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Couple years ago when John Brown eeked over 1K, Michael Floyd had rock solid production every week he was healthy. That was a key WW pickup for me & a nice addition to round out a championship squad.
My general rule of thumb is that no offense can really support more than 3 fantasy-relevant pass catchers (and even that is fairly rare; it usually tops out at 2.5). Also, that '15 Cards offense was way more high-powered than this year's version (although Palmer is apparently on track to set an NFL record for pass attempts).
Saw that - although if you look closer at the Proected Points + Value it’s more fair to say he’s in the CJA / Smallwood / Gore borderline RB2/RB3 tier.
I should have clarified, I was talking standard scoring. LM is #17 on that list, so middle of the RB2 tier.
i've noticed the same, somewhat head scratchers as well. considering the O-line in MIN, the plodding nature of LM, and his past "success", I'm curious how they came to the conclusion of the 17th best RB ROS in standard scoring.
TT is quick, if he keeps improving the next 12 weeks like he did the last 3, he should be catching 16-20 balls a game by the time the playoffs roll around.
Murray has had some recent success. He made the Pro Bowl in 2015 & just last year finished at RB13 in both PPR & standard. That's a RB1 in 14-team leagues & just outside it in 12-team leagues. And he missed 2 games.
Sure, it's not completely out of left field, but:
It might come down to Murray's ankle. I'm going under the assumption he's close to 100%, but there's some debate whether he is or not.
Powell has been a routine RB1 when Forte has been out. If we knew for sure Forte would either be out for several games with his toe injury or be nothing more than a backup to Powell I'd say break the bank on Powell even with McGuire in the mix. But we have no idea what's going on with Forte or what the Jets plan to do with him when he returns, perhaps as soon as this week.
Oddly enough, I think Kamara is the safest bet. He's locked into a defined role that we've seen good production from in the past. Especially if the guy in the role is talented, and Kamara has plenty of that.
I, too, dropped Powell two weeks ago and am going to try and drop Buck Allen for him tonight. Murray is plan B. Not going to spend a lot on either.
You're slow to that party. I made that move after week one when I bought Brady low and looked at Brady's bye week matchups. I just traded for Ty Montgomery also cheap and so my top waiver claim is on Aaron Jones.
Powell is the real deal. Who knows if Forte will ever come back to regain his early season role. I think Powell, Kamara and Murray is definitely the right order.
I like him a lot of those out there for PPR. probably my top PPR pickup (assuming Kamara is not available).
I have a very small bid in on him tonight, but idk if I'll ever have the balls to start him if I get him
Just my luck--I play against the Cook owner who no doubt will need to go after Murray, and he's higher priority in the WW order, and about $10 more FAAB than I have. Really kicking myself for spending a little over 20% on Tarik Cohen after week 1. It's a non-PPR league, and he is now looking like a potential dump for a WR like Will Fuller. I'm going to bid about 20% ($23) on Murray as that cost has seemed to be the going-rate on priority add RB's. Will drop me down to 50% spent of my season budget, but might be worth it sitting at .500 and in bottom half of league in scoring.
According to my spreadsheet thingy no one who receives relevant touches gets a higher 1ppr bump than Ellington other than Duke. Kamara is right below Ellington. They're all being utilized ~10 times per game and over the last two weeks Ellington has been utilized more than either. I view Duke and Kamara as eminently startable as I do Ellington. Guys like Duke, Kamara, Ellington, White, Thompson and Cohen are pretty unfair in full ppr. It's kind of silly.
The Jets new OC prefers committee backfields which is nice in real football but rough in fantasyland. I play in a fun, 140-player league (8 starters, super flex, no kickers, no defense, 10 teams) and I drafted Powell and was going to add McGuire on Sunday morning until the Alex Collins news broke. I think between injuries or a possible trade of Forte for a 7th rounder, I expect Powell and McGuire to have more multiple games of double digit carries.
It's certainly possible that Powell and Forte's snaps/touches reach some type of equilibrium and I know Morton comes from NO but Powell played on 66% of the snaps and was utilized 26 times where as McGuire played on 27% of the snaps and was utilized 12 times. I think Cadet saw a snap or two. I watched the game and certainly seemed to me that Powell was "the guy". The truth is McGuire's snaps have stayed relatively consistent since week 2 (20%, 19%, 27%), Forte or no Forte. You'll notice he actually saw the field less the game Forte exited.
I see it playing out similar to how it did on Sunday. In games in which Forte does not play, Powell might get about 17 carries and McGuire 8-12.
I doubt he will start unless Forte and Powell are both injured but he does appear to be a good player. I almost added him on Sunday morning and then I came here and saw stuff about Alex Collins. I play in a different sort of league with a bunch of flex slots. I can start four running backs per week which means there could be 40 RBs seeing action in my league in a given week. Even though it is a 10-team league, McGuire I think has value. In a more traditional 12-team league, I would consider him more of a risk to have on a roster.
16-team league with 1-RB, 1WR and 3 Flex. Someone burnt a top spot picking up McGuire this week.
Okay. Yeah in that type of league he should be on a roster. I would definitely start him in such a league even if he was not starting in real football.
The difference is Lewis hasn't been a reliable TE1 when certain variables are in place. Powell has been a productive RB1 with Forte out of the lineup.
