What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

WR A.J. Brown, PHI (12 Viewers)

We need someone with the time and resources to watch an All 22 and see if they can determine if he is in full decoy mode as he continues to nurse a lingering injury.

I suspect that because at least from what I can tell, he's not all pissed off about not getting targeted. I mean isn't he usually up in arms about this when 100%?

But if this isn't the case . . .

. . . my analysis falters and I start wanting to say dumb things like . . .

Unc is cooked.
 
Hurts averages so far through 2 games:

17 completions on 22.5 attempts for 125 yards.

They beat KC without their 2 best pass catchers. They beat Dallas who seems like a solid offensive team, but their defense almost gave NYG an early season win.

Maybe Philadelphia can keep beating teams throwing the ball less than 25 times a game. More likely, they have to pass more as the season goes on. I would expect some significant regression to the mean. Better days are ahead for Brown and Smith.

It is entirely possible that Brown is still dealing with lingering effects of a hamstring injury. But given the volume issues, I'm not confident enough in that being the issue to make a move/decision on it.
 
Trading for AJB this offseason has not worked well for me. Hopefully he continues to be pissed and the squeaky wheel gets the grease. It has worked for him in the past.... It is only a matter of time. But he's not putting up any points right now.

Maybe a buy window for those willing to take on risk... He's an elite WR who isn't getting targets.
 
Trading for AJB this offseason has not worked well for me. Hopefully he continues to be pissed and the squeaky wheel gets the grease. It has worked for him in the past.... It is only a matter of time. But he's not putting up any points right now.

Maybe a buy window for those willing to take on risk... He's an elite WR who isn't getting targets.
Not sure about that. I would love to sell him right now but not sure what I could get. I'm waiting for him to actually have a good game & go from there.. if that happens!!!
 
Trading for AJB this offseason has not worked well for me. Hopefully he continues to be pissed and the squeaky wheel gets the grease. It has worked for him in the past.... It is only a matter of time. But he's not putting up any points right now.

Maybe a buy window for those willing to take on risk... He's an elite WR who isn't getting targets.
Not sure about that. I would love to sell him right now but not sure what I could get. I'm waiting for him to actually have a good game & go from there.. if that happens!!!
I'm holding AJB right now - I do believe it will turn around. Eventually they will have to pass a bit more - I believe.

I'm going to try to buy though where I don't own him. He's too good to stay this "bad" - It isn't his fault.
 
Hurts averages so far through 2 games:

17 completions on 22.5 attempts for 125 yards.

They beat KC without their 2 best pass catchers. They beat Dallas who seems like a solid offensive team, but their defense almost gave NYG an early season win.

Maybe Philadelphia can keep beating teams throwing the ball less than 25 times a game. More likely, they have to pass more as the season goes on. I would expect some significant regression to the mean. Better days are ahead for Brown and Smith.

It is entirely possible that Brown is still dealing with lingering effects of a hamstring injury. But given the volume issues, I'm not confident enough in that being the issue to make a move/decision on it.
The other part of this, is that the Eagles offense has sucked through 2 games. Like they are 2-0 but are 1-2 plays away from being 0-2. The biggest reason for that, is the offense isn't moving the ball much.

If I were Nick Sirianni, I'd be seriously thinking about taking playcalling/design away from the OC. This isn't sustainable, and its a waste of 2 of the 6 highest paid players on your roster in Brown and Smith. I'm not saying they should throw 40 times a game, but 22 is just not enough, given the talent they have.

If I were an Eagles fan right now, I'd be about as unhappy a 2-0 as you can be.
 
What choice to most of us have? Relying on him in dynasty and it’s been brutal. Division still looks quite competitive so something has to give. They’re lucky the chiefs we’re missing so many weapons as well as their running game being truly cruddy
 
I had one redraft league with a 1 minute timer, and in the 2nd round my timer ran out right before I picked and I got AJB based off ADP where I would have drafted McConkey if I hadn't been too slow. :wall:
 
I don’t see a better choice than riding with AJ in my lineup. I paid a lot of draft capital for him and I can’t tell you how many times I’ve seen a top player with a rocky start still turn in a good year.
 
