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Will Warner make the HOF? (1 Viewer)

The stat tonight was amazing: Warner has thrown for 300+ yards in 45% of his career games. The QB with the next highest percentage is Dan Fouts with 28%. Simply incredible.
MOST 300-YARD GAMES, CAREER:1. Dan Marino* (63)

2. Brett Favre (55)

3. Dan Fouts* (51)

4. Warren Moon* (49)

5. Kurt Warner (46)

6. Peyton Manning (44)

300-YARD GAMES BY %

1. Kurt Warner, 46 of 103 (44.7%)

2. Dan Fouts*, 51 of 181 (28.2%)

3. Peyton Manning, 44 of 168 (26.2%)

4. Dan Marino*, 63 of 242 (26%)

5. Warren Moon*, 49 of 208 (23.6%)

6. Brett Favre, 55 of 265 (20.8%)

*Hall Of Fame

 
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normally I'd say no, but he's come back with a perennial bush league team and is posting Ram numbers, and has twice proved himself a la the #2 QB. if the Cards go far this year, and/or he comes back next year and post similar numbers then it's a serious question to beg.

course Boldin/Fitz/Breaston aint' a bad corps to deal with... a la Holt/Bruce/Hakim/Faulk.

he's had some GREAT cast members.

 
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normally I'd say no, but he's come back with a bush league squad and is posting Ram numbers, and has twice proved himself a la the #2 QB. if the Cards go far this year, and/or he comes back next year and post similar numbers then it's a serious question to beg.
He's already a HOFer.
 
The stat tonight was amazing: Warner has thrown for 300+ yards in 45% of his career games. The QB with the next highest percentage is Dan Fouts with 28%. Simply incredible.
MOST 300-YARD GAMES, CAREER:1. Dan Marino* (63)

2. Brett Favre (55)

3. Dan Fouts* (51)

4. Warren Moon* (49)

5. Kurt Warner (46)

6. Peyton Manning (44)

300-YARD GAMES BY %

1. Kurt Warner, 46 of 103 (44.7%)

2. Dan Fouts*, 51 of 181 (28.2%)

3. Peyton Manning, 44 of 168 (26.2%)

4. Dan Marino*, 63 of 242 (26%)

5. Warren Moon*, 49 of 208 (23.6%)

6. Brett Favre, 55 of 265 (20.8%)

*Hall Of Fame
could move to #3 all time this season.
 
The stat tonight was amazing: Warner has thrown for 300+ yards in 45% of his career games. The QB with the next highest percentage is Dan Fouts with 28%. Simply incredible.
MOST 300-YARD GAMES, CAREER:1. Dan Marino* (63)

2. Brett Favre (55)

3. Dan Fouts* (51)

4. Warren Moon* (49)

5. Kurt Warner (46)

6. Peyton Manning (44)

300-YARD GAMES BY %

1. Kurt Warner, 46 of 103 (44.7%)

2. Dan Fouts*, 51 of 181 (28.2%)

3. Peyton Manning, 44 of 168 (26.2%)

4. Dan Marino*, 63 of 242 (26%)

5. Warren Moon*, 49 of 208 (23.6%)

6. Brett Favre, 55 of 265 (20.8%)

*Hall Of Fame
Considering Favre and Manning are guaranteed HOF'ers, Kurt Warner belongs there as well IMO. SB ring and 2 time MVP.
 
normally I'd say no, but he's come back with a bush league squad and is posting Ram numbers, and has twice proved himself a la the #2 QB. if the Cards go far this year, and/or he comes back next year and post similar numbers then it's a serious question to beg.
He's already a HOFer.
This year will be only his 5th season with 3,000 passing yards.
guess how many seasons w/ 3000+ Aikman has?
 
normally I'd say no, but he's come back with a bush league squad and is posting Ram numbers, and has twice proved himself a la the #2 QB. if the Cards go far this year, and/or he comes back next year and post similar numbers then it's a serious question to beg.
He's already a HOFer.
This year will be only his 5th season with 3,000 passing yards.
guess how many seasons w/ 3000+ Aikman has?
Five. But more rings. Hard to call that apples to apples, as clearly the Cowboys were far more run based than the teams Warner has been on.
 
normally I'd say no, but he's come back with a bush league squad and is posting Ram numbers, and has twice proved himself a la the #2 QB. if the Cards go far this year, and/or he comes back next year and post similar numbers then it's a serious question to beg.
He's already a HOFer.
This year will be only his 5th season with 3,000 passing yards.
guess how many seasons w/ 3000+ Aikman has?
Five. But more rings. Hard to call that apples to apples, as clearly the Cowboys were far more run based than the teams Warner has been on.
only one more ring, but two fewer NFL MVP's and two fewer all-pro selections.
 
