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Who is the Top 1st Round QB (1 Viewer)

Stafford I'm just not sold on, I don't know why
Maybe it's because he has been hurt all season up until now... He also plays for the Lions and they don't have a very good track record when it comes to grooming a top Quarterback. I think he is the best, when it comes to QB Potential, that the Lions have had in a very, very long time. He has a decent shot at becoming a very good to great NFL QB.
 
Bradford:

Pass completion rate of 56.2%

TD/INT ratio of 1.12

Passer rating of 71.4

on a team that was 1-15 previous season

PManning:

Pass completion rate of 56.7%

TD/INT ratio of .93

Passer rating of 71.3

on a team that was 3-13 previous season

The similarities are remarkable, if nothing else. I'm not saying anything, just one of those things that makes me go hmmm...
Different era.Average passer rating has jumped 6 points since 1998.
i assume that stat is for ALL QBs (vets included)...what would it be if you adjusted it for rookies only?

BTW, "top" QB is pretty nebulous...

as the thread unfolded, i think it is clear from the context that i was factoring in potential personally, but can understand if others are more reluctant to do that...

i would rephrase the original question something like this (as somewhat of a thought experiment)...

in real football terms (fantasy could be parsed differently, but not necessarily... they are sometimes related, in that good QBs like manning, brees, brady, etc, can be very good at both)...

IF you were a GM, had the #1 overall pick, could select from a pool of QBs all taken in last five years... AND had a time machine so every QB was magically the same age (21 or 22, whatever)... AND you did have knowledge of what the fifth-fourth-third-second year players had already done...

who would you take first, and how would you rank them.

hope that is clearer... :yes:

again, i think there may be differences in temperment, when some choose bradford first, and some are shocked and can't believe ryan wouldn't be the obvious choice... SUCH THAT, we are maybe saying as much about ourselves as we are of our choices...

i had a debate on another board about whether bradford was a superior prospect to ryan AT A COMPARABLE STAGE during their respective drafts... gil brandt, who has been around a long time, and i respect, got my attention when he said bradford had maybe the best or second best (with manning?) workout he had seen in like three decades... it was just a workout, but many were raving about his rare combination of arm strength (not that he has a cannon, but a very good arm), accuracy & touch... particularly in accuracy, i believe more than one scout stated his accuracy was as good as they had seen in a long time...

i didn't recall this being said about ryan... if anything, he had a lot of INTs at BC, but mayock gave him the benefit of the doubt, and suggested that he didn't have a great supporting cast, and was maybe trying to do too much...

certainly in intangibles, character, work ethic, leadership, intelligence, charsima... more similarities than differences...

irvin has said repeatedly that bradford reminds him of aikman (he should know)... probably for a few reasons, like stature in the pocket, throwing a catchable, accurate ball, tempermentally, etc.

i think ryan is a very good QB, possibly great... one concern is last year, i thought when he was pressured his mechanics would break down and he would throw the ball up for grabs... flacco imo isn't always characterized by pinpoint accuracy... he does have a big arm, and can make all the throws, but it seems like he can be a bit streaky... i haven't thought of this comparison before specifically, but flacco reminds me some of kerry collins... for the good and bad...

when i look at bradford, AT HIS BEST, he impresses me more than ryan and flacco did at their best, at a comparable stage in development... when bradford gets more experience & reps, i am hopeful he will play like this (at or close to his best) more often... of course, it doesn't always work out that way.

i think the hardest thing to answer about a college prospect, is how they will react to a pro pass rush... i have been extremely impressed with bradford's ability to stand in the pocket in the face of the rush & stare down the proverbial gun barrel... with his brains, accuracy, work ethic, i think that critically important facet bodes very well for his projection.

i'll talk about the younger guns (like sanchez, stafford & freeman) below, in another post.

* a couple thread house cleaning items...

lets try and pay a minimum respect to posters, and not assume if they prefer bradford, or sanchez, or freeman, it is because they are homers... :thumbup:

also, try and take into account the previous track record... personally, i don't say every year about each QB that comes down the pike in a given year, that they are one of the most accurate QBs i have ever seen... in my seven or so years at FBG, i think i have said it only once... about bradford.

 
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If I had the power to assign one of them to my NFL team, I'd take Freeman without hesitation. I have to assume that you guys putting him 4th or lower on your lists haven't seen a Bucs game this year.

 
If I had the power to assign one of them to my NFL team, I'd take Freeman without hesitation. I have to assume that you guys putting him 4th or lower on your lists haven't seen a Bucs game this year.
Just about to post the same thing. Couple people had him 6th on their list. Behind Cutler even. :lmao:Guy took over a team that was 0-7 last year and has gone 7-8 since then, with 5 comeback wins. That's ridiculous.
 
