Which RB's are capable of scoring 15+ or 20+ TDs (1 Viewer)

[gianmarco]

From all the other threads of guys with the potential to break the top 10, one of the posts got me thinking about this.

It's pretty hard to crack the top 10 without a signifcant TD total. Which RB's do you think are capable of putting up 15 TDs this year. And of those, which guys can get 20?

As far as 20, I only see LT, LJ, and SA as capable of doing so. As good as SJax is, I just don't think he'll ever score THAT many in that offense.

For 15 TDs, I see:

1. LT

2. LJ

3. SA

4. SJax

5. Henry

6. Parker

7. Portis

8. Jacobs

I really have a hard time seeing any other guys breaking 15. What do you guys think?

 

[David Yudkin]

Here are the # of guys with 15 TD over the past few seasons . . .

06 - 6

05 - 3

04 - 4

03 - 4

02 - 6

 

[Blackjacks]

From all the other threads of guys with the potential to break the top 10, one of the posts got me thinking about this.

It's pretty hard to crack the top 10 without a signifcant TD total. Which RB's do you think are capable of putting up 15 TDs this year. And of those, which guys can get 20?

As far as 20, I only see LT, LJ, and SA as capable of doing so. As good as SJax is, I just don't think he'll ever score THAT many in that offense.

For 15 TDs, I see:

1. LT

2. LJ

3. SA

4. SJax

5. Henry

6. Parker

7. Portis

8. Jacobs

I really have a hard time seeing any other guys breaking 15. What do you guys think?

Last year he had 16 td's and down the stretch was a machine. He could easily get 20. Even though I'm not a huge fan of MJD I would put him, Maroney and Bush on that list.

I'd probably take FWP off of it. I see him as a great yardage guy but I odn't see him repeating 16 td's again this year.

 

[The Man with the Plan]

Marion Barber scored 16 touchdowns and he didn't even play half the time last year. If he starts 20 isn't out of the question.

Maurice Jones-Drew scored 15 touchdowns in 2006. When (not if) Fred Taylor gets hurt I expect him to be around that area once again in 2007.

Brian Westbrook always scores around 10 touchdowns every season. Maybe one really good season puts at 15.

It's not going to be so easy for Brandon Jacobs to get those 1-yard touchdown runs without Tiki Barber to do all the work.

 

[gianmarco]

Here are the # of guys with 15 TD over the past few seasons . . .06 - 605 - 304 - 403 - 402 - 6

i should clarify. I didn't mean to say all those guys are going to get 15 TDs. I meant those are the only ones I see with the possibility of doing so.

 

[Chase Stuart]

Here are the # of guys with 15 TD over the past few seasons . . .06 - 605 - 304 - 403 - 402 - 6

i should clarify. I didn't mean to say all those guys are going to get 15 TDs. I meant those are the only ones I see with the possibility of doing so.

You don't think Marion Barber or Maurice Jones Drew have the possibility to score 15 TDs?

 

[LHUCKS]

Maroney has the ability and opportunity to score 25.

 

[zamboni]

I think Addai has an outside shot at 15. He's very multi-faceted (i.e., catches the ball extremely well) and won't be pulled at the goal line.

 

[-OZ-]

If we're going with "possibility", I'd add MJD/MB3 as mentioned, but certainly Addai.

(Zamboni beat me to it)

 

[Blackjacks]

I think Addai has an outside shot at 15. He's very multi-faceted (i.e., catches the ball extremely well) and won't be pulled at the goal line.

Personally I think Manning throws to much in the red zone for Indy rb's to get 15 or more td's.I think Addai owners should be happy with 10 td's.

 

[David Yudkin]

Here are the teams that had 15+ TD by RB from the past two seasons . . .

2006

SD 34

NE 24

NO 23

JAX 22

DAL 21

KC 19

PIT 18

STL 17

PHI 15

NYJ 15

WAS 15

2005

KC 30

SEA 29

DEN 28

SD 24

WAS 23

IND 19

PIT 18

NYG 18

CIN 17

NE 16

TB 16

CAR 16

ATL 15

The teams on both lists were KC, NE, PIT, SD, and WAS.

 

[gianmarco]

Here are the # of guys with 15 TD over the past few seasons . . .06 - 605 - 304 - 403 - 402 - 6

i should clarify. I didn't mean to say all those guys are going to get 15 TDs. I meant those are the only ones I see with the possibility of doing so.

You don't think Marion Barber or Maurice Jones Drew have the possibility to score 15 TDs?

