Manning and the Colts have always lacked the killer instinct. The Pats/Brady have it. All too often, the Colts are content to have Manning march them down the field, and then run the ball twice unsuccessfully, and then throw on 3rd and goal from the 8. Sometimes it leads to a TD, sometimes it doesn't, but when it doesn't they are forced to settle for field goals, and at the end of the game when you're in a nailbiter you wish you would've had TDs on those earlier opportunities. BB would have an F*** you mentality and unleash Manning (like he does with Brady) as possibly the greatest asset of all time, and score a far higher percentage of TDs in the redzone, and TDs as a percentage of total points scored, IMHO.
The quandry of Manning is that he passes the eye test as the GOAT. Everyone watches him play and thinks, "this guy should have 8+ rings by now..." It may be unfair, but when he is SO MEDIOCRE in the playoffs (compared to the top 20 or so QBs ever), and compared to how he grades in the "eye test", he leaves much to be desired.
That's BS. Manning has more
desire to win than anyone and he certainly had the killer look about him in the AFC Championship game against NE and NY.
I'm not talking about desire to win. Or even "killer instinct" shining through in a couple of games. My point is that, in any sport, if you take a guy who "looks" (according to the eye test) like the greatest player of all time, he SHOULD have several championships and a dominant post-season resume. Of course, even with Manning and his mediocre playoff resume, there are MOMENTS where he is the absolute man, but it is not as systemic through and through as it should be. And I'm not 100% certain it's Manning's fault, I think Dungy (and now Caldwell), as much respect as he has, is soft and lacked the killer instinct, and I'm sure that rubs off on Peyton, or even if it doesn't "rub off", it constrains Peyton's abilities.
Peyton Manning has achieved the highest level of respect, which is deserved IMO, and he is on track to have the best QB statistics of all time.That being said, I've always distinguished between being a "statistical producer" in any sport -- and a "clutch performer." The clutch performers rise to the occasion and play their best in the biggest games of their careers. In pro football, the biggest games are the playoffs.
Peyton just completed his 13th season, and his team has made the playoffs in 11 of those seasons. Here are the playoff records for 13 QBs who played in many playoff games (in the first 13 seasons of their careers):
Bradshaw: 15-4 (in 13 seasons) -- won 4 SuperBowls
Brady: 14-4 (in 11 seasons) -- won 2 SuperBowls
Montana: 13-5 (in 13 seasons) -- won 4 SuperBowls
Aikman: 11-4 (in 12 seasons) -- won 3 SuperBowls
Warner: 9-4 (in 12 seasons) -- won 1 SuperBowl
Staubach: 11-6 (in 11 seasons) -- won 2 SuperBowls
Stabler: 7-5 (in 13 seasons) -- won 1 SuperBowl
Favre: 11-8 (in 13 seasons) -- won 1 SuperBowl
McNabb: 9-7 (in 12 seasons)
Griese: 6-5 (in 13 seasons) -- won 1 SuperBowl
Kelly: 9-8 (in 11 seasons)
P. Manning: 9-10 (in 13 seasons) -- won 1 SuperBowl
Marino: 6-7 (in 13 seasons)
Of these QBs, only Manning and Marino have losing records in playoff games. Even McNabb and Kelly have winning records.
Apologists can come up with all kinds of excuses -- he didn't have a strong team around him, he didn't have the right coach, he has more desire to win than anybody, his team had critical injuries at the wrong time, etc.
For me, the bottom line is simple: "Did you win the biggest games of your career?" The answer to that question is what determines a player's legacy. Statistical records are nice, but GOAT should be determined based on being a clutch performer and winning championships, IMO. According to that criteria, Manning is not currently in the top 5.
In the 11 years that the Colts have made the playoffs with Manning, they lost their 1st playoff game in 7 of those years. In Manning's 10 playoff losses, the Colts scored an average of only 14.2 points. With Marvin Harrison, Edgerrin James, Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark, etc. Come on!
Why doesn't Manning have a better record in the biggest games of his career? Bottom line -- he's just not good enough to win the biggest games, time after time, when he has the opportunity to do so. Playoff games and championships are won when the best players make fantastic plays and carry their teams on their shoulders to the trophy. I'm not saying the victory over Chicago to win the SuperBowl was a fluke. He led his team to a single SB victory just like Stabler, Griese, Warner and many others did.
Peyton just hasn't risen to the occasion nearly ENOUGH. Not like Montana, Bradshaw, Aikman or even Brady. Manning's career is far from over. But so far, he's not in the same class as the most-clutch performers at the QB position.