In some instances you have to cast stats aside if a guy wins 3 MVP's to go along with a SB ring he should be a lock and not even close. Once could be lucky, twice you are pretty good, 3 times and you are a unique elite QB that deserves a place in the HOF.

 
normally I'd say no, but he's come back with a bush league squad and is posting Ram numbers, and has twice proved himself a la the #2 QB. if the Cards go far this year, and/or he comes back next year and post similar numbers then it's a serious question to beg.
He's already a HOFer.
This year will be only his 5th season with 3,000 passing yards.
guess how many seasons w/ 3000+ Aikman has?
Five. But more rings. Hard to call that apples to apples, as clearly the Cowboys were far more run based than the teams Warner has been on.
only one more ring, but two fewer NFL MVP's and two fewer all-pro selections.
Two more rings. But I don't think Aikman was a great HOF selection in the first place.
 
normally I'd say no, but he's come back with a bush league squad and is posting Ram numbers, and has twice proved himself a la the #2 QB. if the Cards go far this year, and/or he comes back next year and post similar numbers then it's a serious question to beg.
He's already a HOFer.
This year will be only his 5th season with 3,000 passing yards.
guess how many seasons w/ 3000+ Aikman has?
Five. But more rings. Hard to call that apples to apples, as clearly the Cowboys were far more run based than the teams Warner has been on.
only one more ring, but two fewer NFL MVP's and two fewer all-pro selections.
Aikman has 3 rings. Warner has 1.And while Pro Bowls are not as good a measure as first team All Pro selections, it is also interesting that Aikman made 6 Pro Bowls and Warner only 3 so far.
 
normally I'd say no, but he's come back with a bush league squad and is posting Ram numbers, and has twice proved himself a la the #2 QB. if the Cards go far this year, and/or he comes back next year and post similar numbers then it's a serious question to beg.
He's already a HOFer.
This year will be only his 5th season with 3,000 passing yards.
guess how many seasons w/ 3000+ Aikman has?
Five. But more rings. Hard to call that apples to apples, as clearly the Cowboys were far more run based than the teams Warner has been on.
only one more ring, but two fewer NFL MVP's and two fewer all-pro selections.
Two more rings. But I don't think Aikman was a great HOF selection in the first place.
right - my bad. Agree on the second count as well.
 
In some instances you have to cast stats aside if a guy wins 3 MVP's to go along with a SB ring he should be a lock and not even close. Once could be lucky, twice you are pretty good, 3 times and you are a unique elite QB that deserves a place in the HOF.
Warner is a long way from being MVP this year.And why did you list that particular quote in your signature?
 
Something that could help Warner is that after Favre, there are no QBs on the HOF horizon until Brady and Peyton. That means from now until 5 years after Brady and Peyton retire... maybe 10+ years from now... only Favre is a lock to make the HOF at QB.

 
Warner is a long way from being MVP this year.
Who would you put ahead of him (keeping in mind that MVPs almost never come from teams that do not make the playoffs, so someone like Drew Brees, for example, would be a poor example, IMO)?
Normally best offensive player on the team with the best record (or close to the best record). I don't have a problem with Warner's numbers, but Arizona could still easily finish 9-7. Right now I would guess Eli would win if the season ended now.
 
Warner is an interesting HOF candidate. 99-01 that Rams offense was unstoppable. He had a couple of injuries that derailed his career somewhat which led to him being a backup for a few years. Comes back late in his career to have another monster year. He has had some really impressive years in Arizona putting up great stats on a bad team. This year the Cards look like they have a chance and most likely will win the division. I say Warner will get in the Hall but it will be at least 10-15 years after he retires. How many multiple NFL MVP's and Super Bowl MVP have not made the HOF has to be zero? I say he gets in

 
Warner is a long way from being MVP this year.
Who would you put ahead of him (keeping in mind that MVPs almost never come from teams that do not make the playoffs, so someone like Drew Brees, for example, would be a poor example, IMO)?
Normally best offensive player on the team with the best record (or close to the best record). I don't have a problem with Warner's numbers, but Arizona could still easily finish 9-7. Right now I would guess Eli would win if the season ended now.
Eli has played very well, but I don't think he is having an MVP-type season. Warner has played better, despite having a weak running game (while Eli has the best running game in the NFL) and an average defense (while Eli has a top 3 defense).
 