Well, I think anything is possible, but I don't see it as being likely that those guys are able to repeat their remarkable production from last year. I just think their touches are too limited and things have to be aligned just right for them to get 15. I don't think it's a winning proposition to gamble on guys that aren't primary ball carriers to score that much. I also considered Addai, but I just think there's too many weapons there. But he would definitely be next on the list. I'm just not as high on him as others are. If MBIII or MJD take over the primary responsibilities, they definitely belong on the list, no question. But not with their current roles, at least not for me.

 

[zamboni]

I think Addai has an outside shot at 15. He's very multi-faceted (i.e., catches the ball extremely well) and won't be pulled at the goal line.

Personally I think Manning throws to much in the red zone for Indy rb's to get 15 or more td's.

True, but as a great outlet option, Addai could very well be on the receiving end of at least a few of those TDs. I agree that 10 or so is the most likely outcome, but you never know.

 

[phthalatemagic]

Here are the # of guys with 15 TD over the past few seasons . . .06 - 605 - 304 - 403 - 402 - 6

i should clarify. I didn't mean to say all those guys are going to get 15 TDs. I meant those are the only ones I see with the possibility of doing so.

You don't think Marion Barber or Maurice Jones Drew have the possibility to score 15 TDs?

Well, I think anything is possible, but I don't see it as being likely that those guys are able to repeat their remarkable production from last year. I just think their touches are too limited and things have to be aligned just right for them to get 15. I don't think it's a winning proposition to gamble on guys that aren't primary ball carriers to score that much. I also considered Addai, but I just think there's too many weapons there. But he would definitely be next on the list. I'm just not as high on him as others are. If MBIII or MJD take over the primary responsibilities, they definitely belong on the list, no question. But not with their current roles, at least not for me.

You don't think it's strange for your premise to be "who is capable of scoring 15 TDs" and leaving off people that have actually done it? (Much less in limited time, in the front end of their careers?)I think Frank Gore has a chance as well.

 

[billymays]

Benson could get there

 

[-OZ-]

I think Addai has an outside shot at 15. He's very multi-faceted (i.e., catches the ball extremely well) and won't be pulled at the goal line.

Personally I think Manning throws to much in the red zone for Indy rb's to get 15 or more td's.I think Addai owners should be happy with 10 td's.

Edge had 14 in 2005 (13 rush, 1 rec) in 15 games. He probably would have scored a TD against Arizona in week 17. Rhodes had 4 rushing TDs.Addai might be a lesser red zone option than Edge, but not by much and there isn't another RB to take TDs away from Addai. I don't want to turn this into another Addai thread, but he certainly has the potential to score 15. Rudi has a chance, with 12 each of the last 3 years.

 

[turfman]

Here are the teams that had 15+ TD by RB from the past two seasons . . .2006SD 34NE 24NO 23JAX 22DAL 21KC 19PIT 18STL 17PHI 15NYJ 15WAS 152005KC 30SEA 29DEN 28SD 24WAS 23IND 19PIT 18NYG 18CIN 17NE 16TB 16CAR 16ATL 15The teams on both lists were KC, NE, PIT, SD, and WAS.

Atl was by far the #1 Rushing ofense in 06 with almost 3000 yds, and only managed a whopping 9TD. That's nuts

 

[David Yudkin]

Atl was by far the #1 Rushing ofense in 06 with almost 3000 yds, and only managed a whopping 9TD. That's nuts

Vick tends to distort the rushing totals.

 

[Sigmund Bloom]

What about Reggie Bush?

- 8 TDs in 2nd half last year

- ability to add a return TD or two

- ability to take any touch to the house

- 3 TDs from the one, and seven TDs in the red zone in 2nd half

he's also the kind of RB who can "take over a game" and hang 2 or 3 TDs a team when he's hot.

 

[David Yudkin]

- ability to add a return TD or two

While I can't be sure, I'm pretty sure the question was referencing rushing and receiving TD.

 

[gianmarco]

Here are the # of guys with 15 TD over the past few seasons . . .06 - 605 - 304 - 403 - 402 - 6

i should clarify. I didn't mean to say all those guys are going to get 15 TDs. I meant those are the only ones I see with the possibility of doing so.

You don't think Marion Barber or Maurice Jones Drew have the possibility to score 15 TDs?

