I guess that would explain it! (LOL)The guy who drafted Brown had seen him a lot in college, which explains a lot!
Dallas Clark 3rd? Over all three QBs and Larry Johnson? From what I've read about Dallas Clark, the Colts wanted another tight end to team with Pollard, but Pollard is expected to get more recepetions, while Clark is supposed to do more blocking.Am I missing somthing here? Is Dallas Clark's brother in your FF league?ROUND ONE
1. Charles Rogers, WR, Michigan State (Detroit)
2. Andre Johnson, WR, Miami (Fla.) (Houston)
3. Dallas Clark, TE, Iowa (Indianapolis)
4. Larry Johnson, RB, Penn State (Kansas City)
5. Byron Leftwich, QB, Marshall (Jacksonville)
6. Carson Palmer, QB, Southern California (Cincinnati)
7. Kyle Boller, QB, California (Baltimore)
8. Bryant Johnson, WR, Penn State (Arizona)
9. Rex Grossman, QB, Florida (Chicago)
10. Taylor Jacobs, WR, Florida (Washington)
11. Willis McGahee, RB, Miami (Fla.) (Buffalo)
12. Chris Brown, RB, Colorado (Tennessee)
While #3 is WAY too high for Clarke, they didn't bring him in to be a primarily blocking TE.His biggest strength is recieving (750 recieving yards last year in college), and he is known to be weak at blocking.Originally posted by jtnt1096:
Dallas Clark 3rd? Over all three QBs and Larry Johnson? From what I've read about Dallas Clark, the Colts wanted another tight end to team with Pollard, but Pollard is expected to get more recepetions, while Clark is supposed to do more blocking.Am I missing somthing here? Is Dallas Clark's brother in your FF league?ROUND ONE
1. Charles Rogers, WR, Michigan State (Detroit)
2. Andre Johnson, WR, Miami (Fla.) (Houston)
3. Dallas Clark, TE, Iowa (Indianapolis)
4. Larry Johnson, RB, Penn State (Kansas City)
5. Byron Leftwich, QB, Marshall (Jacksonville)
6. Carson Palmer, QB, Southern California (Cincinnati)
7. Kyle Boller, QB, California (Baltimore)
8. Bryant Johnson, WR, Penn State (Arizona)
9. Rex Grossman, QB, Florida (Chicago)
10. Taylor Jacobs, WR, Florida (Washington)
11. Willis McGahee, RB, Miami (Fla.) (Buffalo)
12. Chris Brown, RB, Colorado (Tennessee)
I was just going to post the same ILB, but you beat me to it.While #3 is WAY too high for Clarke, they didn't bring him in to be a primarily blocking TE.His biggest strength is recieving (750 recieving yards last year in college), and he is known to be weak at blocking.Originally posted by jtnt1096:
Dallas Clark 3rd? Over all three QBs and Larry Johnson? From what I've read about Dallas Clark, the Colts wanted another tight end to team with Pollard, but Pollard is expected to get more recepetions, while Clark is supposed to do more blocking.Am I missing somthing here? Is Dallas Clark's brother in your FF league?ROUND ONE
1. Charles Rogers, WR, Michigan State (Detroit)
2. Andre Johnson, WR, Miami (Fla.) (Houston)
3. Dallas Clark, TE, Iowa (Indianapolis)
4. Larry Johnson, RB, Penn State (Kansas City)
5. Byron Leftwich, QB, Marshall (Jacksonville)
6. Carson Palmer, QB, Southern California (Cincinnati)
7. Kyle Boller, QB, California (Baltimore)
8. Bryant Johnson, WR, Penn State (Arizona)
9. Rex Grossman, QB, Florida (Chicago)
10. Taylor Jacobs, WR, Florida (Washington)
11. Willis McGahee, RB, Miami (Fla.) (Buffalo)
12. Chris Brown, RB, Colorado (Tennessee)
You draft a guy for his strengths in round 1, they drafted him to be a recieving TE, not to mainly block. If they wanted a blocker they could of waited a few rounds and got one a lot better at it than Clarke.