Bob Magaw said:
* a couple thread house cleaning items...lets try and pay a minimum respect to posters, and not assume if they prefer bradford, or sanchez, or freeman, it is because they are homers... :loco:also, try and take into account the previous track record... personally, i don't say every year about each QB that comes down the pike in a given year, that they are one of the most accurate QBs i have ever seen... in my seven or so years at FBG, i think i have said it only once... about bradford.
lets try and pay a minimum respect to posters, and not assume if they prefer bradford, or sanchez, or freeman, it is because they are homers...
I didn't mean it as literal as I think you took it. it was more of a :loco: moment then a :kicksrock: moment. sorry if I offended you with it.
i don't say every year about each QB that comes down the pike in a given year, that they are one of the most accurate QBs i have ever seen...
I know you don't. You know your stuff... I respect your posts and in fact that's why if you start a thread I check it out.
 
Bob Magaw said:
* a couple thread house cleaning items...lets try and pay a minimum respect to posters, and not assume if they prefer bradford, or sanchez, or freeman, it is because they are homers... :eek:also, try and take into account the previous track record... personally, i don't say every year about each QB that comes down the pike in a given year, that they are one of the most accurate QBs i have ever seen... in my seven or so years at FBG, i think i have said it only once... about bradford.
lets try and pay a minimum respect to posters, and not assume if they prefer bradford, or sanchez, or freeman, it is because they are homers...
I didn't mean it as literal as I think you took it. it was more of a :shrug: moment then a :pickle: moment. sorry if I offended you with it.
i don't say every year about each QB that comes down the pike in a given year, that they are one of the most accurate QBs i have ever seen...
I know you don't. You know your stuff... I respect your posts and in fact that's why if you start a thread I check it out.
no offense, it was just a general comment for everybody, and thanks, i appreciate the feedback.
 
I think out of this group, Ryan, Flacco and Cutler have earned their money since the draft. I think if you're the team employing Sam Bradford, you have to be thrilled with what the future holds. Performance merits cautious optimism on Josh Freeman, Matt Stafford and Mark Sanchez. Leinart, Russell and Quinn have been stealing money. Vince Young has been Vince Young.

Very good chance that Sam Bradford will have more career touchdowns than Quinn, Leinart and Russell at season's end.

Some stats:

Passing Yards gained per game played

Jay Cutler 240.2

Matt Ryan 218.1

Matt Stafford 213.6

Sam Bradford 211.9

Joe Flacco 211.2

Josh Freeman 194.4

Vince Young 148.8

Brady Quinn 135.9

Matt Leinart 134.2

Jamarcus Russell 131.7

Interception %

Brady Quinn 2.5%

Joe Flacco 2.6%

Matt Ryan 2.6%

Sam Bradford 3.1%

Jamarcus Russell 3.4%

Matt Leinart 3.4%

Jay Cutler 3.6%

Vince Young 3.6%

Mark Sanchez 4.1%

Josh Freeman 4.6%

Matthew Stafford 5.1%

TOUCHDOWN %

Jay Cutler 4.5%

Matt Ryan 4.4%

Joe Flacco 3.9%

Mark Sanchez 3.9%

Josh Freeman 3.5%

Sam Bradford 3.5%

Vince Young 3.4%

Matt Stafford 3.3%

Brady Quinn 2.8%

Jamarcus Russell 2.6%

Matt Leinart 2.4%

Yards/Pass Attempt

Jay Cutler 7.2

Matt Ryan 7.1

Joe Flacco 7.1

Vince Young 6.7

Mark Sanchez 6.6

Matt Leinart 6.5

Josh Freeman 6.4

Matt Stafford 6.0

Jamarcus Russell 6.0

Sam Bradford 5.7

Brady Quinn 5.4

Passes Completed (Passes completed / season in parens)

Joe Flacco 712 (2.4375) (292 completions per season)

Matt Ryan 684 (2.4375) (281 completions per season)

Jay Cutler 1,209 (4.4375) (272 completions per season)

Mark Sanchez 294 (1.375) (214 completions per season)

Josh Freeman 275 (1.375) (200 completions per season)

Matthew Stafford 212 (1.375) (154 completions per season)

Vince Young 658 (4.4375) (148 completions per season)

Jamarcus Russell 354 (3.4375) (103 completions per season)

Matt Leinart 340 (4.375) (78 completions per season)

Brady Quinn 184 (3.4375) (54 completions per season)

Sam Bradford 146 (.4375) (On pace for 333 completions per season)