Well, I think anything is possible, but I don't see it as being likely that those guys are able to repeat their remarkable production from last year. I just think their touches are too limited and things have to be aligned just right for them to get 15. I don't think it's a winning proposition to gamble on guys that aren't primary ball carriers to score that much. I also considered Addai, but I just think there's too many weapons there. But he would definitely be next on the list. I'm just not as high on him as others are. If MBIII or MJD take over the primary responsibilities, they definitely belong on the list, no question. But not with their current roles, at least not for me.

You don't think it's strange for your premise to be "who is capable of scoring 15 TDs" and leaving off people that have actually done it? (Much less in limited time, in the front end of their careers?)I think Frank Gore has a chance as well.

You may find it strange, but I don't really. This is a list of guys who I think are capable of getting those #'s this year. As for MBIII and MJD, yes they've done it already, but I just don't see it this year. Again, it's within the realm that they do it as well as Addai and Gore and Rudi Johnson and McGahee do it, but they're not on the list of guys that I think are pretty capable of doing it this year. The guys I listed are people I think have a really good shot at it.Someone brought up Reggie Bush and I think I left him off my list. I also think he's someone capable of doing so this year.

 

[gianmarco]

This thread was brought up to bring up discussion as to who you think is capable of putting up TD totals. We're usually talking about yards and fantasy points and I hadn't seen something like this.

For the sake of arguments, ANYONE on the top 20 RB list COULD score 15 TDs. And my list isn't guys who I think are definitely going to do so. But my list is the guys who I think have a pretty good shot at it. I know I left off some others that could do it, but that's because "I" don't think they will get there this year. Hopefully we can talk about why or why not some guys will get those #'s. 15 TDs is a substantial # and could weigh heavily on fantasy success this year as there are a lot of guys at the RB position who could put up pretty similar yards and I think the TDs could separate some of these guys out.

 

[Facemask]

Maroney has the ability and opporunty to score 25.

 

[AngryPatriot]

Maroney will score around 20 touchdowns (possibly 44-65), at least I hope so. I do have a fantasy feeling that Thomas Jones will score most Jets td's. I'll say 17-19.

edit: had to readjust and 20 might be high. They just spread it around too much. Watson is a good pickup, he'll get his.

 

[LHUCKS]

Maroney has the ability and opporunty to score 25.

I think you'll find most "experts" agree...it's just that he's dinged for injury risk in the rankings, and rightfully so.

 

[JAMMIN]

I have not seen anyone state Maroney may score 25 + tds.

 

[LHUCKS]

I have not seen anyone state Maroney may score 25 + tds.

Because people discuss likely totals much more often than upside totals.

 

[Brutis]

Benson could get there

Yep

 

[veto87]

Maroney has the ability and opporunty to score 25.

I think you'll find most "experts" agree...it's just that he's dinged for injury risk in the rankings, and rightfully so.

Someone who couldn't even autograph with his arm last month or so will have a tough time "shouldering' the load of a full season and getting 15-20 tds .... plus Randy Moss is there in the endzone now

 

[LHUCKS]

Maroney has the ability and opporunty to score 25.

I think you'll find most "experts" agree...it's just that he's dinged for injury risk in the rankings, and rightfully so.

Someone who couldn't even autograph with his arm last month or so will have a tough time "shouldering' the load of a full season and getting 15-20 tds ....

good thing the NFL season doesn't start in June.

 

[bostonfred]

Maroney has the ability and opporunty to score 25.

It's obviously a high estimate, but the Patriots will score a lot of points this year, and the Patriots got enough red zone opportunities to get Dillon 16 TDs with weaker WRs. Add in Maroney's ability to score from a distance, and there's a case for 20+. If Maroney had been completely healthy last year, we'd be talking about Maroney vs. Addai.

 

[FairWarning]

Thomas Jones could get 12-15 as the featured back in New York.

 

[veto87]

Maroney has the ability and opporunty to score 25.

I think you'll find most "experts" agree...it's just that he's dinged for injury risk in the rankings, and rightfully so.

Someone who couldn't even autograph with his arm last month or so will have a tough time "shouldering' the load of a full season and getting 15-20 tds ....

good thing the NFL season doesn't start in June.

...right, because there's no OTAs , minicamps, voluntary workouts etc etc etc where you might have a chance getting injured before Training camp

 

[nygiants56]

Benson could get there

 

[nygiants56]

Maroney has the ability and opportunity to score 25.

no way Maroney scores 25. He's talented, but they spread the ball around too much for someone to have a that many td's.no N.E. RB has ever scored more than 13 tds under Bellichick and that includes rec. tds. The most a Bellichick team has ever scored, is 20 rush tds. Morris and Faulk figure to see plenty of action..Maroney is likely to be pulled at the goalline, and Brady should be throwing more jump-ball passes to Moss in the endzone.

