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WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET (1 Viewer)

Lions signed WR Amon-Ra St. Brown to a four-year contract extension worth up to $120 million.
SF pissed at this as they haven't upped Aiyuk yet.
I can't imagine paying Aiyuk that much.
I think both are great receivers but I think Aiyuk is better. ARSB benefits from being the #1 target in DET. Aiyuk shares more touches and more competition for targets.

Both are great but I think Aiyuk is a better route runner.
Sure but ARSB has proven he’s capable of being the focus of the offense. Aiyuk hasn’t so it’s just theoretical for him.
I agree with the first part about ARSB (fantastic receiver) but if you think Aiyuk "isn't capabale" that is where we disagree. Different offenses, more target competition in SF but saying Aiyuk isn't capable when he's one of the best route runners in the league... he is elite.
I didn’t say he can’t. I said he hasn’t. You never know for sure until someone does it.
 
Contract details, as expected, are good, but not quite all it was sold as either:

$35m fully guaranteed, but practical guarantees of about $62m because his 2026 contract becomes guaranteed at some point in 2025. Does have some injury guarantees in year three which push that up to $77m but again that extra $14m guarantees is just for injuries.

If he never sees that final year of his deal, which is $36m, they essentially took the last year of his deal where he was due about $3.5M and folded that into a 4 year/84M contract, or if people prefer to look at is as they added 3 years/81m to the last year of his rookie deal. This again does not count the $36m due the last year of his deal.


Pittman and Ridley will each make more then him over the next 3 seasons but they did have more leverage since ASRB still had a year left ,and like I said in the example above, his 3 new years beat the first 3 years of both of their contracts.
 
2024
Base salary: $1,366,000 (Guaranteed)
Prorated bonus: $3,496,315
Dead cap money: $35,472,315
Cap number: $4,862,315
Per-game roster bonus: $0

2025
Base salary: $8,300,000 (Guaranteed)
Prorated bonus: $5,000,000
Dead cap money $30,610,000
Cap number: $13,910,000
Per game roster bonus: $510,000

2026
Base salary: $27,500,000 (Guaranteed)
Prorated bonus: $5,000,000
Dead cap money $9,900,000
Cap number: $33,110,000
Per game roster bonus: $510,000

2027
Base salary: $23,370,000 ($14,834,00 guaranteed at signing)
Prorated bonus: $5,000,000
Dead cap money $6,600,000
Cap number: $28,980,000
Per game roster bonus: $510,000

2028
Base salary: $35,400,000
Prorated bonus: $5,000,000
Dead cap money $3,300,000
Cap number: $41,010,000
Per game roster bonus: $510,000 ($8.67 million)

ARSB may not see that last $35.4 and $8.67 million. But who knows, in 4 years that may be reasonable if the salary cap keeps skyrocketing.. But for now, I would view it as about a 3-year $76 million deal.
 
Last edited:
@32BeatWriters
“The team ended practice with a team period and the last 2 plays of practice were completions over the middle to (ARSB) totaling about 40 yards. St. Brown and Goff have such great chemistry and it still amazes me how open St. Brown gets time after time despite every defense knowing what's coming.”
 
@32BeatWriters
“The team ended practice with a team period and the last 2 plays of practice were completions over the middle to (ARSB) totaling about 40 yards. St. Brown and Goff have such great chemistry and it still amazes me how open St. Brown gets time after time despite every defense knowing what's coming.”
I want him everywhere I can. The guy put up amazing numbers last year while playing with a core injury.
Also love the fact he is a hometown player I can cheer for on Sundays!
 
Reception Perception short
  • We are seeing a drastically improving player
  • Every year he has gotten better, every year we have seen improvements in different routes and against different types of coverages
  • In year three, he was lining up at flanker, he was running deeper routes
  • He is, right now, exactly where CeeDee Lamb was a year ago.
  • For me, he is just outside the elite, but man, he’s the first name you’re talking about.
  • Can he improve a 4th straight year? I think he can…but we’ll see.
 
Reception Perception short
  • We are seeing a drastically improving player
  • Every year he has gotten better, every year we have seen improvements in different routes and against different types of coverages
  • In year three, he was lining up at flanker, he was running deeper routes
  • He is, right now, exactly where CeeDee Lamb was a year ago.
  • For me, he is just outside the elite, but man, he’s the first name you’re talking about.
  • Can he improve a 4th straight year? I think he can…but we’ll see.
ARSB's continued growth coupled with CeeDee & Jamar not showing up until after preseason ends (hopefully) and JJ having a lesser QB, has him as my WR2 ATM.

Possibly #1 when you factor in the relative likelihood of Tua or Goff missing games.
 