Or you could go HERE once my server lets me update the *^%*&^%(*& pages...At any rate...so far we've got 4 picks done in our 16 team IDP league:Round #1 Player Drafted POS Team Name1.01 Charles Rogers WR Beverly Hills Millionaires1.02 Larry Johnson RB Houston Hemorroids1.03 Willis McGahee RB Jacksonville Bull Rush1.04 Andre Johnson WR Long Beach IslandersHere is a link to the SFL rookie draft which started today:The best league out there.
Where did you post them. what is the topic name. I am having a bit of trouble finding this post... could you post a link or such? ThanksI posted averages and earliest pick a player was taken at in separate threads, for those interested. Most of the info came from this thread, but I threw in some data from a few mocks too.
I'm confused, doesn't this actually help you? Let the herd follow each other off a cliff. Let the mock drafts in May become gospel in August. Let the supposed VBDers take 3 RBs in the first 3 rounds of a start 2 league.Personally, I don't care much for the blustery shouts from the mountaintop. You will always have those that are more interested in crowing about their one good pick, even though it resulted in 10 poor ones.Those in the herd are never going to hear your words. Those are the people who make up their minds about a team or player and then will never reevaluate that position.There is no inside information. Anyone can find the information on the internet if they are diligent enough. It's how you choose to use that information that sets you apart.The people that I listen to most carefully on this board are not those that you might think. I stay away from those that just like to see their name in print, or like to draw tenuous connections to arbitrary statistics to prove a point. It's the people that can change their mind and take in new information and form new opinions. These are the people that don't have to fight their egos to post.Seeing these results actually disappoints me. It's seems that FBG's is greatly becoming a follow the herd "but really- I'm taking chances" mentality kind of place.Almost every draft has Leftwich going before Palmer. This despite the fact that almost every GM who was willing to be quoted had Palmer as the top QB prospect. Leftwich is a great thrower, but he also has weight and injury issues and threw almost exclusely under center. I have heard many call him a Culpepper clone, despite the fact that he almost never runs and is slower than Chris Simms. I see this as the classic case of Fancy owner syndrome where owners like to ignore facts so that pursue their longshots and brag about them before they come in.THe next consensus scenario is Willis. How is he really in a better situation than LJ. I think that any draft where the owner does not have multiple high picks and WIllis goes before LJ and AJ, you have the same situation- Fancy Owner Syndrome. I actually think these people like to lose, and have the stock answers in place-"High risk, high reward", "Well, I like to gamble more than most." in place for when they lose.I think many of these owners should replace the word gamble with lose.
Interesting point of view. I think this board is a great place but it is hard to sift through all the sand to find the few nuggets that turn up.There is no inside information. Anyone can find the information on the internet if they are diligent enough. It's how you choose to use that information that sets you apart.The people that I listen to most carefully on this board are not those that you might think. I stay away from those that just like to see their name in print, or like to draw tenuous connections to arbitrary statistics to prove a point. It's the people that can change their mind and take in new information and form new opinions. These are the people that don't have to fight their egos to post.
I disagree with most of this. Every player taken after the 15-20th pick is a gamble. You choose to call the first two rounds choices, not gambles. I disagree. The variation from team to team is often related to need at this point. The players you listed as gambles are closer to fliers in my opinion. I stand by what I said- When every draft but one has Leftwich going before Palmer (and the one where Leftwich went #1 overall is a start 2 QB league-which refelects why he went unusually high -your chart makes no mention of this) this is definitely a follow the herd mentality. You would think given the fact that Cinncinati has an equal running game, better receivers and an equal or better O-line- combined with the fact that Palmer was the consensus number 1 pick- there would at least be a 75%-25% split.McGahee going as