Maroney should score somewhere around 12-13, with Morris/Faulk pulling in another 6-7, collectively.

 

[nygiants56]

Travis Henry is a LOCK for 15+ tds.

 

[bostonfred]

Maroney has the ability and opportunity to score 25.

no way Maroney scores 25. He's talented, but they spread the ball around too much for someone to have a that many td's.no N.E. RB has ever scored more than 13 tds under Bellichick and that includes rec. tds. The most a Bellichick team has ever scored, is 20 rush tds. Morris and Faulk figure to see plenty of action..Maroney is likely to be pulled at the goalline, and Brady should be throwing more jump-ball passes to Moss in the endzone.

Maroney should score somewhere around 12-13, with Morris/Faulk pulling in another 6-7, collectively.

Dillon had 13 TDs last year. The New England backs combined for 20 rushing TDs and 4 receiving TDs. So that's 24 right there. The offense is improved this year, and Maroney should be healthier than he was last year. If he is, he has the ability to take the ball into the end zone from a lot further out than Dillon, especially with the new zone blocking scheme. Again, I think 25 is a high number. I think 15 is a high projection. But if you asked me which RBs in the NFL have even a remote shot of getting 25 TDs, I think that list includes Maroney as a dark horse.

 

[KellysHeroes]

RBs capable of 15+ this yr.

LT2, SJax, Westy, SA, Addai, Maroney, Portis, B Jocabs, Benson, and T Henry

 

[bostonfred]

I don't know if Jacobs sniffs 15 TDs. That team is going to be a lot worse without Tiki.

 

[Construction Man Jim]

I don't know if Jacobs sniffs 15 TDs. That team is going to be a lot worse without Tiki.

Why?

 

[Banger]

I don't know if Jacobs sniffs 15 TDs. That team is going to be a lot worse without Tiki.

Why?

Because Tiki is a borderline HOF RB and made that entire offense work.

 

[LHUCKS]

Again, I think 25 is a high number. I think 15 is a high projection. But if you asked me which RBs in the NFL have even a remote shot of getting 25 TDs, I think that list includes Maroney as a dark horse.

Exactly.

 

[Tau837]

I don't know if Jacobs sniffs 15 TDs. That team is going to be a lot worse without Tiki.

Why?

Because Tiki is a borderline HOF RB and made that entire offense work.

Duh.

 

[David Yudkin]

It may or may not apply to the Giants offense, but the average net gain or loss for team's losing Top 10 RBs is +15% passing yards, +15% passing TD, -15% rushing yards, -15% rushing TD.

 

[Captain Hook]

RBs capable of 15+ this yr.LT2, SJax, Westy, SA, Addai, Maroney, Portis, B Jocabs, Benson, and T Henry

No Larry Johnson?

 

[Team Legacy]

RBs capable of 15+ this yr.LT2, SJax, Westy, SA, Addai, Maroney, Portis, B Jocabs, Benson, and T Henry

No Larry Johnson?

Don't take offense just because you have the 3 pick bro. Lots of question marks about LJ this year.

 

[bostonfred]

RBs capable of 15+ this yr.LT2, SJax, Westy, SA, Addai, Maroney, Portis, B Jocabs, Benson, and T Henry

No Larry Johnson?

Don't take offense just because you have the 3 pick bro. Lots of question marks about LJ this year.

There's a difference between "capable of" and "likely to". I'm down on KC this year, but it's hard to say that he's incapable of getting 15.

 

[Captain Hook]

TL - not even sure I will take him or whether he will be there as a choice, but the question here was RB capable of 15+ TD and LJ is certainly in that group

 

[Team Legacy]

TL - not even sure I will take him or whether he will be there as a choice, but the question here was RB capable of 15+ TD and LJ is certainly in that group

Agreed Perry, he's definitely capable. I'm just razzin you about some possible "man-love" vibes I was gettin from ya. I'm in the same boat at 3, rooting for a positive outcome for him.

 

[Banger]

There are probably 15 rb's "capable of getting 15+" that I can think of (in no particular order)...

LT

LJ

SJax

Parker

M. Barber

Alexander

McGahee

Gore

Drew

Rudi

Benson

Portis

Addai

Maroney

Henry

then it comes down to who's "more likely" to break 15....