Yards passing/season since drafted (total passing yards in parens)

Joe Flacco 3378 (8,235)

Matt Ryan 3311 (8,070)

Jay Cutler 3194 (14,173)

Mark Sanchez 2577 (3,544)

Josh Freeman 2262 (3,110)

Vince Young 1710 (7,588)

matthew Stafford 1709 (2,350)

Jamarcus Russell 1188 (4,083)

Matt Leinart 877 (3,893)

Brady Quinn 553 (1,902)

Sam Bradford 1483 (ON PACE FOR 3390)

Tocuchdowns/season since drafted (total touchdowns in parens)

Matt Ryan 21 (50)

Jay Cutler 20 (88)

Joe Flacco 18 (45)

Mark Sanchez 15 (39)

Josh Freeman 12 (17)

Matthew Stafford 9 (13)

Vince Young 9 (39)

Jamarcus Russell 5 (18)

Brady quinn 3 (10)

Matt Leinart 3 (14)

Sam Bradford 9 (ON PACE FOR 21 this season)

 
I wasn't sold on Bradford before the draft, but having watched him play, I'm convinced he's the real deal. Those downplaying the Rams record 1) don't realize how drastically different the team looks, and 2) should realize they've lost three games by a total of eight points. Yes, that's meaningless in the win-loss column and the playoff race, and a playoff team would have won those games. However, the fact the Rams have played almost well enough to be 6-1 instead of 3-4 speaks volumes of the franchise's turnaround. Part of that is having a viable defense (though, as seen by its late collapses, it's still a work in progress), but a lot of the credit goes to Bradford and his steady production despite a constantly changing set of WR/TE.

Bradford

Ryan

Freeman

Sanchez

Stafford

Flacco

Cutler

Young

 
I wasn't sold on Bradford before the draft, but having watched him play, I'm convinced he's the real deal. Those downplaying the Rams record 1) don't realize how drastically different the team looks, and 2) should realize they've lost three games by a total of eight points. Yes, that's meaningless in the win-loss column and the playoff race, and a playoff team would have won those games. However, the fact the Rams have played almost well enough to be 6-1 instead of 3-4 speaks volumes of the franchise's turnaround. Part of that is having a viable defense (though, as seen by its late collapses, it's still a work in progress), but a lot of the credit goes to Bradford and his steady production despite a constantly changing set of WR/TE. BradfordRyanFreemanSanchezStafford FlaccoCutlerYoung
Freeman brought his team from behind to beat Bradford's team the other day. Not sure how anybody can sit here with a straight face and say Bradford has outplayed Freeman. It's just not true.
 
Not sure how anybody can sit here with a straight face and say Bradford has outplayed Freeman. It's just not true.
I'm a huge fan of Freeman. However, last year at this time, after his first 7 games, he was 106-202 for 1207 yards, with 7 td and 13 int. His team was 1-6. Bradford's numbers--and record--are superior.
 
His team was 1-6. Bradford's numbers--and record--are superior.
Freeman went on the road to beat the Super Bowl champs. Bradford went on the road to lose by 40 to the Lions. :shrug:
And Freeman once went two games with 8 interceptions and no touchdowns. And his offense scored 20 points against the Saints, below the 21.3ppg their defense allowed last year, while Tampa's defense held the 31.9ppg Saints to only 17 points. Your question was you couldn't understand how someone could say Bradford has outperformed him. It's not unreasonable that when one highly touted QB prospect generates superior stats than a second highly touted QB prospect across the same span of games--the first seven of their career--that people will rank the other higher. Freeman's great, and I love watching him. But at the same point in his career, Bradford simply looks better.
 
Probably the worst playoff QB ever. Gimme Jake Delhomme over him.
Let's see what Bradford's playoff record is after 5 playoff games. Want to make a side bet that he never even PLAYS 5 playoff games in his career?He looks pretty good after 7 games, but don't anoint him a spot in Canton yet.
 
Probably the worst playoff QB ever. Gimme Jake Delhomme over him.
Let's see what Bradford's playoff record is after 5 playoff games. Want to make a side bet that he never even PLAYS 5 playoff games in his career?He looks pretty good after 7 games, but don't anoint him a spot in Canton yet.
1 - you are the first person to mention canton. is flacco going to canton? exactly... the question is just, is he better than the likes of flacco, among QBs taken in last half decade. 2 - you seem to be fixated on the playoffs... flacco made it as a rookie... would he have made it with the rams... would flacco with the rams not be as good as flacco with the ravens, because he didn't make the playoffs...3 - are you accounting for the differences in receiving weapons in your evaluation... would flacco look as good throwing to amendola, gibson, gilyard, alexander, et all, and fells, bajema, uh oh... would bradford possibly look better throwing to boldin, mason, heap, etc.4 - QBs can have 10+ years, barring catastrophic injury (are you predicting that for bradford?)... a team can play four playoff games in one season... since you seem to have a good handle on what the rams will do for the next 10 years, please fill in the blanks for what their record is going to be for the next decade...2010201120122013201420152016201720182019
 