David Yudkin said:
Ghost Rider said:
David Yudkin said:
Warner is a long way from being MVP this year.
Who would you put ahead of him (keeping in mind that MVPs almost never come from teams that do not make the playoffs, so someone like Drew Brees, for example, would be a poor example, IMO)?
Normally best offensive player on the team with the best record (or close to the best record). I don't have a problem with Warner's numbers, but Arizona could still easily finish 9-7. Right now I would guess Eli would win if the season ended now.
Really? Eli might not even make the Pro Bowl for the NFC:TD passes:

1. Warner (19)

2. Brees (17)

3. (tie) Romo (14)

3. (tie) Manning (14)

Passing Yards:

1. Brees (2985)

2. Warner (2759)

3. McNabb (2372)

---

6. Manning (1926)

Passer Rating

1. Warner (106.4)

2. Romo (103.5)

3. Brees (96.1)

--

10. Manning (88.8)

Completion %

1. Warner (70.7%)

2. Garcia (68.5%)

3. Brees (66.6%)

--

9. Manning (60.5%)

Interception rate:

1. Jason Campbell (0.7%)

2. Jeff Garcia (1.5%)

3. McNabb (1.5%)

--

8. Manning (2.1%)

TD-INT ratio

1. Campbell (4:1)

2. Warner (3.2:1)

3. Romo (2.8:1)

--

7. Manning (2.3:1)

Pass/Rush TDs Per Game:

1. Romo (2.3)

2. Warner (2.1)

3. Brees (1.9)

4. Rodgers (1.8)

5. Manning (1.7)

The only major category where Manning is in the top-3 is TD passes, and that's only because Romo has missed 3 games. If Romo returns to form, then how do you not give the 3 Pro Bowl slots to Romo, Warner and Brees?

edit: when was the last time a QB completed 71% of his passes?? :shrug:

Answer: never. Ken Anderson holds the record with 70.55% in 1982 (in only 9 games). Steve Young is next with 70.28% in 1994.

 
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shakeybarn said:
normally I'd say no, but he's come back with a perennial bush league team and is posting Ram numbers, and has twice proved himself a la the #2 QB. if the Cards go far this year, and/or he comes back next year and post similar numbers then it's a serious question to beg.

course Boldin/Fitz/Breaston aint' a bad corps to deal with... a la Holt/Bruce/Hakim/Faulk.

he's had some GREAT cast members.
That cuts both ways.
 
David Yudkin said:
moleculo said:
David Yudkin said:
moleculo said:
David Yudkin said:
CrossEyed said:
shakeybarn said:
normally I'd say no, but he's come back with a bush league squad and is posting Ram numbers, and has twice proved himself a la the #2 QB. if the Cards go far this year, and/or he comes back next year and post similar numbers then it's a serious question to beg.
He's already a HOFer.
This year will be only his 5th season with 3,000 passing yards.
guess how many seasons w/ 3000+ Aikman has?
Five. But more rings. Hard to call that apples to apples, as clearly the Cowboys were far more run based than the teams Warner has been on.
only one more ring, but two fewer NFL MVP's and two fewer all-pro selections.
Two more rings. But I don't think Aikman was a great HOF selection in the first place.
You're killing me here with this Dave. I'm not going to change your mind and I know you're a numbers guy but sometimes you have to look at the numbers as just a piece of the pie. Troy Aikman didn't just make the HOF because of whatever numbers he posted as a QB, it's because he took and quarterbacked a team that started off at 1-15 with him and in a few years they were arguably the greatest dynasty team ever.It's my opinion if the league didn't start putting in caps and messing with free agency, that Dallas team would have won 2 MORE Super Bowl rings. They were too young and too talented when they were basically broken up.Troy Aikman was there through all of it and played like a rock the entire way.As good as a player as Kurt Warner is, with respect to everyone have you guys lost your marbles. You guys were arguing about who's better, Matt Leinart or Kurt Warner before the season. Now, 10 weeks later Kurt Warner is a Hall of Famer and he's possibly better than Troy Aikman?Kobe Bryant said it best when asked about how people compare him and Michael Jordan. Michael is Michael and nobody will ever be Michael. I just want to be Kobe and be the best I can be.Troy Aikman isn't what Michael Jordan is to basketball, but the point is the same. With all that said, the verdict isn't in for Kurt Warner. He hasn't done it well enough for long enough IMO. He started late and in the middle of the great stuff we saw with the Rams and now Arizona, there was also some very eratic and poor play by Warner. If Warner continues this kind of play and the Cardinals actually win a Super Bowl with him, then he's got a shot.Heaven forbid, if he had a season ending injury next week, the answer is he a HOFer is no in my book. He needs to still do more.........and a lot more to be mentioned in the same tier as Troy Aikman.
 