the the #2 back or better in almost every draft shows herd thinking.Your variance that you talk about later in the draft is a matter of math- there is likely to be a huge variance in players of similar skill levels where most owners have never seen them play.Brian St. Pierre is a gamble - taken as early as the 23rd, but often not at all.Quentin Griffin is a gamble, taken as soon as 18th but undrafted in some leagues.Shaun McDonald is taken as low as 18 and sometimes not at all. Can he be more than a return man? Some obviously think so.Bethel Johnson - the list of "gambles" goes on.The first 2 rounds of this year's rookie draft aren't gambles. They are choices. I have to laugh at the snipers who call a safe pick cowardly for not gambling, then call a true gamble a stupid pick. There is plenty of range in where players are being picked, especially in the later rounds. Weasel's follow the herd mentality comment is obviously a product of not studying the drafts hard enough.I still have to update this with another draft but check this out. These are the basic stats for the dt leagues that have been compiled. First number is the average, second is the soonest a player was drafted, third is the latest (unless he was undrafted). There is plenty of variabilty, especially as you go down the list. (Entire package available - p.m. me.)Charles Rogers, wr, Detroit 1.3 1 2Andre Johnson, wr, Houston 3.3 2 5Larry Johnson, rb, Kansas City 3.5 2 6Willis McGahee, rb, Buffalo 4.6 2 11Byron Leftwich, qb, Jacksonville 5.5 1 11Justin Fargas, rb, Oakland 7.8 3 14Carson Palmer, qb, Cincinnati 9.5 3 24Chris Brown, rb, Tennessee 10.3 6 18Bryant Johnson, wr, Arizona 11.8 5 21Kyle Boller, qb, Baltimore 12.0 7 16Musa Smith, rb, Baltimore 12.1 6 22Artose Pinner, rb, Detroit 13.3 7 19Onterrio Smith, rb, Minnesota 13.8 5 24Kelley Washington, wr, Cincinnati 14.5 6 22Taylor Jacobs, wr, Washington 15.1 10 20Lee Suggs, rb, Cleveland 16.2 7 25Tyrone Calico, wr, Tennessee 16.5 8 25Rex Grossman, qb, Chicago 17.0 8 34LaBrandon Toefield, rb, Jacksonville 18.0 12 20Dallas Clark, te, Indianapolis 18.4 3 26Chris Simms, qb, Tampa Bay 20.1 10 36Jason Witten, te, Dallas 20.4 13 28Teyo Johnson, te, Oakland 21.4 6 33Anquan Boldin, wr, Arizona 23.9 13 31Domanick Davis, rb, Houston 25.6 7 38Craig Nall, qb, Green Bay 26.0 26 26Nate Burleson, wr, Minnesota 26.2 22 31Brandon Lloyd, wr, San Francisco 26.4 23 32Billy McMullen, wr, Philadelphia 26.8 20 31Bethel Johnson, wr, New England 26.8 20 36Shaun McDonald, wr Saint Louis 27.0 18 41Ben Joppru, te, Houston 27.3 12 37Quentin Griffin, rb, Denver 27.5 18 38Josh Brown, pk, Seattle 30.0 23 43Kliff Kingsbury, qb, New England 30.0 30 30Brian St, Pierre, qb, Pittsburg 30.7 23 42Seneca Wallace, qb, Seattle 30.8 24 35Justin Gage, wr, Chicago 31.0 18 40Kareem Kelly, wr, New Orleans 31.0 31 31Kevin Curtis, wr, Saint Louis 32.2 28 39Dave Ragone, qb, Houston 32.7 23 39L.J. Smith, te, Philadelphia 32.7 26 40B.J. Askew, rb, New York Jets 33.0 14 48Avon Coburne, rb, Detroit 33.5 33 34Andrew Pinnock, rb, San Diego 34.0 34 34Ken Dorsey, qb, San Francisco 34.3 13 50Drew Henson, qb, Houston 34.3 18 56Brock Forsey, rb, Chicago 35.0 32 38Talman Gardner, wr, New Orleans 36.5 32 41Sam Aiken, wr, Buffalo 37.3 31 48Doug Gabriel, wr - Oakland 39.0 39 39David Kircus, wr, 40.0 40 40Aaron Walker, te, San Francisco 41.0 28 54Mike Seidman, te, Carolina 45.0 45 45Vishante Shaincoe, TE, Giants 46.0 46 46Cecil Sapp, rb, Denver 47.0 47 47George Wrighster, TE, Jaguars 47.0 47 47Derek Watson, rb - New England 49.0 49 49Bobby Wade, wr, Chicago 51.0 51 51Walter Young, wr - Carolina 51.0 51 51Arnaz Battle, wr - 49ers 52.0 52 52Adrian Madise, wr Denver 53.0 53 53Malaefou Mackenzie, rb, Jacksonville 54.0 54 54J.R. Tolver, wr, Dolphins 55.0 55 55
Dear Weasel:Basically, your rants make no sense. First you subscribe relatively invariant picking to a herd mentality, then you further call the variance seen lower in the draft "gambling." You probably argue with yourself!difference between 20th and 24th is Simms, Witten, Teyo Johnson and Boldin. I see these players as more solid than you obviously do. I will leave the general membership to decide how big a "gamble" these players are relative to the ones immediately above them.I disagree with most of this. Every player taken after the 15-20th pick is a gamble. You choose to call the first two rounds choices, not gambles. I disagree.