rookie QBs don't usually look like this (dam marino looked like a 10 year vet as a rookie, in a class by himself)...
Lately, they do.In the prior two seasons, 3 rookie QBs have taken their teams to the playoffs. You could make the argument that it was more of a "team" effort, but gone are the days when a rookie QB immediately translates to a 2-14 season.FWIW, Ryan and Flacco are both at least a tier ahead of Bradford -right now-. If we are comparing them after Bradford has completed two full seasons, we may say something different, but both of those other two guys are leading their teams into prime SB contention. That means more to me than Bradford's stats across 6 games of a rookie season, and let's face it, the Rams aren't getting into the playoffs this year.
1) if you are going to go by record and playoff contention... does that make sanchez #1?2) hypothetically, if bradford and flacco switched place, but teams had same records over six games, would bradford than be "better" than flacco?3) if rams beat CAR (won first game sunday), they will be 4-4 with 8 games to go... who is the powerhouse/juggernaut in the NFC west that gives them no chance to win the division... SEA? they already beat... ARI? nearly beat opening week... SF? has one win. i agree it isn't *likely*, but i wouldn't assume it isn't possible, as you seem to suggest.4) look at the respective teams skill position weapons... other than steven jackson, who stacks up favorably with counterparts in ATL & BAL... but the receiving weapons aren't comparable...5) clearly flacco and sanchez benefited (and continue to) from playing for BAL & NYJ... ryan less obvious, he was a top 3 pick... but ATL had been a playoff team more recently than the rams prior to bradfords selection...
1) I said that Ryan and Flacco are LEADING their teams into potentially deep playoff runs. Sanchez isn't leading the Jets, he's their Trent Dilfer.2) No. 3) Seattle will win the NFC West, St. Louis is not a wild card team.4) When did this become a discussion about the surrounding talent? I thought it was about who's a better QB.5) I don't disagree with this. Fact of the matter is that all three of those other QBs have playoff victories under their belt and are further along than Bradford is. I'm not saying Bradford won't catch/surpass them over the course of his career, but I answered the question "who is the top QB", not "who is the top QB Prospect".
could you expand and elaborate on #2 above, beyond just because he is... :popcorn:if you would discount record of flacco if he had a bad record with rams, but are unwilling to do same with bradford (maybe you are higher because of flacco's record and he made playoffs... oh yeah... with the RAVENS... you asked yourself when this thread became about supporting cast and surrounding talent... but when a player clearly plays for a better team, and you make an assumption that he is better without accounting for such differences, something is lacking in that analysis)... that seems arbitrary... please explain why flacco would be better than bradford, if he had the exact same record with the rams.is he more accurate? does he throw a more catchable ball? better leader? more athletic and mobile? smarter?
 
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After he knocked the rust off... Matthew Stafford looked really good in the second half of that game!

Very Impressive!

M. Stafford , 26/45, 212yds, 4 TDS, 1 INT

 
Bradford, Flacco and Stafford are going to be the three best with Ryan heading up the next tier.

Freeman underrated by most, overrated by Cappy.

 
After he knocked the rust off... Matthew Stafford looked really good in the second half of that game!Very Impressive!M. Stafford , 26/45, 212yds, 4 TDS, 1 INT
The first half of the game he was very rusty. Although, that had to be somewhat expected. The INT in the end zone was a bad throw. If he gets that up another foot it's probably a TD to Calvin Johnson. Then I think it was near the end of the first half? He was pressured out of the pocket and ran up to the line of scrimmage on the left side of the field and if he throws the ball a little further its an easy 6 points. but it was way under thrown and almost (should have been) another INT.But in the second half he had 3 TD's 0 INT's! And he was making some good throws and some good decisions. In Detroit, we're not used to seeing a QB take what a defense will give you. Stafford did that. I swear I don't know how many times I was happy to see a 4, 5 or 6 yard play? The Lions are usually in 3rd and 6 or worse. But because Stafford took what the Skins gave. The Lions were in better shape and because of that they could use more of their playbook.
 
