This is exactly what I suspect will be happening in many leagues. With Manning & Cpep going in round 1 and a couple of reaches on DD and a few others from time to time and the next thing you know you get a gift in the 9/10 hole.
I passed on Deuce at 7 in a league to take Moss. There are some reasons:1) Saints offense is not getting into scoring position like they used to. Losses on the OL and inconsitancy from Brooks have slowed down the whole offense.
2) Terrell Smith was the lead blocker in both Ricky's and Deuce's best years. His leaving had a negative effect on Deuce.
3) The defense isn't playing well anymore, too many free agent losses and this leads to playing from behind. Playing from behind is killing Deuce's game.
4) Brooks isn't winning with his arm and people have stacked the box early in games.
Looking at the numbers:
All this added up to Deuce being the 19th overall running back in the game last season. This is NOT what you expect from a top 5 pick. Yes he was injured... He missed three games (one game fumbling and ending up with a negative score.) Not including games when he was injured, Deuce had three games under 10 points and three games over 20 games. None over 25.
This is solid for a #2 fantasy back but not enough for a #1 stud. Simply put, Duece isn't what he was back when Terrell Smith was blocking for him and the Saint's D was keeping games close or the Saits ahead. So he's not worthy of a top 5-6 pick anymore.