. I would expect some significant regression to the mean. Better days are ahead for Brown and Smith
JJ Zachariason has been pounding this drum all offseason. Last year they had an historically low pass ratio and he was (as is as of post week 1) confident regression is coming. If the first 2 weeks are any indication the statistically norms are not going to hold.
 
I was at arrowhead yesterday. From my viewpoint he was not getting separation at all. To be fair I think the play calling has been very bland and they are not scheming him open, but I said before and I’ll say it again, something is wrong with him physically.
 
We need someone with the time and resources to watch an All 22 and see if they can determine if he is in full decoy mode as he continues to nurse a lingering injury.
Orlovksy showed about 6 different plays today which all featured Brown running the same shallow crossing route and getting ignored.
 
I would like AJ Brown on my roster.

Is offering Odunze a good deal for me?

That would be a move from a preseason WR ADP of 35 to 10. I could offer Sutton, but he had a bad week 2, so I expect that would be rejected.
 
I would like AJ Brown on my roster.

Is offering Odunze a good deal for me?

That would be a move from a preseason WR ADP of 35 to 10. I could offer Sutton, but he had a bad week 2, so I expect that would be rejected.
If someone offered Odunze for AJB right now I think I'd have to take it.
 
I would like AJ Brown on my roster.

Is offering Odunze a good deal for me?

That would be a move from a preseason WR ADP of 35 to 10. I could offer Sutton, but he had a bad week 2, so I expect that would be rejected.
Honestly I would hold Odunze as he is actually getting targets - and his QB likes to throw him the ball. CHI will likely be trailing more often than not which should lead to more passes.

Maybe over the season it evens out more for AJB but right now I would just ride Odunze - he is averaging 10 targets/game.
 
Hurts averages so far through 2 games:

17 completions on 22.5 attempts for 125 yards.

They beat KC without their 2 best pass catchers. They beat Dallas who seems like a solid offensive team, but their defense almost gave NYG an early season win.

Maybe Philadelphia can keep beating teams throwing the ball less than 25 times a game. More likely, they have to pass more as the season goes on. I would expect some significant regression to the mean. Better days are ahead for Brown and Smith.

It is entirely possible that Brown is still dealing with lingering effects of a hamstring injury. But given the volume issues, I'm not confident enough in that being the issue to make a move/decision on it.
The other part of this, is that the Eagles offense has sucked through 2 games. Like they are 2-0 but are 1-2 plays away from being 0-2. The biggest reason for that, is the offense isn't moving the ball much.

If I were Nick Sirianni, I'd be seriously thinking about taking playcalling/design away from the OC. This isn't sustainable, and its a waste of 2 of the 6 highest paid players on your roster in Brown and Smith. I'm not saying they should throw 40 times a game, but 22 is just not enough, given the talent they have.

If I were an Eagles fan right now, I'd be about as unhappy a 2-0 as you can be.

The OC sucks. They prob should have found someone that knows how to do it instead of promoting from within to a guy with no exp
 
That would be a move from a preseason WR ADP of 35 to 10.
This is now irrelevant even if many fantasy managers will evaluate based on it. ADP is meaningless once the season starts and if you can mentally separate that from your evaluations you will do much better.

As far as the trade, as silly as it sounds, I would rather have Odunze than AJ Brown this year. Brown is getting zero separation. Not sure why that is but it is what is happening. Odunze has lead the Bears in targets each of the first two weeks. He is a going to continue to do that. I would keep Odunze.
 
Just got offered Egbuka for him…I can’t see doing this after 2 weeks.
In dynasty--you take that deal. I think in redraft--you have to be objective in regard to value. AJ Brown was a second round draft pick in redraft leagues before a game was played. If there was a fantasy draft right now, I'd say he'd most likely go late third/early 4th. Egbuka would probably go around that same area in redraft today. The question is if you feel like AJ Brown has hit a "low" and his value is likely to bounce from here--or if you feel like the value of Egbuka has maybe reached or neared a peak with Godwin possibly coming back in a few weeks. I own one share of Brown in redraft--and I'm uncomfortably staying the course with him. WIth that said--and its kinda sad--I feel more comfortable seeing Keenan Allen in my starting lineup than I do seeing Brown in it.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top