Did someone really say Eli would win the MVP?? That is outrageous. He wouldn't be in the top 5 right now and as someone else mentioned he probably isn't on the pro bowl team.

Right now if the season ended, Warner wins the MVP hands down, no questions asked.

If ADP continues his pace, he could make a run at Warner, especially if he puts the Vikings on his back like he did Sunday and takes them to the playoffs.

But Warner's numbers are just sick right now. He could go for 5,000 yards and lead the CARDINALS to the playoffs. That would win him the MVP, no doubt.

 
As for Warner and the HOF, at this point he needs to win the MVP this season. I think that 3rd MVP will be huge for him in 10 years when they are voting on the guy. To come back later in your career and play at such a high level after an injury-plagued couple of seasons is huge.

If he was to lead the Cardinals to the Super Bowl, he'd be close to nailing it down. But since that's not happening, I think he needs to come back for a couple more years.

The Cardinals are in a tough spot. You've got a guy in Warner playing at a Pro Bowl level and you still don't really know how good Leinart is.

They will have a tough decision to make next year.

In any event, I think Warner needs another 2 -3 years of playing time to garner enough stats and longetivity to go to the HOF.

But he's clearly a guy that dances to the beat of his own drum, so he could easily call it quits after this season if the Cardinals go with Leinart, which would be a very curious move.

 
David Yudkin said:
moleculo said:
David Yudkin said:
moleculo said:
David Yudkin said:
CrossEyed said:
shakeybarn said:
normally I'd say no, but he's come back with a bush league squad and is posting Ram numbers, and has twice proved himself a la the #2 QB. if the Cards go far this year, and/or he comes back next year and post similar numbers then it's a serious question to beg.
He's already a HOFer.
This year will be only his 5th season with 3,000 passing yards.
guess how many seasons w/ 3000+ Aikman has?
Five. But more rings. Hard to call that apples to apples, as clearly the Cowboys were far more run based than the teams Warner has been on.
only one more ring, but two fewer NFL MVP's and two fewer all-pro selections.
Two more rings. But I don't think Aikman was a great HOF selection in the first place.
You're killing me here with this Dave. I'm not going to change your mind and I know you're a numbers guy but sometimes you have to look at the numbers as just a piece of the pie. Troy Aikman didn't just make the HOF because of whatever numbers he posted as a QB, it's because he took and quarterbacked a team that started off at 1-15 with him and in a few years they were arguably the greatest dynasty team ever.It's my opinion if the league didn't start putting in caps and messing with free agency, that Dallas team would have won 2 MORE Super Bowl rings. They were too young and too talented when they were basically broken up.Troy Aikman was there through all of it and played like a rock the entire way.As good as a player as Kurt Warner is, with respect to everyone have you guys lost your marbles. You guys were arguing about who's better, Matt Leinart or Kurt Warner before the season. Now, 10 weeks later Kurt Warner is a Hall of Famer and he's possibly better than Troy Aikman?Kobe Bryant said it best when asked about how people compare him and Michael Jordan. Michael is Michael and nobody will ever be Michael. I just want to be Kobe and be the best I can be.Troy Aikman isn't what Michael Jordan is to basketball, but the point is the same. With all that said, the verdict isn't in for Kurt Warner. He hasn't done it well enough for long enough IMO. He started late and in the middle of the great stuff we saw with the Rams and now Arizona, there was also some very eratic and poor play by Warner. If Warner continues this kind of play and the Cardinals actually win a Super Bowl with him, then he's got a shot.Heaven forbid, if he had a season ending injury next week, the answer is he a HOFer is no in my book. He needs to still do more.........and a lot more to be mentioned in the same tier as Troy Aikman.
As for Aikman, IMO he would not have made it to the HOF with his stat line on another team. However, he did lead a 3-time SB winner, and that's what got him in, not his raw stats. (IMO, this was true of Bradshaw as well.)That's what makes the HOF balloting so perplexing. SOme people are inducted based on numbers. Others on rings. Others on being tough and what they meant to the game.In Warner's case, it's the FAME part that I think will get him in, as his story is a legendary rags to riches story that will end up as a Disney movie someday.
 