(I assume he means first 2 rounds) Sorry, I go best player available in my rookie drafts.The variation from team to team is often related to need at this point.Not sure I see the difference.The players you listed as gambles are closer to fliers in my opinion.Why should # of QBs starting in a league affect the relative draft position of Palmer and Leftwich? The bottom line is that Palmer is stuck behind a starter that is consistent and not that old. He may be there one yea, maybe 2. Maybe the concensus is that there wuill be more QBs coming out next year (lots of people like Eli Manning), so why burn that high a pick if you are drafting based on need (as per your arguement earlier in the post)? It is also the Bengals - a team that has had many first-round busts. (Warrick was taken 3rd overall if you remember.) Leftwich may even find himself starting this year. If you read the reports leading up to the draft, you would know that several teams actually had Leftwich ranked ahead of Palmer. Maybe the guys on this board are looking at the team's opinions and not CBS Sportsline (note: low blow).I stand by what I said- When every draft but one has Leftwich going before Palmer (and the one where Leftwich went #1 overall is a start 2 QB league-which refelects why he went unusually high -your chart makes no mention of this)No. McGahee would have been a consensus top 5 pick if not for the injury. Most people on this board recognize a player's ultimate value, not the fact he is stuck behind Henry (who has fumble problems in his past). After LJ and McGahee, the next rb wasn't taken until pick 77! The next one (ignoring Askew who is more of a Larry Centers/Richie Anderson type) was at pick 93! That's not herd mentality. That's realizing that the rb class this year is weak.McGahee going as the the #2 back or better in almost every draft shows herd thinking.Those of us who research rather than opine have scouting reports and combine results at our fingertips!Your variance that you talk about later in the draft is a matter of math- there is likely to be a huge variance in players of similar skill levels where most owners have never seen them play.
I am glad that you take solace and always draft the best player available. However, many successful owners late in round 2 and beyond draft equally for need as well as talent.To use your example, if a player has a strong TE need at 23 he may be wise to choose Witten over Simms or Calico. Now, if you thought Simms was going to be a superstar, you would take him here, but if things appear equal many go for need and perceived opportunity. Your attempt to flame me for mentioning need makes you appear even more silly and self righteous than usual.Sorry, I go best player available in my rookie drafts.
While you speak endlessly about research and scouting reports- very few FF owner's scout or have real scouting reports. Most do what I do. THey watch college football games on television. They read internet reports. That is not scouting. That is informmation gathering. I do this as well. Very few have seen Calico play more than one game and could not effectively break down his skills from that one game to determine how effective an NFL player he will be. Reading Gil Brandt, Ourlads, the GnB report, Frank Coyle,Pat Kirwain, the ESPN boys, etc. is not reading an NFL scouting report. Don't kid yourself. These are guys that write for websites for dorks like us. I must admit though, putting the boxing smiley at the end of you point like some macho exclamation point did have me fearful for a moment.Those of us who research rather than opine have scouting reports and combine results at our fingertips!
You are taking my comment out of context. You asserted that there was a trememendous range of where players were picked. You made a post naming the player, average draft position, the highest he went, and the lowest he went. It was noted that Leftwich ws picked number one in a draft. I was making a point that where Leftwich went #1, they were a start two QB league. This caused Leftwich to go at a different point in this draft than he would otherwise, and that you shouldn't expect him to go there.Also, please help me out here, because I get all my info from CBS sportsline- but what information is there in the world that indicates the very youthful 30 year old Jon Kitna with the career QB rating of under 75 and led the Bengals to a last place finish in 2002 has ever been a better NFL QB than the very very old Mark Brunnell. I looked everywhere but I couldn't find that info. Silly me. I have devoted enough time arguing with you, but I am eager to know of this uber-secret scouting report that reveals the tremendous talent and productivity of Jon Kitna.Why should # of QBs starting in a league affect the relative draft position of Palmer and Leftwich? The bottom line is that Palmer is stuck behind a starter that is consistent and not that old.