is markedly worse in every relevant passing metric. Meyers & Johnson have very similar target probabilities (I think Diontae's is higher but not sure they are of such quality where that makes a huge difference considering Meyers is catching the ball at a 76% rate compared to 59% for Diontae.
Collins is fine and the matchup seems okay but there is a QB change and that offense runs through Pierce IMO. They're just a bad team and I don't bank on bad teams when I have better, IMO, options.
Keenan>Meyers>Diontae>Nico
Flex:
Follow the practice reports. If Gus is playing I guess I give him the chance because I think he has a higher TD probability than Mitchell or Diontae. But because it's a PPR you may want to consider Diontae if Gus is limited all week. Gus isn't involved in the passing game. Mitchell could be an option too, I guess but it means you are banking on a blowout, which is a distinct possibility with Andy Dalton under center for the Saints.
Gus*>Diontae>Mitchell
Revised due to FA pick up....WDIS @ Flex (PPR)
Treylon Burks
Dionte Johnson
Gus Edwards (if active)
Elijah Mitchell.
Kind of got burned on starting Meyers and played Josh Allen, CeeDee, Dalton Schultz and Minn D so far and am down big so not looking good ha ha...
Thanks.
It looks like Gus is going to play and the Jags are a decent matchup but, again, he is coming off knee/hammy issues that caused him to miss a time and he is heavily TD dependent and gets zero PPR bump.
Mitchell really isn't a consideration, but maybe he should be. I would like to see one more game to see if we can get a real understanding if Shanahan is committed to this kind of, almost interchangeable, usage next to McCaffrey.
Diontae, IMO is still your best player. Two 5 target games in a row definitely sucks because we all expected a bump with Claypool gone but the bump was actually to the commitment to the running game. Pickett also has 20 pass attempt potential. HOWEVER if you look at the numbers Pickett has 5 (of 6.5) games with 30 or more pass attempts and, including two over 40 and one over 50 (only one game with 20 or less). Tannehill has 2 of 8 games with 30 or more attempts (0 with 40 or more) and two games with 20 attempts (4 between 21-27). Tennessee is a much lower volume passing offense. Tannehill is much more TD efficient than Pickett (by a wide margin) but in a PPR Diontae is a safer bet than Burks ATM (IMO).
Going to do a slight pivot in what was already a very close call:
Diontae>Gus>Burks>Mitchell
Nate or J.?Oof. Now its Peterman. Cant trust Monty.
With Nate Peterman starting I imagine Montgomery is going to see a ton of work but with zero threat from the passing game (unless this is a Rick & Morty style alternate universe Nate Peterman), I think Monty is in for a long day.Fields inactive has me going back and forth on my flex spot. Standard scoring.
David Montgomery @ Jets
Isiah Pacheco vs Rams
Perine @ TN
Needing a big game after both Davis and Meyers (and Maher) put up minimal points in Thursday.
If I had confidence in Siemian, fields being out would be good for Monty getting GL loos…but how often are they getting down there against the Jets? Pacheco the bigger upside?
Tua just seems like a much safer play and he has plenty of upside. I love Lamar but he hasn't been a monster since week 3 and he has a hip...something.Tua v Houston or Jackson @ Jax? Full ppr.
Probably Edwards for TD upside. I don't know how to handicap Baltimore RB volume with both backs available. So I go with the guy I think could get the goal line touches.12 team PPR, need 1 in desperation.
Drake vs Jax
Edwards vs Jax
Vaughn vs Browns
A little bit of overthinking for sure but the matchup sure does favor White, doesn't it?Aaron Jones Rachaad White... have Jones in. I'm overthinking this or am I?
Etienne vs BAL or Josh Jacobs @ SEA? PPR
In any PPR format I like Godwin even in the rain. Brady is throwing a ton and Godwin is getting a ton of targets.Godwin or Miles sanders - half ppr
I like Jacobs by a wide margin unless you have deep concerns he may be a late scratch. I do not.Etienne vs BAL or Josh Jacobs @ SEA? PPR
This is really a risk tolerance question. For me:PPR
Jacobs @ SEA with Kyren Williams @ KC as insurance
OR
Antonio Gibson vs Atlanta
I would clearly go with Jacobs normally, but is it the smarter play to lock in Gibson at 1:00?
I like rolling the dice with Marquise personally but can see DeMarcus as potentially a good play as he may see volume with Duvernay maybe out. But I'm always skeptical about 28 year old, 7th season breakouts.Hollywood Brown on a pitch count
Vs
Demarcus Robinson
1 PPR
TIA
PPR
Marquise Brown @ LAC
Christian Watson @ PHI
Context?lol Jeff Wilson
Going with Fant - better chance of a shootout and Vegas worse in pass defenseNoah Fant or Diontae Johnson? Can’t believe it’s even a question but here we are.
You're overthinking, IMO, Diontae.Noah Fant or Diontae Johnson? Can’t believe it’s even a question but here we are.
Jacobs may have been the right call…This is really a risk tolerance question. For me:PPR
Jacobs @ SEA with Kyren Williams @ KC as insurance
OR
Antonio Gibson vs Atlanta
I would clearly go with Jacobs normally, but is it the smarter play to lock in Gibson at 1:00?
Jacobs>Gibson
But Gibson is a strong play in PPR so start him with confidence if you prefer.
He was the stone cold lock RB start of the year and luckily got that TD before getting injured. In DFS, he sunk about 50% of rosters. It's not his fault, that is just how it typically works out when the matchup and game script screams extreme value.Context?lol Jeff Wilson
Excellent call @ChakaThis is really a risk tolerance question. For me:PPR
Jacobs @ SEA with Kyren Williams @ KC as insurance
OR
Antonio Gibson vs Atlanta
I would clearly go with Jacobs normally, but is it the smarter play to lock in Gibson at 1:00?
Jacobs>Gibson
But Gibson is a strong play in PPR so start him with confidence if you prefer.
All you can do is take the limited information we have and try to make the best decision possible.He was the stone cold lock RB start of the year and luckily got that TD before getting injured. In DFS, he sunk about 50% of rosters. It's not his fault, that is just how it typically works out when the matchup and game script screams extreme value.Context?lol Jeff Wilson
100% agree. In DFS its a bit of a different angle as arguments can be made to fade extremely chalky players even in cash games. I had Jacobs in one lineup (the only one that won money) and Wilson in about 30% of the others. In some DK gpp contests, he was close to 70% ownership.All you can do is take the limited information we have and try to make the best decision possible.He was the stone cold lock RB start of the year and luckily got that TD before getting injured. In DFS, he sunk about 50% of rosters. It's not his fault, that is just how it typically works out when the matchup and game script screams extreme value.Context?lol Jeff Wilson
Benching good players on good teams who have great matchups, and the perception of positive game scripts (if you spend enough time in here you will find that I am deeply opposed to making decisions based on that perception) is likely not a recipe for long term success.