Did someone really say Eli would win the MVP?? That is outrageous. He wouldn't be in the top 5 right now and as someone else mentioned he probably isn't on the pro bowl team.Right now if the season ended, Warner wins the MVP hands down, no questions asked. If ADP continues his pace, he could make a run at Warner, especially if he puts the Vikings on his back like he did Sunday and takes them to the playoffs.But Warner's numbers are just sick right now. He could go for 5,000 yards and lead the CARDINALS to the playoffs. That would win him the MVP, no doubt.
If the Giants win out to be 15-1 and the Cards end up 9-7 (and still make the playoffs), even with all those great stats I'm not sure Warner would win. Statistically, there is not a huge difference between Cutler, Brees, and Warner. I'd be mmore inclined to say Warner if he was lapping the field statistically, but there are other players putting up similar numbers.ADP, Portis, and Jacobs are all on pace for 1500 rushing yards (with Thomas Jones right off the pace). They also are interesting candidates . . .
 
As good as a player as Kurt Warner is, with respect to everyone have you guys lost your marbles. You guys were arguing about who's better, Matt Leinart or Kurt Warner before the season. Now, 10 weeks later Kurt Warner is a Hall of Famer and he's possibly better than Troy Aikman?
the only one arguing for Leinart was LHucks.
 
David Yudkin said:
Ghost Rider said:
David Yudkin said:
Warner is a long way from being MVP this year.
Who would you put ahead of him (keeping in mind that MVPs almost never come from teams that do not make the playoffs, so someone like Drew Brees, for example, would be a poor example, IMO)?
Normally best offensive player on the team with the best record (or close to the best record). I don't have a problem with Warner's numbers, but Arizona could still easily finish 9-7. Right now I would guess Eli would win if the season ended now.
You would be guessing wrong then, David. I doubt Eli is even in the top-5 right now. And yes, Warner is heading to Canton one day. Sounds a little crazy, but I think this year locks it up.
 
David Yudkin said:
Ghost Rider said:
David Yudkin said:
Warner is a long way from being MVP this year.
Who would you put ahead of him (keeping in mind that MVPs almost never come from teams that do not make the playoffs, so someone like Drew Brees, for example, would be a poor example, IMO)?
Normally best offensive player on the team with the best record (or close to the best record). I don't have a problem with Warner's numbers, but Arizona could still easily finish 9-7. Right now I would guess Eli would win if the season ended now.
You would be guessing wrong then, David. I doubt Eli is even in the top-5 right now. And yes, Warner is heading to Canton one day. Sounds a little crazy, but I think this year locks it up.
We'll see. There's still lots of football left. Remember, the usual formula is best offensive player on one of the top 1 or 2 teams.
 
We'll see. There's still lots of football left. Remember, the usual formula is best offensive player on one of the top 1 or 2 teams.
That guideline only works if there's a dominant player on one of the top teams. Neither Tenn nor NYG really have that dominant player. Eli is not even a lock to make the pro-bowl, that's how NOT dominant he's been. And on Tenn????? Chris Johnson? As good as he's been, he's still stuck in a RBBC and is unlikely to end top five in yards, and well outside it in TD's. Portis might challenge. Cutler could also. Warner's far from a lock right now, but he's the leader at this point, IMO.As far as Warner goes, before the year I would have said no chance. Now....another year or two like this, OR another MVP, OR another SuperBowl ring with the hapless Cards.....and he's in. He's no in with a career ending injury today...but barring that I'd be very hesitant to bet against him at this point.
 
Interesting debate.

I think I'm on the fence, but I also figure that Warner will go into 2009 as a starter and if he has another 4000 yard season, he could be at 33,000 for his career. The guy that seems to be mentioned as the comparison point here is Troy Aikman, but I would argue that Warner's numbers would most closely resemble Steve Young's. Obviously Steve Young also brought the added dimension of his running ability.

But completion % wise, YPA wise - they are both very similar and they both have 1 ring - although Warner made it to 2 SB's.

Yudkin brought up a good point though. Warner's story is truly a rags to riches story. While I think to a degree it has hurt him professionally (as he needed a #1 draft pick to screw up to prove he still had it), I think post career, people will really look fondly upon Warner's accomplisments and how he perservered to get to where he did. And as far as All-Pro is concerned, I would not be handing 2008 QB1 slot to Brees yet.

Overall, at this moment he is in TBD land but with a couple of more seasons like this, it would be tough to keep him out.

 
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Warner is a leading candidate for MVP so far. Huge turnaround for Arizona, plus the media loves him I'm sure.

I'd say he should make the HOF as well.

 
I posted this in another thread...

Interesting stat on MNF last night.

Dan Fouts threw for 300 yards or more in 28% of his games in his career.