  • 12:06 AM | Rotowire.com

    Quiet in Week 1 win​

    St. Brown had three catches for 13 yards on six targets in Sunday's 26-20 overtime win over the Rams.
    Advice: St. Brown was surprisingly quiet in the season opener while Jameson Williams racked up 121 receiving yards and a touchdown and Detroit's ground game took over late to get the team into the win column. You have to go back all the way to a four-yard performance against the Cowboys in Week 7 of 2022 to find the last time St. Brown had such few yards in a game, but it's much too early to press the panic button. The star receiver had at least 90 receiving yards in 11 of 16 regular-season appearances last year and will likely bounce back in Week 2 against the Buccaneers.

4.30 points in full PPR

Have to go back to Week 6 of 2022 to find a worse fantasy game. In that loss to Dallas, the spotter called him off the field after 10 snaps (1-4-0) because they thought wobbled after a hard hit. This was during that weird period after Tua had multiple concussions and they were revising the concussion protocol.

The only other game worse than last night was Week 3 of his rookie year - 1 target 1-2-0 in a loss to Baltimore (the 66 yard FG game.)

In his previous 30 G St Brown had 270 targets for 197-2403-13 + 11-51 rushing - 520.4 FF pts (17.35 /g).
 
ouch. Seems like week 1 teams sell out completely to take out top weapons and see if other teams react. Lions did. Not sure if this is an aberration though or the ceiling will be coming down immensely
 
The Rams game planned to take him and LaPorta away. Just like the Chiefs game planned to take Andrews away. Might not happen to that extent in the future, given that others were able to rack up yards instead.
 
The Lions are paying the guy like 30 million. He'll get the football. LAR sold out to take him out of the game. Jameson ate. Montgomery ate in OT. I think there's too many supporting weapons for teams to consistently game plan ARSB or La Porta out of the game.

I think he's one of the safest bets for volume in all of FF.

Send out a few feelers. Maybe someone somewhere panics and you can get him slightly discounted. Probably not. But there's more panic after week 1 than any other time.
 
Jacob Gibbs
Week 2 is the bounce-back spot for Amon-Ra St. Brown on paper:

- Bucs dealing with multiple CB injuries
- Bucs blitz like crazy
- Bucs ranked 7th in Cover-4 rate in Week 1

🔆 God = NFL's most productive player vs. Cover 4
🔆 God = Jared Goff's top target vs. blitz
 
I own him, I like him as a player and a person, I wish him the best...but did anyone see when he got up at the end of the game and his leg became extremely wobbly? I don't have a GIF of it, but it looked bad. Like his knee was not stable. Maybe it's something, maybe it's everything, but it did not look good IMO.
 
I'm gonna start a Twitter account called Dr. Nick, and every time a player limps off, I am going to post

HI EVERYBODY, looks like his kneecap came off!! Three to four months minimum, maybe back in a week......
 
Everyone can make fun of the Twitter docs all they want, but look at his knee buckle when he stood up at the end of the game. Any common NFL fan can see with their own eyes this isn't good. Amon Ra is as tough as they come so it wouldn't surprise me if he was playing with a compromised ligament most of the game. I'm hoping for the best here but a knee buckling like that after just standing up is not normal.
 
The Coachspeak Index
#Lions HC Dan Campbell on the injury status of Amon-Ra St. Brown:

“He’s alright. I don’t think it’s anything long-term, so that’s good news.”

Campbell has a 90% reliability rating on injury coachspeak. We’ll count on Campbell’s timeline if we don’t get an updated timeline from him in his next presser (coaches are granted some injury leniency in postgame pressers, as further tests can reveal injuries they weren’t aware of immediately after the game)
 
MCL and possible ACL injury...
Please post a link, not seeing anything of that nature.

Just looks like speculation.
Just like every other doctor we post in here?

When it is speculation, post it as speculation. That is all.
I wish people wouldn't post those speculations at all. Completely useless.
 
Adam Schefter
Despite being hobbled during Sunday’s game, Lions WR Amon-Ra initially was determined to have only a contusion and cramping, per source.
Major phew… time to get this offense back on track.
Honestly, I thought it looked a lot like cramping. I figured that was why he kept coming back in. If it were more serious, I'd like to think the medical staff would have held him out, because he was limping for like the entire 2nd half.
 
ESPN’s Adam Schefter reports Amon-Ra St. Brown “was determined to have only a contusion and cramping” in the Lions’ Week 2 loss to the Bucs.
 
Ian Hartitz
Amon-Ra St. Brown has caught a touchdown in 8 straight games.

Jerry Rice (13), Randy Moss (10), and Carl Pickens (10) are the only players since 1970 to catch a TD in at least 10 consecutive games.
 

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