Bradford, Flacco and Stafford are going to be the three best with Ryan heading up the next tier. Freeman underrated by most, overrated by Cappy.
The depth of sports topics you know nothing about is impressive.
The depth of your arrogant ignorance when it comes to all things Tampon Bay, is amusing.
Tampon Bay? Oof. I thought you were mildly funny. Another great game for Freeman, Dr. Oklahoma/Michigan/Seattle/Maryland Terps. Don't get left behind. :rolleyes:
 
Bradford, Flacco and Stafford are going to be the three best with Ryan heading up the next tier. Freeman underrated by most, overrated by Cappy.
The depth of sports topics you know nothing about is impressive.
The depth of your arrogant ignorance when it comes to all things Tampon Bay, is amusing.
Tampon Bay? Oof. I thought you were mildly funny. Another great game for Freeman, Dr. Oklahoma/Michigan/Seattle/Maryland Terps. Don't get left behind. :shrug:
Taking that sack to take his team out of field goal range when they were trying to ice the game wasn't very good. He's got all the physical tools, he scored a 27 on the Wonderlic so he isn't dumb and he seems to be in a good situation down there. I like that coach, he says they are the best team in the NFC and there isn't any reason for his players not to believe him at this point.
 
note - 2005 had the disappointing alex smith and jason campbell, but also aaron rodgers

2006 - VY (1.3), leinart (1.10) & cutler (1.11)

2007 - jamarcbust (1.1 - oof) & quinn (1.22)

2008 - ryan (1.3) & flacco (1.18)

2009 - stafford (1.1), sanchez (1.5) & freeman (1.17)

2010 - bradford (1.1)

personally, i would go with bradford
He has played how many NFL games and you have him #1? I wonder why??? :shrug:
Because he is the best QB prospect since Peyton.
He isn't a prospect any longer. He's a player. And as a player, he hasn't shown as much as Ryan has. This is not complicated.
 
John Matthew StaffordEverybody else
Nobody's allowing for the age at which he entered the league either.
What does that have to do with anything? There is no evidence that a QB forced to learn on the job has a better career. QBs who come out as underclassmen tend to perform worse.
Stafford just turned 22 this offseason. Do we need to retrace some steps to find out what some of these other QBs were doing in their 21 and 22 year old seasons? He wasn't throwing a bunch of picks to lose to Florida State or losing to Middle Tennessee State or Appalachian State.Josh Freeman is another guy who was born in 1988. What these guys are doing at that age is, in my opinion, tremendous.
 
John Matthew Stafford

Everybody else
Nobody's allowing for the age at which he entered the league either.
What does that have to do with anything? There is no evidence that a QB forced to learn on the job has a better career. QBs who come out as underclassmen tend to perform worse.
One of the big factors in a QBs success in the NFL is college experience. Stafford does not lack in that category. He was a 3 year starter for an SEC team.
 
cross-posted from bradford - top 12 thread, courtesy of bobby layne...

"The Rams rookie has five TD passes without an INT in his past three games. He has 11 TD passes in his first eight NFL games, matching Ben Roethlisberger, Peyton Manning and Dan Marino for the most since the AFL-NFL merger in 1970, according to ESPN Stats & Information. Bradford has six TDs, zero INTs and a 101.2 rating on third down this season. He set a career high against Carolina by completing 78.1 percent of his passes."

the rams could be in first in the NFC West in two sundays without playing this week... if hawks lose to giants (rams have tie-breaker from an earlier win)... also, cards play vikings (-9?)... rams play 49ers after the bye...

bradford said after the win over carolina that the game was noticeably starting to slow down for him...

one of the things that stood out on the first TD pass to amendola is his quick release... rodgers may have the quickest release in the NFL right now, imo... but bradford has an extremely quick release... he may be top 5-10 already in that department...

he hasn't had a monster TD, outburst game yet, but also not a massive, 5 INT bonehead game like the big three rookie QBs last year...

after 3 INTs in first game, his progression since... 1, 1, 1, 2, 0, 0 & 0...

in TDs... 1, 2, 1, 2, 0, 1, 2 & 2 (only one 0 TD game in eight, and half with multiple TDs)...

* there was some difference of opinion above on whether or not rookie QBs ordinarily look like this... bobbylayne's 11 TDs in 8 games stat from above putting bradford in some elite company is the most compelling historical/statistical evidence i can think of that rookie QBs DON'T usually look like this... and again, look at the WRs he is doing this with...

** freeman and stafford looked great last weekend, too...

freeman is working his way into my bradford, ryan #1 tier (1st round QBs selected in past five drafts)... and stafford may not be far behind, if he can just stay on the field...

 
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I don't know about you guys but I'm really looking forward to this weeks matchup!

Stafford Vs. Sanchez

:moneybag:

Can't Wait!!!

 

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