That is good for #2 All-Time.

Kurt Warner is #1 with FORTY FIVE PERCENT of his games throwing 300+ yards.
 
i'm completely torn.

on the one hand, warner is a great QB and it's hard to deny a possible 3rd MVP. i'm a fan of the guy and love what he's doing this year.

on the other hand, he's had much of his success throwing to 4 HOF caliber WR's (not that they'll make it, but they all have/had elite talent). few QB's in NFL history have had as much WR talent throughout their careers as warner, not to mention possibly one of the 5 most talented RBs in NFL history.

the rams offense turned marc freaking bulger into a pro-bowler with the 3rd highest completion % in nfl history.

the number of QB's he was benched for over his career is also quite unsightly.

i'm torn.

i'm just going to continue to appreciate and enjoy what the man is doing this year. it's quite remarkable.

ultimately, as others have mentioned, this season could very well decide this issue.

 
With all that said, the verdict isn't in for Kurt Warner. He hasn't done it well enough for long enough IMO. He started late and in the middle of the great stuff we saw with the Rams
Um, what? He started in the middle of the great stuff we saw with the Rams? That is as wrong as wrong can get. The Rams were terrible in '98, but started kicking ### in '99, a season in which Kurt Warner played every single game. And it is no coincidence that the Rams never came close to achieving the same success once Warner got hurt in St. Louis, wasn't the same, and was eventually shipped out of town.
As good as a player as Kurt Warner is, with respect to everyone have you guys lost your marbles. You guys were arguing about who's better, Matt Leinart or Kurt Warner before the season. Now, 10 weeks later Kurt Warner is a Hall of Famer and he's possibly better than Troy Aikman?
the only one arguing for Leinart was LHucks.
Beat me to it, but, yep. LHUCKS arguing for his Pac-10 QB is the only reason there was any debate at all.
 
I think I'm on the fence, but I also figure that Warner will go into 2009 as a starter and if he has another 4000 yard season, he could be at 33,000 for his career. The guy that seems to be mentioned as the comparison point here is Troy Aikman, but I would argue that Warner's numbers would most closely resemble Steve Young's. Obviously Steve Young also brought the added dimension of his running ability.But completion % wise, YPA wise - they are both very similar and they both have 1 ring - although Warner made it to 2 SB's.
Young has 3 rings, actually.
 
Did someone really say Eli would win the MVP?? That is outrageous. He wouldn't be in the top 5 right now and as someone else mentioned he probably isn't on the pro bowl team.Right now if the season ended, Warner wins the MVP hands down, no questions asked. If ADP continues his pace, he could make a run at Warner, especially if he puts the Vikings on his back like he did Sunday and takes them to the playoffs.But Warner's numbers are just sick right now. He could go for 5,000 yards and lead the CARDINALS to the playoffs. That would win him the MVP, no doubt.
If the Giants win out to be 15-1 and the Cards end up 9-7 (and still make the playoffs), even with all those great stats I'm not sure Warner would win. Statistically, there is not a huge difference between Cutler, Brees, and Warner. I'd be mmore inclined to say Warner if he was lapping the field statistically, but there are other players putting up similar numbers.ADP, Portis, and Jacobs are all on pace for 1500 rushing yards (with Thomas Jones right off the pace). They also are interesting candidates . . .
I think the top three MVP candidates are Warner, Portis and, if the Titans run off a 15-1, I think Albert Haynesworth gets serious consideration, if for nothing else because there's no offensive candidate on TEN.
 
Also, to suggest that Warner, Brees and Cutler all have similar stats really isn't accurate. Warner has more TD passes than both and has thrown less INTs than both. In fact, Warner's TD-INT +/- ratio is +13, while Brees and Cutler are both +7. That is a pretty significant difference, especially since Warner has attempted less passes than the either two. And while Brees has a buttload of yards, the Saints offense is the king of moving the ball all day and not scoring that much (in regards to the yards accumulated); they are 1st in total yardage, but only 9th in points scored. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 3rd in total yardage and 1st in points scored (despite having the 29th ranked rushing offense in the league).

 
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Also, to suggest that Warner, Brees and Cutler all have similar stats really isn't accurate. Warner has more TD passes than both and has thrown less INTs than both. In fact, Warner's TD-INT +/- ratio is +13, while Brees and Cutler are both +7. That is a pretty significant difference, especially since Warner has attempted less passes than the either two. And while Brees has a buttload of yards, the Saints offense is the king of moving the ball all day and not scoring that much (in regards to the yards accumulated); they are 1st in total yardage, but only 9th in points scored. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 3rd in total yardage and 1st in points scored (despite having the 29th ranked rushing offense in the league).
In my main league, Warner, Brees, Cutler, and Rivers are separated by 10 points after 9 games played. IMO, that makes them all pretty interchangeable.
 
I think I'm on the fence, but I also figure that Warner will go into 2009 as a starter and if he has another 4000 yard season, he could be at 33,000 for his career. The guy that seems to be mentioned as the comparison point here is Troy Aikman, but I would argue that Warner's numbers would most closely resemble Steve Young's. Obviously Steve Young also brought the added dimension of his running ability.But completion % wise, YPA wise - they are both very similar and they both have 1 ring - although Warner made it to 2 SB's.
Young has 3 rings, actually.
Warner isn't that close yet to Young in compiled passing statistics (e.g., passing yards, passing TDs). And obviously Young has a significant edge in rushing.They are close in rate statistics... some favoring Warner and some favoring Young, though most are very close. But Young did it for much longer.Young has more 1st Team All Pro and Pro Bowl selections, though Warner could tie him in the former if he is 1st Team All Pro this year.Young has nearly twice as many wins and his winning percentage is much greater (66% to 56%)... granted, Young did join a dynasty when he went to the 49ers, but results are results.Both have 1 ring as a starter. Young was a contributor to two other title teams and took his team to 3 other NFC championship games. Warner got into the Super Bowl one other time. Young played in 20 playoff games, 15 as a starter, compared to 7 for Warner... and Young has a significant edge in postseason numbers to show for it.I don't think Warner compares favorably to Young at this point, although that is certainly not a prerequisite for making the HOF. Warner definitely has the opportunity to improve his standing in these comparisons, but at this point, Young's career was significantly better.
 
Also, to suggest that Warner, Brees and Cutler all have similar stats really isn't accurate. Warner has more TD passes than both and has thrown less INTs than both. In fact, Warner's TD-INT +/- ratio is +13, while Brees and Cutler are both +7. That is a pretty significant difference, especially since Warner has attempted less passes than the either two. And while Brees has a buttload of yards, the Saints offense is the king of moving the ball all day and not scoring that much (in regards to the yards accumulated); they are 1st in total yardage, but only 9th in points scored. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 3rd in total yardage and 1st in points scored (despite having the 29th ranked rushing offense in the league).
In my main league, Warner, Brees, Cutler, and Rivers are separated by 10 points after 9 games played. IMO, that makes them all pretty interchangeable.
:banned: I am talking REAL stats, not fantasy football numbers, which can skew things based on your league's scoring system. Leaving Rivers out (whom you didn't mention originally):Warner's TD-INT ratio is +13Brees' TD-INT ratio is +7Cutler's TD-INT ratio is +7Warner's QB rating is 106.4 (1st in the NFL)Brees' QB rating is 96.1 (4th in the NFL)Cutler's QB rating is 89.5 (14th in the NFL)Plus, Warner has a vastly superior completion percentage, TD percentage and INT percentage to the other two. BIG, BIG difference.In the one league I am in, Aaron Rodgers was the top-rated player for the year going into the last week. Would you have called him the MVP a week ago because he had better fantasy football numbers than the other QBs (at that time)?And if you are going to use the "Eli should get it because he is the best player on one of the two or three top teams" argument, then actually, Brandon Jacobs should get it, because he has been a more dominant RB this year than Eli has been a dominant QB, right? Look at the fantasy numbers!!!!!! ;)
 
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With all that said, the verdict isn't in for Kurt Warner. He hasn't done it well enough for long enough IMO. He started late and in the middle of the great stuff we saw with the Rams
Um, what? He started in the middle of the great stuff we saw with the Rams? That is as wrong as wrong can get. The Rams were terrible in '98, but started kicking ### in '99, a season in which Kurt Warner played every single game. And it is no coincidence that the Rams never came close to achieving the same success once Warner got hurt in St. Louis, wasn't the same, and was eventually shipped out of town.
As good as a player as Kurt Warner is, with respect to everyone have you guys lost your marbles. You guys were arguing about who's better, Matt Leinart or Kurt Warner before the season. Now, 10 weeks later Kurt Warner is a Hall of Famer and he's possibly better than Troy Aikman?
the only one arguing for Leinart was LHucks.
Beat me to it, but, yep. LHUCKS arguing for his Pac-10 QB is the only reason there was any debate at all.
Was that Marshal's first season also? he was huge back that season also,every bit Warner was.
 
Also, to suggest that Warner, Brees and Cutler all have similar stats really isn't accurate. Warner has more TD passes than both and has thrown less INTs than both. In fact, Warner's TD-INT +/- ratio is +13, while Brees and Cutler are both +7. That is a pretty significant difference, especially since Warner has attempted less passes than the either two. And while Brees has a buttload of yards, the Saints offense is the king of moving the ball all day and not scoring that much (in regards to the yards accumulated); they are 1st in total yardage, but only 9th in points scored. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 3rd in total yardage and 1st in points scored (despite having the 29th ranked rushing offense in the league).
Cutler shouldn't even be in the conversation. He is 14th in QB rating and has 11 interceptions (only Favre has more), and his team is only 5-4 (and should be 4-5). Rivers has been better than both Cutler and Brees and his numbers are as good as Warner's, except in the win column.
 
Was that Marshal's first season also? he was huge back that season also,every bit Warner was.
Agreed.
Also, to suggest that Warner, Brees and Cutler all have similar stats really isn't accurate. Warner has more TD passes than both and has thrown less INTs than both. In fact, Warner's TD-INT +/- ratio is +13, while Brees and Cutler are both +7. That is a pretty significant difference, especially since Warner has attempted less passes than the either two. And while Brees has a buttload of yards, the Saints offense is the king of moving the ball all day and not scoring that much (in regards to the yards accumulated); they are 1st in total yardage, but only 9th in points scored. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 3rd in total yardage and 1st in points scored (despite having the 29th ranked rushing offense in the league).
Cutler shouldn't even be in the conversation. He is 14th in QB rating and has 11 interceptions (only Favre has more), and his team is only 5-4 (and should be 4-5). Rivers has been better than both Cutler and Brees and his numbers are as good as Warner's, except in the win column.
David Yudkin brought Cutler into the conversation, not me. I am a huge Cutler and Broncos fan, but he should not be in any MVP conversation right now.Rivers has played great, too, just like Warner, but with his team currently at 4-5, it is hard to consider him a serious MVP candidate at this time. Players from non-playoff teams NEVER win the NFL MVP award.
 
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Also, to suggest that Warner, Brees and Cutler all have similar stats really isn't accurate. Warner has more TD passes than both and has thrown less INTs than both. In fact, Warner's TD-INT +/- ratio is +13, while Brees and Cutler are both +7. That is a pretty significant difference, especially since Warner has attempted less passes than the either two. And while Brees has a buttload of yards, the Saints offense is the king of moving the ball all day and not scoring that much (in regards to the yards accumulated); they are 1st in total yardage, but only 9th in points scored. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 3rd in total yardage and 1st in points scored (despite having the 29th ranked rushing offense in the league).
Cutler shouldn't even be in the conversation. He is 14th in QB rating and has 11 interceptions (only Favre has more), and his team is only 5-4 (and should be 4-5). Rivers has been better than both Cutler and Brees and his numbers are as good as Warner's, except in the win column.
David Yudkin brought Cutler into the conversation, not me. I am a huge Cutler and Broncos fan, but he should not be in any MVP conversation right now.Rivers has played great, too, just like Warner, but with his team currently at 4-5, it is hard to consider him a serious MVP candidate at this time. Players from non-playoff teams NEVER win the NFL MVP award.
Understood. I was mainly pointing out that Rivers' numbers are as good as Warner's, and everyone else is at least a tier below.San Diego still has a chance to win the division. If they do, Rivers might have a slim chance at MVP, particularly if their running game never comes around. That said, a lot of these awards are like college football polls - reputation is a factor. So I think guys like Brees and Warner have an advantage if it's close, because everyone knows they are or have been great QBs for a long time. Someone like Rivers would probably have to outplay the others by a decent margin on top of making the playoffs.
 
This past summer, I ranked every QB in NFL history. Warner ranked as the 13th best QB.

http://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/?p=550

He ranks behind Ken Anderson, but ahead of a bunch of other QBs in the HOF. Warner's best attribute is his statistics, though. So while he passes the sniff test for HOF consideration as far as numbers go, he certainly better because he played on teams with tons and talent and on pass happy offenses. So if he's a HOF caliber QB, there's no reason why his numbers shouldn't look very good.

He's got a SB ring, and I think this year is the icing on the cake. His '99 post-season was one of the best ever, and he was very good in the '01 post-season, too. He's Boomer Esiason with great playoff success; I think that's enough.

 
Kurt Warner deserved the HOF prior to this season but enough of those on the fence had to be swung this season to get him in.

 

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